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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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 May 6-8 Predictions Thor: 62 mil.
Something Borrowed: 17
Jumping the Broom: 9
I wonder how The Beaver'll do in 20 theatres. Fairly quiet release. No one seems to be generating any 11th-hour "BOYCOTT MEL!" controversy, which may be a relief for those involved, but might also hurt the movie (at least in terms of its profile). I want to go see it next Saturday.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
Last edited by David on Sat Apr 30, 2011 12:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 12:53 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - 50
Something Borrowed - 14
Jumping the Broom - 10
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 12:54 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Twitter activity for Something Borrowed has been very weak, and while it had some misses again this weekend, it's pretty useful for identifying films that won't break out.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 1:15 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Eh, I feel it [EDIT: it being Something Borrowed--I need to learn to quote when replying] can at least do Ghosts of Girlfriends Past type numbers. The late advertising has been frequent and strong, and there's room in the marketplace for a romantic comedy.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 1:20 pm |
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jmovies
Let's Call It A Bromance
Joined: Tue Aug 07, 2007 7:22 pm
Posts: 12333
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor- 57 (though I believe it'll have strong legs)
Something Borrowed- 14
Jumping the Broom- 8
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 2:52 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions THOR - 58.5 MILLION
SOMETHING BORROWED - 14.4 MILLION
JUMPING THE BROOM - 9.1 MILLION
It's Mother's Day weekend, so I'd expect Water For Elephants to have a solid hold.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 2:54 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - $56.5M
Something Borrowed - $13.2M
Jumping the Broom - $11.8M
I have very mixed feelings on Thor. On one like everyone else I expect the legs to be strong, but on another I just can't see it having a HUGE opening. Before I was deffentially seeing 65+ for it, but since that first trailer leaked online last year the buzz really doesn't feel the same. Sure the marketing has been aggressive, but I just don't feel any real excitement for it.
Last edited by Dil on Mon May 02, 2011 6:56 am, edited 2 times in total.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 3:06 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25427
Location: Classified
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - $60M
This doesn't feel like a Superhero movie at all. It's more like your typical hit-or-miss second weekend of May movie.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 3:20 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13056
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Well, over here in Germany THOR is opening 14 % ahead of IRON MAN in admissions (and probably something like 40 % ahead in b.o.)
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 3:29 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions I heard Thor was huge in Argentina, too.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 4:14 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36949
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions I think releasing Thor in OS will help it though they should use those numbers in last minute marketing. I think that in OS anything other than Superman and Spiderman people don't know much which might end up helping Thor, but in domestic market this could be the key difference.
Thor will have trouble reaching out the demos that IM managed to do (domestically) and overall the movie is much more concentrated on action sequences compared to storyline so I don't see the WOM attracting females.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 5:05 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions I have absolutely no evidence here, so please forgive me if I'm wrong, but don't superhero movies tend to have wider appeal (in terms of gender, age, etc.) than standard shoot-'em-up action movies? Aren't most of them 'four-quadrant' hits?
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 5:08 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor is more lumped in with historical epics like Troy, Robinhood, 300 etc than the typical superhero movie. Thats probably why it did better OS than Iron Man since those foreign markets love those sword and sandal films. Conan should do quite well OS
Anyhow
Thor- 52 million
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 5:21 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions THOR: 75M.. This is awesomeness at it's finest.. Don't underestimate this..
_________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 5:27 pm |
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Jim Halpert
Stanley Cup
Joined: Sat Aug 26, 2006 1:52 pm
Posts: 6981
Location: Hockey Town
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions people are underestimating Jumping the Broom.
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 5:37 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - $68m
Something Borrowed - $14m
Jumping the Broom - $9m
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| Sat Apr 30, 2011 7:54 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Is it just me or is the Thor poster creepy?  It reminds me of a poster for a Screen Gems horror movie or something.  _________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun May 01, 2011 1:47 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions LOL! You're right.
It wouldn't be so bad if it were blue and not red.
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| Sun May 01, 2011 1:49 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions And the red they chose isn't...regal or whatever. It's just straight-up blood red.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun May 01, 2011 1:54 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions The red makes him look very evil .
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| Sun May 01, 2011 2:05 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - 56
Something Borrowed - 13
Jumping The Broom - 10
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| Sun May 01, 2011 3:19 pm |
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2001
Another You
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2007 5:38 am
Posts: 4556
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - 60m
Fast Five - 66% drop
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| Sun May 01, 2011 4:45 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7196
Location: Wisconsin
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions Thor - 69M
Something Borrowed - 13M
Jumping the Broom - 11M
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| Sun May 01, 2011 5:09 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions I wonder how many of its 3,000+ theatres Hop will lose this weekend.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun May 01, 2011 6:48 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 6-8 Predictions RS: 5/6-5/8Thor - High 50s Jumping The Broom - 10 Something Borrowed - High Single Digits http://www.hsx.com/forum/forum.php?id=3&pid=103616
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| Sun May 01, 2011 9:48 pm |
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