World of KJ :: View topic - weekend estimates

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RANK RLW TITLE RATING TOP 12 STUDIO SITE CHANGE THEATRES WK F S S 3 DAY AVG 3 DAY CHG TOTAL

1 1 THE EXPENDABLES R 15.15% Lionsgate 0 3270 2 $16,500,000 $5,046 -53 $65,890,000
2 new VAMPIRES SUCK PG-13 11.2% Fox 255 3233 1 $12,200,000 $3,774 0 $18,563,902
3 2 EAT, PRAY, LOVE PG-13 11.02% Sony 0 3082 2 $12,000,000 $3,894 -48 $47,100,000
4 new LOTTERY TICKET PG-13 10.22% Warner Bros. 1973 1 $11,125,000 $5,639 0 $11,125,000
5 3 THE OTHER GUYS PG-13 9.27% Sony -179 3472 3 $10,100,000 $2,909 -42 $88,190,000
6 new PIRANHA 3-D 9.21% Weinstein Co. 2470 1 $10,035,000 $4,063 0 $10,035,000
7 new NANNY MCPHEE RETURNS PG 7.63% Universal 2685 1 $8,310,240 $3,095 0 $8,310,240
8 new THE SWITCH PG-13 7.44% Miramax 2012 1 $8,100,000 $4,026 0 $8,100,000
9 4 INCEPTION PG-13 7.03% Warner Bros. -575 2401 6 $7,655,000 $3,188 -32 $261,848,000
10 5 SCOTT PILGRIM VS. THE WORLD PG-13 4.62% Universal 2 2820 2 $5,033,700 $1,785 -53 $20,729,985
11 6 DESPICABLE ME PG 3.98% Universal -687 2236 7 $4,337,840 $1,940 -38 $230,732,765
12 8 DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS PG-13 3.23% Paramount -897 2149 4 $3,505,000 $1,631 -44 $65,785,000

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 11:32 am ]
Post subject:	weekend estimates
guru Quote: Expendables $16.5M/$64.9M, VampiresSuck $12.2M/$18.6M, EPL $12M/$47.1M, Lottery $11.1M, OtherGuys $10.1M/$88.2M erc Quote: Previous RANK RLW TITLE RATING TOP 12 STUDIO SITE CHANGE THEATRES WK F S S 3 DAY AVG 3 DAY CHG TOTAL 1 1 THE EXPENDABLES R 15.15% Lionsgate 0 3270 2 $16,500,000 $5,046 -53 $65,890,000 2 new VAMPIRES SUCK PG-13 11.2% Fox 255 3233 1 $12,200,000 $3,774 0 $18,563,902 3 2 EAT, PRAY, LOVE PG-13 11.02% Sony 0 3082 2 $12,000,000 $3,894 -48 $47,100,000 4 new LOTTERY TICKET PG-13 10.22% Warner Bros. 1973 1 $11,125,000 $5,639 0 $11,125,000 5 3 THE OTHER GUYS PG-13 9.27% Sony -179 3472 3 $10,100,000 $2,909 -42 $88,190,000 6 new PIRANHA 3-D 9.21% Weinstein Co. 2470 1 $10,035,000 $4,063 0 $10,035,000 7 new NANNY MCPHEE RETURNS PG 7.63% Universal 2685 1 $8,310,240 $3,095 0 $8,310,240 8 new THE SWITCH PG-13 7.44% Miramax 2012 1 $8,100,000 $4,026 0 $8,100,000 9 4 INCEPTION PG-13 7.03% Warner Bros. -575 2401 6 $7,655,000 $3,188 -32 $261,848,000 10 5 SCOTT PILGRIM VS. THE WORLD PG-13 4.62% Universal 2 2820 2 $5,033,700 $1,785 -53 $20,729,985 11 6 DESPICABLE ME PG 3.98% Universal -687 2236 7 $4,337,840 $1,940 -38 $230,732,765 12 8 DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS PG-13 3.23% Paramount -897 2149 4 $3,505,000 $1,631 -44 $65,785,000

Author:	xiayun [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 1:37 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
The Expendables is the winner. A sub-55% drop for the film, although indicated by the good IM it had on the opening weekend, is still excellent. The Switch also did quite well, not just with respect to tracking, but also in the number itself. Getting to $4K PTA opposite of four other openers is commendable. $300m is still a very long shot for Inception, but this is the first time since the sophomore weekend where the probability of reaching the mark increased; it's just unfortunate that the probability already dropped really low after the previous weekend. It's still good to see it finally breaking out of the low-50% Friday increase it had been getting and holding its PTA to above $3,000. I currently see a $290m finish.

Author:	Keyser Söze [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 1:47 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
Will avatar beat inception next weekend?

Author:	jmovies [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 1:55 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
Keyser Söze wrote: Will avatar beat inception next weekend? Most likely.

Author:	xiayun [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 2:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
I don't think Avatar's re-release will do well enough to enter the top 10 next weekend. Passion of the Christ release flopped horribly, and while I certainly don't expect Avatar to suffer a similar fate given its visual appeal to revisit again on big screen unlike Passion, my expectation remains mild. From my friends and colleagues' circle, even the ones who had seen it in theaters 4 or more times said they are not going to catch this one just for those extra minutes. It's certainly the wildcard of next week, and I hope derby asks to predict for it.

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Author:	Dil [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 2:13 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
As I said before EXCELLENT hold for TE. I never expected it to drop below 55% this weekend, but the movie is turning out to have great run. At this rate $90M+ is happennig and $100M+ is still very much a possibility. Finally Lionsgate is able to market a movie right that isn't another Saw sequel or doesn't have Tyler Perry attached. EPLV fell quite a bit this weekend and unless it can pull the stable legs Julie and Julia had right now I don't see it grossing more than $75 - $80M domestic.

Author:	Chippy [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 3:56 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
lol @ Yahoo: "'Twilight' parody a surprise hit"

Author:	Magic Mike [ Sun Aug 22, 2010 5:21 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: weekend estimates
SALT lost 1,040 theaters and only dropped 45%. That's impressive.

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