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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
soagg wrote: Expandables need to do better with tracking, that number is a bit disappointing still it has some more time to grow. RS didnt track the number of husbands and boyfriends exiting EPL screenings to see Expendables to wash the bad sting in their eyes
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:02 pm |
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JMorphin
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am Posts: 1335 Location: Austin, TX
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
MTC:
DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS 22 million CHARLIE ST. CLOUD 15 million CATS & DOGS 14 million
About as expected, everyone?
_________________ "Do or do not, there is no try."
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:11 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
JMorphin wrote: MTC:
DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS 22 million CHARLIE ST. CLOUD 15 million CATS & DOGS 14 million
About as expected, everyone? Sounds exactly right for Schmucks, although I expected a bit higher (near $20M) for Charlie St. Cloud and Cats & Dogs. Still think they have the potential for high teens.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:14 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
JMorphin wrote: MTC:
DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS 22 million CHARLIE ST. CLOUD 15 million CATS & DOGS 14 million
About as expected, everyone? Thanks, yeah sounds about right to me. That is probably an epically bad sign for Cats 2 vs. RS, and I think the rule could easily prove true. (Similar situation to Marmaduke, though MTC was a tiny bit lower than actual.)
Last edited by Proud Ryu on Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:16 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
The rule should be true for Schmucks too.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:20 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Cats & Dogs 2 looks to have a terrible PTA relative to its theater count.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:23 pm |
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Gopher
You are waiting for a train
Joined: Fri Jun 19, 2009 3:25 pm Posts: 995
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
MTC is half of RS for Cats and Dogs is an ouch, but I still see it doing something like Marmaduke's OW adjusted for 3D.
I think Schmucks could be a mini-breakout, because there hasn't been a comedy in a while (which explains GU's legs) and the stars are pretty solid draws. I can't see it holding well against The Other Guys, though.
Looks like Charlie probably won't break out.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:40 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
High $20m RS vs. $14m MTC for Cats & Dogs. Pretty much what I expected, I really don't see $15m+ for it at all.
That's good for Dinner for Schmucks, though.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:41 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Cats & Dogs 2 should've been released in the fall of 2002, where there was no big kids other than Spy Kids 2/Veggietales. Had that happened, it would've certainly opened in the high 20s. Had CD2 been released on President's Day Weekend of 2004, it would've done better because in that weekend, the only competition was Miracle and Catch that Kid flopped.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:44 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Does anyone remember how MTC fared with G-Force's tracking?
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:00 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
MTC: 30 RS: High 20s.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:04 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
bl1222 wrote: MTC: 30 RS: High 20s. Thanks. Maybe justice will actually be served to this terrible film. Too bad my nieces want to see it...uggh.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:13 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
If CD2 flops, then DM should have a good hold.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:14 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
1. INCEPTION - 31.6 MILLION (-26%) 2. CATS & DOGS 2 - 21.9 MILLION (New) 3. DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS - 21.5 MILLION (New) 4. SALT - 20.5 MILLION (-43%) 5. CHARLIE ST. CLOUD - 18.3 MILLION (New) 6. DESPICABLE ME - 14.9 MILLION (-37%) 7. TOY STORY 3 - 6.1 MILLION (-32%) 8. SORCERER'S APPRENTICE - 6 MILLION (-38%) 9. GROWN UPS - 5 MILLION (-33%) 10. RAMONA & BEEZUS - 4.7 MILLION (-40%)
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:20 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Sorry, MTC's number is half of RS's number for CD2, that's not a good sign. I rarely see movies that have MTC's number half of RS's that break out.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:21 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
plus look at twitter box office magazine.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:23 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
bl1222 wrote: Sorry, MTC's number is half of RS's number for CD2, that's not a good sign. I rarely see movies that have MTC's number half of RS's that break out. BOM Polls are all over the map for kid's films, but C&D's is about identical to 2006's Shaggy Dog, which opened to $19.8m adjusted in what will likely be 300 fewer theaters. With 3D help, it's possible C&D won't be a complete bomb.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 4:34 pm |
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JURiNG
ef star star kay
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:45 pm Posts: 3016 Location: Cairo, Egypt
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Eat and pray should have been released on July 16, dont u think
it could have been this year's Proposal, Devil Wears Prada, Mama Mia
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 6:32 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
JURiNG wrote: Eat and pray should have been released on July 16, dont u think
it could have been this year's Proposal, Devil Wears Prada, Mama Mia It would've had to face competition with Salt (female audience) and Twilight with females was still popular in its 1st-3rd weekend. I think a better release date would've been counterprogramming Toy Story 3. Almost every movie that's counterprogrammed with Pixar has worked successfully except Drag me to H*** and 2004's Alfie.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:24 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Yeah, releasing opposite TS3 would probably have worked.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:26 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
I think Sony chose August 13th because it worked for Julie & Julia last year. Anyways, I believe that EPL would've worked better releasing against IM2 with Letters to Juliet releasing against TS3. As for Charlie St. Cloud, the release date is just fine along with DFS, but DreamWorks should've done sneak previews to spread WOM.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:33 pm |
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Jay Beezy
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun Jul 19, 2009 10:13 pm Posts: 372
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
bl1222 wrote: I think Sony chose August 13th because it worked for Julie & Julia last year. Anyways, I believe that EPL would've worked better releasing against IM2 with Letters to Juliet releasing against TS3. As for Charlie St. Cloud, the release date is just fine along with DFS, but DreamWorks should've done sneak previews to spread WOM. Are you saying Charlie St. Cloud should have had sneak previews? If so, the studio is Universal, not Dreamworks. Schmucks is Dreamworks and Paramount.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:49 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
I said DFS. Sorry for the confusion. I do believe that sneak previews would've worked for it.
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Mon Jul 26, 2010 7:56 pm |
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TrekFan1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Thu Jun 03, 2010 11:23 am Posts: 287 Location: Virginia
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Some MTC/RS comparisons to mull over:
CATS & DOGS: THE REVENGE OF KITTY GALORE (MTC: 14; RS: High 20's)
Comparisons Marmaduke MTC: 10 RS: Mid 20's Actual: 11.6
Furry Vengeance MTC: 5 RS: Almost high single digits Actual: 6.6
G-Force MTC: 30 RS: High 20's Actual: 31.7
Beverly Hills Chihuhua MTC: 25 RS: Low 20's Actual: 29.3
Underdog MTC: 9 RS: 12 Actual: 11.6
Alvin and the Chipmunks MTC: 21 RS: 15 Actual: 44.3
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeaquel MTC: 48 (5 day) RS: Low 40's (5 day) Actual: 75.6 (5-day)
Bolt MTC: 35 RS: 45 Actual: 26.2
Aliens in the Attic MTC: 9 RS: Almost Teens Actual: 8
CHARLIE ST. CLOUD (MTC: 15; RS: low teens)
Comparisons Dear John MTC: 24 RS: High Teens Actual: 30.5
17 Again MTC: 24 RS: Low 20's Actual: 23.7
Hairspray MTC: 23 RS: 14 Actual: 27.5
Letters to Juliet MTC: 17 RS: Almost High Teens Actual: 13.5
The Last Song MTC: 22 (5-day) RS: Mid teens (5 day) Actual: 25.4 (5-day)
Remember Me MTC: 7 RS: Mid Single Digits Actual: 8.1
The Time Traveler's Wife MTC: 30 RS: Mid Teens Actual: 18.6
Nights in Rodanthe MTC: 11 RS: Low Teens Actual: 13.4
The Lake House MTC: 17 RS: 15 Actual: 13.6
My Sister's Keeper MTC: 11 RS: Low double digits Actual: 12.4
DINNER FOR SCHMUCKS (MTC: 22, RS: Mid Teens)
Comparisons The Hangover MTC: 27 RS: low 20's Actual: 45
I Love You, Man MTC: 21 RS: low 20's Actual: 17.8
Role Models MTC: 10 RS: 8 Actual: 19.2
Step Brothers MTC: 34 RS: High 20's Actual: 30.9
Year One MTC: 21 RS: Between 16-19 Actual: 19.6
You, Me & Dupree MTC: 16 RS: 26 Actual: 21.5
Date Night MTC: 30 RS: 36 Actual: 25.2
Grown Ups MTC: 39 RS: Almost Mid 30's Actual: 40.5
Last edited by TrekFan1 on Wed Jul 28, 2010 10:51 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Tue Jul 27, 2010 1:00 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Re: July 30-August 1 Predictions
Wow, Role Models was tracking really badly.
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Tue Jul 27, 2010 1:39 am |
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