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Alice in Wonderland (INTL.) - $690,107,812 overseas
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 12:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Alice in Wonderland (INTL.) - $690,107,812 overseas

Considering this will be our first formidable worldwide blockbuster of 2010 it certainly deserves its own international thread.


It is opening in every major market this weekend, except for:

Japan
China
Brazil
Spain
France
Netherlands


It's entering over 40 markets over the weekend and early results certainly sound good (looking at around 550,000 admissions in Germany).

Tim Burton's biggest movie overseas so far is Charlie and the Chocolate Factory which grossed $268,509,687 overseas. Consdering the 3D bonus, inflation and simply Alice's bigger appeal, Alice in Wonderland is a lock to top that.


So, right now I'm thinking around $380-400 million overseas. This weekend should be in the range of $70-90 million, I'd say.


All in all, I think this stands a decent chance at getting to over $700 million worldwide.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 2:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

it grossed around 3M on wed/thu in italy. That looks like a solid OW(may be double digits over 5-days?).

I think it can go higher 450-500M.

Author:  xiayun [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 3:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

I expect China to be big, definitely bigger than Ice Age 3. The character is among the most well known ones, and the promotion has started in earnest.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 6:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

I'd go higher than $400 million as well if it weren't for Dragon/Clash in a few weeks.

Author:  Alex Y. [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 6:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Considering this will be our first formidable worldwide blockbuster of 2010 it certainly deserves its own international thread.


It is opening in every major market this weekend, except for:

Japan
China
Brazil
Spain
France
Netherlands


It's entering over 40 markets over the weekend and early results certainly sound good (looking at around 550,000 admissions in Germany).

Tim Burton's biggest movie overseas so far is Charlie and the Chocolate Factory which grossed $268,509,687 overseas. Consdering the 3D bonus, inflation and simply Alice's bigger appeal, Alice in Wonderland is a lock to top that.


So, right now I'm thinking around $380-400 million overseas. This weekend should be in the range of $70-90 million, I'd say.


All in all, I think this stands a decent chance at getting to over $700 million worldwide.


But that would mean domestic gross would need to be at least $300m? =P

Author:  Mesjarch [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 6:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Alice is promoted very well in Poland. Lot of ads on the streets, in newspapers, major websites and TV. Probably biggest campaign since Shrek 3 and it looks like it will have 250k+ adm OW.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 05, 2010 6:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Alex Y. wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Considering this will be our first formidable worldwide blockbuster of 2010 it certainly deserves its own international thread.


It is opening in every major market this weekend, except for:

Japan
China
Brazil
Spain
France
Netherlands


It's entering over 40 markets over the weekend and early results certainly sound good (looking at around 550,000 admissions in Germany).

Tim Burton's biggest movie overseas so far is Charlie and the Chocolate Factory which grossed $268,509,687 overseas. Consdering the 3D bonus, inflation and simply Alice's bigger appeal, Alice in Wonderland is a lock to top that.


So, right now I'm thinking around $380-400 million overseas. This weekend should be in the range of $70-90 million, I'd say.


All in all, I think this stands a decent chance at getting to over $700 million worldwide.


But that would mean domestic gross would need to be at least $300m? =P



All are rough estimations, give or take $50 million : )

Also, as of now (and as of a couple of days now) I do think it has a chance at that in the US. I am just not predicting it.

Author:  Archangel [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 4:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

If the US opening is anything to come by i'm thinking $400m+ overseas is possible. The market is dieing for an interesting blockbuster and this one will tie us through to at least Clash of the Titans.

Domestic = $275m
Overseas = $400m
Worldwide = $675m

Author:  MARVEL_ROCKS [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 4:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Archangel wrote:
If the US opening is anything to come by i'm thinking $400m+ overseas is possible. The market is dieing for an interesting blockbuster and this one will tie us through to at least Clash of the Titans.

Domestic = $300m
Overseas = $500m
Worldwide = $800m


fixed

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 9:45 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

With such monstrous opening weekend in the US my predictions are as below

Domestic - 300M
Overseas - 400M
Worldwide - 700M (that would be great even for a 200M-250M movie)

Author:  mark66 [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

ALICE IN WONDERLAND opens with an estimated $116.3 million domestically---and $210 million worldwide!! Stateside, Tim Burton's 3-D experience is the largest debut outside of the summer and holiday season and the sixth best opener ever.

http://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice

Author:  Mesjarch [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

$93.7M weekend OS from most of major markets is good start but not that brilliant. Looks like it has a chance of $500M OS.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

it still has 5 big markets and few small markets left. So that number aint bad at all.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Mesjarch wrote:
$93.7M weekend OS from most of major markets is good start but not that brilliant. Looks like it has a chance of $500M OS.


Considering it still has France, China, Japan and Spain ahead, that's a terrific start. With them, it probably would have been a $140+ million OS opening.

Author:  O [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Planet of the Apes and Charlie barely saw their overseas box office tallies that much bigger than their domestic grosses. Even with Johnny Depp, I don't expect it to be that much different this time around. So its still a very solid tally.

Author:  mark66 [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Here in Germany it is by far the biggest opening of DEPP/BURTON as a duo... (but not individually)

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 1:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Mesjarch wrote:
$93.7M weekend OS from most of major markets is good start but not that brilliant. Looks like it has a chance of $500M OS.


Considering it still has France, China, Japan and Spain ahead, that's a terrific start. With them, it probably would have been a $140+ million OS opening.


it has brazil left as well. that could be another 5m OW. I think based on what Xia said, china should have HUGE OW. So it would probably have had a 150M OS weekend if it had opened everywhere.

Author:  Mr. R [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 3:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Mesjarch wrote:
$93.7M weekend OS from most of major markets is good start but not that brilliant. Looks like it has a chance of $500M OS.

Few months ago I could not imagine anyone to say BS like that. Avatar... damn it.

It's a fucking great start!!! Awesome!

Author:  MARVEL_ROCKS [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 6:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Quote:
Top market for "Alice" was the U.K. where it generated $16.8 million from 532 screens, the third biggest opening tally for any Disney film released in the territory. In Italy, "Alice" was the second biggest opening of all time (behind 2007's "Spider-Man 3") with $13.9 million drawn from 533 sites for a whopping $26,079 per-screen average.

The Russian opening produced $12.3 million from 655 venues, the biggest opening of any Disney title in the market. Australia contributed $9.2 million from 345 locations while Mexico served up $7.5 million from 662 situations, again the biggest Disney opening in the market.


http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/con ... 9aab6340cb

Author:  MARVEL_ROCKS [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 7:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Quote:
Alice In Wonderland reigned supreme in the international marketplace thanks to an estimated $94m haul from 40 territories in its launch weekend.

Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures International (WDSMPI) sources said the launch from 5,600 theatres generated the biggest sum for any international debut during the winter-spring corridor (January to April), adding that 70% of the result came from 3D locations.

Despite only launching in 60% of the overseas marketplace, this was the second best launch in Disney history behind Pirates Of The Caribbean 3, which took $216m from 102 territories in May 2007. Combined with this weekend’s $116m North American launch the film has amassed more than $210.3m worldwide in its first few days.

Opening top in all its markets, Alice presented director Tim Burton with a career high opening weekend, almost tripling the result of his previous best, Charlie And The Chocolate Factory.

Looking specifically at the month of March, Alice almost doubled the previous best weekend recorded by any film in the month, overhauling the $48.3m set by 300 in its third weekend back in 2007.

Driving the weekend business was a mighty launch in the UK on $16.8m (£11m) from 532 theatres. This was Disney’s third biggest debut of all time behind Pirates Of The Caribbean 2 (£11.5m) and Pirates Of The Caribbean 3 (£11.3m), and the third biggest non-sequel debut behind Harry Potter 1 and The Simpsons Movie.

The UK launch also gave Burton a career-best result and almost doubled the previous best March opening of £6.4m set by Mr Bean’s Holiday in 2007. 3D screens represented 44% of the total screen count and accounted for 70% of business.

Italy generated $13.9m (€10.2m) from 533 in the biggest Disney debut ever, the second biggest industry launch in history behind Spider-Man 3 in May 2007, the biggest non-sequel debut, and Burton’s biggest launch by far. 3D screens represented 52% of the screen count and earned 78% of revenue.

Russia delivered $12.3m (367m roubles) from 655 theatres for Disney’s biggest launch, the fifth biggest industry debut, and Burton’s best ever opening weekend result. 3D screens represented 54% of the screen count and generated 79% of the box office.

Australia produced $9.2m (AS$10.3m) from 345 in Disney’s third biggest launch behind Pirates Of The Caribbean 3’s AS$12.1m and Pirates Of The Caribbean 2’s AS$11.3m. This was the biggest march launch ever, the fourth biggest non-sequel debut, and easily set a new debut mark for Burton. 3D screens accounted for 43% of the total screens and drew 78% of box office.

In two further results of note, Alice In Wonderland grossed $7.5m (96.6m pesos) in Mexico from 662 for Disney’s biggest ever launch and the fifth biggest industry launch. This was the second biggest non-sequel opening in history behind only Spider-Man in 2002, and set the biggest March debut and a new career high for Burton.

South Korea generated $4.9m (5.6bn KRW) from 397 theatres for Disney’s third biggest launch behind Pirates Of The Caribbean 3 on 10.3KRW and Pirates Of The Caribbean 2 on 6.8bn KRW. The biggest March release was also a career-high for Burton.

Alice In Wonderland is set to roll out in Belgium on March 10, France on March 24, China on March 26, Spain on April 16, Japan on April 17, and Brazil on April 23.


$450+M overseas will happen because it still has 6 major markets to open in.

Author:  Archangel [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 8:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Very strong openings in the European and English speaking countries, that opening in Italy is massive.

And as expected, not doing as well comparatively in Asia with Korea i'm sure a sign of things to come.

$450m+ for sure. Great start to the year.

Author:  MARVEL_ROCKS [ Sun Mar 07, 2010 8:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Archangel wrote:
Very strong openings in the European and English speaking countries, that opening in Italy is massive.

And as expected, not doing as well comparatively in Asia with Korea i'm sure a sign of things to come.

$450m+ for sure. Great start to the year.


Fantasy movies always do well in Europe and English speaking countries. But Percy somewhat disappointed in those markets while asian markets were much better.

Author:  MARVEL_ROCKS [ Mon Mar 08, 2010 11:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Actuals put Alice at $100.5 million overseas for the opening weekend!!!!!

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/con ... 9aab6340cb

$500+M overseas....

Author:  Archangel [ Tue Mar 09, 2010 5:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

AUSTRALIA (AUD$) - Opening Weekend

Largest opening of the year and knocks Shrek 3 off the Top 20 largest opening weekend in history. It's the largest opening since Avatar and the 5 largest pic over the past two years (09/10).

1) The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $16,099,648 (US$14.5m - 530 SC)
2) Harry Potter 6: HBP - $14,330,931 (4-Day or $18,705,212/ US$14.4m/ 1.8m adms. 5-Day - 510 SC)
3) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $14,115,394 (US$7,918,875 - 424 SC)
4) Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $13,647,361 (or $16,294,847 5-Day - 457 SC)
5) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $13,359,734 (incl. $1.2m midnights - US$10,446,272 - 535 SC) or US$11,210,696 by Mon
6) The Simpsons Movie - $13,228,926 (442 SC)
7) Shrek 2 - $13,159,869 (US$9,720,795 or $13,646,848 incl. Tas p/v - 437 SC) or US$10,344,499 by Mon
8) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $12,871,680 (or $16,973,961 5-Day - 500 SC)
9) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $12,731,703 (US$9,464,748 3-Day - 453 SC)
10) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $12,355,237 (US$9,217,025 - 552 SC)

11) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $12,074,242 (606 SC)
12) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $11,967,380 (US$6.5m - 457 SC)
13) Avatar - $11,962,308 (or $12,895,497 incl. Wed p/v 5pm - 588 SC)
14) Harry Potter 3: POA - $11,935,745 (US$8.6m or $12,274,543 incl. Tas p/v - 452 SC) or $14,799,004/ $15,137,801 by Mon*
15) The Dark Knight - $11,779,716 (4-Day or $14,057,430 5-Day - 472 SC)
16) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $11,215,765 (489 SC)
17) The Matrix Reloaded - $11,092,773 (US$7,224,680 3-Day - 480 SC)
18) Harry Potter 2: COS - $10,640,941 (US$5.9m - 488 SC)
19) Spiderman - $10,563,980 (US$5.8m - 470 SC) or $13m (5-Day)*Queens Birthday
20) Alice In Wonderland - 10,377,137 (448 SC)

Shrek 3 - $10,338,331 (or $10,344,442 incl. p/v - 477 SC)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $9,749,937 (4-Day or $13,872,707/ US$5m 5-Day - 406 SC)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $9,733,329 (535 SC)
James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $9,729,078 (4-Day or $11,842,887 5-Day - 476 SC)
I Am Legend - $9,513,115 (or $9,701,335 incl. p/v - 338 SC)
Spiderman 3 - $9,512,596 (500 SC)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $9,249,505 (US$4.8m - 476 SC)
Star Wars 1: PM - $9,139,628 (US$6,024,000 - 372 SC)
The Da Vinci Code - $8,618,350 (US$6.4m - 561 SC)
2012 - $8,259,666 (405 SC)
Transformers - $8,067,738 (369 SC)
Finding Nemo - $8,038,861 (US$5.2m or $8,183,563/ US$5.3m incl. p/v - 399 SC)
Sex And The City - $8,031,752 (452 SC) or $9,499,000 (5-Day)*Queens
Fast And Furious - $7,996,484 (or $8,257,835 5-Day - 345 SC)
The Matrix: Revolutions - $7,996,289 (US$5.598m - 455 SC)
Independence Day - $7,710,385 (US$6m - 351 SC) or $9,817,129 week
Hancock - $7,601,620 (356 SC)
Valentine’s Day - $7,516,439 (373 SC)
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $7,309,417 (US$4.9m - 377 SC)
Spiderman 2 - $7,136,602 (US$4,922,209 4-Day or $8,735,015/ US$6,028,034 5-Day - 441 SC)
Charlie And The Chocolate Factory - $6,990,165 (US$5.1m/ 680,000 adms. - 463 SC)

Author:  Mesjarch [ Tue Mar 09, 2010 10:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Alice in Wonderland (INTL.)

Good start for Alice in Poland. 241k adm during OW. 3D movies have really good legs here so I expect 1.5M+ adm finish.

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