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Saturday early numbers
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Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:40 am ]
Post subject:  Saturday early numbers
Nikki updated... very similar to Vanilla's predicts, though Avatar is less.


SATURDAY PM/SUNDAY AM: Sources gave me these Saturday early numbers:

Top 10 For Friday and Saturday and weekend (w/ Sunday estimates)
1. Avatar (Fox) Week 6 [3,141 Theaters]
Friday $9.1M (-12%), Saturday $16.3M (-5%), Wkd $35M, Est Cume $552M
2. Legion (Sony) NEW [2,476 Theaters]
Friday $6.7M, Saturday $7.0M, Wkd $18M
3. Book of Eli (Warner Bros) Week 2 [3,111 Theaters]
Friday $5.0M (-57), Saturday $7.7M, Wkd $17M, Est Cume $62M.
4. The Tooth Fairy (Fox) NEW [3,344 Theaters]
Friday $3.8M, Saturday $6.4M, Wkd $13.7M
5. Lovely Bones (Paramount) Week 7 [2,571 Theaters]
Friday $2.8M, Saturday $3.8M, Wkd $8.5M, Est Cume $31.3M
6. Sherlock Holmes (Warner Bros) Week 5 [2,670 Theaters]
Friday $1.9M, Saturday $3.2M, Wkd $7M, Est Cume $191.5M
7. Extraordinary Measures (CBS Films) NEW [2,549 Theaters]
Friday $2.1M, Saturday $2.8M, Wkd $7M
8. Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Squeakquel (Fox) Week 5 [2,973 Theaters]
Friday $1.4M, Est Wkd $6.5M, Est Cume $204.2M
9. It's Complicated (Universal) Week 5 [2,301 Theaters]
Friday $1.7M, Saturday $2.7M, Wkd $6M, Est Cume $98.5M
10. The Blind Side (Warner Bros) Week 10 [1,932 Theaters]
Friday $1.2M, Saturday $1.9M, Wkd $4M, Est Cume $233.5M
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:49 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Legion increasing is surprising. Then again, it was packed tonight and the showing after mine sold out as opposed to nearly selling out.

Rather terrible for Tooth Fairy. The increase itself is good but a 13.7M weekend isn't.

Extraordinary Measures pretty much deserves its fate, irrespective of the actual quality of the screenplay and acting. They hire Harrison Ford and spend $30M to film a movie yet make it look so damn ugly. WTF were they thinking? In fact, given that Ford produced it, what was he thinking? And Brendan Fraser, what the hell happened? The craptastic lighting did not help but there's no denying that he looks terrible these days.
Author:  Dil [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Nice numbers for Avatar and Eli and I'm suprised that even Legion had a decent bump. But, I have to ask why is that horror movies released in January do so well ? I mean September is just as dead of a month as January and yet all the horror films that came out still bombed. I was pretty damn suprise at how badly SR, JB and Pandorum did and all had decent marketing.
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:54 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
wrongturn687 wrote:
Nice numbers for Avatar and Eli and I'm suprised that even Legion had a decent bump. But, I have to ask why is that horror movies released in January do so well ? I mean September is just as dead of a month as January and yet all the horror films that came out still bombed. I was pretty damn suprise at how badly SR, JB and Pandorum did and both had decent marketing.


I think it's because December (and most, if not all of November) do not have any horror releases (Christmas Day has had a few, but none that were big) so people who like those types of films are looking to see one come January.

September is hurt by the fact that people know a bunch are coming the following month (some of which are usually receiving an early marketing push by the time the September films are set to be released), most of which are higher-profile releases than those in September. Not to mention that late August always has some as well.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 3:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Bryan_smith wrote:
4. The Tooth Fairy (Fox) NEW [3,344 Theaters]
Friday $3.8M, Saturday $6.4M, Wkd $13.7M


I hope that's correct. 13.7 Million is exactly what I predicted.
Author:  Dil [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:02 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Well that actually makes alot of since, but I just never understood it. I mean Legion did better business than Surrogates and from what I remember that movie was suppose to be the next September action blockbuster. Maybe it would have been a smarter idea to release SG and JB in January where thay probably could have scratched up some decent business.
Author:  Eventine [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Really nice bump for Eli.

I hope the Tooth Fairy's failure makes The Rock stay away from these kind of projects.
Author:  mark66 [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Biggest 6th Saturdays:

1 16,300,000 2010 Avatar
2 12,474,937 1998 Titanic
3 7,658,214 1999 The Sixth Sense
4 6,052,315 1993 Aladdin
5 5,900,600 1994 Forrest Gump
Author:  Dil [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
WOW ! that number for TF is awful and most had it atleast in the low 20's. I only had it at 18M for the weekend, but even that was too high. I guess people are really getting sick of the rock in these crappy kiddie movies. It's also terrible considering it was released in over 3,000 theatres.
Author:  Nazgul9 [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 7:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Yes! Nice increase. :)
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 7:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Excellent numbers for Avatar. It seems that another surprising weekend is on the way. I think it can cross 35M and touch 35.5M-36M as well. Which means it has a realistic shot of staying another 2 weeks at number 1. amazing :zonks:

Legion is a bit surprising but the crowd reports were suggesting so. Eli is doing great 62M is 2 weeks means it has a good shot at being the first 100M of 2010.

Tooth Fairy suggests how awful Rock is in drawing families. Lovely Bones is not really surprising but is doing OK, hope it recovers its 67M Domestically but that will be the height of being optimistic :)

Extraordinary showed that it is even less than ordinary even when the publicity was over-extraordinary :P

Amazing holdovers are still pulling in the crowds. Alvin2 crossing 200M and will cross predecessor soon enough. Sherlock is trying to catch that mark and Alvin as well. Both are seeking to get the record for movie that never was #1 but it seems they will have to settle for #2 and #3 :)
Another holdover is getting un-complicated with audience and will cross 100M soon enough. Go Meryl and Nancy :thumbsup:

Already one of the biggest, successful and amazing runs of 2009 The Blind Side amazed everyone and still continues to push for yet another Top 10 weekend. There are no more words left to describe this run specially for 2009 and when it opened against the highest day ever :) . Cheers to Sandra whom we will be seeing holding that Golden Man at Kodak theater this year :cheer:
Author:  Mandeep [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 11:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Legion is a hit.

It cost like 25-35 million...


Avatar is heading to 700 million.


With 28 million next weekend

than 20-25 million in the next two weekends.

Avatar is at 630 million by its 9th weekend with out weekdays already!!
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 12:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Mandeep wrote:
Legion is a hit.

It cost like 25-35 million...


Avatar is heading to 700 million.


With 28 million next weekend

than 20-25 million in the next two weekends.

Avatar is at 630 million by its 9th weekend with out weekdays already!!


Legion cost 15 million Pounds, or about $25 million. Yeah, it's a hit, even with the expected big drop next weekend.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 12:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Hmmm.... 18M OW for a 25M budgeted movie is impressive. Though the overall WOM for the movie does not seem to be that great. I saw the movie and from what I think it is definitely is going down next week
Author:  Dil [ Sun Jan 24, 2010 4:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Saturday early numbers
Legion still shouldn't fall nearly as hard as Daybreakers since it's the only horror movie in the market place for a while and it doesn't have too much direct competition. It has a shot at atleast 40mill, but it's still too early to tell.
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