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 Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023 
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Devil's Advocate
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Post Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
This thread will be to test the theory that in the new era there will be more moderate hits like Anyone But You and the Beekeeper to make up for less blockbusters

50-99 million movies

January 2023: 2 (A Man Called Otto, M3gan)
January 2024: 2 (Mean Girls, The Beekeeper)

100-149 million: 0 for January in 2023/2024

February 2023 had Cocaine Bear and Jesus Revolution do 50-99 and March 2023 had 1 100-149 (Scream IV) and 2 50-99s (Shazam, Dungeons and Dragons) however the months after that were pretty barren for mid level hits so it's possible 2024 will separate itself then.

Argylle needs about 2.8 multiplier to reach 50

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Sun Feb 04, 2024 4:48 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
Put some respect on Cocaine Bear's name. It made over $60M!

Does Argylle count as a midlevel hit or is it just a bomb?

I think Web and Marly will do well enough but the rest of the month is fucked.


Sun Feb 04, 2024 5:28 pm
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Put some respect on Cocaine Bear's name. It made over $60M!


Yeah I meant to write 50-99

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Sun Feb 04, 2024 5:51 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
Good idea for a tracker thread.

May also be worth tracking the 30-49m tier as well but up to you.

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Sun Feb 04, 2024 8:48 pm
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
Not bad dailies for Argylle so far (+90% Tuesday), the 50 mil dream is alive.

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Wed Feb 07, 2024 6:58 pm
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
2023
A Man Called Otto
M3gan
Cocaine Bear
Jesus Revolution

2024
Mean Girls
The Beekeeper
Bob Marley: One Love (projected)

Argylle and Madame Web miss, both good opportunities like how 2023 missed on Knock at the Cabin and 80 for Brady

So far my theory looks a bit meh but the schedule punted on half the weeks this year.

March 2023:

50-99: Shazam, Dungeons and Dragons
100-150: Scream IV

65 was biggest missed opportunity and Creed III made too much.

2024 candidates: Imaginary, Kung Fu Panda 4, sleeper: Arthur the King. Neeson has another dark past dad movie (In the Land of Saints and Sinners), I guess after Beekeeper never say never?
100-150 candidates: Godzilla x Kong, Ghostbusters, (KFP4)

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Fri Feb 16, 2024 1:28 pm
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
I think Imaginary has a good chance of opening higher than Panda but Panda will win total and worldwide.


Sat Feb 17, 2024 2:47 am
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
It's not looking great for Imaginary but Cabrini could make up for it

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Thu Mar 07, 2024 7:25 pm
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
Imaginary looks like a missed opportunity. Could have made bank in Jan/Feb.

Cabrini will make up for it indeed.

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Thu Mar 07, 2024 10:36 pm
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
CW is getting absolute raves out of SXSW. One review I saw called it a masterpiece. I realize it seems at these fests everything does so hard to see what translates box office wise but it seems like it has the potential to be a zeitgeist type film. On RT, currently at 7/8 positive reviews.

Seems like it will be very divisive but it seems it will have enough attention on it that it could reach at least mid level. If it really dominates the conversation it's got the room since April is light overall. POTC rode controversy to big box office very quickly so definitely not at that scale but will be interesting to see how it does.

https://deadline.com/2024/03/sxsw-civil ... 235859532/


Fri Mar 15, 2024 4:09 am
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Post Re: Mid Level hits tracker 2024 vs 2023
Shack wrote:
2023
A Man Called Otto
M3gan
Cocaine Bear
Jesus Revolution

2024
Mean Girls
The Beekeeper
Bob Marley: One Love (projected)

Argylle and Madame Web miss, both good opportunities like how 2023 missed on Knock at the Cabin and 80 for Brady

So far my theory looks a bit meh but the schedule punted on half the weeks this year.

March 2023:

50-99: Shazam, Dungeons and Dragons
100-150: Scream IV

65 was biggest missed opportunity and Creed III made too much.

2024 candidates: Imaginary, Kung Fu Panda 4, sleeper: Arthur the King. Neeson has another dark past dad movie (In the Land of Saints and Sinners), I guess after Beekeeper never say never?
100-150 candidates: Godzilla x Kong, Ghostbusters, (KFP4)


Looks like.2023 may grow its 50-99s lead with Panda being too big to count, Imaginary and Arthur too small, although Ghostbusters seems like it could match Shazam as a movie that only made 50-99 range cause it flopped. I guess the mid level hits of December was not a permanent trend quite yet and possibly relied on holiday season, kind of like how country music dominated billboard in the middle of last year but then receded somewhat. On the other hand if Ghostbusters does poorly, it continues to show the 2010s-y franchise reboot model is tired, which is part of what opened the door for a mid level films comeback in late 2023.

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Fri Mar 15, 2024 2:31 pm
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