I'm guessing it'll be a Marvel film but since we don't know the slate yet...



Seems pretty weak compared to this year. Surprisingly none are sequels unless one of these is Doctor Strange 2 or something.

I hope one of them is Dr Strange. But based on reports its black widow and Eternals. Incredibly weak. Disney went all in 2019 for Disney+ and left 2020 slate weak. Should have opened Lion King and/or Frozen in 2020.

If the biggies weren't in development, then it's actually a good strategy because the big 2019 will set up demand for a weaker 2020 making it actually decent-sized. Eternals and Black Widow, to my great dissatisfaction, will probably do better than everyone thinks. Plus, they have a Pixar movie, Jungle Cruise, and Cruella. It's not going to be a disastrous year. And what's that Disney animation in November? They usually do at least $200m.

And as much as I think/hope Mulan will flop, the other live-action Disney movies have done fairly well.

Mulan worldwide. It will do $400m+ in China alone.

Depends if China will allow it to be released. Who knows how bad this trade war gets.

Onward is an original Pixar right? So we are getting two Pixar films in the first half of the year.

International it’ll be Mulan (thx to China). It’ll have chance to beat Endgame’s China record.
Domestically I don’t know yet

Such a shitty year for them after years of huge hits; I hope whatever Pixar releases does well, don’t care for their live action tales or marvel crap anymore after Endgame.

Disney pretty much guaranteeing that there's going to be more hype for what's on Disney+ than opening in theaters next year.

Either the Pixar or Marvel film depending on what they are.

it would be crazy if they don’t have a 300m domestic grosser. But I am sure they will have some breakout.

One note: Speilbergs West Side Story is technically a Disney release now. December 2020 looks EMPTY and while I think WSS could just do decent numbers, I think it also has significantly high potential and could end up having a super leggy run if Speilberg delivers and it becomes an award-season favorite. 300m+ may sound crazy but I actually think the film could do anywhere from 150m-300m.

The more interesting question is if a studio can take the domestic crown in 2020, ending Disneys four year streak (Disney is obviously winning 2019). WB seems like the obvious choice with 2 DC films, a Nolan film, and Godzilla/Kong (I think the concept of that has potential to push way above the previous films grosses).

Christmas 2020 looks empty indeed, James Gunn’s The Suicide Squad should move there. Having The Batman, Space Jam 2 and TSS, all 3 within a month and a half is damn stupid....

I’m not worried about 2020 if I were Disney. These films do $200m off of their own inertia. As long as they are not expecting Year over Year increases until The Second Coming. They may not have as big of a year as 2019 for several years BUT THAT’S OK. As long as there are expectations set (investors, Wall Street, etc) they will be fine in terms of their actual bottom line.

First Onwards trailer was ok. What if mythical creatures lived like humans? Can’t help but feel like that premise has been done before, by them, so I don’t see it going much higher than $200M.

Keep underestimating Pixar.

Onward.

Pixar has dilluted their brand too much in recent years with films like Good Dinosaur, the Cars sequels, and endless sequels to their most famous films, so I'm not sure Onward is a slam dunk anymore. Disney doesn't seem to have a surefire mega smash in 2020. Of course there are still Marvel movies coming, if they announce Doctor Strange 2 or something that'll be that.

I'm still pretty sure Onward would be bigger than a Doctor Strange 2.

Yeah I don't get the idea that a Doctor Strange sequel would be this sure-fire winner of the year. He's a side character, and Endgame put an end to the current MCU hot streak. We should see Marvel movies post-Endgame start to normalise.

Looks like we're getting 2 original Pixar films. The one in June is called Soul.

I would go with Soul. Pete Docter and theme looks great.

It’s looking like another good year for Disney. 2 Pixar films, 2 MCU films, Mulan live action, Jungle Cruise, Cruella...

I feel Mulan. I feel out of all of the Disney live action remakes, Mulan has grown the most in popularity over the years. People adore Mulan.

Update:

Onward Buena Vista 3/6/20
Mulan (2020) Buena Vista 3/27/20
Black Widow Buena Vista 5/1/20
Artemis Fowl Buena Vista 5/29/20
Soul Buena Vista 6/19/20
Jungle Cruise Buena Vista 7/24/20
The One and Only Ivan Buena Vista 8/14/20
Eternals Buena Vista 11/6/20
Untitled Disney Animation (3D) Buena Vista 11/25/20
Cruella Buena Vista 12/23/20


I'm thinking...

-Mulan will do really well. Open high and if it's good it may finish with Aladdin domestic #s, maybe even higher. Think it could potentially do more than both MCU films.
-expecting the Pixar films to gross in the 200s.
-Both MCU films will likely do $250m minimum.
-Jungle Cruse could see 150-200m. Need to see trailer first.
-see Mary Poppins #s for Cruella.
-Artemis Fowl looks like a total flop.

Probably will get what went wrong articles next year when we don't get 4+ billion dollar Disney Pictures.