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 Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/19-20); Charts Updated! 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Charts Updated
01/12-13
Weekend Forecast


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1 (-) Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) ¥350 million ($4 million) NEW!
2 (2) Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) ¥210 million ($2.5 million) Week 4
3 (1) One Piece Film Z (Toei) ¥190 million ($2.2 million) Week 5
4 (-) Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) ¥150 million ($1.8 million) NEW!
5 (4) 007: Skyfall (Sony) ¥70 million ($800,000) Week 7
6 (3) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) ¥65 million ($750,000) Week 5
7 (-) Looper (Gaga) ¥55 million ($650,000) NEW!
8 (6) Today, I Started Loving You (Toho) ¥45 million ($525,000) Week 6
9 (5) Humanoid Monster, Bem (Toho) ¥40 million ($475,000) Week 5
10 (7) Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Fourze & Wizard (Toei) ¥35 million ($400,000) Week 6

Hunter X Hunter has solid ticket sales at the theaters I track and has a big giveaway promotion (Manga Volume 0) for the first 1 million attendees that will boost it's opening weekend. It's expected to reach at least ¥300 million this weekend.

Taken 2 is opening on Friday which will deflate the opening weekend just a tad, though the weekend figure itself should still beat the original film.

The holdovers will see some big declines now that New Year is over, and this will be especially true for those films that skew younger (Humanoid Monster, The Hobbit). One Piece Film Z, having spent four consecutive weeks on top, will also see a significant drop-off. Les Miserables will likely have the best hold and continue it's leggy run. Oscar nominations for Best Picture, Best Actor and Best Supporting Actress will assist the film as well.

Projected Totals after Sunday (¥1 billion+)
One Piece Film Z ~¥5.7-5.8 billion ($68 million) after five weeks.
007: Skyfall ~¥2.5-2.6 billion ($30 million) after seven weeks.
Les Miserables ~¥2.5 billion ($30 million) after four weeks.
Today, I Started Loving You ~¥1.6-1.7 billion ($20 million) after six weeks.
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey ~¥1.5 billion ($18 million) after five weeks.
Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Fourze & Wizard ~¥1.1-1.2 billion ($13 million) after five weeks.
Humanoid Monster ~¥1-1.1 billion ($12 million) after four weeks.

Outside the Top 10:
Evangelion 3.0 ~¥5.0-5.1 billion ($62 million) after nine weeks.

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Fri Jan 11, 2013 9:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Forecast
Why would Looper open so low? Is it because of its Chinese links?

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Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:47 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Forecast
I don't think whatever it's Chinese links are will have any effect.

It's going to open low because it's an original film being released in 200 theaters. Original films really struggle in Japan, and while the theater count is average, it still limits it's potential a bit. I tend to predict conservatively, though, so it may open over ¥55 million. However, I doubt it does more than ¥70/80 million ($900,000-$1 million) unless Bruce Willis is still a major draw.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sat Jan 12, 2013 1:09 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Forecast
01/12
Saturday Estimates


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Rank / Title / Sat. Estimate / % Change-from-last-Sat. / Week in Release
1 Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) ¥269 million ($3.1 million), 0, NEW!
2 Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) ¥102 million ($1.3 million), -29%, Week 4
3 One Piece Film Z (Toei) ¥87 million ($1.1 million), -46%, Week 5
4 Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) ¥62 million ($725,000), 0, NEW!
5 Looper (Gaga) ¥59 million ($700,000), 0, NEW!

6 The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) ¥23 million ($275,000), -54%, Week 5
7 007: Skyfall (Sony) ¥20 million ($250,000), -58%, Week 7
8 Today, I Started Loving You (Toho) ¥20 million ($250,000), -46%, Week 6
9 Blue Exorcist: The Movie (Toho) ¥17 million ($200,000), -33%, Week 3
10 Humanoid Monster, Bem (Toho) ¥13 million ($150,000), -66%, Week 5

Very, very good for Hunter X Hunter. A debut between ¥400-450 million ($5-5.5 million) could allow it to reach ¥2 billion ($25 million). The sequel was just announced for next year, too.

As expected, Les Miserables is estimated to have the best hold. And after seeing the large delice for 007: Skyfall post-New Year, it's likely to overtake it this weekend and become Hollywood's top film for the year so far. I'm starting to wonder if ¥4 billion (nearly $50 million) is in play here.

One Piece Film Z managing over 50% of it's audience from last Saturday is pretty good. It doesn't appear to be plummeting after New Year like it's predecessor did 3 years ago. ¥6.5 billion ($75 million+) is becoming more likely.

Taken 2 looks headed for expected results.

I must say I'm impressed by Looper. Estimates for films that are released in far fewer theaters than it's comparison title (Les Mis in this case) can be inaccurate, but it's probably not that far off. It might just crack ¥100 million ($1.2 million) for the weekend.

Most of the holdovers suffered steep post-New Year drops, especially the family/kid films. Skyfall dropping so much is surprising, though. Perhaps being in it's seventh week it lost a number of showtimes and/or screens this weekend.

And that is quite the random solid hold for Blue Exorcist.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sat Jan 12, 2013 2:19 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Forecast
Top Distributor Toho recently released their wide release 2013 line-up:

Toho Line-Up (Calendar Year):

Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (1/12)
Strawberry Night (1/26)
Brain Man (2/9)
Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (3/9)
Platinum Data (3/16)
Nobody's Perfect 3 (3/23)
Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (4/20)
Crayon Shin-chan: Very Tasty! B-class Gourmet Survival!! (4/20)
Library Wars (4/27)
GOLDEN WEEK 2013 (4/29-5/6)
Prefecture Government's Hospitality Division (5/11)
The Day of the Real, Perfect Plesiosaur (6/1)
Miracles of Apples (6/8)
A Midsummer's Equation (6/29)
Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect (7/13)
The Wind Rises/The Princess Kaguya Story (Summer)
The After-Dinner Mysteries (8/3)
A Boy Called H (8/10)
OBON WEEK 2013 (8/10-18)
Gatchaman (8/24)
King of Apology (9/28)
Her Sunny Side (October)
Clean Tender (October)
SPEC: The Movie - Closed (Fall)
Kiyosu Conference (November)
The Eternal Zero (December)

2014

Ataru (Late 2013/Early 2014)
God's Medical Records 2
Attack on Titan
Godzilla*

*Co-production with Warner Bros. and Legendary Pictures.

Early Top 10 Predictions:
1 The Wind Rises/The Princess Kaguya Story ¥16-18 billion (~$180-210 million)
2 The After-Dinner Mysteries ¥3.7-4.2 billion ($44-49 million)
3 Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect ¥3.5-4.0 billion ($40-45 million)
4 Library Wars ¥3.3-3.8 billion ($38-43 million)
5 Platinum Data ¥3.1-3.6 billion ($36-41 million)
6 Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum ¥3.0-3.5 billion ($35-40 million)
7 Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea ¥2.9-3.4 billion ($34-39 million)
8 SPEC: The Movie - Closed ¥2.6-3.1 billion ($30-35 million)
9 The Eternal Zero ¥2.5-3.0 billion ($29-34 million)
10 Gatchaman ¥2.3-2.8 billion ($27-32 million)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sat Jan 12, 2013 8:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 1/5-6, Weekend Ranking
Corpse wrote:
pepe pippen wrote:
When does Rise of the Guardians come out?


I don't think it's being released to be honest. Or if it is, I doubt it's before Fall/Winter 2013.

It has no release date and I haven't seen a single poster or anything listed anywhere. If it doesn't get released in Japan, this will mark Dreamsworks' third film that distributors didn't pick up for release. Megamind was the first, and Ice Age 4 the second.

Nearly every Dreamworks film has been losing money in Japan for awhile now.


Ice Age 4 is not Dreamworks. :)

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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Forecast
I always forget that Blue Sky Studios exists.

That now means Blue Sky Studios has two films that didn't get a theatrical release in Japan (Rio, Ice Age 4), and Dreamworks also at two non-theatrical releases (Megamind, Rise of the Guardians).

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Sat Jan 12, 2013 9:33 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Forecast
01/12-13
Weekend Estimates


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Rank / Title / Wknd. Estimate / % Change / Week in Release
1 (-) Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) ¥427 million ($4.97 million), 0, NEW!
2 (2) Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) ¥272 million (3.17 million), -5%, Week 4
3 (1) One Piece Film Z (Toei) ¥255 million ($2.97 million), -21%, Week 5
4 (-) Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) ¥151 million ($1.77 million), 0, NEW!
5 (-) Looper (Gaga) ¥136 million ($1.59 million), 0, NEW!

6 (3) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) ¥60 million ($699,000), -39%, Week 5
7 (4) 007: Skyfall (Sony) ¥55 million ($646,000), -40%, Week 7
8 (6) Today, I Started Loving You (Toho) ¥48 million ($564,000), -33%, Week 6
9 (9) Blue Exorcist: The Movie (Toho) ¥41 million ($482,000), -17%, Week 3
10 (5) Humanoid Monster, Bem (Toho) ¥34 million ($393,000), -54%, Week 5

What a strong Sunday! Everything recovered very nicely after Saturday's steep drops.

Excellent debut for the first Hunter X Hunter film. The opening is only behind the holy trinity of Pokemon, Doraemon, and Detective Conan when comparing annual TV anime films, and best franchises like Bleach or Naruto quite easily. ¥2 billion ($25 million) is the goal here.

Ridiculous for Les Miserables! The film is having some of the best legs, especially for a Hollywood film, in quite some time. If the estimate is accurate, here is how it's past four weekend look:

Les Miserables:
1st Weekend - ¥295 million ($3.6 million)
2nd Weekend - ¥257 million ($2.9 million) -13%
3rd Weekend - ¥287 million ($3.3 million) +11%
4th Weekend - ¥272 million ($3.2 million) -5% Est.

It's total is definitely over ¥2.5 billion ($30 million) now and I believe ¥4 billion ($50 million) has become very likely for the final total. It may just beat The Phantom of the Opera (¥4.2 billion) and become the highest grossing musical ever, too.

One Piece Film Z also had quite the remarkable hold when it really shouldn't have. If it maintains this pace, it could actually reach ¥7 billion ($84 million). :wacko: The fanbase has become so huge. Not that I'm complaining, it's my favorite manga/anime, too.

Good start for Taken 2, and an even better beginning for Looper earning pretty close to the same despite playing in 30% fewer theaters.

And that's a crazy hold for Blue Exorcist. I don't know how it managed to pull that off being a fanbase driven film and it being post-New Year.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Sun Jan 13, 2013 1:33 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Estimates
01/12-13
Weekend Ranking


[Admissions]
1 (-) Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) NEW!
2 (2) Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) Week 4
3 (1) One Piece Film Z (Toei) Week 5
4 (-) Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) NEW!
5 (-) Looper (Gaga) NEW!

6 (3) 007: Skyfall (Sony) Week 7
7 (5) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) Week 5
8 (4) Humanoid Monster, Bem (Toho) Week 5
9 (6) Today, I Started Loving You (Toho) Week 6
10 (9) Blue Exorcist: The Movie (Toho) Week 3

[Revenue]
1 (-) Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) NEW!
2 (2) Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) Week 4
3 (1) One Piece Film Z (Toei) Week 5
4 (-) Looper (Gaga) NEW!
5 (-) Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) NEW!


Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge debuted on 257 screens to deliver the second biggest opening weekend of the year (edging out Skyfall) so far behind only One Piece. Over the weekend frame, it brought in 357,976 admissions for a gross of ¥456,779,000 ($5.4 million).

Taken 2 did so-so with 94,112 admissions and ¥114,686,300 ($1.3 million) for the weekend frame on 288 screens. The film's avg. ticket price is below the average indicating a large number of seniors made up the audience.

Looper however overperformed slightly on 201 screens to debut with 92,646 admissions to earn ¥119,950,800 ($1.4 million) over the weekend.

Still waiting for full holdover figures, but it's reported that One Piece Film Z has exceeded ¥6 billion ($70 million) after just five weeks in release. This may have been accomplished on Monday, though.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Charts Updated
2012 Box Office Charts
As of Sunday, 01/14:

Top Grossing Films (¥1 billion+)
Rank :: Revenue ¥ (billion) / $ (million) :: Title :: Release :: Admissions (million) :: Days In Release :: Distributor
01 :: ¥7.33 / $93.60 (8.34x) :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: 5.75 :: FT :: Toho
02 :: ¥5.98 / $76.34 (13.84x) :: Thermae Romae :: Apr. :: 4.71 :: FT :: Toho
03 :: ¥5.95 / $75.86 (7.40x) :: Bayside Shakedown THE FINAL :: Sept. :: 4.65 :: FT :: Toho
04 :: ¥5.38 / $70.55 (9.39x) :: Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol :: Dec '11 :: 4.24 :: FT :: Paramount
05 :: ¥5.04 / $62.23 (4.45x) :: Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo :: Nov. :: 3.65 :: 58 :: T-Joy
06 :: ¥4.22 / $53.97 (11.56x) :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: 3.42 :: FT :: Toho
07 :: ¥3.81 / $48.85 (5.74x) :: Resident Evil: Retribution :: Sept. :: 2.60 :: FT :: Sony
08 :: ¥3.62 / $46.07 (6.56x) :: Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles :: Mar. :: 3.35 :: FT :: Toho
09 :: ¥3.61 / $46.06 (7.09x) :: Pokemon B&W: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo :: July :: 3.43 :: FT :: Toho
10 :: ¥3.60 / $46.04 (7.20x) :: The Avengers :: Aug. :: 2.37 :: FT :: Disney
11 :: ¥3.44 / $43.68 (6.19x) :: ALWAYS: Sunset on Third Street '64 :: Jan. :: 2.70 :: OE :: Toho
12 :: ¥3.28 / $42.32 (5.21x) :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker :: Apr. :: 2.74 :: OE :: Toho
13 :: ¥3.16 / $40.88 (5.51x) :: Men in Black 3 :: May :: 2.12 :: TE :: Toho-Towa
14 :: ¥3.13 / $40.64 (5.34x) :: Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie :: Nov '11 :: 2.39 :: OE :: Toho
15 :: ¥3.11 / $39.49 (5.36x) :: The Amazing Spider-Man :: June :: 2.12 :: TE :: Sony
16 :: ¥2.92 / $37.21 (7.31x) :: Rurouni Kenshin :: Aug. :: 2.34 :: TE :: Warner Bros.
17 :: ¥2.68 / $32.81 (6.61x) :: The Floating Castle :: Nov. :: 2.21 :: TE :: Toho/Asmik Ace
18 :: ¥2.51 / $31.67 (8.50x) :: We Were There: Part I :: Mar. :: 2.10 :: OE :: Toho/Asmik Ace
19 :: ¥2.40 / $30.36 (5.16x) :: SPEC: The Movie :: Apr. :: 1.85 :: OE :: Toho
20 :: ¥2.22 / $28.01 (7.45x) :: Holy Scripture of Evil :: Nov. :: 1.69 :: TE :: Toho
21 :: ¥2.20 / $27.50 (7.00x) :: Liar Game: Reborn :: Mar. :: 1.76 :: OE :: Toho
22 :: ¥2.16 / $27.21 (5.35x) :: Dark Shadows :: May :: 1.71 :: TE :: Warner Bros.
23 :: ¥2.13 / $27.16 (9.14x) :: Dearest :: Aug. :: 1.99 :: TE :: Toho
24 :: ¥2.04 / $26.01 (8.75x) :: Heruta Skelter :: July :: 1.55 :: TE :: Asmik Ace
25 :: ¥2.01 / $25.87 (11.16x) :: Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted :: Aug. :: 1.58 :: TE :: Paramount
26 :: ¥1.96 / $24.49 (6.46x) :: Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows :: Mar. :: 1.67 :: TE :: Warner Bros.
27 :: ¥1.92 / $24.27 (5.16x) :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: 1.46 :: TE :: Warner Bros.
28 :: ¥1.90 / $24.14 (6.01x) :: K-ON! The Movie :: Dec '11 :: 1.45 :: OE :: Shochiku
29 :: ¥1.84 / $23.54 (5.88x) :: Glow of Fireflies :: June :: 1.49 :: TE :: Toho
30 :: ¥1.80 / $23.07 (6.49x) :: In Time :: Feb. :: 1.40 :: TE :: FOX
31 :: ¥1.77 / $22.70 (5.86x) :: Prometheus :: Aug. :: 1.22 :: TE :: FOX
32 :: ¥1.71 / $22.01 (5.45x) :: We Were There: Part II :: Apr. :: 1.37 :: TE :: Toho/Asmik Ace
33 :: ¥1.71 / $21.98 (5.67x) :: Snow White and the Huntsman :: June :: 1.33 :: TE :: Toho-Towa
34 :: ¥1.70 / $21.97 (6.15x) :: Shizanmono: The Movie :: Jan. :: 1.36 :: OE :: Toho
35 :: ¥1.60 / $20.26 (8.37x) :: Connection :: Oct. :: 1.32 :: 58 :: Toho
36 :: ¥1.56 / $19.86 (3.81x) :: Kamen Rider x Super Sentai: Super Hero Taisen :: Apr. :: 1.34 :: TE :: TOEI
37 :: ¥1.55 / $19.85 (4.06x) :: Space Brothers :: May :: 1.21 :: TE :: Toho
38 :: ¥1.51 / $19.68 (4.01x) :: Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: War Mega Max :: Dec '11 :: 1.30 :: TE :: TOEI
39 :: ¥1.50 / $19.28 (5.13x) :: Battleship :: Apr. :: 1.18 :: OE :: Toho-Towa
40 :: ¥1.47 / $19.01 (10.42x) :: Friends: Naki On Monster Island :: Dec '11 :: 1.10 :: TE :: Toho
41 :: ¥1.45 / $18.62 (6.41x) :: Real Steel :: Dec '11 :: 1.13 :: OE :: Walt Disney
42 :: ¥1.45 / $18.43 (18.39x) :: The Intouchables :: Sept. :: 1.17 :: TE :: Gaga
43 :: ¥1.43 / $18.22 (9.47x) :: Fleet Admiral, Isoroku Yamamoto :: Dec '11 :: 1.13 :: TE :: TOEI
44 :: ¥1.41 / $18.04 (4.67x) :: Naruto: Road to Ninja :: July :: 1.21 :: TE :: Toho
45 :: ¥1.39 / $17.87 (8.47x) :: Tale of Genji :: Dec '11 :: 1.15 :: TE :: Toho
46 :: ¥1.37 / $17.37 (5.57x) :: Sadako 3D :: May :: .969 :: TE :: Kadokawa Pictures
47 :: ¥1.36 / $17.93 (4.87x) :: Outrage 2: Beyond :: Oct. :: 1.02 :: TE :: Warner Bros.
48 :: ¥1.28 / $15.86 (5.54x) :: The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo :: Feb. :: .996 :: TE :: Sony
49 :: ¥1.27 / $15.86 (4.96x) :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: Aug. :: 1.04 :: TE :: TOEI
50 :: ¥1.22 / $15.41 (6.78x) :: A Chorus of Angels :: Nov. :: .952 :: TE :: TOEI
51 :: ¥1.20 / $15.36 (7.04x) :: Puss in Boots :: Mar. :: .925 :: OE :: Paramount
52 :: ¥1.18 / $15.19 (5.84x) :: Robo-G :: Jan. :: 1.01 :: TE :: Toho
53 :: ¥1.14 / $14.61 (9.47x) :: Chronicle of My Mother :: Apr. :: .876 :: TE :: Shochiku
54 :: ¥1.12 / $14.02 (8.11x) :: Inazuma Eleven GO :: Dec '11 :: .926 :: TE :: Toho
55 :: ¥1.09 / $13.93 (4.96x) :: The Adventures of Tintin :: Dec '11 :: .754 :: TE :: Toho-Towa
56 :: ¥1.05 / $13.44 (6.76x) :: Eight Ranger :: July :: .880 :: TE :: Toho
57 :: ¥1.03 / $12.90 (5.28x) :: Crayon Shin-chan (2012) :: Apr. :: .963 :: TE :: Toho
58 :: ¥1.03 / $12.87 (5.88x) :: Hugo :: Mar. :: .732 :: TE :: Paramount
59 :: ¥1.02 / $12.75 (5.23x) :: Pretty Cure All Stars New Stage: Friends of the Future :: Mar. :: .881 :: TE :: TOEI
60 :: ¥1.01 / $12.68 (4.69x) :: Total Recall :: Aug. :: .800 :: TE :: Sony



***************************************************************
***************************************************************


Top Opening Weekends [FINAL] (2-Days ONLY, ¥250 million+)
Rank :: Revenue ¥ (million) / $ (million) :: Title :: Release :: Admissions (thousand) :: Screen Count :: Distributor
01 :: ¥1,133.0 / $14.05 :: Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo :: Nov. :: 771.76 :: 224 :: T-Joy
02 :: ¥878.23 / $11.08 :: Umizaru: Brave Hearts :: July :: 686.98 :: 450 :: Toho
03 :: ¥804.27 / $10.29 :: Bayside Shakedown THE FINAL :: Sept. :: 604.09 :: 452 :: Toho
04 :: ¥676.99 / $8.58 :: Resident Evil: Retribution :: Sept. :: 433.94 :: 779 :: Sony
05 :: ¥629.74 / $7.82 :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker :: Apr. :: 540.98 :: 351 :: Toho
06 :: ¥583.89 / $7.61 :: The Amazing Spider-Man :: June :: 426.16 :: 1,092 :: Sony
07 :: ¥581.04 / $7.48 :: Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie :: Nov '11 :: 431.09 :: 446 :: Toho
08 :: ¥573.57 / $7.35 :: Men in Black 3 :: May :: 372.97 :: 979 :: Toho-Towa
09 :: ¥573.22 / $7.34 :: Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol :: Dec '11 :: 437.75 :: 636 ::Paramount
10 :: ¥555.62 / $7.22 :: ALWAYS: Sunset on Third Street '64 :: Jan. :: 421.27 :: 473 :: Toho
11 :: ¥552.62 / $6.86 :: Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles :: Mar. :: 485.47 :: 359 :: Toho
12 :: ¥509.94 / $6.42 :: Pokemon B&W: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsman - Keldeo :: July :: 489.86 :: 351 :: Toho
13 :: ¥500.93 / $6.34 :: The Avengers :: Aug. :: 326.11 :: 844 :: Disney
14 :: ¥468.70 / $5.81 :: SPEC: The Movie :: Apr. :: 351.47 :: 279 :: Toho
15 :: ¥432.55 / $5.40 :: Thermae Romae :: Apr. :: 325.69 :: 304 :: Toho
16 :: ¥410.04 / $5.16 :: Kamen Rider x Super Sentei: Super Hero Taisen :: Apr. :: 355.99 :: 292 :: TOEI
17 :: ¥405.07 / $5.10 :: The Floating Castle :: Nov. :: 323.22 :: 328 :: Toho/Asmik Ace
18 :: ¥404.53 / $5.07 :: Dark Shadows :: May :: 311.16 :: 571 :: Warner Bros.
19 :: ¥399.53 / $5.05 :: Rurouni Kenshin :: Aug. :: 295.32 :: 327 :: Warner Bros.
20 :: ¥382.32 / $4.87 :: Space Brothers :: May :: 285.34 :: 322 :: Toho
21 :: ¥378.03 / $4.84 :: Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: War Mega Max :: Dec '11 :: 333.13 :: 301 :: TOEI
22 :: ¥372.02 / $4.75 :: The Dark Knight Rises :: July :: 269.17 :: 546 :: Warner Bros.
23 :: ¥365.15 / $4.67 :: The Wolf Children Ame and Yuki :: July :: 276.33 :: 381 :: Toho
24 :: ¥316.31 / $4.08 :: K-ON! The Movie :: Dec '11 :: 237.82 :: 137 :: Shochiku
25 :: ¥314.89 / $3.97 :: We Were There: Part II :: Apr. :: 242.92 :: 297 :: Asmik Ace/Toho
26 :: ¥314.70 / $3.96 :: Liar Game: Reborn :: Mar. :: 242.19 :: 318 :: Toho
27 :: ¥313.66 / $3.95 :: Glow of Fireflies :: June :: 242.82 :: 316 :: Toho
28 :: ¥303.35 / $3.87 :: Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows :: Mar. :: 237.98 :: 464 :: Warner Bros.
29 :: ¥302.49 / $3.84 :: Prometheus :: Aug. :: 200.18 :: 768 :: FOX
30 :: ¥302.08 / $3.81 :: Naruto: Path to Ninja :: July :: 254.03 :: 262 :: Toho
31 :: ¥301.78 / $3.80 :: Snow White and the Huntsman :: June :: 234.87 :: 572 :: Toho-Towa
32 :: ¥298.85 / $3.79 :: Holy Scripture of Evil :: Nov. :: 215.06 :: 309 :: Toho
33 :: ¥295.31 / $3.75 :: We Were There: Part I :: Mar. :: 227.24 :: 295 :: Asmik Ace/Toho
34 :: ¥292.16 / $3.68 :: Battleship :: Apr. :: 237.87 :: 545 :: Toho-Towa
35 :: ¥279.24 / $3.67 :: Outrage 2: Beyond :: Oct. :: 206.61 :: 225 :: Warner Bros.
36 :: ¥277.13 / $3.63 :: In Time :: Feb. :: 203.05 :: 427 :: FOX
37 :: ¥276.41 / $3.62 :: Shizanmono: The Movie :: Jan. :: 217.18 :: 377 :: Toho
38 :: ¥254.17 / $3.25 :: Kamen Rider Fourze: Everyone, Space is Here! :: Aug. :: 217.66 :: 304 :: TOEI

The 2012 Box Office Year is over so the Opening Weekend Chart is finalized.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Ranking
As you see above, Evangelion 3.0 cleared the 5 billion yen milestone (blockbuster status) this past week and that has promoted an expansion due on the 26th.

The 2012 Year-End Results will be released by the Motion Pictures Associations of Japan around this time, too, so I have a feeling Evangelion 3.0 may end up as a 2013 release seeing as how its run won't be finished for quite awhile now.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Ranking
The first bit of 2012 Year-End Results is available:

For the eighth-consecutive year, Distributor Toho lead the market earning ¥74,135,772,802 (~$882 million), marking their second biggest year-to-date.

2010 - ¥74,869,612,938 ($902 million)
#1 Film - The Borrower Arrietty - ¥9.25 billion ($111 million)

2012 - ¥74,135,772,802 ($882 million)
#1 Film - Umizaru: Brave Hearts - ¥7.33 billion ($93 million)


2008 - ¥73,914,598,446 ($725 million)
#1 Film - Ponyo - ¥15.5 billion ($164 million)

2009 - ¥65,493,311,500 ($720 million)
#1 Film - Rookies - ¥8.55 billion ($94 million)

2011 - ¥59,111,105,930 ($749 million)
#1 Film - Kokuriko Hill - ¥4.47 billion ($57 million)
Prior years not tracked.

If only not for a weak October, they'd have beat their 2010 record.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Ranking
Well well well, you predicted WAY TOO conservatively for Looper.

Glad it did better than expected. It's a really great movie.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Ranking
The reviews and Bruce Willis certainly helped it out. The legs will be interesting, if WOM matches the reviews, it may end up with legs strong enough to reach 1 billion yen ($12 million). It's certain to beat Taken 2 at least.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Ranking
Spam post. Updates coming up on the next page.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Charts Updated
2013 Box Office Charts
Updated as of Sunday, 01/13

Revenue :: Film :: Admissions :: Days in Release :: Distributor

¥10 billion Uber-Blockbuster Status (US ≈$500 million film)

¥8 billion (US ≈$400 million film)

>¥6.06 billion ($70.43 million) :: One Piece Film Z :: 5.02 million :: 31 :: Toei
¥6 billion (US ≈$300 million film)

>¥5.04 billion ($62.23 million) :: Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo :: 3.65 million :: 58 :: Toei*
¥5 billion Blockbuster Milestone (US ≈ $250 million film)

¥4 billion (US ≈$200 million film)

¥3 billion Box Office Hit (US ≈$150 million film)
>¥2.75 billion ($32.01 million) :: Les Miserables :: 2.09 million :: 24 :: Toho-Towa
>¥2.54 billion ($29.57 million) :: 007: Skyfall :: 2.04 million :: 44 :: Sony
¥2 billion (US ≈$100 million film)
>¥1.61 billion ($18.72 million) :: Today, I Started Loving You :: 1.36 million :: 37 :: Toho
>¥1.47 billion ($17.09 million) :: The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey :: 1.04 million :: 31 :: Warner Bros.
>¥1.14 billion ($13.25 million) :: Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Fourze & Wizard :: 1.03 million :: 37 :: Toei
>¥1.03 billion ($11.97 million) :: Humanoid Monster, Bem :: 0.88 million :: 30 :: Toho
¥1 billion Commercial Success (US ≈$50 million film)

Incredible performance by One Piece Film Z. The only animated films that have earned more are 7 Studio Ghibli and 3 Pixar films, and 2 Pokemon releases. Tis the year of mega anime films with Evangelion 3.0 reaching the ¥5 billion yen mark this weekend.

Les Miserables easily surpasses Skyfall to become Hollywood's biggest film of the year thus far. It didn't even drop any (0%) this past weekend and it's second weekend drop of a measly 13% is the worst it's done. The musical is having spectacular legs (more like pillars) and it won't be slowing down anytime soon with the 3 Golden Globe wins, Oscar nominations, etc. It is even gaining additional showtimes at Toho Cinemas this weekend. Maybe it'll end up being Hollywood's top film of the year, too.

Humanoid Monster manages to exceed the ¥1 billion mark this weekend.

*The chances of Evangelion 3.0 becoming a 2013 release are becoming more and more likely, so I'm going to include it here for now.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Charts Updated
Musical Showdown

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Les Miserables
Opening: ¥295 million / ¥379 million (3 Day Opener)
2nd Weekend: ¥257 million (-13%) / ¥1.13 billion (3.83x)
3rd Weekend: ¥287 million (+11%) / ¥2.11 billion (7.15x)
4th Weekend: ¥286 million (-0.3%) / ¥2.75 billion (9.32x)

Image
The Phantom of the Opera
Opening: ¥334 million
2nd Weekend: ¥260 million (-22%) / ¥999 million (2.99x)
3rd Weekend: ¥117 million (-55%) / ¥1.68 billion (5.02x)
4th Weekend: ¥104 million (-11%) / ¥2.19 billion (6.56x)
5th Weekend: ¥185 million (+78%) / ¥2.65 billion (7.93x)
6th Weekend: ¥140 million (-24%) / ¥3.01 billion (9.01x)
7th Weekend: ¥110 million (-22%) / ¥3.32 billion (9.94x)
8th Weekend: ¥61 million (-45%) / ¥3.59 billion (10.75x)
9th Weekend: ¥39 million (-34%) / ¥3.70 billion (11.08x)
10th Weekend: ¥37 million (-5%) / ¥3.77 billion (11.29x)
11th Weekend: ¥26 million (-30%) / ¥3.85 billion (11.52x, Eleventh-Consecutive and Final Week in Top 10)
Final Total: ¥4.20 billion (12.57x) #1 Grossing Musical All-Time

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Charts Updated / Musical Showdow
Les Miserables exceeded ¥3 billion with ¥3,028,571,610 ($35.1 million) with 2,481,482 admissions on Wednesday, it's 27th day in release.

So... basically it earned it's weekend gross in the past 3 weekdays again. In fact, I think Mon-Wed was stronger than last Mon-Wed. The film hasn't lose any steam and has been grossing approximately the same each day/week since opening. Are we possibly going to see ¥5 billion ($60 million+) here? I think it has a solid shot. ¥4 billion+ ($50 million) is a lock at this point.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Charts Updated / Musical Showdow
Top Distributors 2012

1. Toho - ¥74,135,772,802 ($882 million), +25.4%, [49.2% Market Share]
2. Toei - ¥17,538,893,910 ($209 million), +4.8%, [11.7% Market Share]
3. Warner Bros. - ¥15,407,440,130 ($183 million), -14.4%, [10.2% Market Share]
4. Sony - ¥12,514,747,700 ($149 million), +93.0%, [8.3% Market Share]
5. Walt Disney - ¥8,642,778,800 ($103 million), -55.6%, [5.7% Market Share]
6. Paramount - ¥7,967,770,660 ($95 million), -37.9%, [5.3% Market Share]
7. Shochiku - ¥7,422,974,000 ($88 million), -33.9%, [4.9% Market Share]
8. 20th Century Fox - ¥6,836,019,990 ($81 million), -44.2%, [4.5% Market Share]

These distributors represent about 75-80% of the overall Box Office. Toho-Towa and Gaga are likely next to round off the Top 10 distributors, but their yearly results aren't available.

Toho completely dominated the market this year, more so than they have percentage-wise since 2005. If you just look at some of the decreases in the other studios this year, one might think the year saw a sharp drop from last year, but 2012 is in fact above 2011 all thanks to Toho. And while that 49.2% market share will decrease once the other studios are included, I don't think they'll fall below 40% giving them a new record in market share.

Sony saw the best gains by a Hollywood Studio, up a very impressive 93% (Spider-Man and Resident Evil combo), but them alone couldn't offset the big losses by all the other Hollywood Studios this past year. Disney and Fox in particular had their worst years ever since at least 2005 (and probably longer).

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Fri Jan 18, 2013 8:40 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Weekend Forecast (⊙▂⊙)
01/19-20
Weekend Forecast

ImageImageImage

1 (-) Ted (Toho-Towa) ¥290 million ($3.4 million) NEW!
2 (-) Tokyo Family (Shochiku) ¥260 million ($3.0 million) NEW!

3 (2) Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) ¥215 million ($2.5 million) Week 5
4 (1) Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) ¥210 million ($2.4 million) Week 2
5 (-) Tokumei Sentai Go-Busters vs. Kaizoku Sentai Gokaiger: The Movie (Toei) ¥175 million ($2.0 million) NEW!
6 (3) One Piece Film Z (Toei) ¥160 million ($1.9 million) Week 6
7 (4) Looper (Gaga) ¥80 million ($925,000) Week 2
8 (5) Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) ¥70 million ($800,000) Week 2
9 (6) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) ¥45 million ($525,000) Week 6
10 (7) 007: Skyfall (Sony) ¥40 million ($450,000) Week 8

It feels so strange to be projecting an imported R-Comedy playing at just 131 locations to debut on top this weekend, but Ted is doing remarkable business at many of those locations with various sell outs on some of the biggest screens (Roppongi Hills for instance) that a Top 3 debut is assured. If it opens at #1, it'll be the first imported film to do so since Skyfall back on 12/01-02.

Tokyo Family is expected to be distributor Shochiku's biggest film of the year and from what I can tell, the film is doing pretty well so far this morning and should deliver a solid opening and great legs will surely follow.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Weekend Forecast (Ted ⊙▂⊙)
I forgot to include:

Projected Totals (¥1 billion+) After Sunday (1/20)

One Piece Film Z - ¥6.3/6.4 billion ($72/73 million) after six weeks.
Les Miserables - ¥3.4/3.5 billion ($39/40 million) after five weeks.
007: Skyfall - ¥2.7 billion ($31 million) after eight weeks.
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - ¥1.6 billion ($19 million) after six weeks.
Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge - ¥900 million/¥1 billion ($11/12 million) after two weeks.

Outside the Top 10:
Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo - ¥5.1 billion ($62 million) after ten weeks.
Today, I Started Loving You - ¥1.7 billion ($20 million) after seven weeks.
Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Fouzr & Wizard - ¥1.3 billion ($15 million) after seven weeks.
Humanoid Monster, Bem - ¥1.1 billion ($13 million) after six weeks.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) 01/12-13, Weekend Ranking
Corpse wrote:
strong enough to reach 1 billion yen ($12 million). It's certain to beat Taken 2 at least.

I'm glad to hear.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Weekend Forecast (Ted ⊙▂⊙)
Saturday Estimates

Film / Sat. Est. / Sat. % Change / Week in Release
1 Ted (Toho-Towa) ¥177 million ($2.0 million), 0, NEW!
2 Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) ¥111 million ($1.3 million), -18%, Week 5
3 Tokyo Family (Shochiku) ¥102 million ($1.2 million), 0, NEW!
4 One Piece Film Z (Toei) ¥93 million ($1.1 million), -27%, Week 6
5 Tokumei Sentai Go-Busters vs. Kaizoku Sentai Gokaiger: The Movie (Toei) ¥80 million ($925,000), 0, NEW!
6 Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) ¥57 million ($650,000), -79%, Week 2
7 Looper (Gaga) ¥36 million ($400,000), -40%, Week 2
8 Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) ¥25 million ($300,000), -56%, Week 2
9 The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) ¥20 million ($225,000), -33%, Week 6
10 Humanoid Monster, Bem (Toho) ¥13 million ($150,000), -33%, Week 6

Wtf @ Ted. Unless it turns out to be really frontloaded, it appears it'll cross ¥300 million ($3.5 million) for the weekend fairly easily. I'll have to do some research, but I believe this would be the best opening for an imported comedy (of any rating) since... Sex and the City in 2008? I wonder if Ted is being viewed as more of a fantasy.

Les Miserables is still very, very strong. This sub-20% drop may however be it's worst-to-date (LOL), ahead of the film's second weekend drop of 13%. If it ranks #2 again this weekend, it'll be the fifth-consecutive week setting it up to become the highest grossing fillm ever to not reach #1 during a weekend (it has been #1 every Wednesday for awhile now).

Not bad for Tokyo Family. The legs are what will matter for this release. The film will have zero frontloadedness and still has a small chance at debuting at #2 for the weekend.

Expected for Sentai Go-Busters vs. Kaizoku Sentai Gokaiger. These films typically open to about half of what the Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider films do.

Hunter X Hunter nose-dives after it's big opening last week. It was expected to drop close to 60%, but 70% might be where it's headed.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Weekend Forecast (Ted ⊙▂⊙)
Biggest Opening Weekends (Imported-Comedies)

Ted - ¥300-350 million ($3.5-4 million) [135 screens] Est.
Sex and the City - ¥285.6 million ($2.7 million) [295 screens]
The Devil Wears Prada - ¥194.9 million ($1.7 million) [299 screens]
Sex and the City 2 - ¥189.8 million ($2.1 million) [401 screens]
Valentine's Day - ¥109.4 million ($1.2 million) [288 screens]
This Means War - ¥103.8 million ($1.3 million) [428 screens]
27 Dresses - ¥92.4 million ($900,000) [201 screens]
Hitch - ¥89.2 million ($800,000) [211 screens]
It's Complicated - ¥82.3 million ($900,000) [286 screens]
The Intouchables - ¥79.1 million ($1.0 million) [48 screens]
The Proposal - ¥61.8 million ($700,000) [220 screens]
Get Smart - ¥58.0 million ($550,000) [205 screens]
The Princess Diaries 2 - ¥49.6 million ($475,000) [172 screens]
The Hangover Part II - ¥40.6 million ($500,000) [106 screens]
Juno - ¥22.1 million ($200,000) [110 screens]
The Hangover - ¥14.8 million ($170,000) [10 Screens]

There are likely a couple 90's imported-comedies, like Home Alone or Julia Roberts releases (Pretty Woman) comes to mind, that may have opened higher than Ted is projected at, but I can't find any that Ted doesn't beat after 2000.

Many imported comedies don't see a theatrical release in Japan. A lot of Adam Sandler films, Judd Apatow productions, Will Ferrell, etc. And the rest are usually just released in Tokyo on a handful of screens.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2013) Weekend Estimates (Ted ⊙▂⊙)
01/19-20
Weekend Estimates


Film / Wknd Est. / % Change / Week in Release
1 (-) Ted (Toho-Towa) ¥356.9 million ($4.10 million), 0, NEW!
2 (2) Les Miserables (Toho-Towa) ¥227.6 million ($2.61 million), -20%, Week 5
3 (-) Tokyo Family (Shochiku) ¥202.3 million ($2.32 million), 0, NEW!
4 (3) One Piece Film Z (Toei) ¥173.8 million ($1.99 million), -32%, Week 6
5 (-) Tokumei Sentai Go-Busters vs. Kaizoku Sentai Gokaiger: The Movie (Toei) ¥161.9 million ($1.86 million), 0, NEW!
6 (1) Hunter X Hunter: The Phantom Rouge (Toho) ¥136.6 million ($1.57 million), -70%, Week 2
7 (4) Looper (Gaga) ¥73.4 million ($843,000), -39%, Week 2
8 (5) Taken 2 (20th Century Fox) ¥54.4 million ($625,000), -52%, Week 2
9 (6) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey (Warner Bros.) ¥40.6 million ($466,000), -40%, Week 6
10 (10) Humanoid Monster, Bem (Toho) ¥31.1 million ($358,000), -32%, Week 6

I don't know where to begin with Ted because the number is so ridiculous and bizarre. That's a 2-day PTA of about $30,400 , and not only is it by far the biggest opening for an imported-comedy in at least 10-15 years, this estimate beats the opening of all but 7 Hollywood films last year and Ted is playing on 1/4 or 1/5 of their screens. Even if it would gets poor WOM (which I don't expect), I'm thinking ¥2 billion ($25 million), an average multiplier, is the minimum it'll end up grossing.

Les Miserables continues to be a monster at the Box Office down just 20%. That's it worst drop-to-date, but this fifth weekend estimate is down a mere 23% compared to the films opening weekend. Very, very impressive, which I think perhaps only Thermae Romae, Confessions, and Avatar can compete with in more recent years.

Tokyo Family did alright, if not just below expectations. This is the type of film though that will be very leggy.

As mentioned in the Saturday Estimates, Sentai Go-Busters vs. Kaizoku Sentai Gokaiger did expected numbers anout 50/60% of the Kamen Rider films and on par with previous Sentai Gokaiger films.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
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Wakanda Forever


Sun Jan 20, 2013 1:05 pm
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