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 Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (10/03-04)
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Weekend Estimates (10/03-04):
01 (01) ¥199,000,000 ($1.9 million), -19%, ¥1,645,000,000 ($15.6 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK3
02 (---) ¥150,000,000 ($1.4 million), 0, ¥235,000,000 ($2.2 million), The Asadas! (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥122,000,000 ($1.2 million), -07%, ¥1,110,000,000 ($10.6 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) WK3
04 (03) ¥x64,000,000 ($605,000), -37%, ¥930,000,000 ($8.8 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK4
05 (04) ¥x54,000,000 ($510,000), -38%, ¥2,150,000,000 ($20.3 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK6
06 (06) ¥x44,000,000 ($415,000), -45%, ¥260,000,000 ($2.4 million), Midnight Swan (Kino Films) WK2
07 (---) ¥x40,000,000 ($380,000), 0, ¥x55,000,000 ($0.5 million), Trolls: World Tour (Toho-Towa/Gaga) NEW
08 (08) ¥x36,000,000 ($340,000), -37%, ¥3,155,000,000 ($29.7 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK9
09 (07) ¥x33,000,000 ($310,000), -46%, ¥2,080,000,000 ($19.6 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK7
10 (05) ¥x32,000,000 ($305,000), -61%, ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), Keep Your Hands Off Eizouken! (Toho Video Division) WK2
11 (12) ¥x27,000,000 ($255,000), -38%, ¥610,000,000 ($5.8 million), The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film) WK4
12 (09) ¥x26,000,000 ($245,000), -47%, ¥1,865,000,000 ($17.7 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK7


Not a very exciting weekend, especially compared to the last 6-8 weeks.

Tenet achieves a great third weekend though, and was able to defend its hold atop the box-office. Depending on where the actual figure ends up, after just three weeks in release it has already outgrossed The Dark Knight and possibly Dunkirk as well. And it's a lock to reach the ¥2 billion milestone now, so it'll end up outgrossing The Dark Knight Rises to become Nolan's second biggest film in the market after Inception. It should get near a ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) total.

The Asadas!, I would say, opened below expectations, becoming one of the first films not appealing to younger audiences to under-perform on opening weekend. But I won't call it a disappointment at this time because: 1. Sometimes opening weekends aren't indicative of a final total (especially in a leggy market like Japan) and 2. This could definitely be a weekday film that appeals toward much older moviegoers (50-65+), and these films can earn more than 60% of their total on the weekdays versus weekends. We'll see what happens over the next few days.

And Trolls: World Tour bombed, but that's not surprising and completely expected. I don't even think the first one received a theatrical release in the market, and if it did, it was a limited release. While DreamWorks animated films have been able to find a little more success in the market after Toho-Towa took over distribution rights, it's still a rare occurrence when one does find success in the market.

I'll have more analysis when when I post the Weekend Actuals tomorrow. The holdovers, a couple aside, largely experienced rough drops this weekend based on estimates. This isn't exactly unusual for this time of year as October is one of the weakest months of the year (weakest on average), but I was expecting some better holds and hope I underestimate a bit.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Sun Oct 04, 2020 12:34 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (10/03-04)
Happy to post that it seems I underestimated most films based on the current available figures. Not by too much, but enough for the weekend to go from unexciting to decent/fair.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Oct 05, 2020 11:09 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (10/03-04)
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Weekend Actuals (10/03-04):
01 (01) ¥210,166,260 ($2.0 million), -15%, ¥1,674,531,690 ($15.9 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK3
02 (---) ¥172,045,900 ($1.6 million), 0, ¥280,330,250 ($2.7 million), The Asadas! (Toho) NEW
03 (02) ¥128,641,400 ($1.2 million), -03%, ¥1,117,052,200 ($10.7 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) WK3
04 (03) ¥x69,681,900 ($660,000), -31%, ¥958,691,700 ($9.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK4
05 (04) ¥x60,084,130 ($570,000), -31%, ¥2,162,791,570 ($20.4 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK6
06 (06) ¥x46,979,800 ($445,000), -41%, ¥276,288,100 ($2.5 million), Midnight Swan (Kino Films) WK2
07 (---) ¥x42,695,320 ($404,000), 0, ¥x48,934,740 ($0.5 million), Trolls: World Tour (Toho-Towa/Gaga) NEW
08 (08) ¥x40,336,300 ($382,000), -30%, ¥3,173,949,500 ($29.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK9
09 (07) ¥x36,560,700 ($346,000), -40%, ¥2,096,150,050 ($19.7 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK7
10 (09) ¥x31,034,400 ($294,000), -38%, ¥1,879,521,300 ($17.8 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK8


>Tenet earns its third-consecutive weekend atop the box-office, delivering an excellent hold off just 15% to sell a further 122,000 admissions. After 17-days in release, Nolan's latest has sold 1.03 million admissions. The film is holding astoundingly better than any of Nolan's past films, and it has already outgross both The Dark Knight and Dunkirk to become his third biggest film in the market; and it's very likely to surpass The Dark Knight Rises next weekend to become his second biggest film. It won't be able to match the success of Inception, but it's on track for an impressive ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) total.

>The Asadas! settled for a second place debut in revenue, but actually managed a first place start in admissions by selling 126,000 over the weekend frame across 343 screens. This is likely a little below expectations, but I expect this one to be quite leggy as it's going to be a weekday film since it's skewing toward older audiences (50+). It should finish near ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Violet Evergarden: The Movie remained nearly flat compared to last weekend and exceeded the ¥1 billion milestone after 17-days in release. It already surpassed the total of the last Violet Evergarden film, and at this rate, might come close to doubling it wit ha total around/above ¥1.5 billion ($15 million).

>Trolls: World Tour bombed, but that's not surprising and completely expected. I don't even think the first one received a theatrical release in the market, and if it did, it was a limited release. While DreamWorks animated films have been able to find a little more success in the market after Toho-Towa took over distribution rights, it's still a rare occurrence when one does find success in the market.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Oct 06, 2020 8:55 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.037 billion ($9.5 million) / 671,000 [962] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥1 billion ↨
¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) / 486,000 [359] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)
¥500 million ↨
¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) / 274,017 [156] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex)
¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) / 334,000 [377] - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥405.2 million ($3.9 million) / 289,000 [344] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) / 248,000 [333] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)
¥358.0 million ($3.4 million) / 263,000 [335] - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku)
¥326.8 million ($3.1 million) / 199,559 [488] - Tenet (Warner Bros.)

¥300 million ↨
¥283.0 million ($2.6 million) / 224,000 [313] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) / 190,910 [778] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥261.8 million ($2.5 million) / 212,000 [364] - Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and the Almost Four Heroes (Toho)
¥252.3 million ($2.4 million) / 174,636 [153] - Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku)
¥248.6 million ($2.3 million) / 195,939 [328] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥244.8 million ($2.2 million) / 177,000 [389] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥234.0 million ($2.2 million) / 171,000 [350] - Tapestry (Toho)
¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) / 169,000 [304] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥202.5 million ($1.9 million) / 165,000 [346] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)

¥200 million ↨
¥197.0 million ($1.8 million) / 143,000 [323] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥193.5 million ($1.8 million) / 132,000 [500] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥187.4 million ($1.7 million) / 130,000 [655] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥181.2 million ($1.7 million) / 124,000 [353] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥172.0 million ($1.6 million) / 126,000 [343] - The Asadas! (Toho)
¥164.6 million ($1.5 million) / 125,000 [311] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)
¥162.7 million ($1.5 million) / 118,863 [523] - Onward (Disney)
¥155.2 million ($1.4 million) / 116,000 [211] - Howling Village (Toei)
¥144.7 million ($1.3 million) / 121,000 [255] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) / 106,000 [357] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥140.1 million ($1.3 million) / 101,000 [131] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥138.4 million ($1.3 million) / 105,000 [339] - Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku)
¥136.2 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [261] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥132.4 million ($1.2 million) / 117,747 [347] - Yo-Kai Watch: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥125.0 million ($1.2 million) / 100,000 [353] - Welcome Back, Tora-San! (Shochiku)
¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) / x81,000 [736] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥122.6 million ($1.2 million) / x98,000 [303] - Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho)
¥115.7 million ($1.0 million) / x84,000 [158] - Shirobako (Kadokawa)
¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) / x81,486 [707] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥109.0 million ($1.0 million) / x59,000 [265] - Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures)
¥104.8 million ($1.0 million) / x77,000 [326] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥104.1 million ($0.9 million) / x82,000 [327] - The Memory Eraser (Shochiku)
¥100.1 million ($0.9 million) / x75,000 [216] - The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film)
¥100.0 million ($0.9 million) / x85,000 [244] - Kishiryu Sentai Ryusoulger VS Lupinranger VS Patranger (Toei)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Oct 06, 2020 8:55 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2020
Top Grossing Films: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥7.27 billion ($66.5 million) / 4.85 million [F] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥5.30 billion ($49.8 million) / 4.19 million [80] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.72 billion ($43.4 million) / 3.40 million [F] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥3.73 billion ($34.6 million) / 2.74 million [74] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥3.17 billion ($29.8 million) / 2.63 million [59] - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.16 billion ($20.4 million) / 1.63 million [38] - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku)
¥2.10 billion ($19.7 million) / 1.58 million [45] - Tapestry (Toho)
¥2.06 billion ($18.8 million) / 1.48 million [F] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.88 billion ($17.8 million) / 1.16 million [51] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex)
¥1.79 billion ($16.3 million) / 1.35 million [F] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥1.67 billion ($15.9 million) / 1.03 million [17] - Tenet (Warner Bros.)
¥1.50 billion ($13.8 million) / 1.23 million [F] - Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku)
¥1.41 billion ($12.9 million) / 1.13 million [F] - The Howling Village (Toei)
¥1.35 billion ($12.3 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥1.34 billion ($12.3 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥1.19 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.92 million [F] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥1.18 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.95 million [F] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥1.16 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.88 million [F] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.7 million) / 0.78 million [17] - Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku)
¥1.09 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.83 million [F] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)

¥1 billion ↨
¥958.7 million ($9.1 million) / 0.78 million [24] - Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and the Almost Four Heroes (Toho)
¥950.0 million ($8.7 million) / 0.76 million [E] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.74 million [E] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.62 million [E] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥890.0 million ($8.2 million) / 0.63 million [E] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥855.0 million ($8.0 million) / 0.78 million [E] - Spirited Away (2001) [re-release] (Toho)
¥852.9 million ($8.0 million) / 0.77 million [E] - Princess Mononoke (1997) [re-release] (Toho)
¥797.9 million ($7.4 million) / 0.63 million [E] - Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho)
¥796.4 million ($7.2 million) / 0.61 million [E] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥790.0 million ($7.4 million) / 0.59 million [E] - Onward (Disney)
¥770.0 million ($7.2 million) / 0.56 million [E] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥750.0 million ($6.8 million) / 0.65 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥709.0 million ($6.6 million) / 0.64 million [E] - Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho)
¥700.0 million ($6.5 million) / 0.55 million [E] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥689.5 million ($6.4 million) / 0.51 million [E] - Midsommar (Phantom Film)
¥660.0 million ($6.0 million) / 0.50 million [E] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥634.0 million ($5.9 million) / 0.49 million [E] - Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku)
¥622.0 million ($5.8 million) / 0.48 million [24] - The Cornered Mouse Dreams of Cheese (Phantom Film)
¥600.0 million ($5.6 million) / 0.45 million [E] - Made in the Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul (Kadokawa)
¥593.4 million ($5.6 million) / 0.34 million [26] - Break the Silence: The Movie (Avex Pictures)
¥540.5 million ($5.2 million) / 0.42 million [E] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥539.9 million ($5.2 million) / 0.41 million [E] - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu)
¥500.0 million ($4.7 million) / 0.35 million [E] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥500 million ↑ (COVID-19 Expansion)

NOTE: Any figures for a film that earned below ¥1 billion that is no longer playing are rough estimates. It's rare for final figures for films earning below that mark to be reported, but I'm going to include them this year given the circumstances. Just remember: They're rough estimates.

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Oct 06, 2020 8:55 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (10/03-04); Charts Update
Beginning October 16th, just in time for Demon Slayer's opening weekend interestingly enough, all but one of Toho's Cinemas will be back to 100% occupancy over the weekends. 11 of Toho's Cinemas (their busiest locations) went back to 100% occupancy this past weekend (October 3rd). Toho Cinemas is the second largest chain in the country, but the busiest.

And with that, Aeon Cinemas is the only major chain that hasn't announced when they'll be back to 100% occupancy.

However, to accommodate the mass pre-sales and buzz surrounding Demon Slayer (which will be aiming for a potential record opening weekend), Aeon has announced:

-Specific times to reserve seating at all of their locations starting on the 9th.
-Increasing the number of screens the film will be playing on at all of their locations (all of their locations will be playing the film).
-Earlier start time for the film, starting at 7:40AM for the stage greeting showings.
-They will also be broadcasting stage greetings (including a performance by LISA) with the cast at 40 of their locations, but no singing (the anime's opening song is the biggest selling anime single of all-time) will be permitted due to the virus.

Nearly all of the smaller chains went back to 100% occupancy on September 19th after the government fully lifted restrictions. So when Toho Cinemas takes their remaining theaters to 100% occupancy on October 16th, and assuming Aeon Cinemas is still at 50% at that point, around 75% of the country will be back to operating at 100%.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Oct 06, 2020 9:22 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: 2020 Weekend #1 Films
Weekend #1 Films: 2020

01/04-05: ¥496.2 million ($4.6 million) - Frozen II (Disney) WK7
01/11-12: ¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK1
01/18-19: ¥225.0 million ($2.0 million) - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK2
01/25-26: ¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) - Cats (Toho-Towa) WK1
02/01-02: ¥225.0 million ($2.1 million) - AI Amok (Warner Bros) WK1
02/08-09: ¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho) WK1
02/15-16: ¥371.5 million ($3.4 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK6
02/22-23: ¥294.2 million ($2.7 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK7
02/29-03/01: ¥166.1 million ($1.5 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK8
03/07-08: ¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku) WK1
03/14-15: ¥107.9 million ($1.0 million) - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku) WK2
03/21-22: ¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK1
03/28-29: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Not Quite Dead (Shochiku) WK2
04/04-05: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK3
04/11-12: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK4
04/18-19: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
04/25-26: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
05/02-03: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
05/09-10: No Data Available (All Theaters Closed)
05/16-17: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK1
05/23-24: ¥0.63 million ($0.6 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK2
05/30-31: ¥0.66 million ($0.6 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK3
06/06-07: ¥0.80 million ($0.7 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK4
06/13-14: ¥0.42 million ($0.4 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK5
06/20-21: ¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) - Dolittle (Toho-Towa) WK1
06/27-28: ¥0.98 million ($0.9 million) - Rambo: Last Blood (Gaga) WK1
07/04-05: ¥0.93 million ($0.9 million) - Spirited Away (2001) [re-release] (Toho) WK2
07/11-12: ¥0.87 million ($0.8 million) - Spirited Away (2001) [re-release] (Toho) WK3
07/18-19: ¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK1
07/25-26: ¥496.4 million ($4.7 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK2
08/01-02: ¥275.9 million ($2.6 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK3
08/08-09: ¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK1
08/15-16: ¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) - Fate/night stay: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK1
08/22-23: ¥234.0 million ($2.2 million) - Tapestry (Toho) WK1
08/29-30: ¥358.0 million ($3.4 million) - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK1
09/05-06: ¥255.1 million ($2.4 million) - Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK2
09/12-13: ¥261.8 million ($2.5 million) - Crayon Shin-chan: Crash! Rakuga Kingdom and the Almost Four Heroes (Toho) WK1
09/19-20: ¥326.8 million ($3.1 million) - Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK1
09/26-27: ¥246.3 million ($2.3 million) - Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK2
10/03-04: ¥210.2 million ($2.0 million) - Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK3


Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Poor) / <¥100 million (COVID-19 Expansion)

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:38 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (10/03-04); Charts Update
Here is the rough timeline for how theaters in Japan closed and reopened. I've been including this off to the side when I post the Weekend #1 Films Chart above, but it's getting a bit cluttered, so here is a more in-depth listing of the events so far:

Closing Phase:
Mar. 28th: Urban Prefectures Declare State Of Emergency; Theaters Closed In 8/47 Prefectures; Nationwide Capacity Down To ~20-25%.
Apr. 18th: Government Declares State Of Emergency; All Theaters Closed; Nationwide Capacity Down To 0%.


Reopening Phase:
May 16th: Theaters Reopen In 39/47 Prefectures At 50% Occupancy; Nationwide Capacity Up To ~20-25%.
June 20th: All Theaters Reopen; 8/47 Prefectures At 25% Occupancy; Nationwide Capacity Up To ~30-35%.
July 18th: Theaters In 8/47 Prefectures Expand To 50% Occupancy; Nationwide Capacity Up To 50%.
Sept. 19th: Government Fully Lifts Capacity Restrictions; Most Chains Expand To 100% Occupancy; Nationwide Capacity Up To ~60-65%.
Oct. 3rd: 11/69 Toho Cinemas Resume 100% Occupancy; Nationwide Capacity Up To ~65-70%.
Oct. 16th: 68/69 Toho Cinemas Back To 100% Occupancy; Nationwide Capacity Up To ~75-80%.


Note: The selected dates aren't when the announcements or laws/regulations began or ended, but rather the date when they had an impact on the box-office.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (10/03-04); Charts Update
Corpse, is it true that Stand by me Doraemon 2 is going to release on November 20? It was posted on doraemon's official website and eiga.com and it also stated that it will be released across 38 IMAX theatres.


Tue Oct 06, 2020 4:55 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (10/03-04); Charts Update
That's correct!

And that should be a fine enough date. December would have been better, but they rescheduled Pokemon there after it got delayed from July. I was actually expecting them to release it March 2021 to take the spot of the annual Doraemon film that opens there (this year's film was delayed to August, as you know), but this now means that Toho is likely to release the annual Doraemon film next March as planned uninterrupted. 3 Doraemon films in a 12-month span!

I do expect a notable drop-off compared to the first Stand By Me, Doraemon though. I'm thinking ¥4/5 billion ($40-50 million), probably around the heights of the annual franchise. The first one was the first ever CGI Doraemon film, and was able to bring in generations of moviegoers versus the usual family crowd the annual films attract, so it performed well above the franchise norm. That novelty factor boost should largely vanish with the sequel.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Oct 06, 2020 9:46 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (8/22-23); Charts Upda
Postponed Films Of 2020 Reschedule Calendar (As of Sept. 25th):

Delayed Films From February 2020:
Shimajiro and the Flying Ship [New Date: Spring 2021]

Delayed Films From March 2020:
Pretty Cure Miracle Leap: A Wonderful Day With Everyone [NEW DATE: Oct. 31st, 2020]

Delayed Films From April 2020:
No Time to Die [NEW DATE: Nov. 20th, 2020]
Princess Principal: Crown Handler - Chapter One [NEW DATE: Feb. 11th, 2021]
Detective Conan: The Scarlet Bullet [NEW DATE: Apr. 2021]


Delayed Films From May 2020:
Happy-Go-Lucky Days [NEW DATE: Oct. 23rd, 2020]
Looking For A Witch Apprentice [NEW DATE: Nov. 23rd, 2020]
The Sun Does Not Move [NEW DATE: March 5th, 2021]
My Blood and Bones in a Flowering Galaxy [NEW DATE: Apr. 9th, 2021]
Black Widow [OLD DATE: Nov. 06th, 2020]; [NEW DATE: Apr. 21st, 2021]


Delayed Films From June 2020:
Tonkatsu DJ Age-Taro [NEW DATE: Oct. 30th, 2020]
Monster Strike the Movie: Lucifer - Dawn of Despair [NEW DATE: Nov. 6th, 2020]
Flight on Water [NEW DATE: Nov. 13th, 2020]
Wonder Woman 1984 [OLD DATE: Oct. 06th, 2020]; [NEW DATE: Dec. 25th, 2020]
Ura Aka - L'Aventure [NEW DATE: Spring 2021]
Anpanman: Fluffy Fuwari and the Cloud Country [NEW DATE: June 2021]


Delayed Films From July 2020:
Kamen Rider Zero-One [NEW DATE: Dec. 18th, 2020]
Pokemon: Koco [NEW DATE: Dec. 25th, 2020]
Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter Pt. 1 - The Beginning [NEW DATE: Golden Week 2021]


Delayed Films From August 2020:
Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 [NEW DATE: Nov. 20th, 2020]
Free Guy [NEW DATE: Jan. 22nd, 2021]
Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter Pt. 2 - The Final [NEW DATE: Golden Week 2021]


NOTE: Highlighted Film = Newly added postponed film recently rescheduled.

Hollywood keeps delaying their films since releasing them in the U.S. is proving troublesome, so keeping track of them is a bit annoying. If they received a rescheduled date but was delayed again to a different date, I've labeled the first rescheduled date as OLD DATE and the most recent rescheduled date as NEW DATE as long as they still have a release date (month/year). And if they were delayed after being rescheduled at least once (thus making the list above), but don't have a new release date, I'm striking them.

Also, I'm guessing Hollywood will continue to delay their films, so I'm not going to bother adding Delayed Films From September onward. Only a few local films originally scheduled for September or later this year have been delayed, so it's not worth adding those months.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Oct 06, 2020 10:14 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 Versus 2020
Here is the Weekend Top 10 Breakdown between 2019 and 2020. And do keep in mind that 2019 was the biggest year ever at the Japan box-office in revenue, and was the most attended year in over 45 years. So 2020 is certainly up against the biggest prior year possible, really, and it doesn't help matters now that Hollywood is delaying almost all their films.

The Japan box-office can survive with just local films (local films have accounted for around 60% of the box-office every year since 2008), but obviously it'll be down without Hollywood films on the calendar.

2019 vs. 2020 Breakdown (Top 10 Films)

Week 1: ¥1.484 vs ¥1.592 (+7%)
Week 2: ¥1.726 vs ¥1.662 (-4%)
Week 3: ¥1.621 vs ¥1.296 (-20%)
Week 4: ¥1.471 vs ¥1.278 (-13%)
Week 5: ¥1.668 vs ¥1.137 (-32%)
Week 6: ¥1.992 vs ¥1.037 (-48%)
Week 7: ¥1.342 vs ¥1.136 (-15%)
Week 8: ¥1.427 vs ¥1.062 (-26%)
Week 9: ¥1.849 vs ¥.740 (-60%)
Week 10: ¥1.709 vs ¥.605 (-65%)
Week 11: ¥1.934 vs ¥.505 (-74%)
Week 12: ¥1.298 vs ¥.536 (-59%)
Week 13: ¥1.278 vs N/A (-100%)
Week 14: ¥.774 vs N/A (-100%)
Week 15: ¥2.007 vs N/A (-100%)
Week 16: ¥2.139 vs N/A (-100%)
Week 17: ¥2.550 vs N/A (-100%)
Week 18: ¥2.441 vs N/A (-100%)
Week 19: ¥1.369 vs N/A (-100%)

Week 20: ¥1.560 vs ¥.26 (-98%)
Week 21: ¥1.585 vs ¥.85 (-95%)
Week 22: ¥1.860 vs ¥.99 (-95%)
Week 23: ¥2.211 vs ¥.154 (-93%)
Week 24: ¥2.215 vs ¥.157 (-93%)
Week 25: ¥2.059 vs ¥.249 (-88%)
Week 26: ¥2.306 vs ¥.557 (-76%)
Week 27: ¥1.779 vs ¥.471 (-74%)
Week 28: ¥3.100 vs ¥.449 (-86%)
Week 29: ¥2.989 vs ¥.878 (-71%)
Week 30: ¥2.899 vs ¥1.075 (-63%)
Week 31: ¥2.660 vs ¥.638 (-76%)
Week 32: ¥3.374 vs ¥1.012 (-70%)
Week 33: ¥2.501 vs ¥1.527 (-39%)
Week 34: ¥2.178 vs ¥1.263 (-42%)
Week 35: ¥2.153 vs ¥1.382 (-36%)
Week 36: ¥1.585 vs ¥1.027 (-35%)
Week 37: ¥1.693 vs ¥1.319 (-22%)
Week 38: ¥1.420 vs ¥1.303 (-8%)
Week 39: ¥.955 vs ¥.942 (-1%)
Week 40: ¥1.454 vs ¥.838 (-42%)
Week 41: ¥.847
Week 42: ¥1.259
Week 43: ¥1.092
Week 44: ¥1.135
Week 45: ¥1.311
Week 46: ¥1.006
Week 47: ¥2.508
Week 48: ¥2.104
Week 49: ¥1.809
Week 50: ¥1.714
Week 51: ¥2.530
Week 52: ¥1.928


Top 10 Totals in billions of Yen.

The next six weeks (especially the five weeks to follow this upcoming weekend) look good, and could certainly be up in weeks 42-46 (weeks 42 and 43 in particular will be WAY up this year). I also don't think any more weekends this year will be down more than 50%, and even 40% is probably too high aside from weeks 47 and 51. I'm going to project that 2020 will be down 55-60% versus 2019 (again, biggest year ever) by the end of the year.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Thu Oct 08, 2020 9:59 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
that looks bad but somehow way better than the US one.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
I think most countries would like their box-office to be down around 60% this year (possibly sub-50% with some luck). -42% has been the worst year-on-year decline since theaters reopened nationwide at 50% capacity, and besides this past weekend (due to the first weekend of last October being a record), it's gradually improved as capacity restrictions have been fully lifted.

That said, this weekend is going to be hampered by yet another typhoon hitting over this unfortunate weekend. This is the third year in a row that a typhoon has occurred over the second weekend in October.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Fri Oct 09, 2020 11:25 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (And More)
The 22nd volume of Demon Slayer, the second to last volume in the series, sold 2,204,279 copies last week (3-days!!!), the second biggest first week sales for any manga ever on record. And the series has sold over 70 million copies in about eleven months in just Japan, nearly double the old yearly record. It exceeded 100 million copies worldwide last week, too.

Demon Slayer: Mugen Train, the first movie in the series, opens next weekend at the box-office and is going to be a true monster, certainly a potential record-setting opening weekend is in play. It's becoming one of the most hyped theatrical releases in the history of Japan's box-office.

When it opens next Friday (Oct. 16th), around 75% of theaters will be back to operating at 100% capacity, and every chain that has released screen/showtime info so far has it playing on a record/near-record level in terms of seats/showtimes.

And the remaining 25% or so, Aeon Cinemas, while choosing to remain at 50% capacity, is giving it an insane amount of screens and showings as a result to accommodate it. It's playing on as many as half of their location'screens, and it's playing 30-40 times a day at their busiest locations.

I'll provide much more information in the final days leading up to its release next Friday.

Biggest All-Time Manga First Week Sales - 750,000+ [2008-]:

2,275,453 - One Piece Vol. 66 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2012]
2,204,279 - Demon Slayer Vol. 22 (Shueisha/Koyoharu Gotouge) [2020]
2,119,401 - One Piece Vol. 63 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2011]
2,094,123 - One Piece Vol. 60 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2010]
2,086,080 - One Piece Vol. 61 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2011]
2,075,407 - One Piece Vol. 73 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2014]

2,041,897 - Demon Slayer Vol. 21 (Shueisha/Koyoharu Gotouge) [2020]
2,019,094 - One Piece Vol. 70 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2013]
2,018,366 - One Piece Vol. 64 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2011]

________
1,990,249 - Demon Slayer Vol. 20 (Shueisha/Koyoharu Gotouge) [2020]
1,934,961 - One Piece Vol. 65 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2012]
1,852,750 - One Piece Vol. 74 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2014]
1,851,770 - One Piece Vol. 85 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2017]
1,852,541 - One Piece Vol. 59 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2010]
1,844,838 - One Piece Vol. 80 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2015]
1,842,220 - One Piece Vol. 69 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2013]
1,788,455 - One Piece Vol. 62 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2011]
1,775,905 - One Piece Vol. 75 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2014]
1,754,309 - One Piece Vol. 67 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2012]
1,714,629 - One Piece Vol. 81 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2016]
1,690,932 - One Piece Vol. 57 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2010]
1,676,264 - One Piece Vol. 78 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2015]
1,668,225 - One Piece Vol. 77 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2015]
1,631,659 - One Piece Vol. 83 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2016]
1,629,995 - One Piece Vol. 82 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2016]
1,580,757 - One Piece Vol. 58 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2010]
1,555,724 - One Piece Vol. 68 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2012]
1,542,134 - One Piece Vol. 71 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2013]
1,540,005 - One Piece Vol. 72 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2013]
1,510,524 - One Piece Vol. 91 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2018]
1,505,639 - One Piece Vol. 87 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2017]
1,500,448 - One Piece Vol. 84 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2017]
________
1,467,741 - One Piece Vol. 79 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2015]
1,452,075 - One Piece Vol. 86 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2017]
1,441,768 - One Piece Vol. 76 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2014]
1,437,550 - One Piece Vol. 90 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2018]

1,378,361 - Demon Slayer Vol. 19 (Shueisha/Koyoharu Gotouge) [2020]
1,378,177 - One Piece Vol. 93 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2019]
1,363,868 - One Piece Vol. 56 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2009]
1,301,484 - One Piece Vol. 88 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2018]
1,255,427 - One Piece Vol. 97 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2020]
1,236,460 - One Piece Vol. 89 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2018]

1,229,677 - Attack on Titan Vol. 12 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2013]
1,194,145 - One Piece Vol. 53 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2009]
1,182,232 - One Piece Vol. 94 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2019]
1,171,142 - One Piece Vol. 54 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2009]
1,154,805 - One Piece Vol. 92 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2019]

1,130,508 - Attack on Titan Vol. 13 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2014]
1,121,685 - One Piece Vol. 55 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2009]
1,070,591 - One Piece Vol. 96 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2020]
1,056,634 - Attack on Titan Vol. 16 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2015]
1,045,937 - One Piece Vol. 52 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2008]
1,029,249 - One Piece Vol. 51 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2008]

1,026,022 - Attack on Titan Vol. 18 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2015]
1,010,545 - Attack on Titan Vol. 15 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2014]

1,010,026 - One Piece Vol. 50 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2008]
1,006,422 - Attack on Titan Vol. 20 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2016]
________
950,829 - Demon Slayer Vol. 18 (Shueisha/Koyoharu Gotouge) [2019]
904,463 - Attack on Titan Vol. 17 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2015]
886,135 - Fullmetal Alchemist Vol. 23 (Square Enix/Hiromu Arakawa) [2009]
883,228 - One Piece Vol. 95 (Shueisha/Eiichiro Oda) [2019] *2-Day Only*
874,120 - Naruto Vol. 72 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2015]
868,650 - Hunter X Hunter Vol. 34 (Shueisha/Yoshihiro Togashi) [2017]
862,480 - Attack on Titan Vol. 23 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2017]
852,757 - Attack on Titan Vol. 14 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2014]

849,067 - Fullmetal Alchemist Vol. 24 (Square Enix/Hiromu Arakawa) [2009]
847,826 - Naruto Vol. 60 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2012]
846,206 - Naruto Vol. 52 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2010]

835,311 - Fullmetal Alchemist Vol. 27 (Square Enix/Hiromu Arakawa) [2010]
825,302 - Fullmetal Alchemist Vol. 25 (Square Enix/Hiromu Arakawa) [2010]

819,243 - Naruto Vol. 53 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2010]
799,895 - Naruto Vol. 49 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2010]
783,827 - Naruto Vol. 47 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2009]
781,619 - Naruto Vol. 48 (Shueisha/Masashi Kishimoto) [2009]

781,466 - Fullmetal Alchemist Vol. 26 (Square Enix/Hiromu Arakawa) [2010]
771,707 - Attack on Titan Vol. 19 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2016]
764,022 - Attack on Titan Vol. 11 (Kodansha/Hajime Isayama) [2013]

759,431 - Fullmetal Alchemist Vol. 22 (Square Enix/Hiromu Arakawa) [2009]


Blue - One Piece
Green - Attack on Titan
Red - Demon Slayer
Orange - Naruto
Purple - Fullmetal Alchemist
Grey - Hunter X Hunter

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Fri Oct 09, 2020 11:06 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
Corpse wrote:
That said, this weekend is going to be hampered by yet another typhoon hitting over this unfortunate weekend. This is the third year in a row that a typhoon has occurred over the second weekend in October.


Thankfully this year's typhoon is staying a decent bit off the coast, and won't make landfall over the weekend. It's still doing to result in heavy rains and some strong winds, but the impact seems pretty minimal (especially compared to the monster storm that hit last year).

Saturday holds were all pretty normal, mostly in the 25/30% range. Tenet is going to repeat at #1 for a fourth weekend, and will likely surpass The Dark Knight Rises on Sunday to become Nolan's second biggest film in the market. Sunday is when the worst part of the typhoon will be affecting the Tokyo region, so the day might be a bit weaker than normal. And Monday is a national holiday, so some of the Sunday (and general weekend) spillover from anyone wanting to stay in due to the storm could boost Monday.

The Weekend Top 10 should be down a respectable 25/30% versus last year.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
Bungo Stray Dogs: Dead Apple grossed $4.98 million according to Wikipedia. How wide of a release was it?


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Bungo Stray Dogs: Dead Apple grossed $4.98 million according to Wikipedia. How wide of a release was it?


While I'm working on the Weekend Estimates at this moment, can you give me its release date in the meantime? I'll look it up for you later today

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
Corpse wrote:
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Bungo Stray Dogs: Dead Apple grossed $4.98 million according to Wikipedia. How wide of a release was it?


While I'm working on the Weekend Estimates at this moment, can you give me its release date in the meantime? I'll look it up for you later today

Sorry about that. It released on March 3, 2018. Someanithing reports it making ¥550,000,000 or $4.98 million across 11 weekends with 74+ screens. Sounds crazy good if true. What are the typical budgets and expected performances for anime films with limited releases? How many Blu-rays and DVDs do they need to move to break-even at minimum? The only numbers I've seen are 3,000-5,000. Would you say that's accurate?


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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (10/10-11)
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Weekend Estimates(10/10-11):
01 (01) ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), -19%, ¥2,065,000,000 ($19.6 million), Tenet (Warner Bros.) WK4
02 (02) ¥119,000,000 ($1.1 million), -31%, ¥650,000,000 ($6.1 million), The Asadas! (Toho) WK2
03 (03) ¥x70,000,000 ($660,000), -46%, ¥1,330,000,000 ($12.8 million), Violet Evergarden: The Movie (Shochiku) WK4
04 (---) ¥x65,000,000 ($615,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million), Hope (Kadokawa) NEW
05 (04) ¥x55,000,000 ($520,000), -21%, ¥1,040,000,000 ($10.0 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Rakuga Kingdom and the Four Heroes (Toho) WK5
06 (05) ¥x39,000,000 ($370,000), -35%, ¥2,255,000,000 ($21.3 million), Stigmatized Properties (Shochiku) WK7
07 (08) ¥x35,000,000 ($330,000), -12%, ¥3,220,000,000 ($30.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK10
08 (06) ¥x35,000,000 ($330,000), -25%, ¥380,000,000 ($3.5 million), Midnight Swan (Kino Films) WK3
09 (07) ¥x32,000,000 ($300,000), -26%, ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million), Trolls: World Tour (Toho-Towa/Gaga) WK2
10 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($285,000), 0, ¥x45,000,000 ($0.4 million), Kim Ji-young: Born 1982 (Klockworks) NEW
11 (---) ¥x25,000,000 ($235,000), 0, ¥x35,000,000 ($0.3 million), Under the Stars (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
12 (09) ¥x24,000,000 ($225,000), -34%, ¥2,165,000,000 ($20.3 million), Tapestry (Toho) WK7


>Tenet is now Nolan's second biggest film in Japan, only behind Inception, after another excellent hold. A total north of ¥2.5 billion (~$25 million) is locked up now, and it might even get pretty close to reaching the ¥3 billion (~$30 million) milestone. But I wouldn't expect a total quite that high, however, since it's losing all its IMAX screens to Demon Slayer next weekend.

>The Asadas! opened to a so-so result last weekend, but as expected since it's an older-skewing film, it did exceptionally well over the weekdays (around 50% better than its opening weekend) and won't end up with a disappointing total after all. It'll probably end up finishing near the ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million) mark.

The Weekend Top 10 is down a respectable 24% versus the same weekend last year, based on estimates. Monday is a national holiday, so the Weekend Actuals will be delayed until Tuesday. I'll post Monday's estimates tomorrow though while we wait.

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Sun Oct 11, 2020 12:27 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Christopher Nolan Box Office History
Christopher Nolan - Box-Office History:

Opening Weekends:
¥780.0 million ($7.8 million) / 600,000 - Inception*
¥372.0 million ($4.6 million) / 269,170 - The Dark Knight Rises
¥333.2 million ($3.1 million) / 248,167 - The Dark Knight
¥326.8 million ($3.1 million) / 199,559 - Tenet
¥323.9 million ($3.0 million) / 220,149 - Dunkirk
¥290.2 million ($2.7 million) / 215,000 - Batman Begins
¥193.4 million ($1.7 million) / 137,490 - Interstellar
¥171.4 million ($1.4 million) / 128,389 - Insomnia
¥112.6 million ($0.9 million) / x95,516 - The Prestige

*Note: Japan Box-Office History Lesson:
Inception's opening weekend (above) was a reported 6-day gross from Warner Bros. that included previews and its Friday earnings. In order to claim a #1 debut when it opened (because it would have been #3), Warner Bros. was kinda shady and combined all of its figures together in order to do so. And due to this happening, Eiren (Producers Association of Motion Pictures) ruled that previews and early showings could no longer be reported as part of a film's opening weekend gross. So, Inception holds the honor (dishonor?) of being the LAST film in the market to have early showings/previews included in its opening weekend. And almost no studio bothers with previews anymore as a result since they are excluded, thus lowering the opening weekend potential.


Totals:
¥3.50 billion ($42.9 million) / 2.70 million - Inception
¥2.07 billion ($19.6 million) / 1.27 million - Tenet [After 4 Weeks in Release] *Est.*
¥1.97 billion ($24.2 million) / 1.49 million - The Dark Knight Rises
¥1.64 billion ($14.7 million) / 1.17 million - Dunkirk
¥1.60 billion ($15.8 million) / 1.25 million - The Dark Knight
¥1.40 billion ($14.1 million) / 1.08 million - Batman Begins
¥1.25 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.91 million - Interstellar
¥950.0 million ($7.8 million) / 0.73 million - Insomnia *Est.*
¥500.0 million ($4.1 million) / 0.38 million - The Prestige *Est.*

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Sun Oct 11, 2020 12:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Corpse wrote:
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Bungo Stray Dogs: Dead Apple grossed $4.98 million according to Wikipedia. How wide of a release was it?


While I'm working on the Weekend Estimates at this moment, can you give me its release date in the meantime? I'll look it up for you later today

Sorry about that. It released on March 3, 2018. Someanithing reports it making ¥550,000,000 or $4.98 million across 11 weekends with 74+ screens. Sounds crazy good if true. What are the typical budgets and expected performances for anime films with limited releases? How many Blu-rays and DVDs do they need to move to break-even at minimum? The only numbers I've seen are 3,000-5,000. Would you say that's accurate?

The ¥550m is from one of those 5ch film gross threads, might have been CineJun yearlies or something: https://medaka.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/an ... 26/278-279

The video disc release for Dead Apple sold 26,355. However, you can't look at DVD/BD sales for "break-even", it's a lot more complicated than that, especially for films which have box office receipts. Anime (maybe other productions too, but I only look at anime) is funded via a committee model where a number of companies come together and pool investment and each manage one or more revenue streams. So the company publishing the video discs cares about the DVD/BD sales, but they're not necessarily relevant to the other companies on the committee, who may be benefiting more directly from, say, music sales, or international licensing, or whatever else.

So think of it like each individual company on the committee having their own break-even point, not the anime production itself having a single break-even point.


Edit: The production committee for the film was:

Kadokawa
Bones
Lantis
Klockworx
Kadokawa Media House
Bandai Namco Live Creative
Movic
Sony Music Communications
Glovision
WOWOW

Pretty sizable committee, and the order in which they're listed is generally the order of how much money they invested.


Last edited by somekindofthing on Sun Oct 11, 2020 11:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Oct 11, 2020 12:36 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
somekindofthing wrote:
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Corpse wrote:
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
Bungo Stray Dogs: Dead Apple grossed $4.98 million according to Wikipedia. How wide of a release was it?


While I'm working on the Weekend Estimates at this moment, can you give me its release date in the meantime? I'll look it up for you later today

Sorry about that. It released on March 3, 2018. Someanithing reports it making ¥550,000,000 or $4.98 million across 11 weekends with 74+ screens. Sounds crazy good if true. What are the typical budgets and expected performances for anime films with limited releases? How many Blu-rays and DVDs do they need to move to break-even at minimum? The only numbers I've seen are 3,000-5,000. Would you say that's accurate?

The ¥550m is from one of those 5ch film gross threads, might have been CineJun yearlies or something: https://medaka.5ch.net/test/read.cgi/an ... 26/278-279

The video disc release for Dead Apple sold 26,355. However, you can't look at DVD/BD sales for "break-even", it's a lot more complicated than that, especially for films which have box office receipts. Anime (maybe other productions too, but I only look at anime) is funded via a committee model where a number of companies come together and pool investment and each manage one or more revenue streams. So the company publishing the video discs cares about the DVD/BD sales, but they're not necessarily relevant to the other companies on the committee, who may be benefiting more directly from, say, music sales, or international licensing, or whatever else.

So think of it like each individual company on the committee having their own break-even point, not the anime production itself having a single break-even point.


Understood. What would you make of the Polygon Pictures Godzilla anime trilogy? Godzilla: Planet of the Monsters (2017), Godzilla: City on the Edge of Battle (2018), and Godzilla: The Planet Eater (2018). Toho recently referred to it as a success in the press release for a new Godzilla anime television series by Bones. From the numbers I've been able to find here and elsewhere, collectively the trilogy made $7 million from 158 screens per film and 18,200+ total DVD/BD sales. I haven't been able to find budgets, though I doubt the films cost much. How does Netflix factor into this or anime in general? The trilogy was originally meant to be a television series and putting them in theaters as films seems like a last minute decision to make extra money. I imagine whatever they cost were accounted in the deal with Netflix and their box office potential was hurt by everyone knowing they would be on Netflix. Do you buy Toho's claim?


Sun Oct 11, 2020 1:03 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Estimates (10/10-11)
I would go with somekindofthing on this one. Budgets are hard to come by in the market, but generally budgets don't exceed ¥1 billion unless it's a major production, and are typically much less than that. I'd be surprised if Dead Apple didn't make a profit.

And I'll contribute by adding that grossing ¥550 million ($5 million) isn't unusual for a limited anime film playing on 74 screens. I wouldn't even say it's great. It's good, certainly, but it's not uncommon for them to approach ¥1 billion ($10 million) sometimes, and I'm sure a few have grossed above ¥1 billion, too.

Someone recently asked about the Violet Garden films in this thread, and the film released last year earned around ¥800 million ($7/8 million) on fewer than 100 screens. It's just one example of many.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Sun Oct 11, 2020 1:08 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: 2019 vs. 2020 (Top 10 Breakdown)
fiery_cockatrice wrote:
How does Netflix factor into this or anime in general?

I don't know anything about Godzilla in particular (and I try very hard to ignore the existence of 3DCG productions in general) but as for Netflix, most of the time they're acting like any other company in a licensing or co-funding role. A lot of people treat them as special because they've got mainstream brand recognition. But their model for anime isn't fundamentally different from what, say, Crunchyroll does.

Sometimes they simply license the online distribution rights for shows that were already fully produced and funded by a JP committee. Sometimes they are on the committee and providing funding just like any other members. And occasionally they are the primary instigator/funder of the production overall. They aren't the only company that does any of these things. What they are, though, is successful at getting people to buy into the "Netflix Originals" gimmick, even when what they're streaming is in no way an original production they themselves produced and fully funded. It's a marketing tactic I find quite disingenuous. But unfortunately it works, so Crunchyroll has been adopting the same phrasing and I'm expecting Funimation to start a similar branding at some point. Really the only thing unique about Netflix is that they have infinite money to throw around.


Sun Oct 11, 2020 5:26 pm
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