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 Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/19-20); Charts Updated! 
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: First Obon Festival Figures
I'll wait until tomorrow because I think the full Weekend Actuals will be released this evening since some were released this morning (yesterday evening in Japan). :thumbsup:

Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur earned ¥413 million ($3.9 million) on 334,000 admissions over the weekend frame (08/08-09), and has grossed ¥761 million ($7.2 million) on 630,000 admissions after its first four-days (08/07-10) in release.

This is very close to the estimate I gave by giving rural locations a much higher share of ticket sales than usual (since they don't have as many capacity restrictions as urban locations), so I'd consider it a win and good news for doing estimates moving forward. The weekend opening itself is on the low-end for the franchise, but it still opened well under restrictions. The eventual total will be more representative of its success than the opening weekend. A four-day total that's almost 2x the opening weekend, even if it's a holiday period, is already a very encouraging sign of a leggy run.

As for the holdovers,

From Today, It's My Turn! continues to do very well in second place, grossing ¥218 million ($2.1 million) by selling a further 167,000 admissions in its fourth weekend, bringing its cumulative 25-day total (Monday included) above ¥3.3 billion ($31.1 million+) on 2.62 million admissions. It's going to get close to the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion ($45-50 million) and near 4 million admissions. So... a blockbuster performance is still doable in the market despite theater capacity limits in place. A ¥5 billion total is about the equivalent of a film grossing $250 million in the U.S.

The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess ranked in third place in its third weekend, grossing ¥180 million ($1.7 million) and selling 126,000 admissions, bringing its cumulative 19-day total (Monday included) over ¥2 billion ($19 million) on 1.53 million admissions. It's likely to exceed the ¥3 billion ($30 million) milestone, surpassing its predecessor's ¥2.97 billion ($27.2 million) total.

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Tue Aug 11, 2020 9:50 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: First Obon Festival Figures Up
Weekend Actuals will be posted soon. Then I'll post the Monday and Tuesday Estimates a bit later. Note that for Monday's estimates, some numbers will be actual figures (I'll mark which) since they were reported as part of the four-day weekend due to the holiday.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Aug 11, 2020 6:07 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09)
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Weekend Actuals (08/08-09):
01 (---) ¥413,233,950 ($3.9 million), 0, ¥551,742,600 ($5.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥218,379,150 ($2.1 million), -21%, ¥3,209,066,200 ($30.3 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK4
03 (02) ¥180,041,900 ($1.7 million), -25%, ¥1,997,277,100 ($18.9 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho) WK3
04 (---) ¥x75,532,690 ($711,000), 0, ¥110,598,710 ($1.0 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros.) NEW
05 (---) ¥x36,528,000 ($344,000), 0, ¥x53,608,800 ($0.5 million), Ultraman Ginga S (Shochiku) NEW
06 (---) ¥x31,058,200 ($293,000), 0, ¥x46,973,540 ($0.4 million), Hinatazaka 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) NEW
07 (---) ¥x17,850,100 ($168,000), 0, ¥x28,341,150 ($0.3 million), Eyes on Me: The Movie (Avex Entertainment) NEW
08 (03) ¥x15,067,100 ($142,000), -45%, ¥812,738,150 ($7.6 million), Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho) WK7
09 (04) ¥x13,269,000 ($125,000), -46%, ¥818,152,150 ($7.7 million), Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) WK7
10 (05) ¥x11,284,600 ($106,000), -43%, ¥677,165,000 ($6.3 million), Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho) WK7


>Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur, the 40th entry in the long-running animated franchise, also celebrating the 50th anniversary of the iconic character, debuted atop the box-office this weekend after being postponed from its original date back in March. The film sold 334,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 377 screens, and sold 630,000 admissions after its first four-days (08/07-10) in release. It's currently Obon Festival, so its total as of Monday was released.

As I've said, this opening weekend is on the low-end of the franchise, but given theater capacity restrictions in the busier prefectures, it's satisfactory result. And given said theater capacity restrictions, I don't believe the opening itself is worrisome by any means, especially when you consider its four-day total was almost double its opening weekend figure. Even if we assume a typical run for the film, it'll get close to ¥3 billion ($25-30 million), but I believe it'll be noticeably leggier than the average Doraemon film, and would expect a total closer to ¥3.5-4 billion ($35-40 million). Its performance will be important to track for the potential of future releases targeting families/young children.

>From Today, It's My Turn! held very well in its fourth weekend selling a further 167,000 admissions to bring its cumulative 25-day total (Monday included) above ¥3.3 billion ($31.1 million+) on 2.62 million admissions. It's going to get close to (may even reach) the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion ($45-50 million) and near 4 million admissions. So... a blockbuster performance is still doable in the market despite theater capacity limits in place. A ¥5 billion total is about the equivalent of a film grossing $250 million in the U.S.

>The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess settled for third in its third weekend, selling an additional 126,000 admissions, bringing its cumulative 19-day total (Monday included) over ¥2 billion ($19 million+) on 1.53 million admissions. It's likely to exceed the ¥3 billion ($30 million) milestone, surpassing its predecessor's ¥2.97 billion ($27.2 million) total.

>Grand Blue probably could have opened a bit better, but it did earn Warner Bros. their best debut in the market since Birds of Prey, so there's that to consider. They'll have a lot more to celebrate next month though when Tenet opens.

>Hayao Miyazaki's three classics in re-release managed to stay in the Top 10 in their seventh weekends of re-release. All three experienced large declines due to losing screens/showtimes to all the new openers. I don't believe Spirited Away nor Princess Mononoke will reach the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone after-all, but their performances (as well as Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind's) have been stellar regardless. Re-releases are rare in the market, and I can't recall off-hand of any being able to earn near, let alone more than, ¥1 billion (Titanic's 3D re-release was the closest I think) in modern times (2000-), so they're likely among the best of the best.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Aug 11, 2020 6:55 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.037 billion ($9.5 million) / 671,000 [962] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥1 billion ↨
¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) / 486,000 [359] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)
¥500 million ↨
¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) / 334,000 [377] - Doraemon: Nobitas New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥405.2 million ($3.9 million) / 289,000 [344] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) / 248,000 [333] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)

¥300 million ↨
¥283.0 million ($2.6 million) / 224,000 [313] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) / 190,910 [778] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥248.6 million ($2.3 million) / 195,939 [328] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥244.8 million ($2.2 million) / 177,000 [389] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) / 169,000 [304] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥202.5 million ($1.9 million) / 165,000 [346] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)

¥200 million ↨
¥197.0 million ($1.8 million) / 143,000 [323] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥193.5 million ($1.8 million) / 132,000 [500] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥187.4 million ($1.7 million) / 130,000 [655] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥181.2 million ($1.7 million) / 124,000 [353] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥164.6 million ($1.5 million) / 125,000 [311] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)
¥155.2 million ($1.4 million) / 116,000 [211] - Howling Village (Toei)
¥144.7 million ($1.3 million) / 121,000 [255] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) / 106,000 [357] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥140.1 million ($1.3 million) / 101,000 [131] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥136.2 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [261] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥132.4 million ($1.2 million) / 117,747 [347] - Yo-Kai Watch: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥125.0 million ($1.2 million) / 100,000 [353] - Welcome Back, Tora-San! (Shochiku)
¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) / x81,000 [736] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥115.7 million ($1.0 million) / x84,000 [158] - Shirobako (Kadokawa)
¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) / x81,486 [707] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥104.8 million ($1.0 million) / x77,000 [326] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥104.1 million ($0.9 million) / x82,000 [327] - The Memory Eraser (Shochiku)
¥100.0 million ($0.9 million) / x85,000 [244] - Kishiryu Sentai Ryusoulger VS Lupinranger VS Patranger (Toei)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Last edited by Corpse on Tue Aug 11, 2020 6:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Tue Aug 11, 2020 6:55 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2020
Top Grossing Films: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥7.27 billion ($66.5 million) / 4.85 million [E] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥5 billion ↨
¥4.70 billion ($43.2 million) / 3.39 million [E] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥3.35 billion ($31.5 million) / 2.62 million [25] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.09 billion ($19.7 million) / 1.53 million [19] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥2.03 billion ($18.5 million) / 1.46 million [E] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.76 billion ($16.0 million) / 1.33 million [E] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥1.40 billion ($12.8 million) / 1.12 million [E] - The Howling Village (Toei)
¥1.35 billion ($12.4 million) / 1.11 million [E] - Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku)
¥1.32 billion ($12.1 million) / 1.01 million [E] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥1.32 billion ($12.0 million) / 1.01 million [E] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥1.14 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.88 million [E] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.3 million) / 0.85 million [E] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥1.10 billion ($10.1 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥1.06 billion ($9.7 million) / 0.81 million [E] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)

¥1 billion ↨
¥950.0 million ($8.7 million) / 0.76 million [E] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.74 million [E] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.62 million [E] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥890.0 million ($8.2 million) / 0.63 million [E] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥818.1 million ($7.7 million) / 0.62 million [45] - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho)
¥812.7 million ($7.6 million) / 0.62 million [45] - Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho)
¥796.4 million ($7.2 million) / 0.61 million [E] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥770.0 million ($7.2 million) / 0.56 million [E] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥761.0 million ($7.2 million) / 0.63 million [04] - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥750.0 million ($6.8 million) / 0.65 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥700.0 million ($6.5 million) / 0.55 million [E] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥689.5 million ($6.4 million) / 0.51 million [E] - Midsommar (Phantom Film)
¥677.1 million ($6.3 million) / 0.51 million [45] - Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho)
¥660.0 million ($6.0 million) / 0.50 million [E] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥600.0 million ($5.6 million) / 0.45 million [E] - Made in the Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul (Kadokawa)
¥540.5 million ($5.2 million) / 0.42 million [E] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥539.9 million ($5.2 million) / 0.41 million [E] - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu)
¥500.0 million ($4.7 million) / 0.35 million [E] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥500 million ↑ (COVID-19 Expansion)

NOTE: Any figures for a film that earned below ¥1 billion that is no longer playing are rough estimates. It's rare for final figures for films earning below that mark to be reported, but I'm going to include them this year given the circumstances. Just remember: They're rough estimates.

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Aug 11, 2020 6:56 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Obon Festival 2020 - Daily Estimates (08/10-14):

Monday (08/10): Mountain Day (National Holiday)
¥210 million ($2.0 million), 0, ¥761 million ($7.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) Day 4
¥142 million ($1.3 million), +135%, ¥3.35 billion ($31.5 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) Day 25
¥x93 million ($876,000), +137%, ¥2.09 billion ($19.7 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of Princess (Toho) Day 19
¥x30 million ($283,000), 0, ¥141 million ($1.3 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros) Day 4
¥x13 million ($122,000), 0, ¥x66 million ($0.6 million), Ultraman Ginga S (Shochiku) Day 4
¥x10 million ($x94,000), 0, ¥x57 million ($0.5 million), Hinatazaki 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) Day 4
¥x8 million ($x75,000), +52%, ¥821 million ($7.7 million), Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho) Day 46
¥x8 million ($x75,000), +39%, ¥826 million ($7.8 million), Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) Day 46
¥x7 million ($x66,000), +67%, ¥684 million ($6.4 million), Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho) Day 46
¥x6 million ($x56,000), +145%, ¥120 million ($1.1 million), Secret Heroine Phantomirage! The Movie (Kadokawa) Day 18


Note: Monday numbers for the top 3 films are actuals.
% changes verus same day last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Aug 11, 2020 7:17 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Obon Festival 2020 - Daily Estimates (08/10-14):

Tuesday (08/11):
¥145 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥906 million ($8.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) Day 5
¥116 million ($1.1 million), +136%, ¥3.47 billion ($32.6 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) Day 26
¥x72 million ($678,000), +88%, ¥2.16 billion ($20.4 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of Princess (Toho) Day 20
¥x22 million ($207,000), 0, ¥163 million ($1.5 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros) Day 5
¥x9 million ($x85,000), 0, ¥x66 million ($0.6 million), Hinatazaki 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) Day 5
¥x7 million ($x66,000), 0, ¥x73 million ($0.7 million), Ultraman Ginga S (Shochiku) Day 5
¥x7 million ($x66,000), +12%, ¥828 million ($7.8 million), Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho) Day 47
¥x6 million ($x56,000), +07%, ¥832 million ($7.8 million), Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) Day 47
¥x5 million ($x47,000), +21%, ¥689 million ($6.5 million), Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho) Day 47
¥x4 million ($x38,000), +81%, ¥124 million ($1.1 million), Secret Heroine Phantomirage! The Movie (Kadokawa) Day 19


% changes verus same day last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Aug 11, 2020 7:40 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Is it true that summer vacations have been reduced in Japan this year? I have read about it in some article.


Wed Aug 12, 2020 5:59 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
It varies a lot by municipal, but largely yes. Summer Vacation is traditionally from the third week of July through the end of August, meaning a 5-6 week break, the longest in the school year.

This year, due to COVID-19 closing schools for awhile back in the Spring, most schools have done various things to gain those days back, such as school on Saturday and/or cutting back on Summer Vacation. From my understanding, many schools have reduced the break from the standard 30-40 days to 20-30 days (4-weeks seems to be the most common result), depending on the municipal. Some elementary schools cut the break roughly in half, to 2-3 weeks, since that's usually the most important years of schooling.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Wed Aug 12, 2020 9:44 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Obon Festival 2020 - Daily Estimates (08/10-14):

Wednesday (08/12): Ladies' Day
¥170 million ($1.6 million), 0, ¥1.08 billion ($10.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) Day 6
¥138 million ($1.3 million), +97%, ¥3.61 billion ($33.9 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) Day 27
¥x90 million ($844,000), +58%, ¥2.25 billion ($21.2 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of Princess (Toho) Day 21
¥x40 million ($375,000), 0, ¥x40 million ($0.4 million), Tapestry (Toho) NEW
¥x21 million ($197,000), 0, ¥184 million ($1.7 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros) Day 6
¥x8 million ($x75,000), 0, ¥x74 million ($0.7 million), Hinatazaki 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) Day 6
¥x8 million ($x75,000), 0, ¥x81 million ($0.8 million), Ultraman Ginga S (Shochiku) Day 6
¥x7 million ($x66,000), +01%, ¥835 million ($7.9 million), Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho) Day 48
¥x7 million ($x66,000), -01%, ¥839 million ($7.9 million), Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) Day 48
¥x6 million ($x56,000), +09%, ¥695 million ($6.6 million), Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho) Day 48


% changes verus same day last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Wed Aug 12, 2020 12:07 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Obon Festival 2020 - Daily Estimates (08/10-14):

Thursday (08/13):
¥150 million ($1.4 million), 0, ¥1.23 billion ($11.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) Day 7
¥135 million ($1.3 million), +151%, ¥3.75 billion ($35.2 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) Day 28
¥x91 million ($853,000), +138%, ¥2.34 billion ($22.1 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of Princess (Toho) Day 22
¥x22 million ($205,000), 0, ¥206 million ($1.9 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros) Day 7
¥x9 million ($x84,000), +33%, ¥844 million ($8.0 million), Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho) Day 49
¥x9 million ($x84,000), +39%, ¥848 million ($8.0 million), Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) Day 49
¥x8 million ($x75,000), +54%, ¥703 million ($6.7 million), Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho) Day 49
¥x7 million ($x75,000), 0, ¥x81 million ($0.8 million), Hinatazaki 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) Day 7
¥x7 million ($x66,000), 0, ¥x88 million ($0.8 million), Ultraman Ginga S (Shochiku) Day 7
¥x4 million ($x38,000), +111%, ¥133 million ($1.2 million), Secret Heroine Phantomirage! The Movie (Kadokawa) Day 21


% changes verus same day last week.

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Thu Aug 13, 2020 12:03 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Obon Festival 2020 - Daily Estimates (08/10-14):

Friday (08/14):
¥175 million ($1.6 million), +27%, ¥1.41 billion ($13.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) Day 8
¥140 million ($1.3 million), +126%, ¥3.89 billion ($36.5 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) Day 29
¥125 million ($1.2 million), 0, ¥125 million ($1.2 million), Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku) NEW
¥x92 million ($860,000), +99%, ¥2.43 billion ($23.0 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of Princess (Toho) Day 23
¥x90 million ($841,000), 0, ¥x90 million ($0.8 million), Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho) NEW
¥x21 million ($196,000), -33%, ¥227 million ($2.1 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros) Day 8
¥x10 million ($x93,000), 0, ¥x10 million ($0.09 million), Toei Manga Festival (Toei) NEW
¥x9 million ($x84,000), 0, ¥x9 million ($0.08 million), Inception [2010 re-release] (Warner Bros.) NEW
¥x8 million ($x75,000), -06%, ¥x89 million ($0.8 million), Hinatazaki 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) Day 8
¥x6 million ($x56,000), -61%, ¥x94 million ($0.9 million), Ultraman Ginga S (Shochiku) Day 8


% changes verus same day last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:38 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Obon Festival 2020 Recap:

Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur performed very well over the past five days as expected (and increasing Friday-to-Friday is very impressive), and earned around 2.5x more than its opening weekend. I never doubted it, and believe it could reach ¥4 billion ($35-40 million). This would be about 20% lower than the last couple films in the franchise, but with the change in its release date, and potential audience loss from COVID-19 concerned parents, it'd be a more than acceptable result. It'd even be inside the top 10 grossing films in the 40 film series, and could approach the franchise's top 5 films.

From Today, It's My Turn! continues to be a little beast of a film, and its chances of reaching the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion (~$50 million) have gone way up thanks to its performance this past week. It would need a really crappy upcoming weekend to miss the mark now.

The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess continues to post good numbers, and is nearly guaranteed to outgross its predecessor's ¥2.97 billion total and exceed ¥3 billion (~$30 million).

Solid first day for Yowamushi Pedal and Love Me, Love Me Not. They just opened so we don't really have an idea of where they'll be heading, but their opening days are strong enough under normal conditions to guarantee a total above ¥1 billion ($10 million) at least. ¥1.5/2 billion ($15-20 million) could also be doable, especially for the former, but we'll have to see what the weekend holds first.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Fri Aug 14, 2020 3:49 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song opens today and it's... crushing it. The film was delayed from March (April?), and from just Saturday pre-sales alone, it has sold though an incredible ~75% of all of its available seating for the entire day.

It's not a very wide release (156 screens) so its opening will be limited in that regard, and it'll be very frontloaded from being a heavy fanbase release (probably more so due to the demand from the delay), but its opening is going to be quite high. Possibly near or above ¥500 million (~$5 million).

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Fri Aug 14, 2020 5:47 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song ended Saturday by selling through ~92% of its available seating/admissions. Popular heavy fanbase films like this typically have very high sell-through rates, but 92% would certainly be among the highest ever, especially for one playing in 150+ screens.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sat Aug 15, 2020 12:03 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
Whoa that's indeed great but again it could also be due to lack of seats each session.


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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
True. The capacity restrictions in urban prefectures (most are at 50%) will naturally make those areas sell-out a lot faster than usual. The film did perform very well over the weekend, debuting at #1. It grossed an official estimated ¥475 million on 270,000 admissions across 156 screens. This is the second highest debut in the trilogy, and was barely shy of the second film by ¥15 million and 2,778 admissions.

¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) / 274,017 [156] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (2020)
¥490.5 million ($4.5 million) / 276,795 [131] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel II - Lost Butterfly (2019)
¥413.0 million ($3.7 million) / 247,507 [128] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel I - Presage Flower (2017)

It probably would have debuted higher than the second film, but opening just 3% below it (1% in admissions) with capacity limits in place in urban prefectures is an excellent result. It also achieved the second biggest opening weekend of 2020 (in revenue).

Weekend Actuals (08/15-16) will be posted this evening.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Last edited by Corpse on Mon Aug 17, 2020 5:02 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Mon Aug 17, 2020 12:44 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest August Opening Weekends
Biggest August Opening Weekends (1998-)

01. ¥930.0 million ($9.2 million) / 688,079 - Your Name. (2016)
02. ¥845.1 million ($6.8 million) / 544,759 - Jurassic World (2015)
03. ¥832.5 million ($7.7 million) / 622,931 - Hancock (2008)
04. ¥806.0 million ($7.6 million) / 598,000 - One Piece Stampede (2019)
05. ¥805.0 million ($6.7 million) / 608,000 - Jurassic Park III (2001)
06. ¥767.2 million ($7.5 million) / 554,991 - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)
07. ¥766.3 million ($7.1 million) / 596,640 - The Mummy 3: The Tomb of the Dragon Emperor (2008)
08. ¥728.7 million ($6.8 million) / 497,000 - The Lion King (2019)
09. ¥644.5 million ($5.7 million) / 455,000 - The Suspect: Muroi Shinji (2005)
10. ¥639.2 million ($5.7 million) / 450,315 - Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2018)
11. ¥631.4 million ($5.3 million) / 477,030 - Transformers (2007)
12. ¥625.6 million ($5.8 million) / 465,934 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 1: Beginning of the End (2008)
13. ¥603.5 million ($4.9 million) / 466,953 - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (2015)
14. ¥592.2 million ($5.8 million) / 433,346 - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (2014)
15. ¥573.5 million ($4.6 million) / 427,281 - Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (2015)
16. ¥546.0 million ($4.4 million) / 449,055 - Minions (2015)
17. ¥545.9 million ($4.5 million) / 410,089 - Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (2003)
18. ¥528.2 million ($4.8 million) / 385,058 - Gintama 2 (2018)
19. ¥504.0 million ($4.7 million) / 331,000 - Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw (2019)
20. ¥500.9 million ($6.4 million) / 326,109 - The Avengers (2012)
21. ¥498.6 million ($4.1 million) / 362,000 - Ocean's Thirteen (2007)
22. ¥485.3 million ($4.7 million) / 302,992 - Transformers: Age of Extinction (2014)
23. ¥477.5 million ($5.0 million) / 399,779 - Kamen Rider Decade: All Riders vs. Dai-Shocker (2009)
24. ¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) / 274,017 - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (2020)
25. ¥467.4 million ($4.6 million) / 370,046 - The Secret Life of Pets (2016)
26. ¥448.5 million ($4.1 million) / 298,898 - Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017)
27. ¥422.1 million ($3.8 million) / 331,697 - Incredibles 2 (2018)
28. ¥415.8 million ($3.8 million) / 317,807 - Killing for the Prosecutors (2018)
29. ¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) / 334,000 - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (2020)
30. ¥409.6 million ($3.3 million) / 305,396 - Boruto: Naruto the Movie (2015)


Despite August being the strongest month of the year for the box-office, it has never had a film open above ¥1 billion. Most major blockbusters tend to open in July instead, so they can take advantage of the summer weekdays there as well as prosper throughout August. And since August is such a big holiday month (summer vacation, Obon Festival), films that do open here do very well, but they typically have "smaller" debuts (and much longer legs) since business is spread out over a long period of time.

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Mon Aug 17, 2020 1:17 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festi
The actual for Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song has been updated in the above posts. It came even closer in admissions to its predecessor, only selling 2,778 fewer.

Full Weekend Actuals should be posted in a few hours. The weekend will be the biggest weekend (Top 10) at the box-office since January 11-12th, and possibly exceeded ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million) depending on the numbers from the lower-half of the Top 10.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Mon Aug 17, 2020 5:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (08/15-16)
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Weekend Actuals (08/15-16):
01 (---) ¥474,890,600 ($4.5 million), 0, ¥474,890,600 ($4.5 million), Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) NEW
02 (01) ¥286,484,050 ($2.7 million), -31%, ¥1,659,811,650 ($15.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK2
03 (02) ¥238,313,600 ($2.2 million), +09%, ¥4,076,089,850 ($38.4 million), From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK5
04 (03) ¥166,430,150 ($1.6 million), -08%, ¥2,605,627,250 ($24.6 million), The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho) WK4
05 (---) ¥138,447,330 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥247,875,980 ($2.3 million), Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku) NEW
06 (---) ¥122,561,100 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥205,238,250 ($1.9 million), Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho) NEW
07 (04) ¥x43,873,320 ($412,000), -42%, ¥287,870,110 ($2.7 million), Grand Blue (Warner Bros.) WK2
08 (---) ¥x23,542,900 ($221,000), 0, ¥x23,542,900 ($0.2 million), Inception [2010 re-release] (Warner Bros.) NEW
09 (06) ¥x18,027,680 ($169,000), -42%, ¥121,851,740 ($1.1 million), Hinatazaka 46 Documentary: Debut After 3-Years (Independent) WK2
10 (---) ¥x14,320,640 ($134,000), 0, ¥x24,640,400 ($0.2 million), Toei Manga Festival 2020 (Toei) NEW


Obon Festival 2020 didn't disappoint: The Top 10 this weekend earned ¥1.526 billion ($14.3 million), making it the biggest weekend at the box-office since January 11-12th.

>Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song, originally scheduled back in March, debuted atop the box-office over the weekend, selling a very impressive 274,017 admissions across just 156 screens. The final film in the trilogy earned the second biggest opening weekend of 2020 in revenue, and came just 1% shy (2,778 admissions) of opening higher than its predecessor. The franchise is incredibly frontloaded due to appealing exclusively to its fanbase, but should still be able to exceed ¥1.5 billion (~$15 million).

>Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur slipped to second place, selling a further 230,000 admissions in its sophomore frame, bringing its ten-day admissions up to 1.39 million. The 40th entry in the long-running franchise (celebrating its 50th anniversary this year!) did great business over the Obon Festival weekdays, but did experienced a notable drop over the weekend frame. It still has another week or two of summer vacation dailies, so I believe it'll still reach ¥3 billion (~$30 million), but anything more is unlikely due to opening in August versus its traditional March slot.

>From Today, It's My Turn! simply needed a good hold this weekend to make achieving the blockbuster milestone of ¥5 billion (~$50 million) likely, but it actually increased instead, selling an additional 185,000 admissions in its fifth-weekend of release. And after 31-days in release, it has sold a remarkable 3.22 million admissions. It's now practically locked to exceed ¥5 billion (~$50 million) and will sell over 4 million admissions. A huge success for Toho, and certainly a welcomed blockbuster for the box-office.

>The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess dropped to fourth place, selling 119,000 admissions over its fourth-weekend of release, bringing its 25-day admissions up to 1.92 million. The second film based on the TV drama continues to do what it needs to outgross its predecessor's ¥2.97 billion total, and will do so earlier than expected (probably in week 6). Expect a total around ¥3.2 billion ($30 million).

>Yowamushi Pedal, the live-action adaptation of the anime/manga series, rounded out the Top 5 in its debut, selling 105,000 admissions over the weekend frame on 339 screens, and selling 195,030 admissions over its first three-days in release. The weekend figures themselves are average at best, but the 3-day results are pretty good. It's likely to reach the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone.

>Love Me, Love Me Not misses out on a Top 5 debut, selling 98,000 admissions over the weekend frame across 303 screens, and selling 164,047 admissions over its first three-days in release. Similar to Yowamushi Pedal, the weekend itself is mediore, but the 3-day total is decent. Its chances of reaching the ¥1 billion (~$10 million) milestone isn't as good, but it has a fair shot of making it.

Overall, great weekend! There have been a couple weekends since theaters reopened nationwide that made the box-office somewhat exciting again, but until this weekend, it's been limited to one or two films. This is the first weekend that finally looks like a normal weekend, even if it's missing a couple big films that got postponed from July.

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“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Last edited by Corpse on Mon Aug 17, 2020 6:49 pm, edited 3 times in total.



Mon Aug 17, 2020 6:33 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Top Opening Weekends: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.037 billion ($9.5 million) / 671,000 [962] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥1 billion ↨
¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) / 486,000 [359] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)
¥500 million ↨
¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) / 274,017 [156] - Fate/stay night: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex)
¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) / 334,000 [377] - Doraemon: Nobitas New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥405.2 million ($3.9 million) / 289,000 [344] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) / 248,000 [333] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)

¥300 million ↨
¥283.0 million ($2.6 million) / 224,000 [313] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) / 190,910 [778] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥248.6 million ($2.3 million) / 195,939 [328] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥244.8 million ($2.2 million) / 177,000 [389] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) / 169,000 [304] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥202.5 million ($1.9 million) / 165,000 [346] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)

¥200 million ↨
¥197.0 million ($1.8 million) / 143,000 [323] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥193.5 million ($1.8 million) / 132,000 [500] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥187.4 million ($1.7 million) / 130,000 [655] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥181.2 million ($1.7 million) / 124,000 [353] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥164.6 million ($1.5 million) / 125,000 [311] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)
¥155.2 million ($1.4 million) / 116,000 [211] - Howling Village (Toei)
¥144.7 million ($1.3 million) / 121,000 [255] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) / 106,000 [357] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥140.1 million ($1.3 million) / 101,000 [131] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥138.4 million ($1.3 million) / 105,000 [339] - Yowamushi Pedal (Shochiku)
¥136.2 million ($1.2 million) / 101,000 [261] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥132.4 million ($1.2 million) / 117,747 [347] - Yo-Kai Watch: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥125.0 million ($1.2 million) / 100,000 [353] - Welcome Back, Tora-San! (Shochiku)
¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) / x81,000 [736] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥122.6 million ($1.2 million) / x98,000 [303] - Love Me, Love Me Not (Toho
¥115.7 million ($1.0 million) / x84,000 [158] - Shirobako (Kadokawa)
¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) / x81,486 [707] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥104.8 million ($1.0 million) / x77,000 [326] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥104.1 million ($0.9 million) / x82,000 [327] - The Memory Eraser (Shochiku)
¥100.0 million ($0.9 million) / x85,000 [244] - Kishiryu Sentai Ryusoulger VS Lupinranger VS Patranger (Toei)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

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Last edited by Corpse on Mon Aug 17, 2020 6:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Aug 17, 2020 6:34 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2020
Top Grossing Films: 2020
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥7.27 billion ($66.5 million) / 4.85 million [E] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Disney)
¥5 billion ↨
¥4.70 billion ($43.2 million) / 3.39 million [E] - Parasite (Bitter's End)
¥4.08 billion ($38.4 million) / 3.22 million [31] - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.61 billion ($24.6 million) / 1.92 million [25] - The Confidence Man JP: Episode of the Princess (Toho)
¥2.03 billion ($18.5 million) / 1.46 million [E] - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.76 billion ($16.0 million) / 1.33 million [E] - My Hero Academia: Heroes Rising (Toho)
¥1.66 billion ($15.6 million) / 1.39 million [10] - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho)
¥1.40 billion ($12.8 million) / 1.12 million [E] - The Howling Village (Toei)
¥1.35 billion ($12.4 million) / 1.11 million [E] - Welcome Back, Tora-san! (Shochiku)
¥1.32 billion ($12.1 million) / 1.01 million [E] - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho)
¥1.32 billion ($12.0 million) / 1.01 million [E] - Cats (Toho-Towa)
¥1.14 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.88 million [E] - Stolen Identity 2 (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.3 million) / 0.85 million [E] - Lupin III: The First (Toho)
¥1.10 billion ($10.1 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Kiss Me at the Stroke of Midnight (Shochiku)
¥1.06 billion ($9.7 million) / 0.81 million [E] - Murder at Shijinso (Toho)

¥1 billion ↨
¥950.0 million ($8.7 million) / 0.76 million [E] - AI Amok (Warner Bros.)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.74 million [E] - Kamen Rider Reiwa: The First Generation (Toei)
¥900.0 million ($8.3 million) / 0.62 million [E] - Jumanji: The Next Level (Sony)
¥890.0 million ($8.2 million) / 0.63 million [E] - Ford v. Ferrari (Fox)
¥855.0 million ($8.0 million) / 0.78 million [52] - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho)
¥852.9 million ($8.0 million) / 0.77 million [52] - Princess Mononoke [1997 re-release] (Toho)
¥796.4 million ($7.2 million) / 0.61 million [E] - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku)
¥770.0 million ($7.2 million) / 0.56 million [E] - 1917 (Toho-Towa)
¥750.0 million ($6.8 million) / 0.65 million [E] - Yo-Kai Watch Jam: Yo-Kai Academy Y - Can a Cat be a Hero? (Toho)
¥709.0 million ($6.6 million) / 0.64 million [52] - Nausicaa of the Valley of the Wind [1984 re-release] (Toho)
¥700.0 million ($6.5 million) / 0.55 million [E] - Mask Ward (Warner Bros.)
¥689.5 million ($6.4 million) / 0.51 million [E] - Midsommar (Phantom Film)
¥660.0 million ($6.0 million) / 0.50 million [E] - Last Letter (Toho)
¥600.0 million ($5.6 million) / 0.45 million [E] - Made in the Abyss: Dawn of the Deep Soul (Kadokawa)
¥540.5 million ($5.2 million) / 0.42 million [E] - Dolittle (Toho-Towa)
¥539.9 million ($5.2 million) / 0.41 million [E] - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu)
¥500.0 million ($4.7 million) / 0.35 million [E] - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.)
¥500 million ↑ (COVID-19 Expansion)

NOTE: Any figures for a film that earned below ¥1 billion that is no longer playing are rough estimates. It's rare for final figures for films earning below that mark to be reported, but I'm going to include them this year given the circumstances. Just remember: They're rough estimates.

NOTE 2: Admissions for the three Hayao Miyazaki films were released and have been updated in this week's chart update!


Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Aug 17, 2020 6:36 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: 2020 Weekend #1 Films
Weekend #1 Films: 2020

01/04-05: ¥496.2 million ($4.6 million) - Frozen II (Disney) WK7
01/11-12: ¥362.4 million ($3.3 million) - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK1
01/18-19: ¥225.0 million ($2.0 million) - Kaiji: Final Game (Toho) WK2
01/25-26: ¥262.1 million ($2.4 million) - Cats (Toho-Towa) WK1
02/01-02: ¥225.0 million ($2.1 million) - AI Amok (Warner Bros) WK1
02/08-09: ¥229.4 million ($2.1 million) - Wotakoi: Love is Hard for Otaku (Toho) WK1
02/15-16: ¥371.5 million ($3.4 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK6
02/22-23: ¥294.2 million ($2.7 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK7
02/29-03/01: ¥166.1 million ($1.5 million) - Parasite (Bitter's End) WK8
03/07-08: ¥142.7 million ($1.4 million) - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku) WK1
03/14-15: ¥107.9 million ($1.0 million) - Fukushima 50 (Shochiku) WK2
03/21-22: ¥123.0 million ($1.1 million) - Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK1
03/28-29: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Not Quite Dead (Shochiku) WK2
04/04-05: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK3
04/11-12: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, Birds of Prey (Warner Bros.) WK4
04/18-19: No Data Available (Theaters Closed)
04/25-26: No Data Available (Theaters Closed)
05/02-03: No Data Available (Theaters Closed)
05/09-10: No Data Available (Theaters Closed)
05/16-17: Figures N/A - #1 Film In Admissions, The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK1
05/23-24: ¥0.63 million ($0.6 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK2
05/30-31: ¥0.66 million ($0.6 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK3
06/06-07: ¥0.80 million ($0.7 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK4
06/13-14: ¥0.42 million ($0.4 million) - The Real Exorcist (Nikkatsu) WK5
06/20-21: ¥113.2 million ($1.1 million) - Dolittle (Toho-Towa) WK1
06/27-28: ¥0.98 million ($0.9 million) - Rambo: Last Blood (Gaga) WK1
07/04-05: ¥0.93 million ($0.9 million) - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) WK2
07/11-12: ¥0.87 million ($0.8 million) - Spirited Away [2001 re-release] (Toho) WK3
07/18-19: ¥630.6 million ($6.0 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK1
07/25-26: ¥496.4 million ($4.7 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK2
08/01-02: ¥275.9 million ($2.6 million) - From Today, It's My Turn! (Toho) WK3
08/08-09: ¥413.2 million ($3.9 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's New Dinosaur (Toho) WK1
08/15-16: ¥474.9 million ($4.5 million) - Fate/night stay: Heaven's Feel III - Spring Song (Aniplex) WK1


Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Poor) / <¥100 million (COVID-19 Expansion)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Aug 17, 2020 8:40 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Pixar Box Office History
Onward opens this weekend, so here's a look back at Pixar's Box-Office History.

Pixar Box-Office History (1995-):

Opening Weekends:
¥1.377 billion ($12.7 million) / 1,031,000 - Toy Story 4 (2019)
¥977.3 million ($11.1 million) / 649,249 - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥847.4 million ($8.5 million) / 614,969 - Monsters University (2013)
¥751.9 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 - The Incredibles (2004)
¥745.5 million ($7.1 million) / 553,066 - Finding Dory (2016)
¥627.7 million ($7.2 million) / 440,804 - Up (2009)
¥590.7 million ($4.5 million) / 465,624 - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥504.9 million ($4.2 million) / 379,941 - Ratatouille (2007)
¥488.1 million ($4.5 million) / 368,214 - Coco (2018)
¥458.2 million ($4.9 million) / 336,597 - Cars 2 (2011)
¥449.6 million ($4.8 million) / 373,754 - Wall-E (2008)
¥422.1 million ($3.8 million) / 331,617 - Incredibles 2 (2018)
¥406.0 million ($3.3 million) / 316,315 - Inside Out (2015)
¥381.2 million ($3.5 million) / 350,000 - Cars (2006)
¥320.1 million ($2.8 million) / 251,989 - Cars 3 (2017)
¥237.1 million ($2.1 million) / 191,696 - The Good Dinosaur (2016)
¥147.8 million ($1.9 million) / 106,271 - Brave (2012)


Totals:
¥11.00 billion ($102.4 million) / 8.60 million - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥10.80 billion ($130.7 million) / 7.20 million - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥10.09 billion ($94.3 million) / 7.82 million - Toy Story 4 (2019)
¥9.37 billion ($76.8 million) / 7.60 million - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥8.96 billion ($91.3 million) / 7.05 million - Monsters University (2013)
¥6.83 billion ($65.8 million) / 5.57 million - Finding Dory (2016)
¥5.26 billion ($51.1 million) / 4.40 million - The Incredibles (2004)
¥5.00 billion ($60.5 million) / 3.80 million - Up (2009)
¥5.00 billion ($46.6 million) / 3.98 million - Coco (2018)
¥4.90 billion ($44.3 million) / 4.06 million - Incredibles 2 (2018)
¥4.04 billion ($33.6 million) / 3.40 million - Inside Out (2015)
¥4.00 billion ($44.2 million) / 3.20 million - Wall-E (2008)
¥3.90 billion ($36.3 million) / 3.10 million - Ratatouille (2007)
¥3.45 billion ($29.9 million) / 2.80 million - Toy Story 2 (2000)
¥3.01 billion ($39.0 million) / 2.32 million - Cars 2 (2011)
¥2.23 billion ($19.0 million) / 1.80 million - Cars (2006)
¥1.80 billion ($16.1 million) / 1.44 million - Cars 3 (2017)
¥1.69 billion ($15.0 million) / 1.35 million - The Good Dinosaur (2016)
¥1.15 billion ($8.3 million) / 900,000 - A Bug's Life (1999)
¥930 million ($11.9 million) / 680,000 - Brave (2012)


I don't have a lot of faith in Onward performing very well though, and expect a The Good Dinosaur level of performance. But we'll see. The box-office has been performing well/normal now since late-July, so a surprise opening/performance from the film isn't impossible. Besides Dr. Dolittle and Sonic the Hedgehog, both from back in June, this is the first major imported release of the Summer. And it's the first Disney tentpole since Frozen II, so there could be some demand that's built up since then.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Thu Aug 20, 2020 5:43 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (8/15-16); Charts Upda
Onward, based on my estimates, earned around ¥50 million ($475,000) on Friday on ~40,000 admissions, debuting in second place (maybe third in admissions).

Not a particularly good first day, but with Summer vacation being cut short in some prefectures in order to make up for lost days back in the Spring, I think that probably deflated the day by a bit. If this was a normal Friday for a family/younger-skewing film, it would likely double that number on Saturday. But with some schools still on vacation, I wouldn't expect as high of an increase.

These are unusual circumstances so it's hard to project anything with high-accuracy at the moment, but I think we can expect an opening weekend around ¥200 million ($1.9/2.0 million). This would be Pixar's second-lowest debut, just ahead of Brave, but not exactly surprising. Even before COVID-19 delayed it, this film seemed very likely to become one of Pixar's lowest-earners. But let's see how the weekend plays out. A good Saturday increase, followed by an expected Sunday increase, could possibly push it closer to/or above The Good Dinosaur's opening weekend.

The #1 film on Friday was Tapestry, debuting to around ¥85 million ($805,000) on ~70,000 admissions. You might remember seeing it for one-day only two weeks ago when I was posting Obon Festival daily estimates, when it had some previews on August 7th.

_________________
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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Fri Aug 21, 2020 12:13 pm
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