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Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus
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Author:  Corpse [ Wed May 01, 2019 10:35 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week (Dailies Ests.)

Super Golden Week, Daily Estimates (04/29-05/06)

Monday, 04/29 (National Holiday - Showa Day)
¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), 0, ¥2,025,000,000 ($18.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 04
¥450,000,000 ($4.0 million), +291%, ¥5,060,000,000 ($45.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 18
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +165%, ¥1,805,000,000 ($16.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 11
¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), +408%, ¥755,000,000 ($6.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 11
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +41%, ¥445,000,000 ($3.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 11
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +437%, ¥4,775,000,000 ($43.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 60
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +244%, ¥3,480,000,000 ($31.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 67
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 04
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 03


Tuesday, 04/30 (National Holiday - Emperor Abdicates; Heisei Era Ends)
¥460,000,000 ($4.1 million), +668%, ¥5,520,000,000 ($50.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 19
¥445,000,000 ($4.0 million), 0, ¥2,470,000,000 ($22.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 05
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +256%, ¥2,085,000,000 ($18.7 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 12
¥190,000,000 ($1.7 million), +1,861%, ¥945,000,000 ($8.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 12
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +89%, ¥490,000,000 ($4.3 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 12
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +3,020%, ¥4,805,000,000 ($43.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 61
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +370%, ¥3,505,000,000 ($31.8 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 68
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($540,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 04
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($720,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 05


Wednesday, 05/01 (National Holiday - New Emperor Ascends; Reiwa Era Begins)
¥545,000,000 ($4.9 million), +546%, ¥6,065,000,000 ($55.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 20
¥495,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥2,965,000,000 ($26.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 06
¥350,000,000 ($3.1 million), +243%, ¥2,435,000,000 ($21.8 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 13
¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), +1,479%, ¥1,170,000,000 ($10.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 13
¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), +131%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 13
¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), +2,935%, ¥4,845,000,000 ($44.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 62
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +271%, ¥3,535,000,000 ($32.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 69
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($945,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 06
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($665,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Note: Daily Estimates based on Weekend Estimates (actuals won't be out for over a week); margin-of-error is higher than usual.
% changes versus same day last week.


Upcoming:
May 2nd - Declared National Holiday (falls between holidays)
May 3rd - Constitution Day (National Holiday)
May 4th - Greenery Day (National Holiday)
May 5th - Children's Day (National Holiday)
May 6th - Declared National Holiday (Monday after a holiday)

Author:  esteban82 [ Wed May 01, 2019 11:13 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week Begins

Corpse wrote:
Is the Euphonium movie the one that opened recently, or a previous film?

About Liz and the Blue Bird, it missed the Top 10 in its debut last year and I don't have it making an appearance in, or near, the top 10 on any weekend chart. But, I can go back and give you some rough estimates for its debut and total.

Also, welcome to the forum! :yes:


Thanks. It's "Chikai no finale" that opened two weeks ago, yes :)

Author:  R136a1 [ Wed May 01, 2019 9:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week Begins

Since Detective Pikachu opens tomorrow, how's the buzz/pre-sales going?

Author:  Corpse [ Thu May 02, 2019 8:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week Begins

It's receiving fewer screens/seating than both Detective Conan and Avengers, but it still has plenty to allow for a good debut. The screen/seating allocation was always going to be an issue with this release date.

Pre-sales are looking good, but it is opening on a national holiday and nearly anything and everything performs well on holidays, so we can't really get an accurate reading on it yet.

Author:  Corpse [ Thu May 02, 2019 8:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week (Dailies Ests.)

Super Golden Week, Daily Estimates (04/29-05/06)

Monday, 04/29 (National Holiday - Showa Day)
¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), 0, ¥2,025,000,000 ($18.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 04
¥450,000,000 ($4.0 million), +291%, ¥5,060,000,000 ($45.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 18
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +165%, ¥1,805,000,000 ($16.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 11
¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), +408%, ¥755,000,000 ($6.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 11
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +41%, ¥445,000,000 ($3.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 11
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +437%, ¥4,775,000,000 ($43.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 60
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +244%, ¥3,480,000,000 ($31.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 67
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 04
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 03


Tuesday, 04/30 (National Holiday - Emperor Abdicates; Heisei Era Ends)
¥460,000,000 ($4.1 million), +668%, ¥5,520,000,000 ($50.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 19
¥445,000,000 ($4.0 million), 0, ¥2,470,000,000 ($22.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 05
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +256%, ¥2,085,000,000 ($18.7 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 12
¥190,000,000 ($1.7 million), +1,861%, ¥945,000,000 ($8.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 12
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +89%, ¥490,000,000 ($4.3 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 12
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +3,020%, ¥4,805,000,000 ($43.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 61
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +370%, ¥3,505,000,000 ($31.8 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 68
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($540,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 04
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($720,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 05


Wednesday, 05/01 (National Holiday - New Emperor Ascends; Reiwa Era Begins)
¥545,000,000 ($4.9 million), +546%, ¥6,065,000,000 ($55.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 20
¥495,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥2,965,000,000 ($26.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 06
¥350,000,000 ($3.1 million), +243%, ¥2,435,000,000 ($21.8 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 13
¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), +1,479%, ¥1,170,000,000 ($10.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 13
¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), +131%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 13
¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), +2,935%, ¥4,845,000,000 ($44.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 62
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +271%, ¥3,535,000,000 ($32.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 69
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($945,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 06
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($765,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Thursday, 05/02 (Default National Holiday, Falls Between Holidays)
¥345,000,000 ($3.1 million), +509%, ¥6,410,000,000 ($58.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 21
¥335,000,000 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥3,300,000,000 ($29.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 07
¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), +248%, ¥2,665,000,000 ($23.9 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 14
¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), +1,253%, ¥1,295,000,000 ($11.5 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 14
¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), +83%, ¥585,000,000 ($5.2 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 14
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +298%, ¥3,560,000,000 ($32.3 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 70
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +1,799%, ¥4,865,000,000 ($44.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 63
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 07
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), 0, ¥x95,000,000 ($855,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Note: Daily Estimates based on Weekend Estimates (actuals won't be out for over a week); margin-of-error is higher than usual.
% changes versus same day last week.


Upcoming:
May 3rd - Constitution Day (National Holiday)
May 4th - Greenery Day (National Holiday)
May 5th - Children's Day (National Holiday)
May 6th - Declared National Holiday (Monday after a holiday)

Author:  Corpse [ Thu May 02, 2019 8:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week Begins

After just 7 days, Avengers: Endgame has outgrossed all but 5 superhero movies: Spider-Man, Spider-Man 2, Spider-Man 3, Avengers: Infinity War, and Marvel's The Avengers. It'll surpass the original Avengers on Friday, its 8th day in release, and then Infinity War over the weekend on either its 9th or 10th day in release.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu May 02, 2019 9:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Amazing dailies throughout. BO on steroids.

Author:  Jiffy [ Thu May 02, 2019 10:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week Begins

Corpse wrote:
After just 7 days, Avengers: Endgame has outgrossed all but 5 superhero movies: Spider-Man, Spider-Man 2, Spider-Man 3, Avengers: Infinity War, and Marvel's The Avengers. It'll surpass the original Avengers on Friday, its 8th day in release, and then Infinity War over the weekend on either its 9th or 10th day in release.


Infinity War out-grossed The Avengers in local currency?

Author:  R136a1 [ Thu May 02, 2019 10:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week Begins

Jiffy wrote:
Corpse wrote:
After just 7 days, Avengers: Endgame has outgrossed all but 5 superhero movies: Spider-Man, Spider-Man 2, Spider-Man 3, Avengers: Infinity War, and Marvel's The Avengers. It'll surpass the original Avengers on Friday, its 8th day in release, and then Infinity War over the weekend on either its 9th or 10th day in release.


Infinity War out-grossed The Avengers in local currency?


Just barely.

Quote:
¥3.74 billion ($34.1 million) - Avengers: Infinity War (2018)
¥3.61 billion ($46.2 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥3.21 billion ($26.0 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)

Author:  braca [ Fri May 03, 2019 8:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Corpse, do you have an update on BoRhap.?
Incl Admissions

Many thanks

Author:  Corpse [ Fri May 03, 2019 9:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

No updates will be available for anything until next Tuesday, at the earliest.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri May 03, 2019 9:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

I'm going to post Friday's Estimates here soon. The Top 3 films are very close, but Detective Conan likely edged out the first place victory.

Detective Pikachu will come in second place in admissions, but maybe third place in revenue because of of it having limited premium format showings due to releasing so close to Endgame. And assuming Pikachu may have some family appeal, its average ticket price probably isn't noticeably high (probably just slightly above average). And Endgame is close enough to it in admissions, that while it ranked third in admissions for the day, it could have stayed in second place in revenue. I don't want to have them tied when I post the estimates, so I'll crunch the numbers some more before posting them.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri May 03, 2019 10:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week (Dailies Ests.)

Super Golden Week, Daily Estimates (04/29-05/06)

Monday, 04/29 (National Holiday - Showa Day)
¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), 0, ¥2,025,000,000 ($18.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 04
¥450,000,000 ($4.0 million), +291%, ¥5,060,000,000 ($45.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 18
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +165%, ¥1,805,000,000 ($16.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 11
¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), +408%, ¥755,000,000 ($6.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 11
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +41%, ¥445,000,000 ($3.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 11
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +437%, ¥4,775,000,000 ($43.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 60
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +244%, ¥3,480,000,000 ($31.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 67
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 04
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 03


Tuesday, 04/30 (National Holiday - Emperor Abdicates; Heisei Era Ends)
¥460,000,000 ($4.1 million), +668%, ¥5,520,000,000 ($50.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 19
¥445,000,000 ($4.0 million), 0, ¥2,470,000,000 ($22.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 05
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +256%, ¥2,085,000,000 ($18.7 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 12
¥190,000,000 ($1.7 million), +1,861%, ¥945,000,000 ($8.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 12
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +89%, ¥490,000,000 ($4.3 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 12
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +3,020%, ¥4,805,000,000 ($43.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 61
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +370%, ¥3,505,000,000 ($31.8 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 68
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($540,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 04
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($720,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 05


Wednesday, 05/01 (National Holiday - New Emperor Ascends; Reiwa Era Begins)
¥545,000,000 ($4.9 million), +546%, ¥6,065,000,000 ($55.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 20
¥495,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥2,965,000,000 ($26.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 06
¥350,000,000 ($3.1 million), +243%, ¥2,435,000,000 ($21.8 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 13
¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), +1,479%, ¥1,170,000,000 ($10.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 13
¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), +131%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 13
¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), +2,935%, ¥4,845,000,000 ($44.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 62
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +271%, ¥3,535,000,000 ($32.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 69
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($945,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 06
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($765,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Thursday, 05/02 (Default National Holiday, Falls Between Holidays)
¥345,000,000 ($3.1 million), +509%, ¥6,410,000,000 ($58.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 21
¥335,000,000 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥3,300,000,000 ($29.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 07
¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), +248%, ¥2,665,000,000 ($23.9 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 14
¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), +1,253%, ¥1,295,000,000 ($11.5 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 14
¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), +83%, ¥585,000,000 ($5.2 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 14
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +298%, ¥3,560,000,000 ($32.3 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 70
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +1,799%, ¥4,865,000,000 ($44.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 63
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 07
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), 0, ¥x95,000,000 ($855,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Friday, 05/03 (National Holiday - Constitution Day)
¥315,000,000 ($2.8 million), +370%, ¥6,725,000,000 ($61.4 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 22
¥305,000,000 ($2.7 million), -43%, ¥3,605,000,000 ($32.3 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 08
¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Detective Pikachu (Toho) NEW
¥215,000,000 ($1.9 million), +174%, ¥2,880,000,000 ($25.8 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 15
¥100,000,000 ($895,000), +871%, ¥1,395,000,000 ($12.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 15
¥x50,000,000 ($445,000), 0, ¥x50,000,000 ($445,000), Kakegurui (Gaga) NEW
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +99%, ¥610,000,000 ($5.4 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 15
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), Lupinranger VS Patranger VS Kyuranger (Toei Video Division) NEW
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), +208%, ¥3,575,000,000 ($32.3 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 71


Note: Daily Estimates based on Weekend Estimates (actuals won't be out for over a week); margin-of-error is higher than usual.
% changes versus same day last week.


Upcoming:
May 4th - Greenery Day (National Holiday)
May 5th - Children's Day (National Holiday)
May 6th - Declared National Holiday (Monday after a holiday)

Author:  Corpse [ Fri May 03, 2019 10:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Okay, I'm pretty sure some will come in here thinking Detective Pikachu "disappointed/bombed", or something, but it hasn't. First, it's very early and it's hard to make such a claim after a single day (especially during a holiday week). Second, the number is actually pretty good. It's about on par with the average first day of the annual Pokemon film franchise every July.

There was nothing indicating that Detective Pikachu would be a huge film in Japan. It's always a major misconception that a Hollywood adaptation of a popular Japanese source will be a monster hit in the market, but that's never the case. Hollywood adaptations of domestic source material are always a very difficult sell, often being met with rejection, and have to rely on positive WOM to make them hits. The Japanese reactions to the trailer (Pokemon designs) were lukewarm at best, too.

Also, considering that the Pokemon franchise is almost exclusively a children's franchise in the market, it was going to be hard to directly appeal to them with a darker live-action film. Japan, of course, won't have that nostalgia factor that many other markets will probably have toward the film either.

Author:  mark66 [ Fri May 03, 2019 10:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Corpse wrote:
Okay, I'm pretty sure some will come in here thinking Detective Pikachu "disappointed/bombed", or something, but it hasn't.

Actually I thought that's a pretty good opening day, but I wasn't sure if the holiday is skewing the gross into "pretty good opening" territory...

Author:  Uemarasan [ Fri May 03, 2019 1:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Hi Corpse!

I'm a little surprised at the initial performance of Birthday Wonderland. Is Keiichi Hara not as big a draw in Japan? I'm wondering how it compares with the box office of his previous films, such as Miss Hokusai, Colorful, and Summer Days with Coo.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri May 03, 2019 10:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

mark66 wrote:
Corpse wrote:
Okay, I'm pretty sure some will come in here thinking Detective Pikachu "disappointed/bombed", or something, but it hasn't.

Actually I thought that's a pretty good opening day, but I wasn't sure if the holiday is skewing the gross into "pretty good opening" territory...


It could be, yes. Saturday is looking to come in a bit below Friday, and while that's not uncommon during holiday weeks (weekdays can often be bigger than weekends), it's also not very encouraging. But it's still early into the day, and the weekend, so let's wait and see.

The most telling numbers for Detective Pikachu, in particular, will be from Tuesday onward. May/June are very bad months for films that skew toward families and teens, so if it's having any similar appeal to the animated films, it's going to be in some trouble.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri May 03, 2019 10:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Uemarasan wrote:
Hi Corpse!

I'm a little surprised at the initial performance of Birthday Wonderland. Is Keiichi Hara not as big a draw in Japan? I'm wondering how it compares with the box office of his previous films, such as Miss Hokusai, Colorful, and Summer Days with Coo.


Hara's original films have been limited, or near limited, releases, and their box office numbers reflect that. I wouldn't go as far as not calling him a draw though, because I believe Birthday Wonderland may be doing better numbers than any of his other original films. I don't remember any of the others having a consistent (albeit just a week) stay in the Top 10. If anything, he has a small but reliable base.

I'll check on the numbers for his other films over the weekend, as well as get back to everyone else who asked me questions over the past week.

Author:  BK [ Sat May 04, 2019 5:35 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Corpse wrote:
mark66 wrote:
Corpse wrote:
Okay, I'm pretty sure some will come in here thinking Detective Pikachu "disappointed/bombed", or something, but it hasn't.

Actually I thought that's a pretty good opening day, but I wasn't sure if the holiday is skewing the gross into "pretty good opening" territory...


It could be, yes. Saturday is looking to come in a bit below Friday, and while that's not uncommon during holiday weeks (weekdays can often be bigger than weekends), it's also not very encouraging. But it's still early into the day, and the weekend, so let's wait and see.

The most telling numbers for Detective Pikachu, in particular, will be from Tuesday onward. May/June are very bad months for films that skew toward families and teens, so if it's having any similar appeal to the animated films, it's going to be in some trouble.


Do you think it was a good release date or could there have been a better one?

What's the Japanese WOM like? Having said that, the Pokemon films have looked really mediocre for years- possibly always-, so it might be hard to get them to buy in to this film even if it is live action.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat May 04, 2019 10:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

I didn't like the release date, but I also understand why they wanted it to be released in Japan before anywhere else.

First, the release date was in the middle of Golden Week (even on the tail-end given this year's expanded week), so it couldn't fully benefit from one of the three biggest weeks of the year (the biggest this year). Second, as I said, May and June are weak months for films that target family/kids, so if it's appealing to them, it'll have a bumpy road ahead. And third, most imported films perform better with a later release in the market. Pokemon is a known franchise, obviously, so that typically makes a day-and-date (or earlier in this case) okay to go with, but since this is an original film Hollywood adaptation of a domestic source, a later release could have been used to help promote it better. I would have gone with December.

WOM can take awhile to determine in Japan since it's not a frontloaded market, but so far user scores on movie sites are averaging 3/5.

The yearly animated franchise may look "mediocre", and they can be, mostly because they almost exclusively (like 80/90%) appeal to children in the market, young children (think 12 and under). They always release at the beginning of Summer Vacation every July, so they're always a safe and reliable choice to see in theaters every year.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat May 04, 2019 10:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Pg. Bump ---> (Golden Week, Saturday Estimates)

Author:  Corpse [ Sat May 04, 2019 10:59 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week (Dailies Ests.)

Super Golden Week, Daily Estimates (04/29-05/06)

Weekdays (Monday-Friday)
Spoiler: show
Monday, 04/29 (National Holiday - Showa Day)
¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), 0, ¥2,025,000,000 ($18.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 04
¥450,000,000 ($4.0 million), +291%, ¥5,060,000,000 ($45.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 18
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +165%, ¥1,805,000,000 ($16.2 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 11
¥160,000,000 ($1.4 million), +408%, ¥755,000,000 ($6.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 11
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +41%, ¥445,000,000 ($3.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 11
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +437%, ¥4,775,000,000 ($43.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 60
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +244%, ¥3,480,000,000 ($31.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 67
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 04
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 03


Tuesday, 04/30 (National Holiday - Emperor Abdicates; Heisei Era Ends)
¥460,000,000 ($4.1 million), +668%, ¥5,520,000,000 ($50.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 19
¥445,000,000 ($4.0 million), 0, ¥2,470,000,000 ($22.2 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 05
¥280,000,000 ($2.5 million), +256%, ¥2,085,000,000 ($18.7 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 12
¥190,000,000 ($1.7 million), +1,861%, ¥945,000,000 ($8.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 12
¥x45,000,000 ($405,000), +89%, ¥490,000,000 ($4.3 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 12
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +3,020%, ¥4,805,000,000 ($43.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 61
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +370%, ¥3,505,000,000 ($31.8 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 68
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x60,000,000 ($540,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 04
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x80,000,000 ($720,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 05


Wednesday, 05/01 (National Holiday - New Emperor Ascends; Reiwa Era Begins)
¥545,000,000 ($4.9 million), +546%, ¥6,065,000,000 ($55.5 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 20
¥495,000,000 ($4.4 million), 0, ¥2,965,000,000 ($26.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 06
¥350,000,000 ($3.1 million), +243%, ¥2,435,000,000 ($21.8 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 13
¥225,000,000 ($2.0 million), +1,479%, ¥1,170,000,000 ($10.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 13
¥x60,000,000 ($535,000), +131%, ¥550,000,000 ($4.9 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 13
¥x40,000,000 ($360,000), +2,935%, ¥4,845,000,000 ($44.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 62
¥x30,000,000 ($270,000), +271%, ¥3,535,000,000 ($32.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 69
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($945,000), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 06
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($765,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Thursday, 05/02 (Default National Holiday, Falls Between Holidays)
¥345,000,000 ($3.1 million), +509%, ¥6,410,000,000 ($58.6 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 21
¥335,000,000 ($3.0 million), 0, ¥3,300,000,000 ($29.6 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 07
¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), +248%, ¥2,665,000,000 ($23.9 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 14
¥125,000,000 ($1.1 million), +1,253%, ¥1,295,000,000 ($11.5 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 14
¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), +83%, ¥585,000,000 ($5.2 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 14
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +298%, ¥3,560,000,000 ($32.3 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 70
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), +1,799%, ¥4,865,000,000 ($44.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 63
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million), Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.) Day 07
¥x10,000,000 ($x90,000), 0, ¥x95,000,000 ($855,000), Toei Anime Festival (Toei) Day 05


Friday, 05/03 (National Holiday - Constitution Day)
¥315,000,000 ($2.8 million), +370%, ¥6,725,000,000 ($61.4 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 22
¥305,000,000 ($2.7 million), -43%, ¥3,605,000,000 ($32.3 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 08
¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥300,000,000 ($2.7 million), Detective Pikachu (Toho) NEW
¥215,000,000 ($1.9 million), +174%, ¥2,880,000,000 ($25.8 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 15
¥100,000,000 ($895,000), +871%, ¥1,395,000,000 ($12.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 15
¥x50,000,000 ($445,000), 0, ¥x50,000,000 ($445,000), Kakegurui (Gaga) NEW
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), +99%, ¥610,000,000 ($5.4 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 15
¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), 0, ¥x20,000,000 ($180,000), Lupinranger VS Patranger VS Kyuranger (Toei Video Division) NEW
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), +208%, ¥3,575,000,000 ($32.3 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 71


Saturday, 05/04 (National Holiday - Greenery Day)
¥290,000,000 ($2.6 million), +15%, ¥7,015,000,000 ($64.0 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) Day 23
¥285,000,000 ($2.5 million), -48%, ¥3,890,000,000 ($34.8 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) Day 09
¥230,000,000 ($2.1 million), 0, ¥530,000,000 ($4.8 million), Detective Pikachu (Toho) Day 02
¥210,000,000 ($1.9 million), +19%, ¥3,090,000,000 ($27.7 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) Day 16
¥x90,000,000 ($805,000), +02%, ¥1,485,000,000 ($13.2 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) Day 16
¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), 0, ¥x85,000,000 ($760,000), Kakegurui (Gaga) Day 02
¥x25,000,000 ($225,000), -13%, ¥635,000,000 ($5.6 million), Shazam! (Warner Bros.) Day 16
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x35,000,000 ($315,000), Lupinranger VS Patranger VS Kyuranger (Toei Video Division) Day 02
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), +25%, ¥3,590,000,000 ($32.5 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 72
¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), 0, ¥x15,000,000 ($135,000), King of Prism: Shiny Seven Star IV (Avex Pictures) NEW


Note: Daily Estimates based on Weekend Estimates (actuals won't be out for over a week); margin-of-error is higher than usual.
% changes versus same day last week.


Upcoming:
May 5th - Children's Day (National Holiday)
May 6th - Declared National Holiday (Monday after a holiday)

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat May 04, 2019 11:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Last Monday might be close than Saturday-Sunday totals combined for Top 2 movies.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat May 04, 2019 11:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Endgame is now the highest-grossing superhero film ever in the market, after the original Spider-Man trilogy, surpassing Infinity War on its ninth day in release.

Author:  Corpse [ Sat May 04, 2019 11:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office: Super Golden Week

Jack Sparrow wrote:
Last Monday might be close than Saturday-Sunday totals combined for Top 2 movies.



Nah. Sunday will be noticeably bigger than Saturday; however, this goes to show how much of an impact a national holiday has on the box-office when it lands on a weekday. A holiday weekday can easily beat a Saturday or Sunday.

And holidays landing on the weekend don't provide much of a boost since a weekend is basically a holiday anything. Just a few more businesses and such are closed when holidays land on weekends.

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