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 Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated! (10/14) 
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Hatchling

Joined: Fri Mar 22, 2019 9:07 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Many thanks Corpse!


Mon Mar 25, 2019 9:42 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
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So how's this going to perform? I gotta say, I love the poster.


Tue Mar 26, 2019 12:48 am
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Speed Racer

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Is it just me or this year Japan boxoffice seem to release actual number very slow and many films are still estimated on Wednesday.


Tue Mar 26, 2019 1:21 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Algren wrote:
Image

So how's this going to perform? I gotta say, I love the poster.


It is a nice poster.

Aladdin is a bit of a wildcard. In Japan, the Disney live-action re-tellings have been all over the place at the box-office, so there isn't a reliable range to just place any upcoming film in, really.

Aladdin's prospects are probably higher than the other films this year since it stars Will Smith (not as big of a draw as he used to be, but still a reliable name), and seems to have kept the songs in the film. Johnny Depp would have been a better choice for the market. The June 7th release date is pretty bad though, and could indicate Disney isn't confident in its appeal in the market. Online interest is solid at best at the moment, and doesn't suggest to me we'll see a big performance.

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Tue Mar 26, 2019 7:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
pookpooi wrote:
Is it just me or this year Japan boxoffice seem to release actual number very slow and many films are still estimated on Wednesday.


Sort of. Actuals for independent studio distributed films are always slow to come in, but for the most part everything else comes in on Monday still. The only exception is that the traditional two-day weekend actual for openers can be estimates* until Wednesday (their three-day totals are always released on Monday though).

*The estimate is still super close to the actual since it's no more than ¥900,000 ($8,000) off. If the weekend is said to be ¥150 million, its actual will be between ¥149.5-¥150.4 million.

I'm pretty positive it's due to the country moving toward Friday release dates instead of Saturday release dates, but still keeping the two-day weekend (Sat-Sun).

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Tue Mar 26, 2019 7:29 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 Daily Estimates
Spring Break 2019 - Daily Estimates, Week 2 (03/25-29)

Monday (03/25):
¥115 million ($1.0 million), +190%, ¥2.98 billion ($27.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 25
¥x45 million ($410,000), -51%, ¥1.26 billion ($11.4 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 11
¥x40 million ($365,000), +01%, ¥2.55 billion ($23.2 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 32
¥x40 million ($365,000), 0, ¥305 million ($2.8 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 5
¥x40 million ($365,000), -11%, ¥550 million ($5.0 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -12%, ¥540 million ($4.9 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥190 million ($1.7 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 5
¥x20 million ($180,000), -26%, ¥1.43 billion ($13.0 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 25
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥x90 million ($0.8 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 5
¥x15 million ($135,000), -01%, ¥300 million ($2.7 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 11

Bonus: ¥x09 million ($80,000), -22%, ¥12.64 billion ($113.4 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 137

Tuesday (03/26):
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +207%, ¥3.10 billion ($28.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 26
¥x40 million ($365,000), +18%, ¥2.59 billion ($23.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 33
¥x35 million ($315,000), -43%, ¥1.30 billion ($11.7 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 12
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥340 million ($3.1 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 6
¥x35 million ($315,000), +04%, ¥585 million ($5.3 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 12
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥210 million ($1.9 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 6
¥x20 million ($180,000), +11%, ¥560 million ($5.1 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 12
¥x20 million ($180,000), -17%, ¥1.45 billion ($13.2 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 26
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥105 million ($0.9 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 6
¥x15 million ($135,000), +28%, ¥315 million ($2.8 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 12

Bonus: ¥x08 million ($75,000), -11%, ¥12.65 billion ($113.5 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 138

% changes versus same day last week.

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Tue Mar 26, 2019 8:05 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
A bit of a boring Spring Break this year. In recent years, Disney and/or Illumination have had an animated film open in mid-March; so without any releases from them, the only film benefiting significantly from the break is Doraemon since it's the pretty much the only release that targets children.

Disney should have stuck with this release frame for Ralph Breaks the Internet, but they oddly decided to release it back in December. And while it did okay, it was kinda frontloaded for an animated film released that time of year, and then it died off after the New Year. It would have benefited greatly from a Spring release.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Mar 26, 2019 8:11 pm
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Speed Racer

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Given the slight lul due to an absence of the usual Animated release, what's next on the release schedule the next couple of weeks and how big are they looking (OW/Total)? Can anything spice up the BO?


Tue Mar 26, 2019 8:19 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Dumbo opens this upcoming weekend. I don't know if it'll quite be able to dethrone Doraemon, but it should do solid numbers. Tim Burton is very reliable in Japan, and online interest is good, though not great.

Then the box-office will be in a down period coming out of a holiday frame (Spring Break) until Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire opens on April 12th. I probably don't have to remind you how big this franchise has become (last year's film was #2 for the year), and this year's release will be debuting in a very open market. It was already very likely to achieve the biggest overall opening weekend of 2019 regardless, but the open market could propel it above and beyond. Last year's film debuted to over 1 million admissions (1,012,000), becoming only the third film in ten years to accomplish that feat.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Mar 26, 2019 8:30 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Captain Marvel meltdown. Corpse do you know if this is because audience not liking it or maybe this is just a very frontloaded movie because it was set in 80's thus the initial rush.


Tue Mar 26, 2019 10:13 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Thanks for your input on Aladdin, Corpse.


Wed Mar 27, 2019 1:12 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Captain Marvel meltdown. Corpse do you know if this is because audience not liking it or maybe this is just a very frontloaded movie because it was set in 80's thus the initial rush.


Reviews and audience scores are good, averaging 4/5 on most movie sites, so it's not the reception. Marvel/DC films are just some of the most frontloaded in the market (besides Spider-Man releases), regardless of reception. Captain Marvel is just performing among the most frontloaded in the genre.

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Wed Mar 27, 2019 9:44 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 Daily Estimates
Spring Break 2019 - Daily Estimates, Week 2 (03/25-29)

Monday (03/25):
¥115 million ($1.0 million), +190%, ¥2.98 billion ($27.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 25
¥x45 million ($410,000), -51%, ¥1.26 billion ($11.4 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 11
¥x40 million ($365,000), +01%, ¥2.55 billion ($23.2 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 32
¥x40 million ($365,000), 0, ¥305 million ($2.8 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 5
¥x40 million ($365,000), -11%, ¥550 million ($5.0 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -12%, ¥540 million ($4.9 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 10
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥190 million ($1.7 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 5
¥x20 million ($180,000), -26%, ¥1.43 billion ($13.0 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 25
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥x90 million ($0.8 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 5
¥x15 million ($135,000), -01%, ¥300 million ($2.7 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 11

Bonus: ¥x09 million ($80,000), -22%, ¥12.64 billion ($113.4 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 137

Tuesday (03/26):
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +207%, ¥3.10 billion ($28.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 26
¥x40 million ($365,000), +18%, ¥2.59 billion ($23.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 33
¥x35 million ($315,000), -43%, ¥1.30 billion ($11.7 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 12
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥340 million ($3.1 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 6
¥x35 million ($315,000), +04%, ¥585 million ($5.3 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 12
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥210 million ($1.9 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 6
¥x20 million ($180,000), +11%, ¥560 million ($5.1 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -17%, ¥1.45 billion ($13.2 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 26
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥105 million ($0.9 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 6
¥x15 million ($135,000), +28%, ¥315 million ($2.8 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 12

Bonus: ¥x08 million ($75,000), -11%, ¥12.65 billion ($113.5 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 138

Wednesday (03/27):
¥185 million ($1.7 million), +103%, ¥3.29 billion ($29.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 27
¥x60 million ($540,000), -12%, ¥2.65 billion ($24.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 34
¥x45 million ($405,000), 0, ¥385 million ($3.5 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 7
¥x40 million ($360,000), -51%, ¥1.34 billion ($12.1 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 13
¥x40 million ($360,000), -09%, ¥625 million ($5.7 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 13
¥x30 million ($270,000), -01%, ¥590 million ($5.4 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 12
¥x25 million ($225,000), -31%, ¥1.48 billion ($13.4 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 27
¥x25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥235 million ($2.1 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 7
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥125 million ($1.1 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 7
¥x20 million ($180,000), -03%, ¥335 million ($3.0 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 12

Bonus: ¥x12 million ($110,000), -15%, ¥12.66 billion ($113.6 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 139

% changes versus same day last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Wed Mar 27, 2019 11:22 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 Daily Estimates
Spring Break 2019 - Daily Estimates, Week 2 (03/25-29)

Monday (03/25):
¥115 million ($1.0 million), +190%, ¥2.98 billion ($27.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 25
¥x45 million ($410,000), -51%, ¥1.26 billion ($11.4 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 11
¥x40 million ($365,000), +01%, ¥2.55 billion ($23.2 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 32
¥x40 million ($365,000), 0, ¥305 million ($2.8 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 5
¥x40 million ($365,000), -11%, ¥550 million ($5.0 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -12%, ¥540 million ($4.9 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 10
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥190 million ($1.7 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 5
¥x20 million ($180,000), -26%, ¥1.43 billion ($13.0 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 25
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥x90 million ($0.8 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 5
¥x15 million ($135,000), -01%, ¥300 million ($2.7 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 11

Bonus: ¥x09 million ($80,000), -22%, ¥12.64 billion ($113.4 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 137

Tuesday (03/26):
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +207%, ¥3.10 billion ($28.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 26
¥x40 million ($365,000), +18%, ¥2.59 billion ($23.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 33
¥x35 million ($315,000), -43%, ¥1.30 billion ($11.7 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 12
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥340 million ($3.1 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 6
¥x35 million ($315,000), +04%, ¥585 million ($5.3 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 12
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥210 million ($1.9 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 6
¥x20 million ($180,000), +11%, ¥560 million ($5.1 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -17%, ¥1.45 billion ($13.2 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 26
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥105 million ($0.9 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 6
¥x15 million ($135,000), +28%, ¥315 million ($2.8 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 12

Bonus: ¥x08 million ($75,000), -11%, ¥12.65 billion ($113.5 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 138

Wednesday (03/27):
¥185 million ($1.7 million), +103%, ¥3.29 billion ($29.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 27
¥x60 million ($540,000), -12%, ¥2.65 billion ($24.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 34
¥x45 million ($405,000), 0, ¥385 million ($3.5 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 7
¥x40 million ($360,000), -51%, ¥1.34 billion ($12.1 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 13
¥x40 million ($360,000), -09%, ¥625 million ($5.7 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 13
¥x30 million ($270,000), -01%, ¥590 million ($5.4 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 12
¥x25 million ($225,000), -31%, ¥1.48 billion ($13.4 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 27
¥x25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥235 million ($2.1 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 7
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥125 million ($1.1 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 7
¥x20 million ($180,000), -03%, ¥335 million ($3.0 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 13

Bonus: ¥x12 million ($110,000), -15%, ¥12.66 billion ($113.6 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 139

Thursday (03/28):
¥125 million ($1.1 million), -55%, ¥3.42 billion ($30.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 28
¥x40 million ($360,000), -61%, ¥2.69 billion ($24.5 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 35
¥x35 million ($315,000), -07%, ¥420 million ($3.8 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 8
¥x35 million ($315,000), -73%, ¥1.38 billion ($12.4 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 14
¥x35 million ($315,000), -44%, ¥660 million ($6.0 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 14
¥x20 million ($180,000), -80%, ¥610 million ($5.6 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 13
¥x20 million ($180,000), -70%, ¥1.50 billion ($13.6 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 28
¥x20 million ($180,000), -79%, ¥255 million ($2.3 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 8
¥x15 million ($135,000), -41%, ¥140 million ($1.3 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 8
¥x15 million ($135,000), -49%, ¥350 million ($3.2 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 14

Bonus: ¥x09 million ($80,000), -59%, ¥12.67 billion ($113.7 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 140

% changes versus same day last week.

Note: Last Thursday was a national holiday, so the Thursday-to-Thursday declines are significant due to this.

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Thu Mar 28, 2019 12:04 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Upcoming Release Schedule (Apr.)
Upcoming Release Schedule: April

04/04:
[x97] - Vice (Long Ride)
[x77] - You Are Brilliant Like a Spica (Ion Entertainment)

04/05:
[129] - Thomas & Friends: Big World! Big Adventure! Go! Go! (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)

04/12:
[364] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho)
[197] - Hunter Killer (Gaga)
[x79] - Halloween (Parco)
[x72] - Love's Twisting Path (Toei)

04/19:
[356] - Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho)
[341] - Kingdom (Toho/Sony)
[174] - Shazam! (Warner Bros.)
[x73] - Sound! Euphonium the Movie: Finale Oath (Shochiku)

04/26:
[350] - Avengers: Endgame (Disney)
[136] - Birthday Wonderland (Warner Bros.)
[100] - Toei Manga Festival Anime Shorts (Toei)


Preliminary theater counts in [brackets] are subject-to-change, especially for premium format releases distributed by Disney and Warner Bros.

Theater Count Key:
<100: Limited.
101-149: Wide.
150-199: Below Average.
200-249: Standard.
250-299: Above average.
300-349: Very wide.
>350: Optimal.

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Thu Mar 28, 2019 12:53 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Upcoming Release Schedule (May)
Upcoming Release Schedule: May

05/03:
[350] - Detective Pikachu (Toho)
[132] - Kakegurui (Gaga)

05/10:
[117] - I Want to See You Again (LDH Pictures)
[x97] - Leaving the Scene (Toei)
[x86] - Cheer Boys!! (Bandai Visual/Pony Canyon)

05/17:
[325] - The Confidence Man JP: The Movie (Toho)
[193] - According to Our Butler (Toei)
[x82] - Iwane: Sword of Serenity (Shochiku)

05/24:
[326] - A Little Love Song (Toei)
[324] - Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films)
[188] - Promare (Toho Video Division)

05/31:
[365] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (Toho)
[208] - Parallel World Love Story (Shochiku)
[157] - A Long Farewell (Asmik Ace)
[x96] - Farewell Song (Gaga)


Preliminary theater counts in [brackets] are subject-to-change, especially for premium format releases distributed by Disney and Warner Bros.

Theater Count Key:
<100: Limited.
101-149: Wide.
150-199: Below Average.
200-249: Standard.
250-299: Above average.
300-349: Very wide.
>350: Optimal.

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Japan Box Office

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Thu Mar 28, 2019 3:37 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Thanks Corpse. So we're really looking at a non-stop week after week of big grosses from 12th April onwards. Even more so if (in the unlikely case) Pikachu overperforms, especially since it's distributed by Toho.

Are there any notable holidays coming up in April and May that will affect Box Office? (I'm useless at remembering dates :P )


Thu Mar 28, 2019 8:35 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Golden Week is from April 29th-May 5th. April 29th is Showa Day, May 3rd is Constitution Day, May 4th is Greenery Day, and May 5th is Children's Day.

However, this year's Golden Week holiday frame is special, and unprecedented. I'll explain:

On April 30th, Emperor Akihito is abdicating the throne, and the Crown Prince Naruhito will ascend the throne on May 1st. As a result of this, May 1st will be a national holiday this year. And due to May 1st becoming a national holiday, April 30th and May 2nd also become national holidays because a day between two national holidays is then declared a holiday itself. May 6th also becomes a national holiday because May 5th (a national holiday) falls on a Sunday, and when a holiday falls on a Sunday, the following Monday is declared a holiday! :funny:

So, this year's Golden Week is extra long, and when you include the weekend of April 27th, you get an unprecedented 10-day holiday frame, EIGHT of which will be national holidays(!), from April 27th-May 6th without school OR work.

April 27th - Weekend
April 28th - Weekend
April 29th - Showa Day (National Holiday)
April 30th - Declared National Holiday (falls between holidays)
May 1st - National Holiday (New Emperor)
May 2nd - Declared National Holiday (falls between holidays)
May 3rd - Constitution Day (National Holiday)
May 4th - Greenery Day (National Holiday)
May 5th - Children's Day (National Holiday)
May 6th - Declared National Holiday (Monday after a holiday)

This is the longest consecutive holiday frame where both schools AND workplaces will be closed in modern history. It's going to be huge for the box-office. The only downside is that we won't see any weekend actuals for April 27-28th or May 4th-5th until May 7th/8th at the earliest.

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Thu Mar 28, 2019 10:10 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
It seems like Endgame will benefit the most from the holidays, as it's released just before Golden Week and can take advantage of every single day. Although I think Conan could still be #1 for that frame possibly.


Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:05 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
We all will be happy till you update the estimates Corpse :thumbsup:


Fri Mar 29, 2019 12:36 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
All ten days will be huge, but May 1st will be the most interesting to watch and could end up as something truly special. The day consists of:

-National Holiday (New Emperor Ascends).
-National Discount Day (40% off all ticket prices every 1st of every month).
-Ladies' Day (every Wednesday females get half-off ticket prices).

The only other time all three of these days (a national holiday + 1st of the month + ladies' day) can align is when New Year (Jan. 1st) falls on a Wednesday. And that can only occur every six years.

It'll also be interesting to see how everything behaves after a consecutive ten-day holiday break. As mentioned, this will be the longest stretch where both schools and workplaces will be closed in modern history.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Mar 29, 2019 7:35 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 Daily Estimates
Spring Break 2019 - Daily Estimates, Week 2 (03/25-29)

Monday (03/25):
¥115 million ($1.0 million), +190%, ¥2.98 billion ($27.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 25
¥x45 million ($410,000), -51%, ¥1.26 billion ($11.4 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 11
¥x40 million ($365,000), +01%, ¥2.55 billion ($23.2 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 32
¥x40 million ($365,000), 0, ¥305 million ($2.8 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 5
¥x40 million ($365,000), -11%, ¥550 million ($5.0 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -12%, ¥540 million ($4.9 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 10
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥190 million ($1.7 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 5
¥x20 million ($180,000), -26%, ¥1.43 billion ($13.0 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 25
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥x90 million ($0.8 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 5
¥x15 million ($135,000), -01%, ¥300 million ($2.7 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 11

Bonus: ¥x09 million ($80,000), -22%, ¥12.64 billion ($113.4 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 137

Tuesday (03/26):
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +207%, ¥3.10 billion ($28.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 26
¥x40 million ($365,000), +18%, ¥2.59 billion ($23.6 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 33
¥x35 million ($315,000), -43%, ¥1.30 billion ($11.7 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 12
¥x35 million ($315,000), 0, ¥340 million ($3.1 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 6
¥x35 million ($315,000), +04%, ¥585 million ($5.3 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 12
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥210 million ($1.9 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 6
¥x20 million ($180,000), +11%, ¥560 million ($5.1 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 11
¥x20 million ($180,000), -17%, ¥1.45 billion ($13.2 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 26
¥x15 million ($135,000), 0, ¥105 million ($0.9 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 6
¥x15 million ($135,000), +28%, ¥315 million ($2.8 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 12

Bonus: ¥x08 million ($75,000), -11%, ¥12.65 billion ($113.5 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 138

Wednesday (03/27):
¥185 million ($1.7 million), +103%, ¥3.29 billion ($29.8 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 27
¥x60 million ($540,000), -12%, ¥2.65 billion ($24.1 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 34
¥x45 million ($405,000), 0, ¥385 million ($3.5 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 7
¥x40 million ($360,000), -51%, ¥1.34 billion ($12.1 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 13
¥x40 million ($360,000), -09%, ¥625 million ($5.7 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 13
¥x30 million ($270,000), -01%, ¥590 million ($5.4 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 12
¥x25 million ($225,000), -31%, ¥1.48 billion ($13.4 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 27
¥x25 million ($225,000), 0, ¥235 million ($2.1 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 7
¥x20 million ($180,000), 0, ¥125 million ($1.1 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 7
¥x20 million ($180,000), -03%, ¥335 million ($3.0 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 13

Bonus: ¥x12 million ($110,000), -15%, ¥12.66 billion ($113.6 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 139

Thursday (03/28):
¥125 million ($1.1 million), -55%, ¥3.42 billion ($30.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 28
¥x40 million ($360,000), -61%, ¥2.69 billion ($24.5 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 35
¥x35 million ($315,000), -07%, ¥420 million ($3.8 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 8
¥x35 million ($315,000), -73%, ¥1.38 billion ($12.4 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 14
¥x35 million ($315,000), -44%, ¥660 million ($6.0 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 14
¥x20 million ($180,000), -80%, ¥610 million ($5.6 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 13
¥x20 million ($180,000), -70%, ¥1.50 billion ($13.6 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 28
¥x20 million ($180,000), -79%, ¥255 million ($2.3 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 8
¥x15 million ($135,000), -41%, ¥140 million ($1.3 million), L-DK: Two Loves, Under One Roof (Toei) Day 8
¥x15 million ($135,000), -49%, ¥350 million ($3.2 million), Osomatsu-san (Shochiku) Day 14

Bonus: ¥x09 million ($80,000), -59%, ¥12.67 billion ($113.7 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 140

Friday (03/29):
¥120 million ($1.1 million), +71%, ¥3.54 billion ($32.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Toho) Day 29
¥x75 million ($680,000), 0, ¥x75 million ($0.7 million), Dumbo (Disney) NEW
¥x55 million ($500,000), 0, ¥x55 million ($0.5 million), Ninja Drones? (Shochiku) NEW
¥x40 million ($365,000), -10%, ¥2.73 billion ($24.9 million), Tonde Saitama (Toei) Day 36
¥x35 million ($315,000), -43%, ¥1.41 billion ($12.7 million), Captain Marvel (Disney) Day 15
¥x30 million ($270,000), -51%, ¥450 million ($4.1 million), Bumblebee (Toho-Towa) Day 9
¥x30 million ($270,000), -11%, ¥690 million ($6.3 million), You Shine in Moonlight (Toho) Day 15
¥x20 million ($180,000), -31%, ¥1.52 billion ($13.8 million), Green Book (Gaga) Day 29
¥x15 million ($135,000), -08%, ¥625 million ($5.7 million), Precure Miracle Universe (Toei) Day 14
¥x15 million ($135,000), -31%, ¥270 million ($2.4 million), Prince of Legend (Toho) Day 9

Bonus: ¥x07 million ($65,000), -30%, ¥12.68 billion ($113.8 million), Bohemian Rhapsody (Fox) Day 141

% changes versus same day last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Last edited by Corpse on Fri Mar 29, 2019 11:12 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:53 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Pretty meh Friday for Dumbo. That likely won't be enough to dethrone Doraemon from atop the weekend-box office either, so Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration will claim its 5th-consecutive weekend at #1 (and 6th-consecutive next week).

Dumbo is definitely going to perform at the bottom of Disney's live-action re-tellings, perhaps coming in either a bit below or on par with The Jungle Book. I'd project a debut around ¥250 million ($2.2/2.3 million) based on its Friday take, and a finish of between ¥1.5-2.0 billion ($15-20 million) depending on how it handles the mid/late-April releases. The Jungle Book grossed ¥2.21 billion ($21.5 million).

Japanese audiences just aren't really into the non-musical, animal-themed live-action remakes it seems. I imagine they struggle to find an audience. Older audiences may find them too childish; teens likely see little/no appeal (no attachment to Disney); and family/younger audiences probably find them too mature. The live-action Disney Princess films have performed overwhelmingly better at the box-office.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Mar 29, 2019 10:59 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
Corpse wrote:
Pretty meh Friday for Dumbo. That likely won't be enough to dethrone Doraemon from atop the weekend-box office either, so Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration will claim its 5th-consecutive weekend at #1 (and 6th-consecutive next week).

Dumbo is definitely going to perform at the bottom of Disney's live-action re-tellings, perhaps coming in either a bit below or on par with The Jungle Book. I'd project a debut around ¥250 million ($2.2/2.3 million) based on its Friday take, and a finish of between ¥1.5-2.0 billion ($15-20 million) depending on how it handles the mid/late-April releases. The Jungle Book grossed ¥2.21 billion ($21.5 million).

Japanese audiences just aren't really into the non-musical, animal-themed live-action remakes it seems. I imagine they struggle to find an audience. Older audiences may find them too childish; teens likely see little/no appeal (no attachment to Disney); and family/younger audiences probably find them too mature. The live-action Disney Princess films have performed overwhelmingly better at the box-office.


How does this fair for The Lion King then? Since that fits the category of "non-musical, animal-themed live-action remakes", since there's only like 4 songs in it. Or does the original hold a special place in people's hearts to find an audience?


Fri Mar 29, 2019 11:30 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 (03/24 Updates)
I don't expect The Lion King to be very big, but it's sort of an unknown right now. Do we know how they're handling the songs? Are the animals singing them? Are they even included? If they're a focal point of the marketing, and the animals are indeed singing them, then that should help. I think it'll do well, better than The Jungle Book or Dumbo, but I don't see it being huge in the market.

The original was pretty successful, ranking 5th for the year in 1994, but it only ranks 88th among all animated films in the market. Among the 90s Disney renaissance films, Aladdin was the biggest in Japan.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Mar 29, 2019 7:20 pm
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