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 Japan Box Office (& More): Manga Sales (06.29-07.05) 
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
No, it won't. That's why I'm comparing it to Conan 22 which also opened on a Friday.


Thu Dec 13, 2018 8:39 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
What page are those Conan figures on so I can compare it throughout the Friday?


Thu Dec 13, 2018 8:53 pm
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Detective Conan seems like a fair comparison, just don't expect similar numbers. Conan has really exploded in the past few years, and one could easily argue it being Japan's biggest film franchise now. And if I remember Resurrection F's daily pattern, then Broly will pick up more into the evening.

I have some family matters to attend over the weekend, so I unfortunately won't be able to track Broly like I've done with other big openers in the past. You guys feel free to do so though. I'm having a friend keep an eye on how it does Saturday and Sunday, so I'll still be able to post the more final results versus other big films in recent years.

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Thu Dec 13, 2018 8:58 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
@bullza

It's in Japanese :

http://awabi.2ch.sc/test/read.cgi/movie/1523513843/

We're currently at the same phase as post 438. Next will be post 456, then 466, 478, 485, and so on.


Thu Dec 13, 2018 8:59 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
If it can do ~55-60% of Conan's Friday admissions throughout the morning and afternoon, it should be able to reach ~65%+ of Conan's Friday for the overall day since I expect evening showings to be robust. That'd probably point toward weekend (Sat. & Sun. only) admissions safely above 600,000 with 700,000 being doable. Of course, it's very early to make any real projections yet.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:14 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
That's gonna be hard for me to keep track of but...Broly is at 61.9% of Conan at the same point?

And this 10,000 it's say it's done on Mimorin would in reality be about 15,000 now because that site accounts for 65-70%?

So roughly ¥20 million?

Edit: And what did Conan make total by the Sunday?


Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:16 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
bullza wrote:
That's gonna be hard for me to keep track of but...Broly is at 61.9% of Conan at the same point?

And this 10,000 it's say it's done on Mimorin would in reality be about 15,000 now because that site accounts for 65-70%?

So roughly ¥20 million?

Edit: And what did Conan make total by the Sunday?


Yes.

Mostly yes. Most animated films, especially Toei releases (like Broly here), tend to perform better in rural areas that aren't tracked (where most of the remaining 30-35% is located).

¥20 million sounds pretty good, maybe slightly higher.

Are you asking for Conan's 3-day (Fri, Sat, and Sun) admissions, or just the weekend itself?

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:20 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
bullza wrote:
That's gonna be hard for me to keep track of but...Broly is at 61.9% of Conan at the same point?

And this 10,000 it's say it's done on Mimorin would in reality be about 15,000 now because that site accounts for 65-70%?

So roughly ¥20 million?

Edit: And what did Conan make total by the Sunday?


Conan 22 :
2 day weekend : ¥1,295,834,500 and 1,012,000 admissions
3 day weekend : ¥1,67 billion and 1,290,000 million admissions


Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:21 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Also don't really make anything of what Yo-Kai Watch does today. It'll look like a huge bomb, but films that skew very young, like it, do awful on normal weekdays like today. I'm not expecting anything worthwhile from it, but it'll do considerably better over the weekend. The weekend-to-weekday gross ratio for films like this can be as extreme as 90-10 outside of summer or holiday periods.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:27 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
I did mean for the three day yes. So now it's at 63.1% as of 10:20am.

So if that stuck throughout then Broly would make ¥1.050 billion for the 3 day. Did Resurrection F do $960 million for the 2 day? So yeah I'd hope that Broly did a good chunk more in 3 days.


Thu Dec 13, 2018 9:30 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Broly will have a slightly higher average ticket price than Conan thanks to premium format showings, probably about 5% higher or so.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Thu Dec 13, 2018 10:18 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Based on the opening weekend gross and attendance for Resurrection F the average ticket price was ¥1,342. So should it be about the same? Maybe more if ticket prices have gone up?


Thu Dec 13, 2018 10:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
bullza wrote:
Based on the opening weekend gross and attendance for Resurrection F the average ticket price was ¥1,342. So should it be about the same? Maybe more if ticket prices have gone up?


Ticket prices haven't gone up, so it should be pretty similar, though I'm expecting it to be just barely higher due to more premium format showings this time around. One Piece Film Gold managed a ¥1,408 avg. ticket price two years ago on its opening weekend with very comparable seating/showtimes as Broly has this weekend, although One Piece seems to skew a bit older, or at least toward a broader fanbase.

I'd use anywhere from ¥1,350-1,375 to project a gross over the weekend right now.

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Japan Box Office
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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Thu Dec 13, 2018 10:29 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Broly

As of 8pm - 82,858

I'd compare it to Conan but the last number I can see for that is around 7pm and then the posts go past 1,000. I don't know if there's another page or thread or what.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 7:17 am
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Broly

As of 9pm - 101,871

A good boost over this hour. By the way when are the Holidays? When do people break up from school around now? There will come a point this will benefit from the weekdays as well but I'm not sure when exactly that is.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 8:09 am
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Newbie

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
For DBS, are the midnight show sales included with Fri sales?


Fri Dec 14, 2018 8:57 am
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
There were no midnight sales that was my mistake from reading it wrong.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:04 am
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
https://www.logsoku.com/r/2ch.sc/movie/1523611186/

Just take the title "興行収入を見守るスレ2590", increase the number by +1 and copy it on Google.

At 10pm it's doing about 62.5% of Conan's Friday numbers.

If it follows over the weekend, that would mean a 3 day weekend of 800k admissions and around 1.1 billion yen or so.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:10 am
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Thanks. So ¥1.1 billion.... Resurrection F did ¥1.05 billion in 3 days and that before Super aired and it really kicked off again so I don't know how I'd feel about it doing virtually the same. I'd hope for a good bit more really.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:44 am
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Broly

10am - 26,792


Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:03 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
It's pulling around 67-68% of Conan 22's numbers at the same time. If it can manage 70% over the weekend it would open around on par with Resurrection 'F' for the 2 day weekend and probably around 1,2 billion yen for the 3 day weekend.

Unless it really falls like a rock, I think a 4 billion total is looking good, especially since the New-Year period is typically stronger than the Golden Week period.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 9:14 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
Broly

11am - 41,467

It seems like it might not be doing as well as Resurrection F's opening day up to yet but it ain't too far off.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:03 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
It burned some demand on Friday so its Saturday being a bit down compared to Resurrection F isn't that surprising. On the other hand we will probably see a better Sunday, with perhaps even a Sunday increase (whereas I believe Resurrection F decreased on Sunday).


Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:06 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
That'd be good news. I have Resurrection F at being at 154,000 on the Saturday and 135,000 on the Sunday.


Fri Dec 14, 2018 10:21 pm
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Angels & Demons

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
7pm - 164,473


Sat Dec 15, 2018 6:13 am
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