Top 50 Films of All-Time
Rank/Film/Billion Yen/Year

1. Spirited Away 30.4 2001 (#1 film of year)
2. Titanic 26.2 1998 (#1 film of year)
3. Howl's Moving Castle 22.0 2004 (#1 film of year)
4. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone 20.3 2002 (#1 film of year)
5. Princess Mononoke 19.3 1997 (#1 film of year)
6. Bayside Shakedown 2: Save the Rainbow Bridge! 17.35 2003 (#1 film of year)
7. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets 17.3 2002
8. Avatar 15.59 2010 (#1 film of year)
9. Ponyo on the Cliff by the Sea 15.5 2008 (#1 film of year)
10. E.T. The Extra Terrestrial 15.0 1982 (#1 film of year)

11. The Last Samurai 13.7 2004
12. Armageddon 13.5 1999 (#1 film of year)
13. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban 13.5 2004
14. Jurassic Park 12.9 1993 (#1 film of year)
15. Star Wars Episode I: The Phantom Menace 12.7 1999
16. Alice in Wonderland 11.8 2010
17. Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire 11.5 2005 (#1 film of year)
18. Independence Day 11.3 1996 (#1 film of year)
19. Nankyoku Monogatari 11.1 1983 (#1 film of year)
20. Matrix Reloaded 11.0 2003

21. Finding Nemo 11.0 2004
22. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End 10.9 2007 (#1 film of year)
23. Toy Story 3 10.8 2010
24. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King 10.32 2004
25. Bayside Shakedown 10.1 1998
26. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest 10.02 2006 (#1 film of year)
27. The Adventures of Milo and Otis 9.8 1986 (#1 film of year)
28. Mission: Impossible 2 9.7 2000 (#1 film of year)
29. A.I. Artificial Intelligence 9.6 2001
30. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 9.6 2011 (#1 film of year) NEW

31. The Lost World: Jurassic Park 9.5 1997
32. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 9.4 2007
33. Monsters, Inc. 9.4 2002
34. Star Wars Episode II: Attack of the Clones 9.36 2002
35. The Borrower Arrietty 9.25 2010
36. Ten to Chi to 9.2 1990 (#1 film of year)
37. Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith 9.17 2005
38. The Lord of the Rings: Fellowship of the Rings 9.1 2002
39. The Da Vinci Code 9.05 2006
40. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides 8.85 2011 NEW

41. Terminator 2 8.8 1991 (#1 film of year)
42. Back to the Future Part II 8.7 1990
43. Rookies 8.55 2009 (#1 film of year)
44. Crying Out Love, In the Center of the World 8.5 2004
45. Tonko 8.23 1988 (#1 film of year)
46. Terminator 3 8.2 2003
47. Hero 8.15 2007
48. Umizaru 3: The Last Message 8.04 2010
49. Jaws 8.0 1976
50. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince 8.0 2009

2011 added two films to the Top 50 Films of All Time, bumping The Matrix and The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers off the list.

Weekend Results
December 17-18, 2011



1. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) ¥573,217,630 ($7,337,186), 636 scr, ¥726,265,585 ($9,296,199), Week 1
2. Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (TOEI) ¥208,896,125 ($2,673,870), 301 scr, -44%, ¥685,001,257 ($8,768,016), Week 2
3. Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie (Toho) ¥204,084,235 ($2,612,278), 446 scr, -34%, ¥1,891,124,780 ($24,206,397), Week 4
4. Friends: Naki on Monster Island (Toho) ¥141,676,812 ($1,813,463), 334 scr, ¥141,676,812 ($1,813,463), Week 1
5. K-ON! The Movie (Shochiku) ¥130,719,680 ($1,673,199), 137 scr, -32%, ¥943,678,087 ($12,079,080) Week 3
6. Real Steel (Walt Disney) ¥127,264,176 ($1,628,981), 531 scr, -43%, ¥597,496,489 ($7,647,955), Week 2
7. Tale of Genji (Toho) ¥112,219,508 ($1,436,282), 414 scr, -31%, ¥526,908,108 ($6,744,424), Week 2
8. The Adventures of Tintin (Toho-Towa) ¥66,015,246 ($844,995), 739 scr (-149), -50%, ¥718,296,647 ($9,194,197), Week 3
9. A Ghost of a Chance (Toho) ¥46,902,304 ($600,349), 427 scr, -49%, ¥3,859,644,948 ($49,403,455), Week 8
10. Railways 2 (Shochiku) ¥34,836,567 ($445,908), 211 scr, -38%, ¥434,303,507 ($5,559,084), Week 3

I know it was wider but MI4 just missed Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie OW in admissions. Great to see that it topped Tintin's 3 week total in 3 days...impressive.

You may have misread, but M:I4 beat Kaibutsu-Kun's OW in admissions by 6,657. Kaibutsu-Kun beat M:I4's OW in gross though because of 3D.

Despite being close on opening weekend, M:I4 will finish well ahead of Kaibutsu-Kun, too.

Yeah somehow misread that

Wild 7 (Warner Bros.) opened yesterday to about ¥40 million ($500,000) in 290 theaters (300-350 screens maybe).

That's probably good enough for a opening weekend above ¥100 million ($1.25 million), and a five day total of ¥200 million ($2.5 million). And with New Year, Wild 7 should become a solid ¥1 billion ($12.5 million) hit for WB.

This weekend marks a rare three day, holiday, weekend celebrating the Emperor's Birthday (Dec. 23rd).

Weekend Forecast
December 23/24-25, 2011



1 Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) Week 2
2 Inazuma Eleven GO The Movie: The Ultimate Bonds Gryphon (Toho) Week 1
3 Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (TOEI) Week 3
4 Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie (Toho) Week 5
5 Isoroku Yamamoto, the Commander-in-Chief of the Combined Fleet (TOEI) Week 1
6 Friends: Naki on Monster Island (Toho) Week 2
7 K-ON! The Movie (Shochiku) Week 4
8 Wild 7 (Warner Bros.) Week 1
9 New Year's Eve (Warner Bros.) Week 1
10 Real Steel (Walt Disney) Week 3

M:I4 should have little trouble keeping first place away from Inazuma Eleven, and will likely stay on top for three more weeks (after this weekend). There are no openers next weekend, and I don't think any new releases until Always: Sunset on Third Street '64 on Jan. 21st can knock M:I4 out of first place.

Also, with Inazuma Eleven opening in 3D, that makes three Toho films in the Top 10 playing on 3D screens (Kaibutsu-Kun and Friends being the other two). Toho-Towa (Toho's subsidiary company) released The Adventures of Tintin in 3D, so I expect a big drop for it this weekend. It already lost over 100 screens last weekend and dropped 50%, very rare so early in a film's release in Japan, and another 3D film isn't going to do it any favors (possibly out of the Top 15).

Yep TinTin's drop was surprising this weekend. Even with more 3D movies I don't think we see such big drops in Japan, specially on 3rd weekend when the movie didn't open as big.

It really sucks for Tintin. I wonder if a Spring release would have been better.



Aaaand bumping this cuz I hate when Weekend Forecasts or Results occupy the bottom of a page.

One source that reports data from the usual locations is saying Inazuma Eleven GO saw a 10% increase over last year's Inazuma Eleven film on the same day.

If it turns out to be true, last year's film opened to 209,917 admissions for ¥256.51 million ($3.1 million) on 229 screens (191 3D, 28 2D), giving it first place for the day. So, this year's film may have done 225,000+ admissions for nearly ¥300 million ($3.8 million) which likely would have beaten M:I4 yesterday (M:I4 will still win the weekend, though).

Both Inazuma films opened on the 23rd, the Emperor's Birthday.

And with this success, Inazuma Eleven will probably become Toho's next annual franchise (similar to Doraemon or Detective Conan) released on every Emperor's Birthday.

Have you seen From Kokuriko Hill, Corpse? It's coming out here in January and I'm kind of interested in seeing it. What are the reviews like for it?

I haven't seen it, but I may next month.

Reviews were solid (4/5 or B grade), and the legs (even if Ghibli films commonly see 10x multipliers) were excellent suggesting it pleased the audience.

And I was away this weekend, and I have a busy day today, so I'll post the Weekend Rankings and some figures this evening or tonight. The openers didn't do much, but M:I4 has already more than tripled it's opening weekend (two day) gross as of Sunday.

Since some weekend figures are coming in already, I'm going to hold off posting the Top 10 until tomorrow. But I am going to post M:I4 numbers.

Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol
Daily Breakdown: Day, Admissions / Gross

16th, 125,501 / ¥152,975,000 ($1.96 million)
17th, 220,179 / ¥283,819,150 ($3.63 million) +85%
18th, 217,571 / ¥289,042,100 ($3.70 million) +2%

Opening Weekend: 437,750 / ¥573,217,630 ($7,337,186)
3-Day Total: 563,251 / ¥726,265,585 ($9,296,199)


23rd, 175,707 / ¥228,937,500 ($2.93 million)
24th, 178,688 / ¥245,775,300 ($3.14 million) +7%
25th, 173,270 / ¥241,599,000 ($3.09 million) -2%

Second Weekend: 351,958 / ¥487,374,300 ($6.23 million) -15%
10-Day Total: 1,453,041 / ¥1,875,733,550 ($24.01 million)

M:I4 easily stayed on top it's second weekend, dropping only 15%, and is well on it's way to ¥5 billion ($60 million+) or more.

And this coming week/weekend will be it's biggest, too.

Weekend Results
December 24-25, 2011



1 Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) $6,243,265, 636 scr, -15%, $24,028,147, Week 2
2 Fleet Admiral, Isoroku Yamamoto (TOEI) $1,931,585, 308 scr, $3,197,888, Week 1
3 Inazuma Eleven GO The Movie* (Toho) $1,771,236, 274 scr, $3,751,309, Week 1
4 Friends: Naki on Monster Island* (Toho) $1,657,625, 334 scr, -9%, $5,104,987, Week 2
5 Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie* (Toho) $1,528,100, 446 scr, -42%, $27,535,285, Week 5
6 New Years Eve (Warner Bros.) $1,480,216, 246 scr, $2,066,624, Week 1
7 Real Steel (Walt Disney) $1,476,401, 531 scr, -10%, $10,921,809, Week 3
8 Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (TOEI) $1,374,048, 301 scr, -49%, $11,673,807, Week 3
9 K-ON! The Movie (Shochiku) $1,160,487, 137 scr, -31%, $14,593,474, Week 4
10 Wild 7 (Warner Bros.) $1,120,186, 293 scr, $2,170,523, Week 1

*2D/3D

Out of the Top 10:
Tale of Genji (Toho) Week 3, The Adventures of Tintin* (Toho-Towa) Week 4, A Ghost of a Chance (Toho) Week 9, Railways 2 (Shochiku) Week 4

There are no openers New Years Weekend.

Big Movie Announcement today by distributor Toho!


http://eiga.com/news/20111229/1/

Bayside Shakedown 4: The Final Chapter will be released in September 2012.

The Bayside Shakedown film series is the biggest local-live action franchise.

The last three films grossed 34.7 billion combined: Bayside Shakedown (1998) grossed 10.1 billion, Bayside Shakedown 2: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003) grossed 17.35 billion ($155/160 million) (6th Highest Grossing Film of All-Time; 3rd Highest Grossing Live-Action Film), and Bayside Shakedown 3: Set the Guys Loose! (2010) grossed 7.31 billion ($88 million).

Final Installments generally see healthy boosts in admissions (revenue), and the fall release will be wide open for it to dominate, so an increase over BS3 shouldn't be difficult. I think Umizaru 4: Brave Hearts still has the edge and will be the #1 film of 2012, though.

My New Top 5 Films of 2012 (Predictions):

1. Umizaru 4: Brave Hearts (Toho) ¥8-9 billion ($100 million+ contender)
2. Bayside Shakedown 4: The Final Chapter (Toho) ¥8-9 billion ($100 million+ contender)
3. The Amazing Spider-Man (Sony) ¥6-7 billion ($75/85 million)
4. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) ¥5-6 billion ($60/70 million)
5. Resident Evil: Retribution (Sony) or Pokemon Best Wishes: Kyurem Vs. The Sacred Swordsmen (Toho) ¥4-5 billion ($50/60 million)

Wild Card: Brave (Walt Disney)

The entire Top 5 could consist of 4th installments (if you count The Amazing Spider-Man).

Also, remember that The Hobbit Part 1 will be a 2013 release.

Pretty interesting that Bayside Shakedown 4 is getting a fall release. I wonder if it has a better chance at 100m now with all the big releases parked in the summer.

When is The Dark Knight Rises coming out?

The fall should definitely help Bayside Shakedown 4, similar to how it helped Umizaru 3, Hero, and 20th Century Boys 3 dominate the charts for 6-8 weeks on top.

The Dark Knight Rises is scheduled for July 28th.

I wonder if Inception's success will help TDKR in Japan. Maybe this time it'll at least make $25+ million.

It doesn't appear all the actuals will be released this week, but I'm still going to update using the estimates (as of 12/25).

2012 Box Office Charts

[YEARLY TOTALS]

1. Nov. 11, Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie (Toho) ¥2,149,510,000 ($27,535,285), 1,601,744 Admissions - [30 Days in Release]
____
2. Dec. 11, Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) ¥1,876,180,000 ($24,028,147), 1,453,041 Admissions - [10 Days in Release]
3. Dec. 11, K-ON!: The Movie (Shochiku) ¥1,139,230,000 ($14,593,474), 864,769 Admissions - [23 Days in Release]
____
4. Dec. 11, Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (TOEI) ¥900,000,000 ($11,673,807), 760,000 Admissions - [16 Days in Release]
5. Dec. 11, Real Steel (Warner Bros.) ¥840,900,000 ($10,921,809), 650,000 Admissions - [17 Days in Release]
6. Dec. 11, The Adventures of Tintin (Toho-Towa) ¥815,000,000 ($10,500,000), 550,000 Admissions - [25 Days in Release]
7. Dec. 11, Tale of Genji (Toho) ¥785,619,300 ($10,135,000), 653,738 Admissions - [16 Days in Release]
8. Dec. 11, Railways 2 (Shochiku) ¥490,000,000 ($6,310,000), 400,000 Admissions - [23 Days in Release (Previews Included)]
9. Dec. 11, Friends: Naki on Monster Island (Toho) ¥398,515,750 ($5,104,987), 292,928 Admissions - [9 Days in Release]
10. Dec. 11, Inazuma Eleven GO The Movie (Toho) ¥292,842,200 ($3,751,309), 240,830 Admissions - [3 Days in Release]
11. Dec. 11, Fleet Admiral, Isoroku Yamamoto (TOEI) ¥249,640,000 ($3,197,888), 209,284 Admissions - [3 Days in Release]
12. Nov. 11, Happy Feet Two (Warner Bros.) ¥180,000,000 ($2,320,000), 140,000 Admissions - [30 Days in Release]
13. Dec. 11, Wild 7 (Warner Bros.) ¥169,439,700 ($2,170,523), 131,921 Admissions - [5 Days in Release]
14. Dec. 11, New Years Eve (Warner Bros.) ¥161,329,000 ($2,066,624), 114,932 Admissions - [3 Days in Release]
15. Nov. 11, Arthur Christmas (Sony) ¥121,000,000 ($1,560,000), 100,000 Admissions - [End of Tracking]
16. Dec. 11, 50/50 (Asmik Ace) ¥24,000,000 ($310,000), 19,000 Admissions - [End of Tracking]
17. Dec. 11, A Little Bit of Heaven (Phantom Film) ¥12,000,000 ($154,000), 8,000 Admissions - [9 Days in Release]

[OPENING WEEKENDS - TWO DAY]

1. Nov. 11, Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie (Toho) ¥581,037,923 ($7,495,392), 431,093 Admissions - [446 Screens]
2. Dec. 11, Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) ¥573,217,630 ($7,337,186), 437,750 Admissions - [636 Screens]
3. Dec. 11, Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (TOEI) ¥378,031,454 ($4,838,803), 333,133 Admissions - [301 Screens]
4. Dec. 11, K-ON!: The Movie (Shochiku) ¥316,310,406 ($4,080,404), 237,817 Admissions - [137 Screens]
5. Dec. 11, Real Steel (Warner Bros.) ¥225,047,030 ($2,880,602), 176,254 Admissions - [531 Screens]
6. Dec. 11, The Adventures of Tintin (Toho-Towa) ¥219,508,716 ($2,831,622), 148,697 Admissions - [895 Screens]
7. Dec. 11, Tale of Genji (Toho) ¥163,591,247 ($2,093,967), 128,825 Admissions - [414 Screens]
8. Dec. 11, Fleet Admiral, Isoroku Yamamoto (TOEI) ¥150,787,300 ($1,931,585), 124,972 Admissions - [308 Screens]
9. Dec. 11, Friends: Naki on Monster Island (Toho) ¥141,676,812 ($1,813,463), 103,886 Admissions - [334 Screens]
10. Dec. 11, Inazuma Eleven GO The Movie (Toho) ¥138,269,800 ($1,771,236), 112,646 Admissions - [274 Screens]
11. Dec. 11, New Years Eve (Warner Bros.) ¥115,551,600 ($1,480,216), 80,848 Admissions - [246 Screens]
12. Dec. 11, Railways 2 (Shochiku) ¥89,878,387 ($1,159,431), 82,707 Admissions - [211 Screens]
13. Dec. 11, Wild 7 (Warner Bros.) ¥87,446,200 ($1,120,186), 64,348 Admissions - [293 Screens]
14. Nov. 11, Happy Feet Two (Warner Bros.) ¥54,031,256 ($697,004), 40,750 Admissions - [465 Screens]
15. Nov. 11, Arthur Christmas (Sony) ¥25,015,648 ($323,068), 18,868 Admissions - [292 Screens]
16. Dec. 11, 50/50 (Asmik Ace) ¥10,410,359 ($133,239), 8,109 Admissions - [32 Screens]
17. Dec. 11, A Little Bit of Heaven (Phantom Film) ¥5,015,979 ($64,205), 4,203 Admissions - [41 Screens]

December 31 - January 1, 2012
Weekend Forecast

1 Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount) Week 3
2 Fleet Admiral, Isoroku Yamamoto (TOEI) Week 2
3 Friends: Naki on Monster Island* (Toho) Week 3
4 Kaibutsu-Kun: The Movie* (Toho) Week 6
5 Inazuma Eleven GO The Movie* (Toho) Week 2
6 New Years Eve (Warner Bros.) Week 2
7 Real Steel (Walt Disney) Week 4
8 K-ON! The Movie (Shochiku) Week 5
9 Kamen Rider × Kamen Rider Fourze & OOO: Movie War Mega Max (TOEI) Week 4
10 Wild 7 (Warner Bros.) Week 2

*2D/3D

This is a really difficult weekend to project with no openers and half the Top 10 opening just last weekend, plus the first weekend of the New Year itself is the most unpredictable of the year, but I'll try. Some years everything increases by 40%, 50% or higher, other years the increases are 10-20% with a couple films decreasing.

M:I4 will easily stay on top and will be unchallenged until mid/late January. Kid/Family movies usually see the biggest increases when New Years fall on the Weekend, so Friends and Kaibutsu-Kun should play really well. The pure fanbase films, Inazuma Eleven and Kamen Rider will likely see drops (probably no more than 20/30% though), and the rest will either see minimal increases or decreases.

But really... the Top 10 this past weekend was so close (films 2-10 separated by less than $1 million), anything can happen with the ranking.

Where is M:I-4 headed?

$60 or $70 million.

It should be near (maybe over) $40 million after this weekend.