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 Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus 
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Star Trek XI

Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 11:20 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
That number is right in the middle of uncertainty. That's ¥986 million right?

So either that's for the 3 day in which case it's disappointing because it's even less than what Resurrection F did.

Or its for the 2 day and then that would mean it's a higher opening weekend than Resurrection F not including what it made on Friday which would make it impressive.


Sun Dec 16, 2018 1:53 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
I looked at previous Friday openers of the year and how the source reported their opening numbers, and the numbers given were always for the 3 day weekend.

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status ... 2385892352

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status ... 1404269568

And just last month :

https://twitter.com/ERCboxoffice/status ... 3803189249

So it's probably the 3 day number, unless the source operates differently with Japanese movies compared to American ones.


Sun Dec 16, 2018 3:39 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
I was trying to find something like that for Conan because that opened on a Friday but I can't find anything.


Sun Dec 16, 2018 3:42 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: WKND Actuals; Bohemian Hits Phenom Sta
I'm back. :)

English, or non-Japanese sources, almost always report 3-day totals instead of the traditional 2-day results as opening weekends in the market.

Don't be disappointed if Broly came in below Resurrection F. The last film was the final Dragon Ball Z film, and it featured the return of its biggest villain, Freiza. It was always going to be hard to beat that, even if this was the first Dragon Ball Super film, so coming close to/on par with its debut is certainly impressive for Broly, in my opinion.

I'm estimating a debut around ¥850 million ($7.5 million), and a three day total of ¥1.075 billion ($9.5 million). I'll have a list of how it fared at the usual locations, two-thirds of the market, to the other big openers of the past three years for comparison soon.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:19 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Openers Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Weekend Admissions

Biggest Openers Since 2015

Saturday Results (Two-Thirds of Market):
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title
348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
345,143/655,976 (52.6% capacity), [249/1,832] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
283,482/670,255 (42.3% capacity), [254/2,527] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
266,911/816,498 (32.7% capacity), [251/3,196] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
241,332/608,132 (39.7% capacity), [250/1,979] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
227,517/473,967 (48.0% capacity), [221/1,582] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
217,221/919,956 (23.6% capacity), [258/3,250] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)
209,804/462,825 (45.3% capacity), [229/1,366] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr., 2015)
202,075/451,836 (44.7% capacity), [218/1,257] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)
196,491/520,369 (37.8% capacity), [237/1,744] - Jurassic World (Aug., 2015)
193,053/648,160 (29.8% capacity), [252/2,037] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Dec., 2018)
187,901/485,825 (38.7% capacity), [225/1,574] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
166,650/766,440 (21.7% capacity), [241/2,556] - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Nov., 2016)


Sunday Results (Two-Thirds of Market):
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title
357,985/643,941 (55.6% capacity), [249/1,793] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
328,862/595,145 (55.3% capacity), [240/1,648] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
316,396/810,365 (39.0% capacity), [251/3,159] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
303,414/524,359 (57.9% capacity), [231/1,688] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
288,800/558,006 (51.7% capacity), [250/1,859] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
282,386/512,761 (55.1% capacity), [230/1,434] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
275,491/670,208 (41.1% capacity), [236/2,636] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
264,078/659,166 (40.1% capacity), [254/2,486] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
263,634/633,723 (41.6% capacity), [245/2,241] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
234,075/456,584 (51.2% capacity), [218/1,263] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)
220,152/483,455 (45.5% capacity), [225/1,567] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
219,122/687,402 (31.9% capacity), [247/2,805] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
217,273/450,421 (48.2% capacity), [229/1,277] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr., 2015)
214,354/623,299 (34.4% capacity), [252/1,972] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Dec., 2018)
207,464/639,737 (32.4% capacity), [231/2,205] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
203,669/748,846 (27.2% capacity), [243/2,554] - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Nov., 2016)
201,580/429,746 (46.9% capacity), [221/1,467] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
196,225/903,942 (21.7% capacity), [258/3,189] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)
175,504/501,557 (35.0% capacity), [237/1,587] - Jurassic World (Aug., 2015)


Weekend Results (Two-Thirds of Market):
Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title
703,128/1,299,917 (54.1% capacity), [249/3,625] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
676,886/1,200,412 (56.4% capacity), [240/3,324] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
621,123/1,051,181 (59.1% capacity), [231/3,415] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
583,307/1,626,823 (35.9% capacity), [251/6,355] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
572,042/1,043,666 (54.8% capacity), [230/2,936] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
569,497/1,392,147 (40.9% capacity), [236/5,431] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
549,579/1,389,766 (39.6% capacity), [247/5,670] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
547,821/1,330,179 (41.2% capacity), [254/5,015] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
530,132/1,116,138 (47.5% capacity), [250/3,838] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
526,470/1,302,175 (40.4% capacity), [245/4,570] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
494,190/1,298,579 (38.1% capacity), [231/4,461] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
↨¥1 Billion+ Debut (All films Above This Mark Debuted Above ¥1 Billion)
436,267/x,908,420 (48.0% capacity), [218/2,520] - Your Name. (Aug., 2016)
429,097/x,903,746 (47.5% capacity), [221/3,049] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
↨¥900 Million+ Debut (All films Above This Mark Debuted Above ¥900 Million)
427,077/x,913,713 (46.8% capacity), [229/2,643] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr., 2015)
413,446/1,823,898 (22.7% capacity), [258/6,439] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)
408,053/x,969,280 (42.1% capacity), [225/3,141] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
407,419/1,271,559 (32.0% capacity), [252/4,010] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Dec., 2018)
371,995/1,021,926 (36.4% capacity), [237/3,331] - Jurassic World (Aug., 2015)
370,390/1,515,394 (24.4% capacity), [243/5,111] - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Nov., 2016)
↨¥800 Million+ Debut (All films Above This Mark Debuted Above ¥800 Million)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:28 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest December Opening Weekends
Biggest December Opening Weekends [1998-]

Rank - Weekend Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions - Film
01. ¥1.629 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,484,916 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
02. ¥1.570 billion ($12.2 million) / 1,279,120 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
03. ¥1.372 billion ($16.7 million) / 1,140,081 - One Piece Film Z (2012)
04. ¥1.245 billion ($10.3 million) / 800,258 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
05. ¥1.125 billion ($9.9 million) / 737,467 - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (2017)
06. ¥1.058 billion ($8.7 million) / 974,557 - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
07. ¥1.038 billion ($11.9 million) / 819,738 - One Piece Film Strong World (2009)
08. ¥902.3 million ($8.4 million) / 622,000 - The Last Samurai (2003)
09. ¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 - Finding Nemo (2003)
10. ¥850.0 million ($7.5 million) / 625,000 - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (2018) *Estimate*
11. ¥751.8 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 - The Incredibles (2004)
12. ¥653.4 million ($5.7 million) / 413,604 - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (2016)
13. ¥649.8 million ($6.4 million) / 539,132 - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (2013)
14. ¥608.0 million ($5.3 million) / 545,211 - Yo-Kai Watch: Great Adventure of the Flying Whale and the Double Worlds, Nyan! (2016)
15. ¥600.4 million ($5.2 million) / 463,556 - Big Hero 6 (2014)
16. ¥597.3 million ($6.6 million) / 398,795 - Avatar (2009)
17. ¥578.3 million ($5.2 million) / 438,771 - I Am Legend (2007)
18. ¥572.8 million ($7.3 million) / 437,750 - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (2011)
19. ¥542.3 million ($5.3 million) / 429,918 - The Eternal Zero (2013)
20. ¥528.2 million ($6.4 million) / 412,129 - Space Battleship Yamato (2010)
21. ¥515.3 million ($4.4 million) / 396,280 - The Last: Naruto the Movie (2014)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 6:47 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Opening Weekends - Animation
Biggest Opening Weekends - Animation (Top 40)

Rank - Weekend Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions - Film Title
01. ¥1.629 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,484,916 - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
02. ¥1.484 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,104,980 - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
03. ¥1.372 billion ($16.7 million) / 1,140,081 - One Piece Film Z (2012)
04. ¥1.296 billion ($12.3 million) / 1,012,000 - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
05. ¥1.287 billion ($11.9 million) / 987,568 - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
06. ¥1.209 billion ($11.1 million) / 933,781 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (2016)
07. ¥1.155 billion ($11.0 million) / 820,830 - One Piece Film Gold (2016)
08. ¥1.133 billion ($14.1 million) / 771,764 - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (2012)
09. ¥1.058 billion ($8.7 million) / 974,557 - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (2015)
10. ¥1.038 billion ($11.9 million) / 819,738 - One Piece Film Strong World (2009)
11. ¥1.034 billion ($9.8 million) / 812,557 - Ponyo (2008)
12. ¥1.010 billion ($8.9 million) / 810,000 - Spirited Away (2001)
13. ¥977.3 million ($11.1 million) / 649,249 - Toy Story 3 (2010)
14. ¥960.9 million ($9.8 million) / 747,451 - The Wind Rises (2013)
15. ¥960.6 million ($8.1 million) / 715,727 - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (2015)
16. ¥930.0 million ($9.2 million) / 688,079 - Your Name. (2016)
17. ¥907.4 million ($7.9 million) / 672,696 - Tales from Earthsea (2006)
18. ¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 - Finding Nemo (2003)
19. ¥895.6 million ($10.4 million) / 680,190 - Arrietty (2010)
20. ¥874.8 million ($7.4 million) / 688,623 - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (2015)
21. ¥850.0 million ($7.5 million) / 625,000 - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (2018) *Estimate*
22. ¥847.5 million ($8.4 million) / 614,969 - Monsters University (2013)
23. ¥843.1 million ($7.9 million) / 716,629 - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (2018)
24. ¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 - Detective Conan: Dimensional Sniper (2014)
25. ¥780.9 million ($6.5 million) / 742,978 - Pokemon D&P: The Rise of Darkrai (2007)
26. ¥767.2 million ($7.6 million) / 554,991 - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)
27. ¥763.4 million ($7.5 million) / 602,347 - Frozen (2014)
28. ¥751.8 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 - The Incredibles (2014)
29. ¥745.5 million ($7.1 million) / 553,066 - Finding Dory (2016)
30. ¥715.0 million ($6.1 million) / 540,000 - Princess Mononoke (1997)
31. ¥703.8 million ($6.7 million) / 670,285 - Pokemon D&P: Giratina and the Sky Warrior (2008)
32. ¥691.8 million ($6.1 million) / 592,036 - Doraemon: Great Adventure in the Antarctic (2017)
33. ¥683.9 million ($7.3 million) / 561,098 - Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Gods (2013)
34. ¥672.6 million ($7.1 million) / 641,700 - Pokemon D&P: Arceus and the Jewel of Life (2009)
35. ¥671.5 million ($6.9 million) / 565,914 - Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (2013)
36. ¥667.3 million ($7.2 million) / 597,899 - Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (2013)
37. ¥667.0 million ($5.5 million) / 494,170 - The Boy and the Beast (2015)
38. ¥649.8 million ($6.4 million) / 539,132 - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (2013)
39. ¥644.7 million ($5.4 million) / 557,310 - Doraemon: Nobita's Space Hero Record of Space Heroes (2015)
40. ¥637.0 million ($5.6 million) / 544,816 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (2016)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:07 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
So you're still estimating $9.5 million even though a few sites including Screen Daily have come out and said $8.7 million?

Even Comscore are now saying $8.71 million.

https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Rankings?country=US#1


Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:30 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
bullza wrote:
So you're still estimating $9.5 million even though a few sites including Screen Daily have come out and said $8.7 million?


$8.7 million is possible, but it'd require very low returns from rural locations, which isn't usually the case for animated films, especially Toei releases. And it'd also likely mean a lower than expected average ticket price. Basically, the odds are against a three day total of $8.7 million.

$8.7 million (technically $8.8 million) is what ¥1 billion converts to right now with the current exchange rate, and that's what I believe that figure comes from.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:43 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
I thought once they gave these numbers then that was what they were. Where would they be getting that number from then? So even though they've said $8.7 million it might not actually be that way in reality?

Was Cynosure right in saying we should expect the actual figures at about 8pm Monday?


Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:52 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
They are estimates, not actuals, and they can be a bit off. For instance they had Venom pulling $5.3M over the 3 day weekend when it did $5M.


Sun Dec 16, 2018 7:56 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
bullza wrote:
I thought once they have these numbers then that was what they were. Where would they be getting that number from them? So even though they've said $8.7 million it might not actually be that way in reality?

Was Cynosure right in saying we should expect the actual figures at about 8pm Monday?


Always be wary of initial estimates for international releases. I'm not saying $8.7 million is wrong, just that it's unlikely. Weekend estimates for films in countries that don't use the standard Fri.-Sun. frame, like Japan, can also vary a good bit when actuals are released.

I'm estimating around $9.5 million based on how dozens of other films have performed at a comparable number of locations (largely urban) versus their results from unaccounted for locations (largely rural), in addition to the average ticket prices of other films either from the same franchise, or similar franchises, with comparable showings. It's not always an exact method, but it's generally close.

Full weekend actuals are regularly in by 7/8PM (EST) time Monday evening, but figures for openers are in much earlier. The numbers for Broly should be released very early Monday morning, probably around 4/5AM (EST).

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:00 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
Yeah I forgot that these are still estimates. I'm getting mixed up on the days. Sunday is the estimates and Monday is the actuals. Right.

I was hoping it'd be over $10 million but seeing as I just thought it was $8.7 million then I'd take $9.5 million.


Sun Dec 16, 2018 8:18 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
Let's wait and see what the actual is tomorrow. Of course, wanting a bigger opening than Resurrection F is understandable, but ultimately was going to be very difficult. A debut between Resurrection F and Battle of Gods should be considered good.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 16, 2018 9:13 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
When do the holidays start? I remember the first week after Resurrection F came out was pretty boring but it picked up the next week with Golden Week.

When does that happen with this?


Sun Dec 16, 2018 10:45 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
The first week of January, the 1st through the 8th, will be the strongest week. Next weekend (Dec. 22-23) and the Monday after may also be pretty strong. December 23rd is the last Emperor's Day under the current reign, and since it falls on a Sunday, Monday then becomes a national holiday (this can sometimes boost Sunday, too). Anytime a holiday falls on a Sunday, then that Monday becomes a holiday as well.

Christmas isn't a national holiday, so it doesn't really provide a substantial boost, but it's still typically stronger than a regular weekday.

So:

Dec. 17-21: Regular set of weekdays; normal grosses.
Dec. 22-23: Likely a strong weekend; not increases across the board strong or anything, but drops should be solid.
Dec. 24: Likely to be very strong, potentially equal to/greater than previous two days.
Dec. 25: Stronger than the average weekday.
Dec. 26-28: Regular set of weekdays; normal grosses.
Dec. 29-30: Likely a solid weekend, but will behave pretty normal.
Dec. 31: Weaker than the average weekday due to New Year's and the upcoming Bank holidays.
Jan. 01-03: Three of the strongest days of the entire year.; each individual day can match/exceed a weekend's gross.
Jan. 04: Stronger than the average weekday.
Jan. 05-06: A very strong weekend; increases for many films are likely.
Jan. 07: Stronger than the average weekday.
Jan. 08: National holiday and the final day of New Year; strong numbers likely to rival the first few of the month.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Dec 17, 2018 12:01 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
https://www.animenewsnetwork.com/news/2 ... ce/.140911

"The film sold more than 820,000 tickets and earned more than 1,050,000,000 yen (about US$9.26 million) in its first three days. Toei stated it anticipates the film will earn more than 5 billion yen (about US$44 million)."

So it has done over ¥1 billion, the same as Resurrection F. I wonder how likely that ¥5 billion is. Did they just come out with that number despite seeing it open the same? Might mean they think it'll have better legs over the holidays.


Mon Dec 17, 2018 8:17 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
Actual:

Weekend: ¥813,000,000 ($7.2 million) / 639,000
3-Day: ¥1,050,805,000 ($9.3 million) / 824,205

The opening weekend (2-day) is slightly lower than I expected, especially since its admissions are higher than I expected, but the 3-day total was close. It was down 15% in gross compared to Resurrection F, but down only 11% in admissions.

It had an average ticket price of ¥1,272 over the weekend, which is actually down 5% versus Resurrection F's. The last film was the first domestic release to receive a premium format release, such as IMAX, so it was heavily promoted as such, so I suppose the decline in avg. ticket price isn't too surprising. Still, ¥1,272 is pretty much the same average as a regular 2D release, so clearly the 3D/4D/IMAX, etc. showings weren't very popular this time around.

As for Toei's ¥5 billion total projection, take it with a grain of salt. Domestic studios very often over-project to create more appealing headlines to create additional hype around their films, but they rarely gross said figure. For the time being I would presume similar legs as the last film, so a total of ¥3.5 billion is most likely with a slight shot at ¥4 billion if New Year delivers for it.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Dec 17, 2018 9:55 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
Other than Broly, this weekend saw...

Yo-Kai Watch: Forever Friends debuted in fourth place, failing to stabilize the franchise once again this year, down 37% compared to last year's film. The franchise has struggled tremendously in gaining a new audience once its primary pre-school audience outgrew it in just a year or two, which I suppose isn't surprising given Japan's declining population and such.

The Grinch debuted in a disappointing fifth place, but no figures have been released for it yet. Either way, the film certainly shows with this slow start that Japanese audiences may not be all-in on Illumination quite yet. The opening weekend is likely over 50% below any of their recent films in the market, and perhaps their worst debut since the original Despicable Me.

Bohemian Rhapsody experienced its first weekend drop to date, but was only down 15%, and its sixth weekend is still much higher than its opening weekend... It's not slowing down yet.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:08 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Bohemian Rhapsody Weekly Performance
Bohemian Rhapsody - Weekly Performance
WK1: ¥354.3 million ($3.2 million)
WK2: ¥388.5 million ($3.4 million), +10%, ¥1.321 billion ($11.7 million)
WK3: ¥395.0 million ($3.5 million), +02%, ¥2.336 billion ($20.8 million)
WK4: ¥496.0 million ($4.4 million), +26%, ¥3.323 billion ($29.4 million)
WK5: ¥505.1 million ($4.5 million), +02%, ¥4.394 billion ($38.9 million)
WK6: ¥431.5 million ($3.8 million), -15%, ¥5.362 billion ($47.4 million)


So Far: Weekend Gross (47.9%) / Weekday Gross (52.1%)

Best Multipliers After 6 Weeks/Final Mutiplier:
15.13/??.?? - Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)
14.75/30.37 - Spirited Away (2001)
14.06/33.34 - Frozen (2014)
13.98/26.99 - Princess Mononoke (1997)
13.88/26.13 - Avatar (2009)
13.83/26.92 - Your Name. (2016)
12.78/19.96 - Les Miserables (2012)
12.76/16.44 - The Cat Returns (2002)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Last edited by Corpse on Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:29 am, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:25 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Sixth Weekends
Biggest Sixth Weekends/Six Week Totals (2001-)

¥983.9 million, -08%, ¥14.82 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥900.0 million, +02%, ¥14.90 billion - Spirited Away (2001)
¥826.7 million, -02%, ¥10.73 billion - Frozen (2014)
¥822.1 million, -08%, ¥10.92 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥790.1 million, -08%, ¥12.86 billion - Your Name. (2016)
¥642.6 million, -15%, ¥11.41 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥617.3 million, +19%, ¥8.29 billion - Avatar (2009)
¥604.4 million, -32%, ¥11.49 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥603.4 million, -23%, ¥8.09 billion - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥579.4 million, +11%, ¥8.14 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥577.1 million, -32%, ¥11.47 billion - Ponyo (2008)
¥540.2 million, +28%, ¥8.29 billion - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥536.9 million, -36%, ¥9.17 billion - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥457.8 million, +06%, ¥9.47 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥454.1 million, -09%, ¥6.88 billion - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥438.6 million, -13%, ¥5.33 billion - Zootopia (2016)
¥431.5 million, -15%, ¥5.36 billion - Bohemian Rhapsody (2018)

¥400 million+

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:26 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
So BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY is heading towards $65m?

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Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:37 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
mark66 wrote:
So BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY is heading towards $65m?
'

It'll break $65 million in two weeks, most likely. Its weekly gross has refused to drop (earning $8/9 million every week), even after six weeks, so it should be aiming for $80-90 million+. It's guaranteed to become the highest grossing imported release of 2018, and might end up as the overall highest grossing film of 2018 as well.

Until it finally has a weekend/weekly result below its opening week, the sky remains the limit. $100 million may even be in play, at least until it shows some sign of slowing down. And with New Year approaching, its opening week may remain its lowest until week ten.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Last edited by Corpse on Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:54 am, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:48 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
Wow...

Do you think it will exceed 7m admissions?

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Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:52 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Dragon Ball Super: Broly Debuts
mark66 wrote:
Wow...

Do you think it will exceed 7m admissions?


50/50. The thing is, it's skewing older (not senior old, but firmly adult), unsurprisingly, and films that are bringing in primarily adults generally see the biggest New Year boost because the bank holidays are some of the only days they get off in the year.

We may not be seeing its weekend/weekly numbers at their peak quite yet.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Dec 17, 2018 10:58 am
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