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 Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (02/20-21); Charts Updated! 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
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Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
01 (---) ¥1,025,000,000 ($9.2 million), 0, ¥1,450,000,000 ($13.0 million), Code Blue (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥567,000,000 ($5.1 million), -25%, ¥4,850,000,000 ($43.2 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK3
03 (02) ¥276,000,000 ($2.5 million), -31%, ¥1,150,000,000 ($10.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK2
04 (03) ¥164,000,000 ($1.5 million), -31%, ¥1,625,000,000 ($14.6 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK3
05 (04) ¥61,000,000 ($550,000), -55%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.1 million), Bleach (Shochiku) WK2
06 (05) ¥52,000,000 ($465,000), -39%, ¥1,985,000,000 ($17.9 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK5
07 (06) ¥42,000,000 ($380,000), -43%, ¥4,175,000,000 ($37.8 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK8
08 (09) ¥28,000,000 ($250,000), -27%, ¥500,000,000 ($4.5 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK5
09 (08) ¥24,000,000 ($215,000), -38%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK4
10 (07) ¥20,000,000 ($180,000), -53%, ¥1,675,000,000 ($15.0 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK7


Code Blue exceeded expectations, pretty much matching or beating the debuts of all but two domestic live-action films before it... WITH a typhoon hitting the country over the weekend! If it broke the ¥1 billion milestone over the weekend frame, it'll be just the fifth domestic live-action film to accomplish this feat. And if it comes in above ¥1.010 billion, it'll have earned the third-biggest opening weekend for a domestic live-action film ever.

Fuji TV announced that they expect the film to reach the ¥10 billion ($90 million) uber-blockbuster milestone, but projections from studios and TV stations are often very, very optimistic and on the very high-end of expectations for marketing purposes. A more likely total will be between ¥7-8 billion ($60-70 million), but it could go a bit higher and enter the race against Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom for the 2018 Yearly Crown.

Note: Because of the typhoon over the weekend possibly messing with the estimates, I'm going to wait until tomorrow to write-up anything about the holdovers. Overall, they did seem to drop a little more because of the storm. Based on the estimated drops, I'm thinking the storm caused most films to drop ~5% or so more than normal.

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“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Domestic Live Action Box Office
Domestic Live-Action Film Box-Office History (1998-):

Opening Weekends:
¥1.237 billion ($10.5 million) / 865,586 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥1.226 billion ($12.9 million) / 987,387 - Rookies (2009)
¥1.025 billion ($9.2 million) / 750,000 - Code Blue (2018) *Estimate*
¥1.010 billion ($8.8 million) / 749,807 - Hero (2007)
¥1.005 billion ($9.6 million) / 805,350 - Boys Over Flower: Final (2008)
¥971.9 million ($11.1 million) / 707,399 - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥965.3 million ($8.5 million) / 674,345 - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006)
¥956.9 million ($11.3 million) / 612,211 - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥919.4 million ($8.7 million) / 717,948 - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (2014)
¥878.2 million ($11.1 million) / 686,977 - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012)
¥873.8 million ($9.2 million) / 677,063 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 3: The Final Chapter (2009)
¥804.3 million ($10.3 million) / 604,090 - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (2012)
¥760.8 million ($6.4 million) / 575,510 - Death Note: The Last Name (2006)
¥732.8 million ($5.9 million) / 540,963 - Hero 2 (2015)
¥644.5 million ($5.7 million) / 455,000 - The Suspect: Muroi Shinji (2005)
¥639.1 million ($5.7 million) / 544,641 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (2016)
¥626.5 million ($5.5 million) / 427,000 - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥624.6 million ($6.1 million) / 412,302 - Shin Godzilla (2016)
¥622.1 million ($6.9 million) / 556,354 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 2: The Last Hope (2009)
¥615.9 million ($5.2 million) / 465,956 - Nobunaga Concerto (2016)
¥604.5 million ($5.2 million) / 456,200 - The Sinking of Japan (2006)
¥603.5 million ($4.9 million) / 466,953 - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (2015)


Totals:
¥17.35 billion ($164.5 million) / 12.60 million - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥11.00 billion ($46.0 million) / 8.00 million - Antarctica (1983)
¥10.10 billion ($85.0 million) / 7.10 million - Bayside Shakedown (1998)
¥8.76 billion ($85.1 million) / 7.16 million - The Eternal Zero (2013)
¥8.55 billion ($94.5 million) / 6.95 million - Rookies (2009)
¥8.50 billion ($76.5 million) / 6.23 million - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥8.25 billion ($79.1 million) / 5.69 million - Shin Godzilla (2016)
¥8.15 billion ($76.0 million) / 6.29 million - Hero (2007)
¥8.04 billion ($97.3 million) / 5.37 million - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥7.75 billion ($72.0 million) / 6.30 million - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥7.33 billion ($93.6 million) / 5.75 million - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012)
¥7.31 billion ($88.4 million) / 5.70 million - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥7.10 billion ($58.4 million) / 5.30 million - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006)
¥6.48 billion ($61.0 million) / 5.00 million - Departures (2008)
¥6.08 billion ($49.6 million) / 4.70 million - The Ecstasy Hotel (2006)
¥5.98 billion ($76.3 million) / 4.71 million - Thermae Romae (2012)
¥5.97 billion ($75.9 million) / 4.65 million - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (2012)
¥5.34 billion ($44.0 million) / 4.20 million - The Sinking of Japan (2006)
¥5.22 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.04 million - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (2014)
¥5.20 billion ($45.0 million) / 4.10 million - Death Note: The Last Name (2006)


Average Household Viewership TV Rating History (Seasons and Specials):

Premiere/Finale/Average
33.4/36.8/34.0 - Hero (Season 1) [2001]
25.6/22.9/21.9 - Hero (Season 2) [2014]
19.4/27.6/21.7 - Boys Over Flowers (Season 2) [2007]
18.5/22.4/19.7 - Boys Over Flowers (Season 1) [2005]
18.7/23.1/18.2 - Bayside Shakedown (Season 1) [1997]
18.8/16.6/16.6 - Code Blue (Season 2) [2010]
21.2/19.5/15.6 - Code Blue (Season 1) [2008]
12.2/19.5/14.9 - Rookies (Season 1) [2008]
16.3/16.4/14.6 - Code Blue (Season 3) [2017]
17.8/13.8/13.2 - Umizaru (Season 1) [2005]
15.8/10.7/12.5 - Nobunaga Concerto (Season 1) [2014]

30.9 - Hero (Special 1) [2006]
25.9 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 3) [1998]
25.4 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 1) [1997]
24.9 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 2) [1998]
23.1 - Code Blue (Special 1) [2009]
21.3 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 4) [2012]
10.0 - Rookies (Special 1) [2008]

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sun Jul 29, 2018 2:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
Is Code Blue also about a disaster or something? Looks like it. It was a fitting weekend for it to be released, if so.


Sun Jul 29, 2018 9:48 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
I saw its trailer and I didn't see any disaster but probably they need more of Code Blue after the typhoon :P


Sun Jul 29, 2018 10:08 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
Or maybe Code Red...


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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
Algren wrote:
Or maybe Code Red...


:funny:


Mon Jul 30, 2018 12:42 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/28-29)
Algren wrote:
Is Code Blue also about a disaster or something? Looks like it. It was a fitting weekend for it to be released, if so.


Sort of. The TV show is a medical drama that follows a group of helicopter doctors that travel to assist patients, which includes disaster incidents. And yes, the film was certainly released on a "fitting" weekend.

Amazingly, the film managed to improve upon estimates to deliver the third biggest opening weekend ever for a domestic live-action film.

It opened to ¥1.096 billion ($9.8 million) on 810,918 admissions over the weekend frame, and earned a 3-day total of ¥1.548 billion ($13.9 million) on 1,160,000 admissions. Its 3-day total is the second highest of the year, besting the 3-day total of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom by 2.7%, and it trailed Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer by 7.4%.

Other accomplishments:
>Third biggest opening weekend ever for a domestic live-action film.
>Fourth domestic live-action film to debut with over 800,000 admissions.
>Fifth domestic live-action film to debut above ¥1 billion.
>Biggest opening weekend for a domestic live-action film since 2009.
>Most attended opening weekend for a domestic live-action film since 2009.

Full Weekend Actuals will be posted later this evening.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:09 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Domestic Live Action Box Office
Domestic Live-Action Film Box-Office History (1998-):

Opening Weekends:
¥1.237 billion ($10.5 million) / 865,586 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥1.226 billion ($12.9 million) / 987,387 - Rookies (2009)
¥1.096 billion ($9.8 million) / 810,918 - Code Blue (2018)
¥1.010 billion ($8.8 million) / 749,807 - Hero (2007)
¥1.005 billion ($9.6 million) / 805,350 - Boys Over Flower: Final (2008)
¥971.9 million ($11.1 million) / 707,399 - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥965.3 million ($8.5 million) / 674,345 - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006)
¥956.9 million ($11.3 million) / 612,211 - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥919.4 million ($8.7 million) / 717,948 - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (2014)
¥878.2 million ($11.1 million) / 686,977 - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012)
¥873.8 million ($9.2 million) / 677,063 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 3: The Final Chapter (2009)
¥804.3 million ($10.3 million) / 604,090 - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (2012)
¥760.8 million ($6.4 million) / 575,510 - Death Note: The Last Name (2006)
¥732.8 million ($5.9 million) / 540,963 - Hero 2 (2015)
¥644.5 million ($5.7 million) / 455,000 - The Suspect: Muroi Shinji (2005)
¥639.1 million ($5.7 million) / 544,641 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (2016)
¥626.5 million ($5.5 million) / 427,000 - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥624.6 million ($6.1 million) / 412,302 - Shin Godzilla (2016)
¥622.1 million ($6.9 million) / 556,354 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 2: The Last Hope (2009)
¥615.9 million ($5.2 million) / 465,956 - Nobunaga Concerto (2016)
¥604.5 million ($5.2 million) / 456,200 - The Sinking of Japan (2006)
¥603.5 million ($4.9 million) / 466,953 - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (2015)


Totals:
¥17.35 billion ($164.5 million) / 12.60 million - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥11.00 billion ($46.0 million) / 8.00 million - Antarctica (1983)
¥10.10 billion ($85.0 million) / 7.10 million - Bayside Shakedown (1998)
¥8.76 billion ($85.1 million) / 7.16 million - The Eternal Zero (2013)
¥8.55 billion ($94.5 million) / 6.95 million - Rookies (2009)
¥8.50 billion ($76.5 million) / 6.23 million - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥8.25 billion ($79.1 million) / 5.69 million - Shin Godzilla (2016)
¥8.15 billion ($76.0 million) / 6.29 million - Hero (2007)
¥8.04 billion ($97.3 million) / 5.37 million - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥7.75 billion ($72.0 million) / 6.30 million - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥7.33 billion ($93.6 million) / 5.75 million - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012)
¥7.31 billion ($88.4 million) / 5.70 million - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥7.10 billion ($58.4 million) / 5.30 million - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006)
¥6.48 billion ($61.0 million) / 5.00 million - Departures (2008)
¥6.08 billion ($49.6 million) / 4.70 million - The Ecstasy Hotel (2006)
¥5.98 billion ($76.3 million) / 4.71 million - Thermae Romae (2012)
¥5.97 billion ($75.9 million) / 4.65 million - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (2012)
¥5.34 billion ($44.0 million) / 4.20 million - The Sinking of Japan (2006)
¥5.22 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.04 million - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (2014)
¥5.20 billion ($45.0 million) / 4.10 million - Death Note: The Last Name (2006)


Average Household Viewership TV Rating History (Seasons and Specials):

Premiere/Finale/Average
33.4/36.8/34.0 - Hero (Season 1) [2001]
25.6/22.9/21.9 - Hero (Season 2) [2014]
19.4/27.6/21.7 - Boys Over Flowers (Season 2) [2007]
18.5/22.4/19.7 - Boys Over Flowers (Season 1) [2005]
18.7/23.1/18.2 - Bayside Shakedown (Season 1) [1997]
18.8/16.6/16.6 - Code Blue (Season 2) [2010]
21.2/19.5/15.6 - Code Blue (Season 1) [2008]
12.2/19.5/14.9 - Rookies (Season 1) [2008]
16.3/16.4/14.6 - Code Blue (Season 3) [2017]
17.8/13.8/13.2 - Umizaru (Season 1) [2005]
15.8/10.7/12.5 - Nobunaga Concerto (Season 1) [2014]

30.9 - Hero (Special 1) [2006]
25.9 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 3) [1998]
25.4 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 1) [1997]
24.9 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 2) [1998]
23.1 - Code Blue (Special 1) [2009]
21.3 - Bayside Shakedown (Special 4) [2012]
10.0 - Rookies (Special 1) [2008]

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:10 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Modern Opening Weekends
Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [REVENUE]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Revenue [Screen Count] - Film (Year)
01 (09) ¥1,628,893,000 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (17) ¥1,372,054,050 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012)
03 (19) ¥1,316,539,200 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010)
04 (20) ¥1,301,851,375 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
05 (21) ¥1,295,834,500 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
06 (22) ¥1,286,928,000 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
07 (24) ¥1,245,023,900 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
08 (25) ¥1,225,913,932 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009)
09 (26) ¥1,216,654,000 [1002] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
10 (27) ¥1,209,158,900 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
11 (28) ¥1,205,116,126 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011)
12 (30) ¥1,155,771,000 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
13 (31) ¥1,133,513,323 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012)
14 (32) ¥1,125,800,000 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
15 (33) ¥1,096,150,000 [439] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
16 (34) ¥1,065,362,800 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
17 (35) ¥1,057,808,800 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
18 (36) ¥1,048,271,900 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
19 (37) ¥1,038,295,232 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009)
20 (39) ¥1,034,459,534 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008)
21 (41) ¥1,005,428,333 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)
¥1 Billion+


Biggest Modern Opening Weekends (2008-) [ADMISSIONS]
Modern Rank (All-Time Rank) Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Year)
01 (02) 1,484,916 [408] - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec., 2014)
02 (14) 1,140,081 [300] - One Piece Film Z (Dec., 2012)
03 (16) 1,012,000 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
04 (19) 987,568 [368] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
05 (20) 987,387 [428] - Rookies (May, 2009)
06 (21) 974,577 [434] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
07 (23) 933,781 [353] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
08 (27) 880,697 [922] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (July, 2011)
09 (29) 833,190 [1002] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
10 (28) 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (Apr., 2010)
11 (30) 820,830 [739] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
12 (31) 819,738 [190] - One Piece Film Strong World (Dec., 2009)
13 (32) 812,557 [481] - Ponyo (July, 2008)
14 (33) 810,918 [439] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
15 (34) 805,350 [409] - Boys Over Flowers: Final (June, 2008)
16 (35) 805,297 [844] - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (July, 2009)
17 (36) 800,258 [958] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
18 (37) 773,184 [800] - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (May, 2011)
19 (38) 771,764 [224] - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov., 2012)
20 (39) 771,516 [989] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
21 (40) 766,633 [872] - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (Nov., 2010)
22 (42) 747,451 [454] - The Wind Rises (July, 2013)
23 (44) 737,467 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
24 (45) 729,114 [773] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
25 (47) 717,958 [434] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Sept., 2014)
26 (48) 716,629 [381] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Mar., 2018)
27 (50) 715,727 [653] - Dragon Ball Z: Resurrection F (Apr., 2015)
28 (51) 707,339 [447] - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (July, 2010)
700,000+


*Modern = Post-Previews/Early Showings Era.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:15 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (07/28-29)
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(C)2018「劇場版コード・ブルー -ドクターヘリ緊急救命-」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (07/28-29)
01 (---) ¥1,096,150,000 ($9.8 million), 0, ¥1,548,330,900 ($13.9 million), Code Blue (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥614,213,800 ($5.5 million), -19%, ¥4,922,406,700 ($43.8 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK3
03 (02) ¥289,012,900 ($2.6 million), -28%, ¥1,181,317,500 ($10.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK2
04 (03) ¥180,860,400 ($1.6 million), -24%, ¥1,652,206,800 ($14.8 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK3
05 (04) ¥64,199,400 ($578,000), -53%, ¥360,638,300 ($3.2 million), Bleach (Shochiku) WK2
06 (05) ¥57,299,800 ($516,000), -33%, ¥1,997,150,500 ($18.1 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK5
07 (06) ¥47,590,600 ($429,000), -36%, ¥4,199,513,600 ($38.0 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK8
08 (09) ¥32,347,600 ($291,000), -16%, ¥496,085,300 ($4.5 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK5
09 (08) ¥25,379,500 ($229,000), -37%, ¥482,986,500 ($4.4 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK4
10 (07) ¥22,031,000 ($180,000), -48%, ¥1,677,018,900 ($15.0 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK7


>Code Blue, the film adaptation of the popular TV drama, exceeded all expectations, delivering the third-biggest opening weekend ever for a domestic live-action film; and the biggest domestic live-action opening weekend since 2009. Despite a typhoon affecting western Japan over the weekend, the film still sold an outstanding 810,918 admissions over the weekend frame across 439 screens, and sold 1,164,744 admissions since opening on Friday.

Fuji TV announced that they expect the film to reach the ¥10 billion ($90 million) uber-blockbuster milestone, but projections from studios and TV stations are often very optimistic and on the very high-end of expectations for marketing purposes. However, they may not be far off the mark because of how well it did in the face of a big storm, and Monday's estimate is very impressive. It will probably finish around ¥8 billion ($70 million), but it could go a bit higher and enter the race against Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom for the 2018 Yearly Crown.

Also, Code Blue makes the fourth film to debut above ¥1 billion in only seven months (most years have one, maybe two films do it in a year), a record number this decade and the most in such a short amount of time since the Hollywood blockbuster boon of 2002-2005.

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom falls to second place, but still delivered an excellent third weekend hold, and is now trailing its predecessor by 17% (down from 20% last week) after three weeks in release. It will likely continue to gain on the first film since it has Obon Festival in two weeks, so a total of ¥9 billion ($80 million) is looking very good right now, which should be enough for it to win the 2018 Yearly Crown, though it's not certain yet.

>Mirai of the Future held well in its second weekend, though did drop slightly more than Hosoda's Wolf Children (2012), 28% versus 24%. Of course, it's possible the typhoon may have impact it a bit. Its two-week total, however, is up 16% compared to Wolf Children, so I'd say it's aiming for a total between ¥3.5-4.0 billion ($30-35 million+). I know that's less than Wolf Children (¥4.22 billion), but I think the mixed-reception of Mirai will slow it down in the coming weeks.

>Pokemon: Everyone's Story also held well, and continues to almost mirror last year's film day-to-day so far. It opened 3% behind last year's film, and its third-week total is trailing by just 4%. I don't really see why it'll suddenly change course, so I'd say a total over ¥3 billion is locked, and it should get very close to ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+).

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2018
2018 - Top Opening Weekends
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.296 billion ($12.1 million) / 1,012,000 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥1.217 billion ($10.8 million) / 833,190 [1002] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥1.125 billion ($9.9 million) / 737,467 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥1.096 billion ($9.8 million) / 810,918 [439] - Code Blue (Toho)

¥1 billion ↨
¥843.1 million ($7.9 million) / 716,629 [381] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥672.4 million ($6.2 million) / 437,209 [653] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥501.4 million ($4.5 million) / 440,242 [370] - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho)

¥500 million ↨
¥499.4 million ($4.5 million) / 375,293 [863] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)
¥488.1 million ($4.6 million) / 368,214 [511] - Coco (Disney)
¥444.8 million ($4.1 million) / 349,950 [334] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥400.1 million ($3.6 million) / 295,828 [456] - Mirai of the Future (Toho)
¥399.2 million ($3.6 million) / 355,230 [366] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)
¥390.6 million ($3.7 million) / 267,619 [405] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)
¥375.1 million ($3.4 million) / 239,215 [789] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥367.8 million ($3.4 million) / 214,973 [745] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥367.1 million ($3.4 million) / 314,648 [354] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥359.2 million ($3.2 million) / 303,089 [331] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid with Legend Riders (Toei)
¥354.3 million ($3.3 million) / 286,556 [335] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥330.1 million ($2.9 million) / 224,480 [673] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥309.7 million ($2.9 million) / 199,124 [631] - Black Panther (Disney)

¥300 million ↨
¥297.2 million ($2.6 million) / 231,465 [401] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)
¥282.9 million ($2.6 million) / 229,281 [307] - The Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥278.6 million ($2.6 million) / 192,791 [581] - Pacific Rim: Uprising (Toho-Towa)
¥277.8 million ($2.6 million) / 207,998 [323] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥271.9 million ($2.6 million) / 180,315 [627] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥266.0 million ($2.4 million) / 209,841 [329] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥264.9 million ($2.4 million) / 205,823 [335] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥264.1 million ($2.3 million) / 191,212 [441] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥262.9 million ($2.3 million) / 203,803 [320] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥256.5 million ($2.3 million) / 209,962 [307] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥242.2 million ($2.2 million) / 170,593 [584] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥226.2 million ($2.1 million) / 202,750 [214] - Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei)
¥225.8 million ($2.0 million) / 169,100 [455] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥216.0 million ($2.0 million) / 188,814 [351] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)

¥200 million ↨
¥185.9 million ($1.7 million) / 144,965 [463] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥165.8 million ($1.5 million) / 126,490 [298] - Tonight, At the Movie (Warner Bros.)
¥164.7 million ($1.5 million) / 123,151 [329] - Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.)
¥159.1 million ($1.4 million) / 116,803 [285] - The Lies She Loved (Toho)
¥148.8 million ($1.3 million) / 110,618 [334] - Detective in the Bar 3 (Toei)
¥147.1 million ($1.3 million) / 112,684 [337] - The Blood of Wolves (Toei)
¥145.9 million ($1.3 million) / 118,798 [059] - Girls und Panzer: The Finale - Part 1 (Showgate)
¥141.0 million ($1.3 million) / 96,000 [321] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥140.9 million ($1.3 million) / 95,947 [654] - Rampage (Warner Bros.)
¥137.2 million ($1.2 million) / 115,215 [281] - That is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho)
¥135.0 million ($1.2 million) / 99,122 [329] - Bleach (Shochiku)
¥129.1 million ($1.2 million) / 95,156 [298] - The Scythian Lamb (Asmik Ace)
¥128.2 million ($1.2 million) / 93,045 [269] - Impossibility Defense (Showgate)
¥128.0 million ($1.2 million) / 109,840 [281] - The Post (Toho-Towa)
¥126.4 million ($1.2 million) / 112,000 [336] - What a Wonderful Family! 3 (Shochiku)
¥124.0 million ($1.2 million) / 90,102 [313] - Inuyakashi (Toho)
¥122.0 million ($1.1 million) / 101,212 [327] - Nomitori Samurai (Toho)
¥121.1 million ($1.1 million) / 112,116 [208] - Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)
¥120.4 million ($1.1 million) / 85,867 [301] - After the Rain (Toho)
¥119.4 million ($1.1 million) / 90,854 [237] - The 15:17 to Paris (Warner Bros.)
¥116.7 million ($1.1 million) / 93,103 [382] - Paddington 2 (Kino Films)
¥110.1 million ($1.0 million) / 87,000 [319] - Rainbow Days (Shochiku)
¥104.1 million ($1.0 million) / 77,156 [314] - Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.)
¥102.4 million ($1.0 million) / 79,626 [260] - The Shape of Water (Fox)

¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

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Mon Jul 30, 2018 6:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films: 2018
2018 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥8.67 billion ($79.1 million) / 6.63 million [108] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥7.50 billion ($66.2 million) / 5.05 million [E] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥5.37 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.68 million [F] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥5.13 billion ($47.8 million) / 3.67 million [E] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.93 billion ($46.0 million) / 3.93 million [E] - Coco (Disney)
¥4.92 billion ($43.8 million) / 3.32 million [17] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥4.20 billion ($38.0 million) / 3.42 million [52] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥3.73 billion ($34.0 million) / 2.50 million [F] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥3.43 billion ($31.8 million) / 2.93 million [F] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥3.21 billion ($28.6 million) / 2.54 million [F] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.80 billion ($25.0 million) / 2.23 million [F] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥2.50 billion ($22.8 million) / 1.53 million [E] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥2.04 billion ($18.2 million) / 1.82 million [F] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)
¥2.00 billion ($18.1 million) / 1.44 million [31] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.83 billion ($16.6 million) / 1.55 million [F] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥1.78 billion ($16.2 million) / 1.18 million [E] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥1.73 billion ($16.1 million) / 1.47 million [F] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥1.70 billion ($15.5 million) / 1.40 million [F] - Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥1.70 billion ($15.3 million) / 1.22 million [F] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥1.68 billion ($15.0 million) / 1.35 million [44] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥1.65 billion ($14.8 million) / 1.44 million [17] - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho)
¥1.62 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.28 million [F] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥1.59 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.27 million [F] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥1.55 billion ($14.4 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Black Panther (Disney)
¥1.55 billion ($13.9 million) / 1.16 million [03] - Code Blue (Toho)
¥1.38 billion ($12.4 million) / 1.06 million [F] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥1.26 billion ($11.3 million) / 1.06 million [E] - Kamen Hensei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid With Legend Riders (Toei)
¥1.23 billion ($11.2 million) / 0.90 million [E] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥1.20 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)
¥1.18 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.91 million [10] - Mirai of the Future (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.87 million [E] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥1.11 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥1.01 billion ($9.5 million) / 0.79 million [E] - Tonight, at the Movies (Warner Bros.)

¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Mon Jul 30, 2018 6:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Third Weekends
Biggest Third Weekends/Three Week Totals (2000-)
¥1.205 billion, (-11%), ¥6.73 billion, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion, (-15%), ¥6.67 billion, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.134 billion, (-02%), ¥6.29 billion, Your Name. (2016)
¥1.078 billion, (+05%), ¥5.89 billion, Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.012 billion, (-16%), ¥6.78 billion, Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million, (-21%), ¥5.86 billion, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥935.7 million, (-20%), ¥6.13 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥893.1 million, (-20%), ¥6.69 billion, Beauty and the Beast (2017)
¥890.0 million, (-09%), ¥7.22 billion, Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million, (+01%), ¥5.28 billion, Frozen (2014)
¥848.1 million, (-22%), ¥4.98 billion, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥826.7 million, (+14%), ¥6.40 billion, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥799.6 million, (-24%), ¥4.86 billion, Rookies (2009)
¥776.5 million, (-05%), ¥5.26 billion, Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million, (-30%), ¥6.37 billion, The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million, (-23%), ¥5.95 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥710.3 million, (-13%), ¥4.91 billion, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million, (-37%), ¥5.03 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million, (-34%), ¥5.18 billion, The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million, (+30%), ¥4.14 billion, Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million, (-06%), ¥4.67 billion, Avatar (2009)
¥624.6 million, (-27%), ¥4.59 billion, Finding Nemo (2003)
¥614.2 million, (-19%), ¥4.92 billion, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (2018)
¥605.9 million, (-26%), ¥4.36 billion, Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
¥597.5 million, (-37%), ¥5.95 billion, Jurassic World (2015)
¥585.6 million, (-22%), ¥3.79 billion, Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (2017)
¥584.5 million, (-15%), ¥4.68 billion, Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥580.4 million, (-23%), ¥3.79 billion, Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥574.1 million, (-19%), ¥3.55 billion, Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥562.2 million, (-17%), ¥3.70 billion, Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (2016)
¥559.1 million, (-54%), ¥3.68 billion, Spider-Man (2002)
¥555.6 million, (-31%), ¥4.36 billion, The Wind Rises (2013)
¥548.8 million, (-09%), ¥3.98 billion, Arrietty (2010)
¥547.1 million, (-13%), ¥3.44 billion, Monsters University (2013)
¥540.6 million, (-22%), ¥4.42 billion, Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
¥538.4 million, (-09%), ¥2.84 billion, Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥536.5 million, (-20%), ¥3.66 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥536.2 million, (-26%), ¥3.88 billion, Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥533.8 million, (-14%), ¥4.75 billion, Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009)
¥531.7 million, (+46%), ¥3.20 billion, The Eternal Zero (2013)
¥525.2 million, (-22%), ¥5.31 billion, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (2011)
¥522.0 million, (-09%), ¥2.79 billion, Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥515.5 million, (-12%), ¥3.77 billion, Tales from Earthsea (2006)
¥511.1 million, (-28%), ¥5.22 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥506.2 million, (-18%), ¥5.42 billion, Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
¥506.1 million, (-39%), ¥4.48 billion, Hero (2007)
¥504.8 million, (-01%), ¥3.18 billion, The Last Samurai (2003)

¥500 million+

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Mon Jul 30, 2018 6:37 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Is Code Blue a surprise contender to top the year?


Mon Jul 30, 2018 7:33 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
We're nearing the middle of Summer now, and weekday grosses are going to overtake weekend grosses for the next three weeks for every release (not just the heavily skewing adult films).

The next three weeks are the strongest weeks of the year at the box-office, so I'll be posting daily estimates for a while. :thumbsup:

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Mon Jul 30, 2018 7:42 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Algren wrote:
Is Code Blue a surprise contender to top the year?


Certainly. Code Blue was expected to do well, but definitely not this well. Domestic live-action films have struggled to become hits for years now, so for one to open so huge and possibly become a challenger for the yearly title is very surprising.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/30-08/03)
Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)

Monday (07/30)
¥305 million ($2.8 million), 0, ¥1.855 billion ($16.7 million), Code Blue (Day 4)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), -15%, ¥5.050 billion ($45.0 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 18)
¥70 million ($630,000), -09%, ¥1.250 billion ($11.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 11)
¥55 million ($495,000), -02%, ¥1.705 billion ($15.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 18)
¥15 million ($135,000), -42%, ¥375.0 million ($3.3 million), Bleach (Day 11)
¥13 million ($115,000), -15%, ¥4.215 billion ($38.1 million), Shoplifters (Day 53)
¥13 million ($115,000), -20%, ¥2.010 billion ($18.2 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 32)
¥11 million ($100,000), -13%, ¥493.0 million ($4.5 million), Rainbow Days (Day 25)
¥6 million ($55,000), -10%, ¥502.0 million ($4.6 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 31)
¥5 million ($45,000), -35%, ¥1.682 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 45)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), +37%, ¥8.678 billion ($79.2 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 109)


% changes versus same day last week.

Everything from Bleach down will be out of the Top 10 in the next 11 days as six wide openers debut ahead of Obon Festival in two weeks. I'll continue to track Detective Conan, though, since Jurassic World 2 and Code Blue will be aiming to overtake it and win the yearly crown.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Last edited by Corpse on Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:05 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Cool. I love those weekday updates and numbers. Corpse you're going to post weekdays till obon festival is over right?


Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:08 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Yes, it should be a very exciting few weeks. I usually wait until Obon Festival to post daily estimates, but I'm doing it early this year because a lot of notable films are opening this week (Incredibles 2, Mission: Impossible 6, My Hero Academia, Kamen Rider, and Sensei Kunshu) in just the next 5 days alone. Incredibles 2 and Sensei Kunshu are opening this Wednesday, while the others are opening on Friday.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Jul 30, 2018 8:18 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
That is indeed a very exciting line-up. Pixar is still HUGE in Japan. Cruise is a BIG draw there and then you have the regulars in Kamen Rider, My Hero Academia though I don't have any idea on Sensei Kunshu.


Mon Jul 30, 2018 11:00 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/30-08/03)
Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)

Monday (07/30)
¥305 million ($2.8 million), 0, ¥1.855 billion ($16.7 million), Code Blue (Day 4)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), -15%, ¥5.050 billion ($45.0 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 18)
¥70 million ($630,000), -09%, ¥1.250 billion ($11.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 11)
¥55 million ($495,000), -02%, ¥1.705 billion ($15.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 18)
¥15 million ($135,000), -42%, ¥375.0 million ($3.3 million), Bleach (Day 11)
¥13 million ($115,000), -15%, ¥4.215 billion ($38.1 million), Shoplifters (Day 53)
¥13 million ($115,000), -20%, ¥2.010 billion ($18.2 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 32)
¥11 million ($100,000), -13%, ¥493.0 million ($4.5 million), Rainbow Days (Day 25)
¥6 million ($55,000), -10%, ¥502.0 million ($4.6 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 31)
¥5 million ($45,000), -35%, ¥1.682 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 45)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), +37%, ¥8.678 billion ($79.2 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 109)


Tuesday (07/31)
¥235 million ($2.1 million), 0, ¥2.090 billion ($18.8 million), Code Blue (Day 5)
¥100 million ($900,000), -16%, ¥5.150 billion ($45.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 19)
¥55 million ($495,000), -08%, ¥1.305 billion ($11.8 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 12)
¥45 million ($405,000), -07%, ¥1.750 billion ($15.7 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 19)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥387.0 million ($3.4 million), Bleach (Day 12)
¥12 million ($110,000), -08%, ¥4.227 billion ($38.2 million), Shoplifters (Day 54)
¥11 million ($100,000), -17%, ¥2.021 billion ($18.3 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 33)
¥8 million ($70,000), -14%, ¥501.0 million ($4.6 million), Rainbow Days (Day 26)
¥6 million ($55,000), +86%, ¥8.684 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 110)
¥5 million ($45,000), -09%, ¥507.0 million ($4.7 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 32)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), -25%, ¥1.686 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 46)


% changes versus same day last week.

Tomorrow, Wednesday, August 1st, has potential to be the biggest single day of 2018. We could see the day double Monday's estimates. A lot of urban theaters are close to achieving half-capacity for the whole day and it's only 4AM. Every Wednesday is Ladies' Day (women get discount tickets), but it's also the first of the month (national discount day, so everyone gets discounts), and we're in the middle of Summer.

To take advantage of this day, Incredibles 2 and Sensei Kunshun are opening tomorrow ahead of the weekend. Then on Friday, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, My Hero Academia: Two Heroes, and the latest Kamen Rider open.

However... I don't believe any of the new films are going to take the #1 spot away from Code Blue. Incredibles 2 has very good pre-sales ahead of its first day, but Code Blue is beating it handily; and Mission Impossible 6 is very unlikely to beat it over the weekend.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Jul 31, 2018 3:25 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)
Double Post.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Last edited by Corpse on Wed Aug 01, 2018 11:34 am, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Aug 01, 2018 11:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)
Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)

Monday & Tuesday
Spoiler: show
Monday (07/30)
¥305 million ($2.8 million), 0, ¥1.855 billion ($16.7 million), Code Blue (Day 4)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), -15%, ¥5.050 billion ($45.0 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 18)
¥70 million ($630,000), -09%, ¥1.250 billion ($11.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 11)
¥55 million ($495,000), -02%, ¥1.705 billion ($15.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 18)
¥15 million ($135,000), -42%, ¥375.0 million ($3.3 million), Bleach (Day 11)
¥13 million ($115,000), -15%, ¥4.215 billion ($38.1 million), Shoplifters (Day 53)
¥13 million ($115,000), -20%, ¥2.010 billion ($18.2 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 32)
¥11 million ($100,000), -13%, ¥493.0 million ($4.5 million), Rainbow Days (Day 25)
¥6 million ($55,000), -10%, ¥502.0 million ($4.6 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 31)
¥5 million ($45,000), -35%, ¥1.682 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 45)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), +37%, ¥8.678 billion ($79.2 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 109)


Tuesday (07/31)
¥235 million ($2.1 million), 0, ¥2.090 billion ($18.8 million), Code Blue (Day 5)
¥100 million ($900,000), -16%, ¥5.150 billion ($45.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 19)
¥55 million ($495,000), -08%, ¥1.305 billion ($11.8 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 12)
¥45 million ($405,000), -07%, ¥1.750 billion ($15.7 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 19)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥387.0 million ($3.4 million), Bleach (Day 12)
¥12 million ($110,000), -08%, ¥4.227 billion ($38.2 million), Shoplifters (Day 54)
¥11 million ($100,000), -17%, ¥2.021 billion ($18.3 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 33)
¥8 million ($70,000), -14%, ¥501.0 million ($4.6 million), Rainbow Days (Day 26)
¥6 million ($55,000), +86%, ¥8.684 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 110)
¥5 million ($45,000), -09%, ¥507.0 million ($4.7 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 32)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), -25%, ¥1.686 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 46)


Wednesday (08/01)
¥400 million ($3.6 million), 0, ¥2.490 billion ($22.4 million), Code Blue (Day 6)
¥255 million ($2.3 million), 0, ¥255.0 million ($2.3 million), Incredibles 2 (NEW)
¥155 million ($1.4 million), +02%, ¥5.305 billion ($47.3 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 20)
¥85 million ($760,000), -01%, ¥1.390 billion ($12.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 13)
¥80 million ($715,000), 0, ¥80.00 million ($715,000), Sensei Kunshun (NEW)
¥65 million ($580,000), -10%, ¥1.815 billion ($16.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 20)
¥18 million ($160,000), 0, ¥18.00 million ($160,000), Blue Summer (NEW)
¥17 million ($150,000), -31%, ¥404.0 million ($3.6 million), Bleach (Day 13)
¥15 million ($135,000), -22%, ¥2.036 billion ($18.4 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 34)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥4.239 billion ($38.3 million), Shoplifters (Day 55)
__________
¥2 million ($20,000), -65%, ¥8.686 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 111)


% changes versus same day last week.

Wednesday wasn't quite as strong as I was anticipating, but it was still strong as we get closer to Obon Festival in less than two weeks.

Code Blue is showing no signs of frontloading that TV drama adaptations sometimes experience, and is definitely going to be a contender for the 2018 yearly crown now. I still believe Fuji TV's "expected" ¥10 billion total is too high, but ¥8/9 billion ($70-80 million+) is currently realistic.

Incredibles 2 had a good first day, but I was expecting a bit more. There's really no good comparisons to other Disney/Pixar films because of the Wednesday release, so we'll have to watch how it performs on a day-to-day basis before making any good comparisons. If anything, its first day likely suggests it's not going to breakout, really, and will probably finish around the norm of a Pixar film -- ¥4/5 billion ($40/50 million).

The first film grossed ¥5.26 billion, so if it can match/exceed that, it'd be a success... but it's very clear that Japanese audiences just aren't accepting of Pixar sequels. Aside from Toy Story 3, which benefited from Pixar establishing itself after the release of the first two Toy Story films, every Pixar sequel has dropped from its predecessor in the market.

Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer lost its biggest amount of theaters yet on Wednesday, and it definitely felt the blow. I'll continue to track it for as long as I can, though, since it's the film Jurassic World 2 and Code Blue need to beat first, before possibly one another, to win the 2018 yearly crown.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Wed Aug 01, 2018 11:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)
Pixar films usually get higher critical acclaim than other Hollywood animated films, so it's surprising they aren't doing as well as rival studios in Japan. Very disappointing that Illumination, whose films clearly rely on low quality gags, are doing better than Pixar and continue to enjoy growth.

I wonder if there is anything Pixar can do to turn their slump around. I'm guessing Toy Story 4 will see a large decline from its predecessor as well next year?


Wed Aug 01, 2018 3:49 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)
Disappointing to see for I2.


Wed Aug 01, 2018 5:26 pm
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