Harsh drop for Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom. Hope it can recover in the upcoming weeks. Can it still compete for the yearly crown?

I see now that the drop, largely due to seating/showtime cuts due to all the new openers, was also a result of losing much of its lucrative IMAX screens. It is still a strong contender for the #1 spot of 2018.

The upcoming weekdays (August 06-10) will probably be down a little more than expected compared to last week, but next weekend (August 11-12) will be strong. It's the weekend before Obon Festival begins, and a lot of films will see minimal drops (sub-20%) and even potential increases (the younger skewing films). And then the following weekdays (August 13-17) will be humongous due to Obon Festival.

The difference between Code Blue and MI6 ended up being quite big. Was that the difference of Sunday Corpse?

It should be noted that SHOPLIFTERS had a $7m debut in China...

It should be noted, but in the China Box Office thread, not in here.

I think its fine to be noted in both threads. The OS gross from Shoplifters and in general the increasing presence of Japanese movies in Chinese market is notable.

Yeah. It was a near tie on Saturday between the two, but Code Blue had a stronger Sunday.

Weekend Actuals do have them a little closer than estimates, though, but I'm waiting until later this evening to post them when the rest of the Top 10 is available.

Well Damn!!

Mission: Impossible Box Office History

Opening Weekends:
¥1.390 billion ($12.8 million) / N/A - Mission: Impossible II (2000)
¥720.1 million ($6.3 million) / 528,245 - Mission: Impossible III (2006)
¥639.0 million ($5.7 million) / 450,315 - Mission: Impossible - Fallout (2018)
¥573.5 million ($4.6 million) / 427,281 - Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (2015)
¥573.2 million ($7.3 million) / 437,751 - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (2011)
¥545.0 million ($4.9 million) / N/A - Mission: Impossible (1996)

Totals:
¥9.70 billion ($94.1 million) / 7.62 million - Mission: Impossible II (2000)
¥6.50 billion ($53.9 million) / 5.20 million - Mission: Impossible (1996)
¥5.38 billion ($70.5 million) / 4.24 million - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (2011)
¥5.15 billion ($46.5 million) / 4.17 million - Mission: Impossible III (2006)
¥5.14 billion ($42.3 million) / 3.91 million - Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (2015)

Didn't realize that JW2 is so close to the yearly crown. Code Blue is also giving it a fight with strong weekdays though I feel like it will end up #3 in this race.

A $2.6m 4th week and it's only at $51.7m, yet you think it has enough in the tank to compete for the yearly crown, Corpse? which is currently almost $80m. I know how Japanese box office works, but it never ceases to amaze me how my doubt resurfaces time and time again when looking at the low numbers but high expected totals.

Weekdays are where the money is at which are currently very strong due to school vacation. Also Obon festival week is coming soon, one of the biggest BO weeks in Japan. For instance look at last week's weekdays JW2 ended up doing $4m+ over weekdays

Incredibles 2 went from potentially being a contender for the 2018 yearly crown to selling more tickets than just IO and the 3 Pixar bombs. This isn't "a bit underwhelming".

Not like it bothers me that much. Thanks to Japan, Frozen is a near lock to remain the #1 WW animated movie.

After the record OW domestically, I really thought Incredibles 2 would take the WW animated record. But it looks like the gap between Frozen and Incredibles 2 in Japan will be even larger than the gap between the two domestically (a gap of over $200 million). The OS run for Incredibles 2 has been kind of disappointing. Given its event status, $750-800 million OS should have been in the cards.

Well, it is still making money, and it hasn't opened in Turkey, Scandinavia, Italy, and Germany yet. It's going to be good for at least $600 million non-US, so $1.2 billion worldwide. Less than $100m behind Frozen.

You have to take into account that movies with OS grosses above 700M usually manage that thanks to a big help from China+Japan.

I2 stands at 465M OS after a 19M weekend. Should reach 530/540 from current markets (Japan will strenghten the multiplier), and 600/620 with the rest (Dory made about 70M combined from the same remaining markets). Let's assume 610M with a 90M China+Japan total (ugh...).
That'd be 520M OS-China-Japan for I2.

Other recent major hits:
Jurassic World 2 > 880M projected total with 330M from China+Japan (assuming a 75M finish in the latter) - meaning 550M OS-China-Japan
Black Panther > 645-(105+15) = 525M OS-C-J
Beauty and the Beast > 760-(110+90) = 560M OS-C-J
Fate of the Furious > 1010-(390+35) = 585M OS-C-J
Despicable Me 3 > 770-(150+70) = 550M OS-C-J
Captain America CW > 745-(180+25) = 540M OS-C-J

Just add the fact that ER managed to get even worse in the last months (especially in LA, where I2 did great) and you see that I2 is perfectly in line with every major blockbuster in the last 2/3 years (even Star Wars barely grossed more than 600M OS-C-J - and of course Infinity War doesn't count). So we just have to blame the key Asia countries for the somehow "modest" OS total (I'd also add South Korea, where the movie just did standard Pixar numbers).

Aside from that, it's sad to see Japan quickly becoming some sort of asian Russia in terms of BO tastes in animation. The minions exploding, Boss Baby becoming a success, local animated films becoming more and more serialized, Pixar struggling, ...

Japan is the only country where American movies don't have an easy time. That's refreshing.

I don't want to quote too much from the recent posts, so I'll just say, don't count Incredibles 2 as a disappointment just yet. If it can get to ¥5 billion and match/exceed the original (¥5.26 billion), I'd consider it a success.

Its opening weekend was underwhelming, but its having some very impressive weekdays so far. Despite being a distant third place over the weekend, it was a strong #2 on both Monday and Tuesday.

I'll post daily estimates soon.

It's not the only market, probably the one which is tracked properly here