BUMP
Just a couple more days. :wink:
I'm staying with my old prediction.
I can't wait to see this movie!
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| After the Sunset predictions http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=540 |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Wed Oct 20, 2004 7:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | After the Sunset predictions |
I think the trailer is great for this film. I believe it will be yet another sleeper hit for New Line (how many have they had?). The release date signals to me that they have confidence in it. Plus, it's directed by Brett Ratner, who isn't unfamiliar to BO success. With good marketing I can see an opening near 20m. Thanksgiving will certainly help the legs. 18m/65m Multiplier: 3.61 Second Week Drop: 44% |
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| Author: | zingy [ Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
It looks very good, and should do decent numbers. Opening- $17.5 Total- $57.8 |
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| Author: | Plot [ Wed Oct 20, 2004 5:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Decent opening, but it could have bad legs due to National Treasure 19/57 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Wed Oct 20, 2004 5:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Opening weekend - $17.1 million Total gross - $55 million |
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| Author: | Maverikk [ Wed Oct 20, 2004 10:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
22 MIL opening 73 MIL total Looking forward to this one very much. It really depends on how good the movie is, but I do think the trailer really makes the movie look like a good one, so I'm thinking Thomas Crown type totals. |
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| Author: | sako [ Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
15/41 |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Opening weekend: sako16 - 15m Dr. Lecter 17.1m Zingaling - 17.5m DP07 - 18m Plot - 19m Maverikk - 22m Total: sako16 - 41m Dr. Lecter - 55m Plot - 57m Zingaling - 57.8m DP07 - 65m Maverikk - 73m Multiplier: sako16 - 2.73 Plot - 3.00 Dr. Lecter - 3.22 Zingaling - 3.30 Maverikk - 3.32 DP07 - 3.61 Second week drop: DP07 - 44% Any other predictions for the second week drop? |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Tue Nov 09, 2004 10:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
BUMP Just a couple more days. :wink: I'm staying with my old prediction. I can't wait to see this movie!
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| Author: | matatonio [ Tue Nov 09, 2004 10:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
$14.5M/$39M its getting horrible reviews!! so far! |
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| Author: | BacktotheFuture [ Tue Nov 09, 2004 10:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I think we have another BOMB on our hands. Opening-12.1 Mil Final-33.2 Mil |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Wed Nov 10, 2004 12:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
It is getting reviews worse than Taxi, wow... :o Funnily, one of the best reviwers I know, James Berardinelli gave it its only FRESH review so far... My (almost) final predictions: Opening weekend - $14.9 milion Total gross - $42 million Second weekend drop - 45% I might revise these after the announcement of the theatre count |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Wed Nov 10, 2004 8:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Opening weekend: BacktotheFuture - 12.1m matatonio - 14.5m sako16 - 15m Dr. Lecter 14.9m Zingaling - 17.5m DP07 - 18m Plot - 19m Maverikk - 22m Total: BacktotheFuture - 33.2m matatonio - 39m sako16 - 41m Dr. Lecter - 42m Plot - 57m Zingaling - 57.8m DP07 - 61m Maverikk - 73m Multiplier: matatonio - 2.69 sako16 - 2.73 BacktotheFuture - 2.74 Dr. Lecter - 2.82 Plot - 3.00 Zingaling - 3.30 Maverikk - 3.32 DP07 - 3.39 Second week drop: DP07 - 44.4% Dr. Lecter - 45% I'm predicting slightly weaker legs then before. |
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| Author: | theez1 [ Wed Nov 10, 2004 8:50 pm ] |
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It shouls open under 15 mil. I'm disappointed in the marketing for this film. It hasn't been very strong or very good for that matter. I'll see it just for Salma though. |
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| Author: | Animosity Reigns [ Thu Nov 11, 2004 12:41 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
its actually a good movie, its a shame it wont get any screens since every theatre has Incredibles and Polar on 4 or 5 each... 11.4 / 36.2 |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Thu Nov 11, 2004 7:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Opening: $8.0 Total: $25.0 That was my prediction for all the games, but now I'm feeling a higher opening. It somewhat reminds me of Matchstick Men, but it's not as weird. Here's Matchstick Men's opening for reference: Opening: $13.087 Total: $36.906 It was released in September. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Nov 11, 2004 8:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I'm predicting 11.9M opening with the final theater count. 30.1M total. |
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| Author: | zingy [ Thu Nov 11, 2004 8:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Opening: $15.4 Total: $46.2 |
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Thu Nov 11, 2004 8:52 pm ] |
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For games I predicted from $11.1m to $12.2m for opening. Total? I would guess $36m-$37m. |
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| Author: | Stillnasatic [ Thu Nov 11, 2004 11:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
13/41 |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Fri Nov 12, 2004 10:11 am ] |
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RT is rising and the final theatre cont is there, so here is my definite predictions: Opening weekend - $15.3 million Total gross - $43.7 million Second weekend drop - 45% |
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| Author: | BigMoviePimp [ Fri Nov 12, 2004 11:41 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
The reviews won't hurt it too much, methinks: $15.6m/$48.8m 2nd week drop - 44% |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 12:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Opening weekend: micasey300 - 8m Animosity Reigns - 11.4m Nebs - 11.1m-12.2m xiayun - 11.9m BacktotheFuture - 12.1m Stillnasatic - 13m matatonio - 14.5m sako16 - 15m Dr. Lecter 15.3m Zingaling - 15.4m BigMoviePimp - 15.6m DP07 - 18m Plot - 19m Maverikk - 22m Total: micasey300 - 25m xiayun - 30.1m BacktotheFuture - 33.2m Animosity Reigns - 36.2m Nebs - 36m-37m matatonio - 39m Stillnasatic - 41m sako16 - 41m Dr. Lecter - 43.7m Zingaling - 46.2m BigMoviePimp - 48.8m Plot - 57m DP07 - 61m Maverikk - 73m Multiplier: xiayun - 2.53 matatonio - 2.69 sako16 - 2.73 BacktotheFuture - 2.74 Dr. Lecter - 2.86 Plot - 3.00 Zingaling - 3.00 micasey300 - 3.13 BigMoviePimp - 3.13 Nebs - ~3.13 Stillnasatic - 3.15 Animosity Reigns - 3.18 Maverikk - 3.32 DP07 - 3.39 Second week drop: BigMoviePimp - 44% DP07 - 44.4% Dr. Lecter - 45% |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
For opening weekend Animosity Reigns, Nebs, xiayun, and BacktotheFuture will all be close. Congrats! :wink: |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Well, it depends on which of Nebs' predictions are used. The lowest one was right on target. I'll declare that both Nebs and Animosity Reigns win this one. :wink: Congrats. :wink: Any predictions for the second week drop? Opening weekend: micasey300 - 8m Animosity Reigns - 11.4m Nebs - 11.1m-12.2m xiayun - 11.9m BacktotheFuture - 12.1m Stillnasatic - 13m matatonio - 14.5m sako16 - 15m Dr. Lecter 15.3m Zingaling - 15.4m BigMoviePimp - 15.6m DP07 - 18m Plot - 19m Maverikk - 22m |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
For the total. Those certainly eliminated in dark red. Danger zones in red. Those with a good chance of being right in blue. Total: micasey300 - 25m xiayun - 30.1m BacktotheFuture - 33.2m Animosity Reigns - 36.2m Nebs - 36m-37m matatonio - 39m Stillnasatic - 41m sako16 - 41m Dr. Lecter - 43.7m Zingaling - 46.2m BigMoviePimp - 48.8m Plot - 57m DP07 - 61m Maverikk - 73m |
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