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Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=49744
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Author:  jmovies [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

$25 million

http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Not a bad number at all. It won't pass 300 but $60 million+ is looking really good which is great for this film.

Author:  BK [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

That's underwhelming.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Disappointing if it includes midnight numbers. If it doesn't, then it's just as expected.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

If accurate (probably is, pre-sales and midnights pointed towards nothing less, but not much more), very good indeed.

Author:  BK [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Wait it doesn't count midnights right? Then that'd be decent.

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Disappointing if it includes midnight numbers. If it doesn't, then it's just as expected.


It includes midnights.

Author:  paper [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

How could you even determine that so early? And could someone explain me this "Darling" Nikki business? Is that just their name?

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Hmm, that'd mean around $60 million for the weekend and probably about $140 million in total. Not very good if ya ask me. If these hold, of course.

Author:  BK [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.

Author:  Mr. Reynolds [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

where is the WWW thread?! tick tock tick tock

lol

i'll wait for later estimates

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Hmm, that'd mean around $60 million for the weekend and probably about $140 million in total. Not very good if ya ask me. If these hold, of course.


It's very good still, just our predictions got a bit high.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

BK wrote:
Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.


How is a 25M OD shitty for a Rated R Obscure Comic Book film that is near 3 hours long?

It's umm... very very good.

Author:  BK [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

It did beat BKBs retarded thread though but he'll be sure to make a WWW thread if that number holds.

Also, its shitty because its bound to drop Saturday and Sunday. If it were to rise then that wouldn't be half-bad.

Author:  paper [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

And anyone who thinks an opening over $60 million for a 3-hour R-RATED Superhero film featuring spliced heads, smashed bones, explicit sex scenes, no true villain and no true hero, with a WAY smaller fan base than people here are assuming is out of their goddamn minds.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Corpse wrote:
BK wrote:
Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.


How is a 25M OD shitty for a Rated R Obscure Comic Book film that is near 3 hours long?

It's umm... very very good.


Shitty? Surely not.

Underwhelming? Yes.

The swords/Sandals genre has never been doing well in the US (Alexander, Kingdom of Heaven..all flopped, Troy disappointed) and yet 300 was huge.

Watchmen was advertised more heavily than probably any film of this year so far with trailers attached to The Dark Knight and Quantum of Solace.

The marketplace is completely EMPTY.

And with this OD (if it holds), we're looking at a $60 million start in the knowledge that legs most likely won't be good.

Author:  BK [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Corpse wrote:
BK wrote:
Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.


How is a 25M OD shitty for a Rated R Obscure Comic Book film that is near 3 hours long?

It's umm... very very good.


If it drops 30% and 30% as given by someone from the prediction thread it will end up with 54.75m. Not over 60m last I heard.

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

If the $25 million holds then I can see a $23 million Saturday (-8%) and a $13.8M sunday for $61.8 million. Not bad.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Be a little careful with 60+ predictions though. Sex and the City opened to 26/55. I doub't it'll be that frontloaded, but just in case it fails to hit 60 so people don't go all crazy and call it bad.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

It is also the widest R-rated release of all-time and WB invested $130 million into it, twice as much as for 300.

Author:  BK [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Corpse wrote:
BK wrote:
Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.


How is a 25M OD shitty for a Rated R Obscure Comic Book film that is near 3 hours long?

It's umm... very very good.


Shitty? Surely not.

Underwhelming? Yes.

The swords/Sandals genre has never been doing well in the US (Alexander, Kingdom of Heaven..all flopped, Troy disappointed) and yet 300 was huge.

Watchmen was advertised more heavily than probably any film of this year so far with trailers attached to The Dark Knight and Quantum of Solace.

The marketplace is completely EMPTY.

And with this OD (if it holds), we're looking at a $60 million start in the knowledge that legs most likely won't be good.


Exactly. The marketplace is EMPTY and it may drop huge and without a 60m start-alright it isn't shitty-but it's worse than underwhelming.

Author:  paper [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Corpse wrote:
BK wrote:
Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.


How is a 25M OD shitty for a Rated R Obscure Comic Book film that is near 3 hours long?

It's umm... very very good.


Shitty? Surely not.

Underwhelming? Yes.

The swords/Sandals genre has never been doing well in the US (Alexander, Kingdom of Heaven..all flopped, Troy disappointed) and yet 300 was huge.

Watchmen was advertised more heavily than probably any film of this year so far with trailers attached to The Dark Knight and Quantum of Solace.

The marketplace is completely EMPTY.

And with this OD (if it holds), we're looking at a $60 million start in the knowledge that legs most likely won't be good.


You're letting your opinion of the film get in the way of box-office analysis. 300 had so much more going for it then Watchmen, and that's been common knowledge all along.

EDIT: And just because there's an empty marketplace, it doesn't mean a movie is going to lure demographics to it that weren't interested in the first place. Especially if it's R, it's not like teenagers can just flock to it because there's nothing else to see.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

BK wrote:
Corpse wrote:
BK wrote:
Oh damn, it's included. That's a shitty number right there.


How is a 25M OD shitty for a Rated R Obscure Comic Book film that is near 3 hours long?

It's umm... very very good.


If it drops 30% and 30% as given by someone from the prediction thread it will end up with 54.75m. Not over 60m last I heard.


Even if it is that frontloaded and opens in the mid 50's, how is that bad for this? I'd say less than 50 would be considered disappointing, and it's not going to open with less than that.

It's not a spectacular opening whether it does 55 or 65, but it's great either way.

Author:  Kenspy [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

She usually says rival studios when its a rival studio, so if WB is the source of the $25m, then that could be a lowball "safe" figure.

Author:  jmovies [ Fri Mar 06, 2009 9:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Darling Nikki's Watchmen Friday

This film had to rely heavily on story. There was no big name stars in this to drive the masses so for an R rated film like this to open over $55 million is pretty awesome.

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