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Steve Mason estimates
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=49271		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:25 am ]
Post subject:  Steve Mason estimates
http://bighollywood.breitbart.com/smaso ... timates-5/

Quote:
EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY FRIDAY ESTIMATES

1. NEW – Friday the Thirteenth (Warner Bros) - $20M, $6,441 PTA, $20M cume
2. He’s Just Not That Into You (Warner Bros) - $5.05M, $1,591 PTA, $40.51M cume
3. Taken (Fox) - $4.8M, $1,544 PTA, $63.47M cume
4. NEW – Confessions of a Shopaholic (Disney) - $4.4M, $1,755 PTA, $4.4M cume
5. Coraline (Focus) - $3.1M, $1,336 PTA, $23.33M cume
6. NEW – The International (Sony) - $3M, $1,279 PTA, $3M cume
7. Pink Panther 2 (Sony) - $2.2M, $678 PTA, $15.52M cume
8. Paul Blart: Mall Cop (Sony) - $1.85M, $624 PTA, $100.66M cume
9. Push (Summit) - $1.75M, $757 PTA, $14.14M cume
10. Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight) - $1.36M, $833 PTA, $80.75M cume
11. Gran Torino (Warner Bros) - $1.34M, $584 PTA, $123.48M cume
12. The Uninvited (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $1.1M, $610 PTA, $20.46M cume


EXCLUSIVE STEVE MASON EARLY 4-DAY ESTIMATES

1. NEW – Friday the Thirteenth (Warner Bros) - $51.25M, $16,506 PTA, $55.25M cume
2. He’s Just Not That Into You (Warner Bros) - $23.9M, $7,528 PTA, $59.36M cume
3. Taken (Fox) - $23.8M, $7,655 PTA, $82.47M cume
4. NEW – Confessions of a Shopaholic (Disney) - $19.25M, $7,679 PTA, $19.25M cume
5. Coraline (Focus) - $19.1M, $8,233 PTA, $39.33M cume
6. NEW – The International (Sony) - $12.6M, $5,371 PTA, $12.6M cume
7. Pink Panther 2 (Sony) - $10.75M, $3,313 PTA, $24.07M cume
8. Paul Blart: Mall Cop (Sony) - $9.25M, $3,120 PTA, $108.06M cume
9. Push (Summit) - $8.5M, $3,675 PTA, $20.89M cume
10. Slumdog Millionaire (Fox Searchlight) - $6.2M, $3,794 PTA, $85.59M cume
11. Gran Torino (Warner Bros) - $5.9M, $2,562 PTA, $128.04M cume
12. Hotel for Dogs (Dreamworks/Paramount) - $4.95M, $2,130 PTA, $60.66M cume


Hell yeah! :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :thumbsup: :D
Author:  Jiffy [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Jeez, this'll be so frontloaded.
Author:  Michael A [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
pretty awesome, but kinda disappointing for shopaholic
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Jiffy208 wrote:
Jeez, this'll be so frontloaded.


Sure sign of someone who doesn't like the type of movie so they try in vain and make fantastic numbers look bad :P

Valentine's Day is a huge moviegoing day.
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Rorschach wrote:
This shit aint never gonna stop.


What? Record-breaking box office?
Author:  Jiffy [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Chia Pet wrote:
Jiffy208 wrote:
Jeez, this'll be so frontloaded.


Sure sign of someone who doesn't like the type of movie so they try in vain and make fantastic numbers look bad :P

Valentine's Day is a huge moviegoing day.


Yeah, not so much. The numbers are absolutely massive, bordering on unbelievable, but I can only help but wonder how much it'll drop today.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
unprecedented, I hope is stays over 20m on saturday.

if the hold over go crazy enough we could possibly see a 100m day for the first time ever.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 3:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
2009 is sick.
Author:  Shack [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
It'll still end with less than 80 mil

Saturday drop will be fucking huge. Franchise + Friday night teen audience + Horror + Friday the 13th Gimmick = HUGE MOTHERFUCKING DROP.
Author:  PresidentPalmer [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Damn that's Fantastic if it Holds should get over 50/60 Million for the 4 Day.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Shack wrote:
It's dropping at least like -40% tomorrow

no it wont, you seriously underestimate the effects of valentines day. the film drops no more than 10% if at all.
Author:  Shack [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Shopaholic's marketing came too hard too early, I think. The jokes got old two months ago. Also He's Just Not That Into You hurt it. Still not a bad weekend though.
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Shack wrote:
It'll still end with less than 80 mil

Saturday drop will be fucking huge. Franchise + Friday night teen audience + Horror + Friday the 13th Gimmick = HUGE MOTHERFUCKING DROP.


Sure sign of someone who doesn't like the type of movie so they try in vain to make fantastic numbers look bad :P

Valentine's Day is a huge moviegoing day. It won't drop that much. Should still make in the teens that day and 80M is the bare minimum it should make. The TCM remake opened with 28M opening weekend and made over 80M.
Author:  DIB2 [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
OMG! That is flabbergasting, a 50m friday in february
Author:  BJ [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:14 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
80m-100m on saturday guaranteed, 115m if 04s saturday increase is matched. And 50m for a friday in feb. is insane.
Author:  the ultimate biu [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
That's amazing.
Very shocked about this.
Author:  mark66 [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
The heavily frontloaded CLOVERFIELD did $46.1m over the long MLK weekend after a $17.2m Friday (4 day IM = 2.69), same IM for F13 would result in a 53.8m 4 day weekend
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
mark66 wrote:
The heavily frontloaded CLOVERFIELD did $46.1m over the long MLK weekend after a $17.2m Friday (4 day IM = 2.69), same IM for F13 would result in a 53.8m 4 day weekend


Hope that happens because it would obviously be amazing! :thumbsup:

So...how long before the sequel is officially given the greenlight? This time, they should get Nispel back for the sequel.

Friday, August 13, 2010 is a good date. :thumbsup:
Author:  BK [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
What's so surprising about a 50m Friday or a 100m day?
You mean to say even in summer there has never been a 100m day?
I always thought that there was or has always been a 100m day with huge 40m Saturdays from Shrek and Spider Man etc
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
BK wrote:
What's so surprising about a 50m Friday or a 100m day?
You mean to say even in summer there has never been a 100m day?
I always thought that there was or has always been a 100m day with huge 40m Saturdays from Shrek and Spider Man etc


Well, what's surprising is that it happened in February.
Author:  BK [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
Heh. I guess.
Is Mason always accurate for openers? Like for Taken and Blart was he on?
His multipliers are bad if I remember correctly?
Because either than F13s breakout fantastic #s, International & Shopaholic are too low for my liking.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 4:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
BK wrote:
What's so surprising about a 50m Friday or a 100m day?
You mean to say even in summer there has never been a 100m day?
I always thought that there was or has always been a 100m day with huge 40m Saturdays from Shrek and Spider Man etc

not even the infamous TDK could push the BO over 100m for a a single day. And no friday in february or outside the summer/holiday seasons have ever topped 50m.
Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 5:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
BK wrote:
Heh. I guess.
Is Mason always accurate for openers? Like for Taken and Blart was he on?
His multipliers are bad if I remember correctly?
Because either than F13s breakout fantastic #s, International & Shopaholic are too low for my liking.


He's usually mostly accurate on openers. When he's off, he underestimates. He underestimated The Uninvited's OD, for instance.

On another note, Michael Bay as a producer is on fire. Two months, two hits.
Author:  Mesjarch [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 5:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
This year is insane. We will have 2 $100m in January, $1b January.

If BJ is correct about 50m Fri and 100m Sat then we are looking at almost $ 200m 3-day weekend in February and $225-230m 4 day weekend.
Author:  Libs [ Sat Feb 14, 2009 5:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Steve Mason estimates - F13 w/20M OD!!
This weekend is utter insanity. I love it.

Incredible for Friday the 13th, likely crazy good 4-day numbers for He's Just Not..., Taken and Coraline. Shopaholic did pretty well considering its awful timing and The International is...OK.
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