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January 2-4 Predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=47487
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 1:57 pm ]
Post subject:  January 2-4 Predictions

You know the drill...

Author:  O [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 2:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 1-3 Predictions

2003 saw very slim declines. I think we'll see the same, with most films dropping under 30%.

Author:  Spidey [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 2:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 1-3 Predictions

The weekend is January 2-4.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 5:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 1-3 Predictions

Spider-Man wrote:
The weekend is January 2-4.


Ditto.

Author:  DIB2 [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 6:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 1-3 Predictions

........

Author:  jmovies [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 7:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

For 3-days

Marley & Me- -20%
Button- -21%
Bedtime- -17%
Valkyrie- -25%

Author:  Chippy [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 7:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 1-3 Predictions

DIB2 wrote:
Bride Wars - 23.0m
Not Easily Broken - 10.5m
The Unborn (2009) - 16.0m


EXPANDING
Gran Torino ?
The Reader ?


Yeah... No.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 11:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 1-3 Predictions

DIB2 wrote:
Bride Wars - 23.0m
Not Easily Broken - 10.5m
The Unborn (2009) - 16.0m


They don't open until the following week.

Author:  BK [ Sat Dec 27, 2008 11:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

Is there TC loss? Or is there none?

Author:  Bell [ Sun Dec 28, 2008 1:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

so Revolutionary Road still not expanding this weekend.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Dec 28, 2008 2:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

I wish some movies would at least expand a bit.

Author:  i.hope [ Sun Dec 28, 2008 10:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

I see some TC drops from Four Christmases (Christmas is over), Bolt and The Day the Earth Stood Still (bad PTA). Twilight might hold on to its TC considering it is not a festive movie (doing mediocre on both Thanksgiving and Christmas) and should recover some from Christmas.

We should see some TC increases from Marley And Me, Bedtime Stories, Valkyrie, Yes Man and Benjamin. On the indie side, there may be expansions from The Wrestler, Gran Torino, Frost/Nixon, Revolutionary Road, Milk, and Slumdog.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Dec 28, 2008 11:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

Do movies usually expand at all that weekend? I can't remember. I didn't think they did very much.

Author:  i.hope [ Mon Dec 29, 2008 12:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

Mike wrote:
Do movies usually expand at all that weekend? I can't remember. I didn't think they did very much.


Some movies do. For the record, Dreamgirls (2007) and Calendar Girls (2004) expanded wide that very weekend while Finding Neverland (2005) and Brokeback Mountain (2006) added 100+ theaters. But since no major expansions are listed on BOM, I don't think any of the major releases will have substantial increase in TC.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Mon Dec 29, 2008 1:13 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

According to Box Office Mojo, Gran Torino is expanding to 2300+ theaters on 1/9. Personally, I wish it were expanding this coming weekend since there's nothing to see while there's a bunch I will be seeing the weekend of the 9th-11 (at least 8 movies!).

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Dec 29, 2008 10:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

Early predictions:


1. Marley and Me - $27.7 million
2. Bedtime Stories - $21.5 million
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button - $20.9 million
4. Valkyrie - $15.6 million
5. Yes Man - $12.6 million
6. Seven Pounds - $9.8 million
7. The Tale of Despereaux - $7.5 million
8. The Day the Earth Stood Still - $5.2 million
9. Doubt - $4.5 million
10. Twilight - $4 million

Author:  Spidey [ Tue Dec 30, 2008 12:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

I wish Gran Torino or Revolutionary Road would expand wide this weekend.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 4:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

ReelSource Tracking via notfabio - http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?1231135223.notfabio

Quote:
Unborn: Between 10-13
Bride Wars: Between 26-29
My Bloody Valentine: Low 30's (4 day)
Paul Blart: High Single Digits (4 day)
Hotel For Dogs: Between 8-11 (4 day)
Notorious - Low double digits (4 day)


Continues to be good news for MBV3D. Hotel and Blart look like dogs ;)

Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 4:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

That would be awesome for MY BLOODY VALENTINE.

Author:  DP07 [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 4:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

Mahone wrote:
ReelSource Tracking via notfabio - http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?1231135223.notfabio

Quote:
Unborn: Between 10-13
Bride Wars: Between 26-29
My Bloody Valentine: Low 30's (4 day)
Paul Blart: High Single Digits (4 day)
Hotel For Dogs: Between 8-11 (4 day)
Notorious - Low double digits (4 day)


Continues to be good news for MBV3D. Hotel and Blart look like dogs ;)


Wow, guess I was wrong about the 3d thing for My Bloody Valentine.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 5:01 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

DP07 wrote:
Mahone wrote:
ReelSource Tracking via notfabio - http://talk.hsx.com/films/post.htm?1231135223.notfabio

Quote:
Unborn: Between 10-13
Bride Wars: Between 26-29
My Bloody Valentine: Low 30's (4 day)
Paul Blart: High Single Digits (4 day)
Hotel For Dogs: Between 8-11 (4 day)
Notorious - Low double digits (4 day)


Continues to be good news for MBV3D. Hotel and Blart look like dogs ;)


Wow, guess I was wrong about the 3d thing for My Bloody Valentine.


The more successful MBV3D is, the happier Hollywood will be.

Author:  DP07 [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 5:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

Yeah.

Would seem to be a good indication for Avatar. I'm certain the 3D for that movie will be much more eye catching.

Author:  BK [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 9:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

OK for the Unborn.
Great for Bride Wars and Bloody Valentine.
Notorious is OK.
Blart just plain fails, I guess I'm not the only one not interested in this at all-DVD included.
Hotel for Dogs was something I'd check out on DVD so yeah.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 3:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

I hope The Unborn can open to $15+ million. It actually looks reasonably creepy.


Bride Wars will definitely top 27 Dresses at this point.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Thu Jan 01, 2009 3:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: January 2-4 Predictions

I kind of hope The Unborn disappoints.

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