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September 19-21 Predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=44804
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 1:57 pm ]
Post subject:  September 19-21 Predictions

You know the drill

Author:  Rev [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

What movies are opening next weekend?

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 2:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Releases with estimated theatre counts:

My Best Friend's Girl - 2,500+
Lakeview Terrace - 2,400
Igor - 2,300
Ghost Town - 1,400
Hounddog - 400

Author:  Riggs [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 3:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Hounddog's the controversial Dakota Fanning movie, right?

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 3:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Riggs wrote:
Hounddog's the controversial Dakota Fanning movie, right?


yes

Author:  Viper Rodgers [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 5:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Hounddog is actually only opening in 11 theaters. They were first thinking of doing a fairly wide release, but now they are going to slolwy expand it. Probably because of the early bad reviews : (

Author:  Libs [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 7:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

My Best Friend's Girl - 13
Lakeview Terrace - 10
Igor - 5
Ghost Town - 3

Author:  Shack [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 7:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Every middle aged man who sees Hounddog this weekend should be marked into the suspicious characters and possible offenders database and have a tail follow them from that point on.

Author:  brooklyn [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 10:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Am I the only one who thinks it is fairly obvious that Lakeview Terrace will (somewhat) "break out" and grab the #1 spot?

The trailer was effective and attached to several big Summer movies.

Author:  Webslinger [ Sat Sep 13, 2008 11:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

brooklyn wrote:
Am I the only one who thinks it is fairly obvious that Lakeview Terrace will (somewhat) "break out" and grab the #1 spot?

The trailer was effective and attached to several big Summer movies.


Maybe it's just me, but I'm actually still yet to see a trailer or TV spot. I didn't even know it was coming out next weekend until I read this thread.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 12:45 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Webslinger wrote:
brooklyn wrote:
Am I the only one who thinks it is fairly obvious that Lakeview Terrace will (somewhat) "break out" and grab the #1 spot?

The trailer was effective and attached to several big Summer movies.


Maybe it's just me, but I'm actually still yet to see a trailer or TV spot. I didn't even know it was coming out next weekend until I read this thread.


I've definitely seen the most advertising for it of any of the new movies. I thought it seemed like an obvious hit. I see at the minimum 13 Million.

Author:  Outatime [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 1:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

My Best Friend's Girl - $13.8m
Lakeview Terrace - $11.1m
Igor - $4.6m
Ghost Town - $3.0m

Author:  2001 [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 2:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

I think Igor can manage at Least 8m since there hasn't been a famiLy movie that did weLL in quite a Long time.

Author:  MadGez [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 3:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Has Igor been marketed at all? A few months back I would have thought it would be good for a $50m total gross - but looks like everyone is lowballing it.

Author:  Kris K [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 12:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

My Best Friends Girl $12.75M
Lakeview Terrace $10.1M
Igor $5.75M
Ghost Town $4.4M

Author:  Optimus_Prime [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 12:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Boy, this Sept. is a yawner compared to other ones. I feel sorry for Ricky Gervais, he is so funny but he is stuck in Sixth Sense: The Comedy.

Author:  Jim Halpert [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 1:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Optimus_Prime wrote:
Boy, this Sept. is a yawner compared to other ones. I feel sorry for Ricky Gervais, he is so funny but he is stuck in Sixth Sense: The Comedy.


which is getting great reviews

Author:  O [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 5:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Lakeview Terrace is heading for a $20 m + opening imo.

Author:  Libs [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 6:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

O wrote:
Lakeview Terrace is heading for a $20 m + opening imo.


You really think so? It looks so pedestrian. I've certainly been wrong before, though.

Author:  misutaa [ Sun Sep 14, 2008 7:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Libs wrote:
O wrote:
Lakeview Terrace is heading for a $20 m + opening imo.


You really think so? It looks so pedestrian. I've certainly been wrong before, though.



Although I don't think a 20 million plus weekend is happening, a 15 million plus is certainly possible. I think it looks interesting enough to get that. Plus the trailer got a good reaction every time I saw it.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Mon Sep 15, 2008 12:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Seems really high for Igor considering the dearth of marketing. This doesn't seem like another Hoodwinked. Hopefully, Lakeview Terrace can exceed those low expectations.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Sep 15, 2008 12:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

LAKEVIEW TERRACE - 15.8 MILLION
MY BEST FRIEND'S GIRL - 13.5 MILLION
IGOR - 6.3 MILLION
GHOST TOWN - 2.5 MILLION

Author:  getluv [ Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

LAKEVIEW = $16m
BEST FRIEND = $11m
IGOR = $7m
GHOST TOWN = $6m

Author:  misutaa [ Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Magnus wrote:
RS Tracking:
Quote:
Think Lakeview has more potential than RS is giving it and Beverly Hills as kids eat that trailer up without fail.


MY BEST FRIEND'S GIRL: Mid Teens
IGOR: Low Teens
Lakeview: Mid Single Digits
Ghost Town: Low Single Digits (no longer even mid)

Future:
St Anna: Mid Single Digits
Eagle Eye: Low 30's
Nick & Norah: Low Double Digits
Nights in Rodanthe: Low Double Digits
Beverly Hills: Low 20's


As notfabio said, they are lowballing Lakeview. I think it will break double digits. But My Best Friend Girl is still the clear favorite to be no. 1.

Eagle Eye is looking good. Would not be surprised if it went to high 30s. Def. think Sept record is within range for this.




EWW at Beverly Hills Chihuahua

Author:  El Maskado [ Mon Sep 15, 2008 11:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: September 19-21 Predictions

Does Lakeview Terrace remind anyone of the movie Paparazzi? I mean the unintentional humor is almost the same unless it really was trying to convey the dark humor like Falling Down

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