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 Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions 
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Orphan

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Awake - 6.5M


Tue Nov 27, 2007 1:09 am
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Excellent tracking for all except Awake and Alvin and the Chipmunks. They really need to crank up the ads if they want a success.

I wonder how many films can avoid a 50% decrease, seeing as this is the weakest Post-Thanksgiving weekend since like, 2000. Bewowulf could do it simply thanks to IMAX (Mediocre WOM be damned), nd Enchanted might thanks to WOM, but it seems a little frontloaded. Oh, and NCFOM will be interesting to see, as Art House WOM clashes with Regular Joe WOM.


Tue Nov 27, 2007 1:19 am
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Orphan

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
I'm surprised by the low tracking for Alvin and the Chipmunks considering the name value. I thought it would do at least Garfield numbers.


Tue Nov 27, 2007 1:23 am
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Theres time for Alvin. It will climb. And even a $15m opening could mean $60-$70m+ total.

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Tue Nov 27, 2007 5:57 am
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Awake - 5.1m

No Country For Old Men - 5.2m

Enchanted - 14.9m

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Tue Nov 27, 2007 6:40 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Awake - 6


Tue Nov 27, 2007 7:42 am
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
I'm shocked at the tracking number for Chipmunks. I saw at least four TV spots for it yesterday.

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Tue Nov 27, 2007 11:26 am
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Sbil

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
movies35 wrote:
I'm shocked at the tracking number for Chipmunks. I saw at least four TV spots for it yesterday.


Just seeing a lot of TV spots doesn't mean A) it looks good or B) people want to see it.


Tue Nov 27, 2007 5:20 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
movies35 wrote:
I'm shocked at the tracking number for Chipmunks. I saw at least four TV spots for it yesterday.


Well showing some tasteless trailer of Alvin eating Theadore's shit may have turned off alot of parents.


Tue Nov 27, 2007 5:37 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Libs wrote:
movies35 wrote:
I'm shocked at the tracking number for Chipmunks. I saw at least four TV spots for it yesterday.


Just seeing a lot of TV spots doesn't mean A) it looks good or B) people want to see it.


Quite a few people in my school have expressed interest though. I have a feeling it's going to surprise.

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Tue Nov 27, 2007 7:57 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
movies35 wrote:
Libs wrote:
movies35 wrote:
I'm shocked at the tracking number for Chipmunks. I saw at least four TV spots for it yesterday.


Just seeing a lot of TV spots doesn't mean A) it looks good or B) people want to see it.


Quite a few people in my school have expressed interest though. I have a feeling it's going to surprise.


Same here. I think it will probably make pretty good money, which sucks since I think it looks horrid.

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Tue Nov 27, 2007 8:49 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
I don't think it looks awful, though it's nothing I'd go out of my way to see. I may see it because of Christmas break and me having extra time on my hands.

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Tue Nov 27, 2007 10:04 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
40 is about 10 mil to low for Legend....


Wed Nov 28, 2007 3:27 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Any MTC tracking?

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Wed Nov 28, 2007 6:36 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
LittleBeaver wrote:
Any MTC tracking?


awake at 6 million....thats all thats listed


Wed Nov 28, 2007 8:11 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
I'm anxioulsy waiting to see what Enchanted is going to do. So far is has underwhelmed me, but I still have this gut feeling that it's going to have a really great run. I guess this weekend should be the deciding weekend.


Wed Nov 28, 2007 10:34 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Desperate Houseboi wrote:
I'm anxioulsy waiting to see what Enchanted is going to do. So far is has underwhelmed me, but I still have this gut feeling that it's going to have a really great run. I guess this weekend should be the deciding weekend.


Why do people keep saying that?! Ahh. It did so well, too.

I certainly hope it will hold well this week. Anything below a 50% drop would be great.


Wed Nov 28, 2007 10:41 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Enchanted would've impressed a lot more people if this forum hadn't been enslaved by tracking.


Thu Nov 29, 2007 8:43 pm
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Sbil

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Magnus wrote:
MovieDude wrote:
Enchanted would've impressed a lot more people if this forum hadn't been enslaved by tracking.


Eh...not really. I mean, many were thinking 45m+ 5-day before tracking did.


Who? I wasn't even predicting that after tracking.


Thu Nov 29, 2007 9:10 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
:|

underwhelmed? you underwhelmed?????are you serious? yes; its the latest in a long line of BIG breakout hits in 2007; but get real.

no stars? check.
corny? check.
confusing trailers? check.
no male appeal? check.
2d cartoon? check.

for real; on paper i dont see anything that would justify a 45 million TOTAL; let alone 5 day gross.

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Thu Nov 29, 2007 9:16 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Excel wrote:
:|

underwhelmed? you underwhelmed?????are you serious? yes; its the latest in a long line of BIG breakout hits in 2007; but get real.

no stars? check.
corny? check.
confusing trailers? check.
no male appeal? check.
2d cartoon? check.

for real; on paper i dont see anything that would justify a 45 million TOTAL; let alone 5 day gross.


How about

Hilarious Trailers.
Oscar Buzz on Adams.
Alan Menkin.
The return of 2D animation from Disney.
Retro Fanboys
Musical.

I could go on.

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Thu Nov 29, 2007 10:00 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Quote:
Hilarious Trailers.


Says who?

Quote:
Oscar Buzz on Adams


That noone outside the interent has heard about.

Quote:
Alan Menkin.


:|

Quote:
The return of 2D animation from Disney.


The last time this kind of film was successful was like, 1990...

Quote:
Retro Fanboys


Thats enough to warrant a breakout prediction?

Quote:
Musical.


ill give ya that.

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Thu Nov 29, 2007 10:05 pm
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Excel wrote:
Quote:
Hilarious Trailers.


Says who?

Quote:
Oscar Buzz on Adams


That noone outside the interent has heard about.

Quote:
Alan Menkin.


:|

Quote:
The return of 2D animation from Disney.


The last time this kind of film was successful was like, 1990...

Quote:
Retro Fanboys


Thats enough to warrant a breakout prediction?

Quote:
Musical.


ill give ya that.


Excel, are you really trying to argue why Enchanted should've bombed? Not that half the points Scott makes don't strike me as valid so much as mirroring the silliness you said, but that's even worse than Magnus trying to convince anyone but himself that tracking doesn't make things less surprising.


Thu Nov 29, 2007 10:12 pm
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Superfreak
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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
not saying it shoulda bombed; i just dont see how you coulda honestly thought it would open so big if you didnt know the tracking.

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Thu Nov 29, 2007 10:48 pm
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Wall-E

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Post Re: Nov. 30th - Dec 2nd Predictions
Isn't this the predictions thread? So where are the predictions?

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Fri Nov 30, 2007 1:03 am
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