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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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 October 22-24 Predictions I'll do just the openers for now...
The Grudge- $22.8 million
Surviving Christmas- $12.3 million
I Heart Huckabees- $5.2 million
Last edited by zingy on Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:48 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:39 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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The Grudge - $22.7 million
Surviving Christmas - $11.8 mullion
I Heart Huckabees - $6.3 million
Last edited by Libs on Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:47 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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1. The Grudge - $16.0
2. Shark Tale - $14.4
3. Surviving Christmas - $10.4
4. Friday Night Lights - $8.2
5. Team America - $5.5
6. Ladder 49 - $5.4
7. Taxi - $4.2
8. The Forgotten - $3.7
I think Shark Tale has a 20% chance at remaining #1 for 4 weeks in a row. The Grudge looks quite stupid in my opinion and people aren't ready for a Christmas Movie. I actually think Surviving Christmas will open in the $7-9 million range. I think they will probably rerelease it close to Christmas.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:56 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I think it's almost a gaurantee that The Grudge will do $20 million this weekend. All the teens are hyped up for it, it's the first real horror movie of October and close to Halloween, The Forgotten was a nice success, and it's got a Ring-like vibe.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:03 pm |
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rusty
rustiphica
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:59 pm
Posts: 8687
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The Grudge - 21 M
Surviving Christmas - 8M (if advertising doesn't start soon) 13 (if ads start up)
I Heart Huckabees - 4M
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:09 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I see a lot of advertising for Surviving Christmas.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 4:11 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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1. The Grudge - $22.5 million
2. Shark Tale - $15.5 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $12 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $8.5 million
5. Shall We Dance? - $7 million
6. Team America: World Police - $7 million
7. I ♥ Huckabees - $6.5 million
8. Ladder 49 - $5.5 million
9. Taxi - $4.5 million
10. The Forgotten - $4 million
The Grudge could perform like The Ring though ($15 million opening, fantastic legs).
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:18 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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Only predicted The grudge for now.
22.5m and it will be number 1.
BOM has it at 3000+ theatres, so 22.5m should be obtainable.
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| Sun Oct 17, 2004 7:25 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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THE GRUDGE- $21.5M
SHARK TALE- $15.1M
SURVIVING CHRISTMAS- $10.1M
FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS- $7.8M
SHALL WE DANCE- $7M
TEAM AMERICA: WORLD POLICE- $6.8M
I HEART HUCKABEES- $5.9M
LADDER 49- $4.1M
TAXI- $3.4M
THE FORGOTTEN- $3.2M
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 5:59 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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I've seen little advertising for Surving Xmas. Should make a little dent in the top 5.
The Grudge: 15.8 - Not feeling it yet. I'm not anti horror, but, the ads are really stupid imo. It doesn't even have the Sixth Sense style appeal the Forgotten had. It looks like Dragonfly meets I Know What You Did Last Summer.... not good!
Surving Xmas - 8.1 for now
I Heart Huckabees - 6.8m - I want this to succeed so bad. I love the cast, and Jude Law. Its a must see in my book!
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 6:12 pm |
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Coasterman2002
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 6:23 pm
Posts: 1010
Location: New Yawk
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The Grudge.... ir eally havent seen any ads for this yet so i'm going to give it at 15.7 because look at the ring. It only made 18 million its first weekend and if you guys are saying that it has a ring type movie then it will perform like the ring but with shorter legs.
Surviving Christmas 7.2. Christmas dont survive in october!!!! what are they thinking. I havent even thought about Christmas or the holidays yet and we got movies that are. I'm still psyched about the leaves chaging here and Halloween. I wouldnt even be suprised if it opened with 5 million because this can't be good. Do you think Santa Clause 2 would do good if it was relased in September. Hell no. So why would a lower budget film with no big names (Ben Affleck is not a big name he uses his good looks to get around) to do good in october. Hell no.
Not sure about I love Huckabees so i'll just agree with everyone here and say about 5.1
_________________
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 7:37 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Very early predictions:
1. The Grudge - $23.9 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.8 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $11.3 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $8 million
5. Shall We Dance? - $7.8 million
6. Team America: World Police - $5.9 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.4 million
8. I <3 Huckabees - $4.8 million
9. Taxi - $4.6 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.3 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 7:38 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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1. The Grudge - $26.7
2. Shark Tale - $15.4
3. Surviving Christmas - $10.1
4. Friday Night Lights - $7.9
5. Shall We Dance? - $7.1
6. Team America: World Police - $6.0
7. I Heart Huckabees - $5.7
8. Ladder 49 - $5.5
9. Taxi - $4.6
10. The Forgotten - $3.9
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:00 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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zach wrote: I've seen little advertising for Surving Xmas. Should make a little dent in the top 5.
The Grudge: 15.8 - Not feeling it yet. I'm not anti horror, but, the ads are really stupid imo. It doesn't even have the Sixth Sense style appeal the Forgotten had. It looks like Dragonfly meets I Know What You Did Last Summer.... not good!
Surving Xmas - 8.1 for now
I Heart Huckabees - 6.8m - I want this to succeed so bad. I love the cast, and Jude Law. Its a must see in my book! Well, I thought I Heart Huckabees was the most disappointing movie of the year.
Maybe I just didn't "get it", but I dunno...
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:04 pm |
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makeshift
Teenage Dream
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:20 am
Posts: 9247
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Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if The Grudge cleared $30 million this weekend. Halloween is right around the corner, the ads are all over the place, it actually looks scary, it's PG-13, there hasn't been a horror flick in a while... I just think all the cards are lined up.
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:07 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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I say over 10m for Surviving Christmas but not over 15m, with okay legs it should make like 45m.
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| Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:53 pm |
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Cady
Waitress in LA
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:20 am
Posts: 23
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I said this on BOM, but anyway, let me repeat myself. This is like that weekend from last month all over again when Sky Captain opened and did rather poorly, and the next week The Forgotten opened and did over 20 million. And The Forgotten was the last horror movie to be released, so... yeah. It's about time for a new one, and The Grudge has had really effective TV spots, a lot better then The Forgotten's, in my opinion. The Grudge just has perfect timing, and excellent promotion.
1. The Grudge - $24.8 million
2. Shark Tale - $14.9 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $12.2 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $9.1 million
5. Team America: World Police - $7.2 million
6. Shall We Dance? - $6.8 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.7 million
8. I <3 Huckabees - $4.3 million
9. Taxi - $3.8 million
10. The Forgotten - $3.1 million
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:23 am |
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snack
Extraordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 9:18 pm
Posts: 12159
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1. The Grudge - $26.8 million
2. Shark Tale - $15.6 million
3. Surviving Christmas - $11.2 million
4. Friday Night Lights - $8.4 million
5. Team America: World Police - $9.0 million
6. Shall We Dance? - $7.0 million
8. I <3 Huckabees - $5.9 million
7. Ladder 49 - $5.5 million
9. Taxi - $3.8 million
10. The Forgotten - $2.1 million (Grudge will cause a big drop)
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 1:32 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Coasterman2002 wrote: The Grudge.... ir eally havent seen any ads for this yet so i'm going to give it at 15.7 because look at the ring. It only made 18 million its first weekend and if you guys are saying that it has a ring type movie then it will perform like the ring but with shorter legs.
The Ring was released in only 1981 theaters, while The Grudge is in over 3000 theaters. I'm going to look closely to the screen counts per theater, but a PTA of $6000 should be easy.
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 1:39 pm |
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Anonymous
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The Grudge $24.4m
Surviving Christmas $5.5m
I Heart Huckabees $4.4m
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 4:21 pm |
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Chris
life begins now
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 9:09 pm
Posts: 6480
Location: Columbus, Ohio
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The Grudge-$23.4 million
Surviving Christmas-$13.2 million (I've been seeing a lot of ads for this)
I Heart Huckabees-$5.5 millino
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 5:46 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Nebs wrote: Surviving Christmas $5.5m
Kind of low... _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 6:49 pm |
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Anonymous
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I'm just a hater, don't mind me.
Seriously, it will be higher that prediction of mine at the end most likely.
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:22 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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I think that Shark Tale will drop like 30% but I wouldn't be suprised to see a lower drop.
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| Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:32 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10906
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1.The Grudge:21.5
2.Shark Tale:14.9
3.Surviving Christmas:8.8
4.Friday night lights:7.6
5.Team America:7.4
6.Shall we Dance?:7.4
7.Ladder 49:5.2
8.Taxie:4.2
9.The Forgotten:3.9
10.I Heart Huckabees:3.3
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| Wed Oct 20, 2004 1:55 pm |
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