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2005 $40 million+ openers
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Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:16 am ]
Post subject:  2005 $40 million+ openers
What movies do you think can pull off the big $40 million on it's opening weekend? I think we'll have quite a few this year. In 2004, we had 13 movies to open with over $40 million, plus 4 movies that just missed the mark by about $1-2 million. Hopefully, we can break 13 this year. :D

Locks

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
Batman Begins
War of the Worlds
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong
The Ring Two

Great Chance

The Longest Yard
Madagascar
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Chicken Little
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe

Good Chance

Hitch
Robots
xXx: State of the Union
Fantastic Four

Slim Chance

Elektra
Constantine
Kingdom of Heaven
Mr. and Mrs. Smith
The Dukes of Hazzard
Underworld: Evolution


I think we'll have 11, atleast.
Author:  Alex Y. [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 3:38 am ]
Post subject: 
The Ring 2 belongs in lock status.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 4:14 am ]
Post subject: 
Great Chance:
The Hitchhikers Guide To The Galaxy

Maybe:
Sin City
Zathura

besides that, your list looks good.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 7:41 am ]
Post subject: 
I hope by the time it comes out, that Sin City will have generated enough buzz to make $40 Million in its first weekend. I would absolutely LOVE Underworld to do it. ;)

Otherwise, these will do:

War of the Worlds
Star Wars: Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
King Kong
Batman Begins
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe
Robots
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 12:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
alex young wrote:
The Ring 2 belongs in lock status.


The only reason I didn't put it there is because Ocean's Twelve, which I thought would make over $50 million, barely missed $40 million. I don't know, there's a slight chance that it might not make $40 million, though I'm predicting over $60 million for it.
Author:  Spidey [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 12:56 pm ]
Post subject: 
alex young wrote:
The Ring 2 belongs in lock status.


I think The Ring 2 will open to $39m for some reason. Its just the top horror opening in March is Dawn of the Dead with $26m. But it probably will if the hype is great. No matter what it opens to though it will not have good legs.
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think the minimum this can open to is $40 million. The Grudge opened to $39 million for being a The Ring look alike. I'm sure the sequel to one of the most loved teen horror movies in the past 10 years can get more than $40 million. :wink:
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:10 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
I think the minimum this can open to is $40 million. The Grudge opened to $39 million for being a The Ring look alike. I'm sure the sequel to one of the most loved teen horror movies in the past 10 years can get more than $40 million. :wink:


Then...why havent you "locked" it? ;)
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:11 pm ]
Post subject: 
Algren wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I think the minimum this can open to is $40 million. The Grudge opened to $39 million for being a The Ring look alike. I'm sure the sequel to one of the most loved teen horror movies in the past 10 years can get more than $40 million. :wink:


Then...why havent you "locked" it? ;)


I'm afraid to jynx it like I did for Ocean's Twelve. :wink:
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:13 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
Algren wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I think the minimum this can open to is $40 million. The Grudge opened to $39 million for being a The Ring look alike. I'm sure the sequel to one of the most loved teen horror movies in the past 10 years can get more than $40 million. :wink:


Then...why havent you "locked" it? ;)


I'm afraid to jynx it like I did for Ocean's Twelve. :wink:


Nah, go ahead, lock it, ill take the blame if need be, but im positive it will open to more than $40 Million ;)
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:16 pm ]
Post subject: 
There! :D
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
There! :D


Youre a good citizen, and you wont regret it ;)
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:19 pm ]
Post subject: 
Anyone else wondering what will happen on Memorial Day Weekend? I mean, you have the second weekend of Star Wars Episode III, The Longest Yard, and Madagascar. Could all three be above $40 million that weekend? :shock:
Author:  Bodrul [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
Yep, possibly 3 over $50million that weekend actually :shock:
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
Anyone else wondering what will happen on Memorial Day Weekend? I mean, you have the second weekend of Star Wars Episode III, The Longest Yard, and Madagascar. Could all three be above $40 million that weekend? :shock:


No way. Longest Yard, what is this? wont even get $40M on opening weekend. Madagascar, is it its 2nd weekend? or first? if its first, then yes. second, no!

StarWars, over $40M 2nd weekend? hmmm, yeh spose.
Author:  Maximus [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
Longest Yard might, unforutunately.
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:41 pm ]
Post subject: 
Star Wars is in it's second weekend, and The Longest Yard and Madagascar are in their opening weekend. The Longest Yard stars Adam Sandler, Chris Rock, Nelly, and Burt Reynolds and it's a football comedy. That will make over $40 million, most likely. Madagascar is a kids CGI animated movie being released over Memorial day weekend. I think that's also going to make $40 million. Star Wars will, of course.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 1:51 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
Star Wars is in it's second weekend, and The Longest Yard and Madagascar are in their opening weekend. The Longest Yard stars Adam Sandler, Chris Rock, Nelly, and Burt Reynolds and it's a football comedy. That will make over $40 million, most likely.


Disagreed.

Zingaling wrote:
Madagascar is a kids CGI animated movie being released over Memorial day weekend. I think that's also going to make $40 million.


Agreed.

Zingaling wrote:
Star Wars will, of course.


Agreed.
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:00 pm ]
Post subject: 
Well, you gotta see Sandler's history of opening comedy movies.

The Waterboy - $39,414,071
Big Daddy - $41,536,370
Little Nicky - $16,063,904
Eight Crazy Nights (animated) - $9,434,175
Mr. Deeds - $37,162,787
Anger Management - $42,220,847
50 First Dates - $39,852,237

Except for Little Nicky and Eight Crazy Nights, he's really consistant. Now, The Longest Yard can be best compared to the Waterboy because their both about football. However, The Longest Yard has the advantage for a great Memorial Day weekend release date, more starpower (Chris Rock, Burt Reyonlds, etc.), etc. I think this will make over $40 million and continue the trend.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
Thats a good point, i just think that Adam Sandler films arent good anymore and especially American Football films, theyre crap, and have gone down hill lately (critically).
Author:  Rev [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
Locks:

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $90+
Batman Begins - $60+
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $80+
Fantastic Four - $50+
Madagascar - $70+

Great Chance:

War of the Worlds
King Kong
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Robots
Author:  zingy [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
I don't think Fantastic Four is a lock. Especially since it's opening up against War of the Worlds. The only advantage it has is the 4th of July Weekend, which might not help if everyone would rather see War of the Worlds.
Author:  Rev [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:32 pm ]
Post subject: 
WoW will blink and move it's date. ;)
Author:  rusty [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:32 pm ]
Post subject: 
revolutions wrote:
Locks:

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
Batman Begins
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
Fantastic Four
Madagascar

Great Chance:

War of the Worlds
King Kong
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Robots


Jackson fanboys will bring king kong to a 70+ weekend.
Author:  Algren [ Sun Jan 02, 2005 2:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
rusty wrote:
Jackson fanboys will bring king kong to a 70+ weekend.


Typical :roll:
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