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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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 Weekend Estimates (Mojo)
TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 N Night at the Museum Fox $30,800,000 - 3,685 - $8,358 $30,800,000 - 1
2 1 The Pursuit of Happyness Sony $15,000,000 -43.5% 2,863 +11 $5,239 $53,287,000 $55 2
3 N Rocky Balboa MGM $12,540,000 - 3,017 - $4,156 $22,233,000 $24 1
4 N The Good Shepherd Uni. $9,979,000 - 2,215 - $4,505 $9,979,000 - 1
5 3 Charlotte's Web (2006) Par. $8,000,000 -30.2% 3,728 +162 $2,145 $26,809,000 $85 2
6 2 Eragon Fox $7,150,000 -69.2% 3,030 +10 $2,359 $37,645,000 $100 2
7 N We Are Marshall WB $6,640,000 - 2,606 +1,606 $2,547 $7,745,000 - 1
8 4 Happy Feet WB $5,145,000 -38.4% 2,565 -770 $2,005 $159,101,000 $100 6
9 5 The Holiday Sony $5,000,000 -37.6% 2,635 +21 $1,897 $35,093,000 $85 3
10 9 The Nativity Story NL $4,650,000 -0.1% 1,824 -750 $2,549 $31,335,000 $35 4
11 8 Casino Royale Sony $3,100,000 -44.9% 1,588 -849 $1,952 $143,669,000 $150 6
12 7 Blood Diamond WB $3,040,000 -53.4% 1,920 +10 $1,583 $25,043,000 $100 3
13 6 Apocalypto BV $3,018,000 -62.3% 2,144 -321 $1,407 $34,742,000 $40 3
- 13 The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause BV $1,108,000 -41.5% 801 -734 $1,383 $82,221,000 - 8
- 11 Deja Vu BV $716,000 -75.9% 839 -1,146 $853 $59,835,000 $75 5
- 14 Borat Fox $560,000 -63.7% 458 -493 $1,222 $124,244,000 $18 8
- 12 Deck the Halls Fox $550,000 -71.4% 751 -1,100 $732 $34,118,000 - 5
- 22 Volver SPC $519,000 +65.6% 118 +73 $4,398 $3,544,000 - 8
- N Curse of the Golden Flower SPC $489,000 - 60 - $8,150 $503,000 - 1
- 15 The Queen Mira. $433,000 -35.1% 302 -181 $1,433 $26,471,000 - 13
- 17 Babel ParV $308,000 -37.9% 208 -12 $1,480 $18,871,000 - 9
- N Letters from Iwo Jima WB $76,500 - 5 - $15,300 $116,000 $15 1
- N The Painted Veil WIP $47,000 - 4 - $11,750 $68,000 - 1
- N Venus Mira. $36,200 - 3 - $12,066 $42,000 - 1
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:40 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Excellent for Night at the Museum. It should be good for $150m+ total.
A little disappointed with Rocky. I know that all the films have large drops on Sunday and weak Saturday increases, but I still expected Rocky to be closer to $15m for the 3-day weekend. But $22m 5-day ain't bad.
We Are Marshall... awful. Talk about a major disaster. I'm sure it's not a huge financial loss, but a football film like that should have opened to at least $10m. Poorly marketed.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:46 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Wow, does that make Apocalypto the fastest falling #1 movie of all time? From 1 to 13 in three weeks!
Terrible for Eragon, yay! Actually, everything fell a lot. Happyness, Blood Diamond (Despite awesome WOM and adding theaters), Deja Vu, yowza.
Kinda disappointing for Iwo Jima. For such a heavily hyped flick, it should've done MUCH better in limited release.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:49 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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 Re: Weekend Estimates (Mojo)
O wrote: N Letters from Iwo Jima WB $76,500 - 5 - $15,300 $116,000 $15 1 That's a very poor PTA for Letters. Not a good showing. O wrote: 11 8 Casino Royale Sony $3,100,000 -44.9% 1,588 -849 $1,952 $143,669,000 $150 6
Looks like Casino Royale will likely become the highest grossing James Bond film! Way to go Daniel Craig.
And of course Night at the Museum really cleaned up well.
Peace,
Mike.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:53 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm Posts: 7578 Location: Torrington, CT
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Everything fell hard due to the 24th. It always hugely inflates drops when on a weekend.
_________________ It's my lucky crack pipe.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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So much for the whole "Oh, We Are Marshall is gonna be HUGE!" talk....
Rocky Balboa opened just fine. It should go on and pass $60 million with relative ease and for that film (budget less than $25 million) and considering that Stallone is far from a big draw now, it's great.
Anyone else actually surprised why The Holiday isn't doing better than it is right now? I mean it had so much going for it with the cast, the director and the great release date. I thought it'd easily pass $100 million initially...
Casino Royale is still doing very well. Next weekend it'll rebound. $155 million is locked at this point and $160 million is likely. Worldwide it should be good for $500+ million. Gigantic success.
Happy Feet won't be passing $200 million now, but $180-190 million could still be very possible.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:57 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Not bad for Curse of the Golden Flower, being in 60 theaters instead of 4 or 5 and still mired in a rotten rating at RT (although I think MC's average of 74 is more accurate reflection of critics' opinions; unfortunately, RT is still much more popular).
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:59 pm |
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almost famous
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Aug 19, 2006 5:09 pm Posts: 1461 Location: Odessa, Ukraine
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Could anyone explain why We Are Marshall has 6,64 weekend gross and 7,745 total?
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 3:00 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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Were there 10PM showing on THur for it perhaps, almost famous?
Eh, boring really. I was wanting N@tM to break out to make this winter somewhat exiting, but it could fall under 30M once actuals are released.
Rocky is bleh, average.
Alot of big drops.
Nativity didnt even drop, haha.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 3:22 pm |
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ashwani
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Jun 07, 2006 10:18 am Posts: 813
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I hope NATM can remain an $30 million for this weekend and can do $140+ million domestically.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 4:13 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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We Are Marshall just suffered from competition. Teens and college kids would choose Ben Stiller over it, and adult moviegoers would choose Rocky Balboa over it as well.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 5:15 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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People, by opening to $30 m this very deflated opening weekend, Museum isn't a $150 m candidate, its very likely to get past $200 m imo. It's a $200 m candidate. It would have opened to high $30's without Sat/Sun holiday influences. I will state now that #2-#5 for this year are still up in the air, as Museum has a strong chance at changing the ranks.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 6:50 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Yes O's analysis yesterday indictates atleast $200m for Musuem. At worst it can do $180m+. Don't forget guys the next 4 days will be HUGE for every film. Then net weekend every film will hold really well.
Lecter, as for Holiday - yes im just as surprised. Most of us expected over $100m or atleast $80m and it will struggle to get that far. I think its just a matter of too many films being released at once. This will become a major problem in the first half of 2007. Overall BO will be up - but average grosses will be down due to too many films being released.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 7:19 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Seriously, The Holiday was the first really big date flick in a long time, the holiday theme is perfect, the director had two huge December release in the past, the cast is good...why this is struggling to even make Maid in Manhattan's numbers (which had direct competition from Two Weeks Notice later on) is beyond me.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 7:25 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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And the only date flick. Add to that - films like Failure to Launch are making more money. Its just strange. And its a good film too. Perhaps its the fact that its over 2 hours long which could be restricting showtimes as well. This is a major stumbling block for women who are busy shopping before Christmas. It will pick up after Christmas but it may be a bit too late.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 7:39 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21899 Location: Walking around somewhere
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[quote="Dr. Lecter"]So much for the whole "Oh, We Are Marshall is gonna be HUGE!" talk....
Rocky Balboa opened just fine. It should go on and pass $60 million with relative ease and for that film (budget less than $25 million) and considering that Stallone is far from a big draw now, it's great.
Anyone else actually surprised why The Holiday isn't doing better than it is right now? I mean it had so much going for it with the cast, the director and the great release date. I thought it'd easily pass $100 million initially...
quote]
Haha, not me, I saw Family Stone numbers a while ago, it just looked really awful. It should still be able to make more than Family Stone though.
And Im happy with Rocky, just kind of confused, I really didn't know how this weekend was going to perform. From this point, I think that it should be near 55 million by next weekend. 5 million Monday, and 4 million weekdays, followed by what could be a 12-15 million weekend or so.
Heres hoping to higher actuals for all
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 7:56 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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The Holiday imo still has half of its gross to go. While it appears disappointing, this week works miracles for rom com's. But they are the genre most hurt from busy shopping. Even What Women Want, which made $64.46 m in its first 10 days (From Dec 15th to Dec 24th), made $51.305 m in its following 8 days (79.6% of its opening 10 day gross). Business will be very brisk for it, being the sole rom com. Even if it has disappointed a bit so far, like rom coms have done every year that may have disappointed earlier in the month, it should redeem itself, and still add another 1/2 to its gross.
Also, people don't hope for higher weekend actuals. Sunday drops are horrendous, but midweek sales are tremendous!  It's the jumps on Dec. 26th that are most important imo. Weekend Sunday #'s don't mean much for the film's totals...
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:05 pm |
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Ripper
2.71828183
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:16 pm Posts: 7827 Location: please delete me
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Seriously, The Holiday was the first really big date flick in a long time, the holiday theme is perfect, the director had two huge December release in the past, the cast is good...why this is struggling to even make Maid in Manhattan's numbers (which had direct competition from Two Weeks Notice later on) is beyond me.
Marketing, I am one of those people who helped make her lsat two December releases a success, and I had zero interest in the Holiday.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:11 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5824
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MadGez wrote: And the only date flick. Add to that - films like Failure to Launch are making more money. Its just strange. And its a good film too. Perhaps its the fact that its over 2 hours long which could be restricting showtimes as well. This is a major stumbling block for women who are busy shopping before Christmas. It will pick up after Christmas but it may be a bit too late.
Romantic comedies tend to be more successful if it has a strong male lead like Matthew McConaughey, Jack Nicholson, Will Smith, Mel Gibson, etc. Jude Law and Jack Black seem to be only supporting characters in this film so they won't draw. I'm not sure if this is because females want some male eye candy or if males are more willing to go with some kind of male protagonist in the movie.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:11 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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I think it may also be a case of women not liking Cameron Diaz? The Sweetest Thing, In Her Shoes...she can't anchor a rom com.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:17 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21899 Location: Walking around somewhere
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O wrote: I think it may also be a case of women not liking Cameron Diaz? The Sweetest Thing, In Her Shoes...she can't anchor a rom com.
Diaz is really the most overpaid underachiever I've ever seen. Outside of Theres Something About Mary, the Mask, which were high concept comedies, she had Charlies Angels. Nothing else in her life was good.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:23 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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Well the cast really wasn't nearly as stellar as people were making it out to be. Two of the stars are box office poison, and Jack Black's audience wouldn't want to see a film like that. Also, it looked too fluffy - there wasn't really much of a plot, just two women switch houses and have a really good time hooking up with guys.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:25 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197
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Charlotte's Web:
Dec 15–17 3 $11,457,353 - 3,566 - $3,212 $11,457,353 1
Dec 22–24 5 $8,000,000
(Estimate) -30.2% 3,728 +162 $2,145 $26,809,000
(Estimate) 2
Stuart Little:
Dec 17–19 1 $15,018,223 - 2,878 - $5,218 $15,018,223 1
Dec 24–26 3 $11,816,099 -21.3% 2,900 +22 $4,074 $39,474,962 2
SL had both Dec. 25th and 26th to help boost its 2nd weekend hold. So considering CW pulled a 30% drop with the distractions, its quite solid. SL also had Galaxy Quest as the sole opener with a somewhat similar audience. CW has Night At The Museum. So all things considered, CW is picking up steam. It has a 2.34 multiplier after just 10 days of release. SL was at a 2.64 multiplier from its opening after 10 days, but its 9th and 10th days were Dec 25/26th.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 8:27 pm |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am Posts: 23283
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The Holiday is a rather large hit over here. Not so much in America
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 9:53 pm |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am Posts: 23283
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MovieDude wrote: Well the cast really wasn't nearly as stellar as people were making it out to be. Two of the stars are box office poison, and Jack Black's audience wouldn't want to see a film like that. Also, it looked too fluffy - there wasn't really much of a plot, just two women switch houses and have a really good time hooking up with guys.
apparently you think everyone is box office posion.
The entire point of the cast was bringing varied audiences together. Kate Winslet fans arent exactly the same people as Jack Black fans. I believe The Holiday should have been released earlier.
_________________ I'm out.
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Sun Dec 24, 2006 9:56 pm |
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