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The Covenant Predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=22530
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Author:  bl1222 [ Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:13 pm ]
Post subject:  The Covenant Predictions

Release Date: September 8, 2006
Studio: Screen Gems (Sony)
Director: Renny Harlin
Screenwriter: J. S. Cardone
Starring: Steven Strait, Sebastian Stan, Laura Ramsey, Taylor Kitsch, Toby Hemingway, Jessica Lucas, Chace Crawford, Wendy Crewson
Genre: Horror, Thriller
MPAA Rating: Not Available
Official Website: JointheCovenant.com
Review: Not Available
DVD Review: Not Available
DVD: Not Available
Movie Poster: View here
Production Stills: View here
Plot Summary: In 1692, in the Ipswich Colony of Massachusetts, five families with untold power formed a covenant of silence. One family, lusting for more, was banished - their bloodline disappearing without a trace. Until now.

Directed by Renny Harlin and written by J.S. Cardone, "The Covenant" tells the story of the Sons of Ipswich, four young students at the elite Spenser Academy who are bound by their sacred ancestry. As descendants of the original families who settled in Ipswich Colony in the 1600's, the boys have all been born with special powers. When the body of a dead student is discovered after a party, secrets begin to unravel which threaten to break the covenant of silence that has protected their families for hundreds of years.
Trailer: http://www.apple.com/trailers/sony_pict ... ecovenant/
Information copied from: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=11055
My Predictions:
I thought that trailer was effective. The marketing should be strong for this. My prediction: $11-14m and a final total in the $30m range.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:15 pm ]
Post subject: 

8/20

Author:  Joker's Thug #3 [ Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:45 pm ]
Post subject: 

I know for a fact Steven Strait is actually gay.

Author:  Harry Warden [ Fri Aug 04, 2006 11:57 pm ]
Post subject: 

Killuminati510 wrote:
I know for a fact Steven Strait is actually gay.


What's the difference one way or the other?

Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:11 am ]
Post subject: 

It's been getting good reactions, and I think that the trailer is full of eye candy that'll work really well in the TV spots. I'm thinking 17/43 if it's R, 21/53 if it's PG-13.

Author:  DIB2 [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:16 am ]
Post subject: 

The trailor was pretty cool

OW:11m

TOTAL:35m

3.18 Multiplier

Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:17 am ]
Post subject: 

DIB2 wrote:
The trailor was pretty cool

OW:11m

TOTAL:35m

3.5 Multiplier


That's a 3.18 multiplier bro. ;)

Author:  Amer [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:21 am ]
Post subject: 

14/37

Author:  greasedlightning [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:28 am ]
Post subject: 

Killuminati510 wrote:
I know for a fact Steven Strait is actually gay.


Really, and how do you know that?

I see it doing ok...

13/35

Author:  getluv [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 3:12 am ]
Post subject: 

19/45

Probably cheap too make, so it will be a decent profit made.

Author:  DIB2 [ Sat Aug 05, 2006 5:21 am ]
Post subject: 

MovieDude wrote:
DIB2 wrote:
The trailor was pretty cool

OW:11m

TOTAL:35m

3.5 Multiplier


That's a 3.18 multiplier bro. ;)


Oh, Fixed it :oops:

Author:  bl1222 [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 11:11 am ]
Post subject: 

bump

Author:  zingy [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 11:12 am ]
Post subject: 

10/24.

Author:  Thegun [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 11:17 am ]
Post subject: 

getluv wrote:
19/45

Probably cheap too make, so it will be a decent profit made.


Doubtful, its Renny Harlin and has the Underworld type vibe, I would say its at least over 30 million.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 11:58 am ]
Post subject: 

Opening weekend - $10.9 million

Total gross - $27.5 million

Author:  baumer72 [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 1:33 pm ]
Post subject: 

I think it looks like Swimfan numbers. It looks like a good back to school film. So I'm going to say it does 12.5/ 34

Author:  mattmav45 [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 4:41 pm ]
Post subject: 

I can't believe some of you actually think this is going to be a good movie. It looks absolutely horrible to me. The only people that will be interested in this movie will be in the age range of 12-16.

Author:  David [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 10:54 pm ]
Post subject: 

getluv wrote:
19/45

Probably cheap too make, so it will be a decent profit made.


This is actually my prediction as well. So, instead of copying, I'll just say I agree. ;)

I see this drawing in a very strong amount of teens and young adults (skewing female), especially because of the extensive MySpace campaign (which did wonders for Step Up).

Author:  zingy [ Mon Sep 04, 2006 11:16 pm ]
Post subject: 

If this does really well (like over $15m), every film from now on will probably have the MySpace link in their trailer. I don't think The Covenant has it in its trailer, but the TV spots are playing it up.

Author:  Corpse [ Tue Sep 05, 2006 1:38 pm ]
Post subject: 

It does have the myspace address in its trailer, Im almost certain.

13-18/35-45

Author:  The Dark Shape [ Tue Sep 05, 2006 1:59 pm ]
Post subject: 

I'm going to start registering MySpace accounts for upcoming teen flicks, and charge studios large amounts of money to get access to the account.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Sep 05, 2006 2:01 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Dark Shape wrote:
I'm going to start registering MySpace accounts for upcoming teen flicks, and charge studios large amounts of money to get access to the account.


Technically you could do that, though...right? :D

Author:  notfabio [ Tue Sep 05, 2006 2:34 pm ]
Post subject:  If a studio wants it, Myspace can cancel cybersquatter pages

Dr. Lecter wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
I'm going to start registering MySpace accounts for upcoming teen flicks, and charge studios large amounts of money to get access to the account.


Technically you could do that, though...right? :D




Myspace Terms of service allows them to reassign or cancel any accounts they want to for any or no reason unlike say a registered domain name.

That said if it's a rival studio, unless that rival studio pays Myspace, they aren't likely to revoke someone's page.

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