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Something Blatantly Obvious but Nonetheless Noteworthy
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=22112
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Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Something Blatantly Obvious but Nonetheless Noteworthy

Had Titanic not been released, Star Wars would still be the #1 film of all time :-o All those years since its 1997 re-release, and no film has been able to catch it since.

And, in 1999, the Star Wars franchise would have had the top 2 films of all time :-o

Author:  Jiffy [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:31 pm ]
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Yeah, but then Shrek 2 would be #2 all time domestically. I don't wanna live in that kind of world, having it at #3 is bad enough.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:33 pm ]
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ROTK would be #1 Worldwide :smile:


But I love Titanic, so I'm glad it's number one on both fronts.


Btw, I think it will be much easier for a film to take its #1 domestic crown than its #1 international or worldwide title.


I expect there to be 3-5 years of difference between a film beating it domestically and another beating it worldwide. $1.845B is so much bigger than anything else out there.

Author:  Kenspy [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:34 pm ]
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In my opinion, Gone with the Wind is and will be the number 1 movie ever. I realize it's hard to compare between eras, but if you read in history about the popularity of that movie, it makes Titanic look like Pluto Nash.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:36 pm ]
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Kenspy wrote:
In my opinion, Gone with the Wind is and will be the number 1 movie ever. I realize it's hard to compare between eras, but if you read in history about the popularity of that movie, it makes Titanic look like Pluto Nash.



Of course it doesn't. Gone with the Wind was never as popular as Titanic on a global scale, in large part because the world was far behind the US cinema-wise during the former's release, and because Titanic is much more appealing internationally.

Author:  O [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:56 pm ]
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I think with India and China's economies growing fast, grosses for Hollywood films over there will in the future, approach Japan's box office grosses (where films have done $100 m +, even $200 m). So with three areas where films have more strong grosses, there is still enormous growth not yet reached in the international box office market. So I can definitely realistically see Titanic's international total get eclipsed, but it will be a number of years. But the non-domestic markets right now are close to 33/66 share with domestic, but I think it will within 15 years be more like 20%/80%.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:58 pm ]
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O wrote:
I think with India and China's economies growing fast, grosses for Hollywood films over there will in the future, approach Japan's box office grosses (where films have done $100 m +, even $200 m). So with three areas where films have more strong grosses, there is still enormous growth not yet reached in the international box office market. So I can definitely realistically see Titanic's international total get eclipsed, but it will be a number of years. But the non-domestic markets right now are close to 33/66 share with domestic, but I think it will within 15 years be more like 20%/80%.



But India and China have their own film industries, whose releases usually outgross the Hollywood films. With bigger budgets, and better talent, they will more likely be posing a bigger threat to American films on a global scale.

Author:  O [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 10:59 pm ]
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Those film industries are big, yes, but the influence of Hollywood films is also getting bigger. So I think grosses for Hollywood films could get bigger there too.

Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:01 pm ]
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Box wrote:
Kenspy wrote:
In my opinion, Gone with the Wind is and will be the number 1 movie ever. I realize it's hard to compare between eras, but if you read in history about the popularity of that movie, it makes Titanic look like Pluto Nash.



Of course it doesn't. Gone with the Wind was never as popular as Titanic on a global scale, in large part because the world was far behind the US cinema-wise during the former's release, and because Titanic is much more appealing internationally.


I disagree with regard to global popularity, but the whole GWTW vs. Titanic argument is fruitless. The eras are far too different to render any real comparison other than they are by far the dominant films of their times.

See my comments here:
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopi ... 209#707209

Author:  Kenspy [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:02 pm ]
Post subject: 

Box wrote:
Kenspy wrote:
In my opinion, Gone with the Wind is and will be the number 1 movie ever. I realize it's hard to compare between eras, but if you read in history about the popularity of that movie, it makes Titanic look like Pluto Nash.



Of course it doesn't. Gone with the Wind was never as popular as Titanic on a global scale, in large part because the world was far behind the US cinema-wise during the former's release, and because Titanic is much more appealing internationally.


BOM doesn't adjust for International; it made $200 million overseas. Suffice it to say if you want to talk about worldwide, it made approximately $2.5 billion adjusted. Still way ahead of Titanic...

Just to give you perspective, when this was aired on television for the first time in the 70s, pretty much everyone who had a TV was watching it.

Titanic isn't even second to me. Second would be Star Wars. That was a cultural phenomenon in its own right.

Titanic was an epic movie, and obviously a gargantuan box office film, but if you're going to compare it objectively, it was nowhere near the "event" status of either Gone with the Wind or Star Wars. And the adjusted grosses indicate as much.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:03 pm ]
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deathawk wrote:
I disagree with regard to global popularity, but the whole GWTW vs. Titanic argument is fruitless. The eras are far too different to render any real comparison other than they are by far the dominant films of their times.



I'm quite certain that Titanic was more popular worldwide than Gone With the Wind was during its release :smile: Given that the film was released in 1939, most of Europe and much of Asia would probably not have given a damn about any film for a good decade or so.

Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:08 pm ]
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Box wrote:
deathawk wrote:
I disagree with regard to global popularity, but the whole GWTW vs. Titanic argument is fruitless. The eras are far too different to render any real comparison other than they are by far the dominant films of their times.



I'm quite certain that Titanic was more popular worldwide than Gone With the Wind was during its release :smile: Given that the film was released in 1939, most of Europe and much of Asia would probably not have given a damn about any film for a good decade or so.


Ummm....No. They pretty much did give a damn.

Please reference Kenspy's post above yours for one. The search for Scarlett recieved international coverage well beyond anything ever seen before or since for a film for another. The way America and that novel were percieved at that time are far different then the way either are percieved now.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:12 pm ]
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GWTW's gross covers a period of decades, from 1939 well into the 1960s and thereafter. That $200m figure is the cummulative gross of a massive number of releases.

No film has reached the level of popularity at any one time that Titanic did during the Winter of 1997 and the Spring and Summer of 1998. The closest any film has gotten is with ROTK, and maybe Jurassic Park and The Lion King. Even films like Star Wars, ET, or Jaws were diluted over a period of years.


Here's what IMDB gives for release dates:

USA 15 December 1939 (Atlanta, Georgia) (premiere)
USA 19 December 1939 (New York City, New York) (premiere)
Argentina 27 December 1939
USA 28 December 1939 (Los Angeles, California) (premiere)
Australia 1940
UK 17 April 1940
USA 17 January 1941 (re-release)
Sweden 6 October 1941
USA 31 March 1942 (re-release)
Norway December 1947
USA December 1947 (re-release)
France 20 May 1950
Finland 15 September 1950
Japan 10 September 1952
Austria January 1953
West Germany 15 January 1953
USA December 1954 (re-release)
Denmark 9 September 1958
USA 16 April 1961 (re-release)
Finland 29 December 1961 (re-release)
Australia 25 March 1967 (re-release)
USA 14 October 1967 (re-release)
UK 10 September 1968 (re-release)
Finland 11 February 1977 (re-release)
USA 3 February 1989 (re-release)
Australia 17 August 1989 (re-release)
Portugal 15 December 1989 (re-release)
West Germany 29 March 1990 (re-release)
USA 26 June 1998 (re-release)
Australia 13 May 1999 (re-release)
Argentina 5 August 1999 (re-release)
New Zealand 28 January 2000 (re-release)
Russia August 2002 (DVD premiere)
France 1 October 2003 (re-release)
Japan 28 December 2005 (re-release)



Do you see the number of re-releases? And do you see how it didn't open in France or Germany until the 1950s?

Author:  andaroo1 [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:14 pm ]
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Box wrote:
Given that the film was released in 1939, most of Europe and much of Asia would probably not have given a damn about any film for a good decade or so.

Well movies were invented by the French and by this time the movies were such a force that Triumph of the Will was released in German cinemas in 1935 to great fanfare.

The earliest Indian film was 1899.

The first Chinese film was 1905

I have no idea why you would think Gone with the Wind wouldn't have been of interest to the citizens of these countries during the inital release.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:18 pm ]
Post subject: 

andaroo wrote:
Box wrote:
Given that the film was released in 1939, most of Europe and much of Asia would probably not have given a damn about any film for a good decade or so.

Well movies were invented by the French and by this time the movies were such a force that Triumph of the Will was released in German cinemas in 1935 to great fanfare.

The earliest Indian film was 1899.

The first Chinese film was 1905

I have no idea why you would think Gone with the Wind wouldn't have been of interest to the citizens of these countries during the inital release.



As the release dates indicate above, the film's 'initial' run in many European countries was not until a decade after its US release. The film couldn't even have reached as wide an audience as Titanic, even in a decade's time.


And if we're talking about accumulated popularity, no film comes close to Disney's early releases. Snow White has got to be the most watched film in history.

Author:  andaroo1 [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:18 pm ]
Post subject: 

Box wrote:
Do you see the number of re-releases? And do you see how it didn't open in France or Germany until the 1950s?

So you are comparing Titanic, a film released at one time all around the world, to a film that wasn't (if IMDB's data is correct)... for what purpose and to what end?

Apples to oranges.

The argument you used above was "far behind the US" and "not appealing internationally". That's much different than saying "it was never released at the same time".

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:21 pm ]
Post subject: 

andaroo wrote:
Box wrote:
Do you see the number of re-releases? And do you see how it didn't open in France or Germany until the 1950s?

So you are comparing Titanic, a film released at one time all around the world, to a film that wasn't (if IMDB's data is correct)... for what purpose and to what end?

Apples to oranges.


I'm comparing Titanic's popularity at the time of its initial release to the popularity of Gone with the Wind at the time of its initial release.


If we're taking into account re-releases, Star Wars will eventually surpass Gone With the Wind (and the Disney films will too), probably in a few decades' time. GWTW has aged terribly, and its racism will render it more and more archaic.

Author:  andaroo1 [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:22 pm ]
Post subject: 

Box wrote:
I'm comparing Titanic's popularity at the time of its initial release to the popularity of Gone with the Wind at the time of its initial release.

As shown by your data, you can't do it. For the reason of international distribution, not for these theoretical differences in international film industries and tastes.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:25 pm ]
Post subject: 

andaroo wrote:
Box wrote:
I'm comparing Titanic's popularity at the time of its initial release to the popularity of Gone with the Wind at the time of its initial release.

As shown by your data, you can't do it. For the reason of international distribution, not for these theoretical differences in international film industries and tastes.



Why do we have to discount the fact that Titanic was more popular during its release than any one film was during its initial release? The fact that times have changed doesn't change the fact that it was more popular, it merely gives you some of the reasons why it was.

Author:  andaroo1 [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:31 pm ]
Post subject: 

Box wrote:
Why do we have to discount the fact that Titanic was more popular during its release than any one film was during its initial release?

Do you define popularity by "money"? Titanic made the most worldwide of any movie ever in real dollars/yen/whatever. Everybody knows this. So are you now trying to quantify "popularity" using a box office number? There are many who would disagree with the way you are defining popularity.

Quote:
The fact that times have changed doesn't change the fact that it was more popular, it merely gives you some of the reasons why it was.

It's not a fact Box, you are making assumptions and guesses based on the single fact of its gross. And the reasoning you gave above to downplay Gone With The Wind's impact was shakey at best.

Author:  O [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:32 pm ]
Post subject: 

I sort of think this argument is a bit too difficult to win. Titanic had a $200 m budget, which hadn't happened before. Gone With The Wind rolled out at a very imp time in history. GWTW also was one of the first big mainstream films, that alot of people saw in color. There are WAY too many factors at play to be comparing films 60 years apart in release. While we're at it, why don't we compare a 1920's film with ET?

Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:44 pm ]
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Box - The point we are trying to get across here is that there is no good single basis for comparison. We aren't discounting anything in regards to Titanic's popularity, the point is that the industry is different. Release patterns were different (and btw, that IMDB data is both incomplete and in some cases inaccurate. Please also consider that they don't keep the kind of records we do nowadays). There are also about a billion more people alive today if not more than there were when GWTW was released. Does that make it more popular? And as far as GWTW goes - you are aware that in the thirties, there were still quite a few theaters that charged you something like 25 cents for a ticket and you'd stay as long as you like. That's what newsreels and shorts were for. So the admissions and tickets sold don't even reflect the same data that they do for Titanic.

No one in this thread is questioning that Titanic is the dominant film of the modern era, at least as far as I can tell. The point is simply GWTW was the dominant film in its era.

Any further comparison is going to be complex, and I am afraid will yield some conclusions you may not be happy with.

Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:48 pm ]
Post subject: 

Quote:
Do you define popularity by "money"? Titanic made the most worldwide of any movie ever in real dollars/yen/whatever. Everybody knows this. So are you now trying to quantify "popularity" using a box office number? There are many who would disagree with the way you are defining popularity.


But of course I am. I never said 'overall popularity', just popularity as measured by a film's theatrical success. Casablanca is probably more popular than Gone With the Wind by now, yet it made a fraction of its theatrical gross. And as I said, those Disney films, they're formidable.

Quote:
It's not a fact Box, you are making assumptions and guesses based on the single fact of its gross. And the reasoning you gave above to downplay Gone With The Wind's impact was shakey at best.


Well, going from my comments above, popularity as determined solely by a film's initial theatrical success can be quantified. I have the GWTW initial gross data somewhere, but I'm not willing to dig through hundreds of files right now. I remember the NYT, in its reviews, however, indicating that around 40-50m people in the US wanted to watch the film. 129m saw Titanic in North America, 100m or so if you discount repeat viewings.

Based on my own calculations of Titanic's overseas admissions, conservatively, some 500m people saw it in theatres worldwide (tickets in India cost 15 cents, and not much more in China, yet the film grosses millions there alone; more than 20m+ people saw it in the UK, Germany, France, and Japan each). The figure could possibly be above 600m or even 700m.

The US population in 1939 was around 131m. Unless 99% of Americans saw Gone with the Wind, it's unlikely it attracted as many people in the same time frame as Titanic did (slice it by half to 65m for an extreme for repeat viewings).

Author:  O [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:50 pm ]
Post subject: 

I was about to bring up the people point. The world population didn't reach 2.4 billion until 1950, so 2/3 less people may have been around during GWTW's time. I think the official # for then was 131 million of the country, and I don't even know if Canadian grosses are included in adjusted figures, and how exactly that system works out. There's just way too many iffy factors to take into consideration to make 60 year arguments.

Author:  O [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:55 pm ]
Post subject: 

Box wrote:
Quote:
Do you define popularity by "money"? Titanic made the most worldwide of any movie ever in real dollars/yen/whatever. Everybody knows this. So are you now trying to quantify "popularity" using a box office number? There are many who would disagree with the way you are defining popularity.


But of course I am. I never said 'overall popularity', just popularity as measured by a film's theatrical success. Casablanca is probably more popular than Gone With the Wind by now, yet it made a fraction of its theatrical gross. And as I said, those Disney films, they're formidable.

Quote:
It's not a fact Box, you are making assumptions and guesses based on the single fact of its gross. And the reasoning you gave above to downplay Gone With The Wind's impact was shakey at best.


Well, going from my comments above, popularity as determined solely by a film's initial theatrical success can be quantified. I have the GWTW initial gross data somewhere, but I'm not willing to dig through hundreds of files right now. I remember the NYT, in its reviews, however, indicating that around 40-50m people in the US wanted to watch the film. 129m saw Titanic in North America, 100m or so if you discount repeat viewings.

Based on my own calculations of Titanic's overseas admissions, conservatively, some 500m people saw it in theatres worldwide (tickets in India cost 15 cents, and not much more in China, yet the film grosses millions there alone; more than 20m+ people saw it in the UK, Germany, France, and Japan each). The figure could possibly be above 600m or even 700m.

The US population in 1939 was around 131m. Unless 99% of Americans saw Gone with the Wind, it's unlikely it attracted as many people in the same time frame as Titanic did (slice it by half to 65m for an extreme for repeat viewings).


Also, its difficult to throw in pop'n figures as how many people wanted to see the film. 1939 had alot of big things going on in the world, while I'm sure everyone that wanted to see Titanic could have in 1997, the same might not have been able to be said about GWTW. The comparisons are just far too complicated.

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