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Some friday numbers, SBD in as well
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=22099		 Page 1 of 4
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:22 am ]
Post subject:  Some friday numbers, SBD in as well
SBD:

1. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN'S CHEST BVI 4,133 10,178,000 2,463 n/a 296,871,000
2. MONSTER HOUSE SONY 3,553 7,701,000 2,167 n/a 7,701,000
3. LADY IN THE WATER WARNER BROS. 3,235 6,878,000 2,126 n/a 6,878,000
4. CLERKS II MGM 2,150 4,113,000 1,913 n/a 4,113,000
5. YOU, ME AND DUPREE UNIVERSAL 3,134 3,877,000 1,237 n/a 36,395,000
6. LITTLE MAN SONY 2,537 3,269,000 1,289 n/a 32,910,000
7. MY SUPER EX-GIRLFRIEND 20TH CENTURY FOX 2,702 2,835,000 1,049 n/a 2,835,000
8. DEVIL WEARS PRADA, THE 20TH CENTURY FOX 2,248 2,250,000 1,001 n/a 92,406,000
9. SUPERMAN RETURNS WARNER BROS. 2,826 2,240,000 793 n/a 173,176,000
10. CARS BUENA VISTA 2,410 1,278,000 530 n/a 225,732,484

BOM:

Pirates 2 $9,950,000
Monster House $7,530,000
Lady in the Water $6,850,000
Clerks II $3,920,000
You, Me and Dupree $3,910,000
Little Man $3,245,000
My Super Ex-Girlfriend $2,750,000
The Devil Wears Prada $2,165,000
Superman Returns $1,905,000
Cars $1,305,000
Click $1,175,000


Quote:
SATURDAY: I'm told it was neck-and-neck at the box office Friday but Sony's Monster House scared away Warner's Lady in the Water to take in $7.0 million compared to only $6.5 million. That means the Zemeckis/Spielberg kiddie movie should finish the weekend with $20 mil while M. Night Shyamalan's bedtime story should only muster $19 mil tops. That's a shocker since rival studios had predicted Lady's haul would be in the high $20s. But the buzz on the movie has been bad for weeks prior to Friday's opening -- and vindicates ousted Disney exec Nina Jacobson's decision not to greenlight (which Shyamalan complained about...). As expected, Disney's Pirates of the Caribbean 2: Dead Man's Chest took in $10 mil on Friday (down 46%) so predictions it would finish in the mid $30s are coming true, which would push its cumulative to a staggering $320 mil. Two more weekend openers, Kevin Smith's Clerks 2 for MGM/Weinsteinand Fox's disappointing My Super Ex-Girlfriend will fight it out all weekend for #4 and #5.


http://www.deadlinehollywooddaily.com/f ... the-water/
Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:25 am ]
Post subject: 
I suspect we have the ballpark now. The sequence the last couple weeks has been her out and in the range, dougny either narrows it or nails it, and then SBD & Mojo confirm.

From this, it looks like Pirates will take a clear victory, with 30+ looking good. Need something more solid to tell for sure.
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:26 am ]
Post subject: 
I wonder if they mean both Clerks II and My Super Ex-Girlfriend will be over You, Me, and Dupree's $10-12 million. That would be reeeally good for Clerks II after those Yahoo reviews, but I doubt it for both of them.
Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:29 am ]
Post subject: 
MG Casey wrote:
I wonder if they mean both Clerks II and My Super Ex-Girlfriend will be over You, Me, and Dupree's $10-12 million. That would be reeeally good for Clerks II after those Yahoo reviews, but I doubt it for both of them.


I'm guessing, but its hard to tell. She has no specifics on either and it seems like she sometimes loses track of the also ran holdovers.
Author:  Kenspy [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:30 am ]
Post subject: 
She had 70 for Pirates this time last weekend....so....ballpark would be the right term.
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:32 am ]
Post subject: 
Kenspy wrote:
She had 70 for Pirates this time last weekend....so....ballpark would be the right term.


Ah, that's good to know.
Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:36 am ]
Post subject: 
Kenspy wrote:
She had 70 for Pirates this time last weekend....so....ballpark would be the right term.


True, but that was also her Friday report which appears to based solely on studio tracking. Her saturday report, which would be the equivelant of this one was much closer, as the saturday once seems to be based on the same type of source Dougny uses - though his seems more accurate most of the time.
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:37 am ]
Post subject: 
If Lady in the Water makes a $6.5 million opening day, it won't even pass $16 million for the weekend. Then obviously, it wouldn't pass $50 million either. Wow. Won't even reach The Village's opening weekend!!!
Author:  bABA [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:38 am ]
Post subject: 
worst marketing award this year goes to WB.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:39 am ]
Post subject: 
http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

hope pirates is over 10m with actuals :smile:

seems to be headed for around a 40%-45% drop.
Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:45 am ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

hope pirates is over 10m with actuals :smile:

seems to be headed for around a 40%-45% drop.


I am assuing you mean you hope it goes up, as he has it at $9,950,000.

Wow, Brandon finally gets back to beating SBD.

These are slightly higher than the ones on DHD. for LitW and MH, but still looking not so hot for either.
MSEG at #7 with only 2.75 is getting creamed.
Author:  MadGez [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:46 am ]
Post subject: 
I always deride WB for its marketing - but really I dont think anyone could have got LITW to $30m. There is a reason why Disney execs didnt want to do the film and they have been vinidicated.

Overall the only brightspot is Monster House. It should be able to get to $23-$25m.
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:48 am ]
Post subject: 
Projections...

Pirates 2 $33.8m
Monster House $24.1m
Lady in the Water $17.5m
You, Me and Dupree $13m
Clerks II $11.1m
Little Man $10m
My Super Ex-Girlfriend $7.7m
The Devil Wears Prada $6.7m
Superman Returns $6.3m
Cars $4.8m
Click $3.6m

They any good?
Author:  Mister Ecks [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:49 am ]
Post subject: 
I repeat...

My Super Big Flop.

Nice for Clerks II. Seems in line with every other Smith movie since Dogma.
Author:  A. G. [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:49 am ]
Post subject: 
The ads for Lady in the Water were fantastic. I saw some in recent days that were as well made as any TV ad for a movie I've seen. It's just there's no getting around you know M Night will disappoint you so why bother.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:49 am ]
Post subject: 
Wow, I can't believe Prada beat SR. Now thats just bad.
Author:  deathawk [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:52 am ]
Post subject: 
Nebs wrote:
Projections...

Pirates 2 $33.8m
Monster House $24.1m
Lady in the Water $17.5m
You, Me and Dupree $13m
Clerks II $11.1m
Little Man $10m
My Super Ex-Girlfriend $7.7m
The Devil Wears Prada $6.7m
Superman Returns $6.3m
Cars $4.8m
Click $3.6m

They any good?

I came up with similar but I think the multipliers on MH and C2 may be a tad high. I am more confident in saying that about the latter than the former - the latter is clearly ripe for fanboy 1st day rush. LitW may be a tad higher, but one could almost start making an argument for fanboy front loading on his films so its seems reasonable.
Author:  dolcevita [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:54 am ]
Post subject: 
MadGez wrote:
I always deride WB for its marketing - but really I dont think anyone could have got LITW to $30m. There is a reason why Disney execs didnt want to do the film and they have been vinidicated.

Overall the only brightspot is Monster House. It should be able to get to $23-$25m.


I'd say Prada is also a bright spot. That is an excellent hold considering the competition. There are two other, newer, chic flicks in the top ten right now, and Prada is still going to take in a bigger weekend than Supes.

Nice hold for Pirates if it stands. After Thursday, alot of people were saying it wouldn't reach thirty. Its going to be the movie that takes top spot three weekends in a row, which is insane. It will only get bumped to second next week by Miami Vice, and probably remain in second for another week after that as well.

M. Night's going to do a low budget indie flick next, I can feel it. Poor Paul, he somehow never wuite breaks through either as an Oscar darling or a drama draw for mature audiences.
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:55 am ]
Post subject: 
I asked this in the other thread: how many sequels have outgrossed the original's total domestic run in a single day?
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:55 am ]
Post subject: 
I got 0% in super ex. :cry:
Author:  O [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 12:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
Pirates will be past $320 m by the end of the weekend, from what could be a $32-$34 m weekend. From a $33 m weekend this week, Pirates could drop 50% for the rest of its run, and still end up at $381 m. With 46% drops (the current Friday gross), it would be at $394.5 m. So considering the fact that POTC 2 was able to have that type of drop with four openers, and screen loss, and the fact that it will benefit from Labor Day, I don't see how people cannot think that this will stop short of $400 m. From 40% drops for the rest of its run, it would be at $411.7 m. And with 35% drops, the total would rise to $433.5 m.
Author:  Box [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 12:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
I asked this in the other thread: how many sequels have outgrossed the original's total domestic run in a single day?


Well, Austin Powers passed the first film's total in its opening wknd :happy:
Author:  Nazgul9 [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 12:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
Okay, i concede, POTC2 will cross $400m... :cry:
Author:  Rev [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 12:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Some friday numbers
Nebs wrote:
Superman Returns $1,905,000


FUCK!

--------------------------------

Potc2 will pass Potc total domestic gross today after only 15 days. :blink:
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Jul 22, 2006 12:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
SBD's numbers are in as well...a bit different.
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