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Will PIRATES 2 beat SPIDER-MAN 2's opening week record?
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Author:  mark66 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Will PIRATES 2 beat SPIDER-MAN 2's opening week record?
SPIDER-MAN 2 holds the opening week record with $192,085,360 followed closely by REVENGE OF THE SITH with $191,363,169.
Do you think that PIRATES 2 will set a new opening week record?
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
Easily

Would have voted 200m+ if I looked closer at the poll.
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
No. Spider-Man 2 essentially had the advantage of five weekend days in a row. Pirates 2 needs four $15m+ days this week, and I don't think it's gonna happen.
Author:  Speevy [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think it will, but certainly not "easily." I think it will be really close, and POTC2 will pass Spiderman by a million or two if that.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
No. Spider-Man 2 essentially had the advantage of five weekend days in a row. Pirates 2 needs four $15m+ days this week, and I don't think it's gonna happen.


3 20m+ days would get it there in 6 days with room to spare.

Oh, you edited it. heh.

Well, it certainly will average over 15m on the weekdays.
Author:  BJ [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
no doubt

200m in 7 days
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
in 8 days, bj
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
DP07 wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
No. Spider-Man 2 essentially had the advantage of five weekend days in a row. Pirates 2 needs four $15m+ days this week, and I don't think it's gonna happen.


3 20m+ days would get it there in 6 days with room to spare.

Oh, you edited it. heh.

Well, it certainly will average over 15m on the weekdays.


But I don't think it will. If you look at both Spider-Man 2 and Revenge of the Sith, Spidey peaked at $12m and Sith's high was $14m (and it didn't hit even $10m the rest of the week). I don't see Pirates 2 raising the bar that much.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
DP07 wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
No. Spider-Man 2 essentially had the advantage of five weekend days in a row. Pirates 2 needs four $15m+ days this week, and I don't think it's gonna happen.


3 20m+ days would get it there in 6 days with room to spare.

Oh, you edited it. heh.

Well, it certainly will average over 15m on the weekdays.


But I don't think it will. If you look at both Spider-Man 2 and Revenge of the Sith, they both averaged around $10-12 million for the weekdays. I don't think Pirates is going to raise the bar that much.


:lol: In July schools are out. For Sith they were not. SM2 was coming off an 88m weekend.
Author:  BJ [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
Mannyisthebest wrote:
in 8 days, bj


7 :shades:
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
Nope. I see it at $184-188 million after 7 days.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:34 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Nope. I see it at $184-188 million after 7 days.


Quoted. :tongue:
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
Care to make another bet regarding Pirates, DP? Over/under say $195m for the first 7 days?
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Nope. I see it at $184-188 million after 7 days.


Quoted. :tongue:


Provided the estimate for the weekend holds. I will adjust the prediction according to the actuals.
Author:  redspear [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
DP07 wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
No. Spider-Man 2 essentially had the advantage of five weekend days in a row. Pirates 2 needs four $15m+ days this week, and I don't think it's gonna happen.


3 20m+ days would get it there in 6 days with room to spare.

Oh, you edited it. heh.

Well, it certainly will average over 15m on the weekdays.


But I don't think it will. If you look at both Spider-Man 2 and Revenge of the Sith, they both averaged around $10-12 million for the weekdays. I don't think Pirates is going to raise the bar that much.

Spiderman 2 had the advantage of the extended fourth and a wed opening. RoTS had the advantage of having a wed opening at the cost of a slightly depressed weekend. Pirates will fall behind Sith today and will need to average 3-4 million a day on the weekdays.

I wouldn't say no way it will be close but it is at a disadvantage in terms of number of highest grossing days but a lot was offset by the huge opening weekend.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
Care to make another bet regarding Pirates, DP? Over/under say $195m for the first 7 days?


Sure, heh.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
redspear wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
DP07 wrote:
The Dark Shape wrote:
No. Spider-Man 2 essentially had the advantage of five weekend days in a row. Pirates 2 needs four $15m+ days this week, and I don't think it's gonna happen.


3 20m+ days would get it there in 6 days with room to spare.

Oh, you edited it. heh.

Well, it certainly will average over 15m on the weekdays.


But I don't think it will. If you look at both Spider-Man 2 and Revenge of the Sith, they both averaged around $10-12 million for the weekdays. I don't think Pirates is going to raise the bar that much.

Spiderman 2 had the advantage of the extended fourth and a wed opening. RoTS had the advantage of having a wed opening at the cost of a slightly depressed weekend. Pirates will fall behind Sith today and will need to average 3-4 million a day on the weekdays.

I wouldn't say no way it will be close but it is at a disadvantage in terms of number of highest grossing days but a lot was offset by the huge opening weekend.


:wacko:

Plan AG
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
What do you want to get out of it? It looks like our first bet is going to come down to a few hundred grand.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
What do you want to get out of it? It looks like our first bet is going to come down to a few hundred grand.


Sig?
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
C'mon, more daring, guys! Like the Dolce/neo_wolf bet!
Author:  Mannyisthebest [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
its weekdays will be huge meaning it will cross 200 million by friday (8 days) very likely and 9 days tops!
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
Sure. How about two weeks? And I think that should go for the avatar bet as well, since we never really decided.
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Nope. I see it at $184-188 million after 7 days.


Quoted. :tongue:


Provided the estimate for the weekend holds. I will adjust the prediction according to the actuals.


Backing off?
Author:  DIB2 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
202m in 7days

Easily

Spidey 2 is going down
Author:  DP07 [ Mon Jul 10, 2006 3:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dark Shape wrote:
Sure. How about two weeks? And I think that should go for the avatar bet as well, since we never really decided.


ok
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