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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13056 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Will PIRATES 2 make $100m in TWO days?
If the $55m figure is correct for PIRATES' Friday gross, it needs another $45m to do $100m in two days - that of course, would be a first.
What do you think?
Last edited by mark66 on Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:05 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Well, it pretty certainly will. I don't see it dropping more than 15% on Saturday.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:06 am |
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Anonymous
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Likely. But could easily drop 20%+ on saturday as well.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:07 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22213 Location: Places
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hot damnnnnnnnnn
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:07 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25427 Location: Classified
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I think the real question is whether it will beat Spider-Man in two days  . As likely as it is to drop today, it only needs to rise 10% to do it.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:16 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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No way. It will not rise because it most likely has $10 million worth of midnight screenings included in the $55 million number. Thje best case scenario for it, is to drop 8% on Saturday.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:17 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347
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It could but then again people could all go "Well we've seen Pirates 2, now lets go see Prada" and Prada take the weekend.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:19 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Flava'd‡ wrote: I think the real question is whether it will beat Spider-Man in two days  . As likely as it is to drop today, it only needs to rise 10% to do it.
haha never thought of that. It's not going to do it...but one of the monsters next year has a shot at it. If Pirates 3 is significantly shorter (i.e. like under 110-120 mins), that might be able to do it.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:22 am |
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Anonymous
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If this damn movie has overall multiplier less than 3, I'll lose lots of interest in opening numbers.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:24 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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no shit.
its guaranteed.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:34 am |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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If X3 can muster a drop of almost 30% in May, POTC2 could easily drop over 20% today. 
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:40 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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well yeah, no question about that!
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:46 am |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm Posts: 631 Location: Cephiro
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That this is even a rational question is insane.
OT1H, Lecter makes a good point on the previews.
OTOH, Friday was a work day however light and today is not.
And the X factor - if it is close enough, one can almost guaruntee Disney will throw that number out there for the publicity (and adjust some money if needed after the fact to make it stick).
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:49 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32629 Location: the last free city
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NO!
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:51 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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I think it'll be close, but Disney will fudge the numbers so that it barely does, sorta like was ROTS was just over $50M opening day.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:54 am |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm Posts: 8642 Location: Toronto, Canada
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if it get 99 milion dsney will try everything to get it to 100 million.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:58 am |
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GCC
The Dark Knight
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 5:11 pm Posts: 777
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I'm gonna throw caution to the wind and say YES.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:06 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5824
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It should be able to, although if it did make $12 in midnight screenings and Saturday simply repeats the non-midnight performance of Friday, then it would make only $98 million in the 2 days. Here's hoping for an increase today.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:07 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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Should have no problem with it. 
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:11 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am Posts: 4669 Location: Anchorage, AK
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I dont see it droping over 20% on saturday, So yeah 100m in two days
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:14 pm |
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KC
Team Kris
Joined: Sat Nov 06, 2004 4:57 pm Posts: 1037
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I think it will but it will be close. I see around a 15-20% drop on Sat depending on how large the midnight sales were. Anyone know when they will release that number??
_________________ "You're going to tell me what I want to know. The only question is how much you want it to hurt." Jack Bauer- Season 5
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:27 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere
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Archie Gates wrote: It could but then again people could all go "Well we've seen Pirates 2, now lets go see Prada" and Prada take the weekend.
Well, at this point I'll add anything to my thread to reach Plan Z, so if you don't mind.... 
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 1:41 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm Posts: 5868
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It's about 98% certain, depending no how big exactly the midnights were (have we gotten a colid number yet?)
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 2:02 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm Posts: 10678
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Disney will fudge the numbers to make $100m in two days. If its close they will take some off Sunday and add it to Saturday.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 2:10 pm |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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Yes, it will make it. Unlike X3 it won't drop too harshly, because it appeals to kids and families (in much greater numbers). I think it has a solid shot at 10-15% drop and could come in under 10%.
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Sat Jul 08, 2006 2:40 pm |
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