World of KJ :: View topic - WOKJ's May Preview

Thegun wrote:

I think Poseidon is very underestimated.

I mean he states its lacking star power, but it has a solid cast. But he is also comparing it too much to Air Force One and The Perfect Storm and Troy, which were adult R rated thrillers. I would say this is most comparable to troy, but will still have more accessible thanks to it being PG-13 and it does look good. This is a summer popcorn disaster film. While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million.

Thegun wrote:

While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million.

MadGez wrote:

Brilliant!

Between you and Zing (summer preview) - this site has the best and most realistic predictions of any entertainment medium.

MI3, X3, Just My Luck, Over the Hedge and Poseidon in particular are accurate. I still think Da Vinci will go higher however in total gross. As for the rest - they all will do middling business as you predict.

I really have no idea about Poseidon. I havnt felt any buzz yet. It could do $70m total or double that - which is likely.

Zingaling wrote:

xiayun's prediction for Poseidon will be a lot closer than what I predicted in the Summer Preview last week. It simply does not have enough hype and great marketing to generate a $50+ million opening weekend.

Author:	xiayun [ Wed May 03, 2006 5:15 am ]
Post subject:	WOKJ's May Preview
Hope it's not too bad.

Author:	zingy [ Wed May 03, 2006 5:47 am ]
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Excellent article. Agreed on almost all points.

Author:	BJ [ Wed May 03, 2006 5:49 am ]
Post subject:
littered with under predictions, especially on the big films.

Author:	MadGez [ Wed May 03, 2006 5:49 am ]
Post subject:
Brilliant! Between you and Zing (summer preview) - this site has the best and most realistic predictions of any entertainment medium. MI3, X3, Just My Luck, Over the Hedge and Poseidon in particular are accurate. I still think Da Vinci will go higher however in total gross. As for the rest - they all will do middling business as you predict. I really have no idea about Poseidon. I havnt felt any buzz yet. It could do $70m total or double that - which is likely.

Author:	bABA [ Wed May 03, 2006 7:14 am ]
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i'm not big on over the hedge prediction. you've provided a horrible multiplier for it. otherwise, its cool.

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Author:	Thegun [ Wed May 03, 2006 11:30 am ]
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I think Poseidon is very underestimated. I mean he states its lacking star power, but it has a solid cast. But he is also comparing it too much to Air Force One and The Perfect Storm and Troy, which were adult R rated thrillers. I would say this is most comparable to troy, but will still have more accessible thanks to it being PG-13 and it does look good. This is a summer popcorn disaster film. While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million.

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Wed May 03, 2006 11:39 am ]
Post subject:
Thegun wrote: I think Poseidon is very underestimated. I mean he states its lacking star power, but it has a solid cast. But he is also comparing it too much to Air Force One and The Perfect Storm and Troy, which were adult R rated thrillers. I would say this is most comparable to troy, but will still have more accessible thanks to it being PG-13 and it does look good. This is a summer popcorn disaster film. While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million. The Perfect Storm was not R-rated.

Author:	Rolling Thunder [ Wed May 03, 2006 11:56 am ]
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Thegun wrote: While its not as hot as Day After Tomorrow, I think it will still open easily over 55 million. DAT had a $20,000 PTA. I don't think the interest for Poseidon is even half of DAT's, but it should still get a $12,000-$15,000 PTA just because it's a disaster flick opening in the Summer. So, to that end, it probably is being underestimated.

Author:	jb007 [ Wed May 03, 2006 1:31 pm ]
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MadGez wrote: Brilliant! Between you and Zing (summer preview) - this site has the best and most realistic predictions of any entertainment medium. MI3, X3, Just My Luck, Over the Hedge and Poseidon in particular are accurate. I still think Da Vinci will go higher however in total gross. As for the rest - they all will do middling business as you predict. I really have no idea about Poseidon. I havnt felt any buzz yet. It could do $70m total or double that - which is likely. I agree. Nice work, Xiayun.

Author:	Ragnarok [ Wed May 03, 2006 1:46 pm ]
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Great article, xiayun.

Author:	zingy [ Wed May 03, 2006 3:14 pm ]
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xiayun's prediction for Poseidon will be a lot closer than what I predicted in the Summer Preview last week. It simply does not have enough hype and great marketing to generate a $50+ million opening weekend.

Author:	Rolling Thunder [ Wed May 03, 2006 3:26 pm ]
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Zingaling wrote: xiayun's prediction for Poseidon will be a lot closer than what I predicted in the Summer Preview last week. It simply does not have enough hype and great marketing to generate a $50+ million opening weekend. The studio referred to this as their "Ace in the Hole", but I also agree the hype's just not there. If this does $45M OW, that will be considered great, IMO.

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