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Scores with projections http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=18993 |
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Author: | Anonymous [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:00 pm ] |
Post subject: | Scores with projections |
78,10% :-( Can't edit calculator, as reformated recently and forgot url to login. Zing, if you can, please send it. |
Author: | Vovanik [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:21 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Scores with projections |
Projections BOM friday # RV 15.0 United 93 11.5 Stick It 10.8 Silent Hill 8.8 Scary Movie 4 7.2 The Sentinel 7.6 Akeelah & the Bee 5.3 Ice Age 2 6.5 The Benchwarmers 4.2 The Wild 4.1 |
Author: | BJ [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:23 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
BJs Projections: 1. R.V. - 18m 2. Flight 93 - 12m 3. Stick It - 10.8m 4. Silent Hill - 9.4m 5. The Sentinel - 7.8m 6. Scary Movie 4 - 7.6m 7. Ice Age 2 - 6.8m 8. Akeelah and the Bee - 5.4m 9. The Wild - 4.3m 10. The Benchwarmers - 4.2m |
Author: | Jonathan [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:30 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Its only natural that, the week after my greatest derby ever, I get my WORST derby ever, with...64.98%. ![]() Basically, I overpredicted everything big time, except for Stick It, for which I predicted $4.4M. I think I'll just predict ewverything to drop 50% next week, just to be safe. |
Author: | BJ [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:38 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]R.V. [col]18.50 [col]18.00 [col color=#fefdd6]97.22% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]18.00 [col]12.00 [col color=#fefbb9]50.00% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]8.50 [col]10.80 [col color=#fefdd6]78.70% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.40 [col]9.40 [col color=#fefbb9]89.36% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]7.80 [col]7.80 [col color=#fefdd6]100.00% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.60 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefbb9]86.84% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.20 [col]6.80 [col color=#fefdd6]79.41% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]7.60 [col]5.40 [col color=#fefbb9]59.26% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Wild [col]6.00 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]60.47% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.80 [col]4.20 [col color=#fefbb9]85.71% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]78.70 [/table] Calculate your score |
Author: | haerpinot [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:41 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
around 70% for me. The Derby average is near 80% this week so I'm expecting a really bad rank. |
Author: | BJ [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:41 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]Silent Hill [col]18.50 [col]15.00 [col color=#fefdd6]76.67% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]18.00 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]43.48% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.50 [col]10.80 [col color=#fefdd6]78.70% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.40 [col]8.80 [col color=#fefbb9]95.45% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Wild [col]7.80 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]97.37% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]8.60 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]80.56% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Take the Lead [col]8.20 [col]6.50 [col color=#fefdd6]73.85% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Inside Man [col]7.60 [col]5.30 [col color=#fefbb9]56.60% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]American Dreamz [col]6.00 [col]4.20 [col color=#fefdd6]57.14% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]Thank You for Smoking [col]4.80 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]82.93% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]74.27 [/table] Calculate your score With Vovaniks' projections. |
Author: | JMorphin [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:43 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
looks like Scott V has a chance to win this weekend, I might break 80 with Vovanik's projections ![]() |
Author: | zingy [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:45 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Calculated updated with these projections: 1. RV - $16.1 million 2. United 93 - $11.5 million 3. Stick It - $11.2 million 4. Silent Hill - $9.0 million 5. The Sentinel - $7.6 million 6. Scary Movie 4 - $7.2 million 7. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $6.4 million 8. Akeelah and the Bee - $5.1 million 9. The Benchwarmers - $4.3 million 10. The Wild - $4.1 million [table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]18.20 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]86.96% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]15.30 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]66.96% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]6.10 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]54.46% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.40 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]93.33% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.50 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]88.16% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.10 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]87.50% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.60 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]65.63% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]8.80 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]27.45% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.50 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]95.35% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]5.40 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]68.29% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]73.41 [/table] |
Author: | BJ [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:46 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Derby average is awesome. 82.6%-85% |
Author: | Jeff 42 [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:51 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]18.00 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]88.20% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]15.00 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]69.57% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]7.00 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]62.50% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]7.60 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]84.44% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.30 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]90.79% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.50 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]81.94% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]7.30 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]85.94% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]7.50 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]52.94% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.20 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]97.67% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]4.70 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]85.37% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]79.94 [/table] Looks pretty good for this weekend... |
Author: | BJ [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:54 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Jeff 42 wrote: [table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]18.00 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]88.20% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]15.00 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]69.57% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]7.00 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]62.50% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]7.60 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]84.44% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.30 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]90.79% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.50 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]81.94% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]7.30 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]85.94% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]7.50 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]52.94% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.20 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]97.67% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]4.70 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]85.37% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]79.94 [/table] Looks pretty good for this weekend... awg! ![]() great score ![]() |
Author: | BJ [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:56 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Magnus101 wrote: BJ wrote: Derby average is awesome. 82.6%-85% With the new projections, the average is near 73.5%. I probably put something in wrong ![]() |
Author: | Vovanik [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:57 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
RV - (18.00 / 16.10) -- Accuracy: 88.20% United 93 - (12.70 / 11.50) -- Accuracy: 89.57% Stick It - (5.70 / 11.20) -- Accuracy: 50.89% Silent Hill - (8.20 / 9.00) -- Accuracy: 91.11% The Sentinel - (7.90 / 7.60) -- Accuracy: 96.05% Scary Movie 4 - (7.80 / 7.20) -- Accuracy: 91.67% Ice Age: The Meltdown - (7.60 / 6.40) -- Accuracy: 81.25% Akeelah and the Bee - (8.20 / 5.10) -- Accuracy: 39.22% The Benchwarmers - (3.90 / 4.30) -- Accuracy: 90.70% The Wild - (4.90 / 4.10) -- Accuracy: 80.49% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 79.91% |
Author: | OSHO [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:57 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
79.5 % with Vovanik proections |
Author: | asalem182 [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:00 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]17.50 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]91.30% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]13.90 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]79.13% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]6.20 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]55.36% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.80 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]97.78% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.70 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]85.53% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.10 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]87.50% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.20 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]71.88% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]7.50 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]52.94% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.60 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]93.02% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]6.00 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]53.66% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]76.81 [/table] Calculate your score Decent. |
Author: | Outatime [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:12 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]23.60 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]53.42% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]17.90 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]44.35% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]3.10 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]27.68% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]7.50 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]83.33% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]9.20 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]78.95% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.40 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]83.33% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]7.80 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]78.13% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]9.00 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]23.53% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.60 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]93.02% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]5.30 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]70.73% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]63.65 [/table] |
Author: | Anonymous [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:13 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
RV - (21.00 / 16.10) -- Accuracy: 69.57% United 93 - (12.40 / 11.50) -- Accuracy: 92.17% Stick It - (3.10 / 11.20) -- Accuracy: 27.68% Silent Hill - (9.10 / 9.00) -- Accuracy: 98.89% The Sentinel - (7.70 / 7.60) -- Accuracy: 98.68% Scary Movie 4 - (8.50 / 7.20) -- Accuracy: 81.94% Ice Age: The Meltdown - (8.50 / 6.40) -- Accuracy: 67.19% Akeelah and the Bee - (6.00 / 5.10) -- Accuracy: 82.35% The Benchwarmers - (4.20 / 4.30) -- Accuracy: 97.67% The Wild - (5.50 / 4.10) -- Accuracy: 65.85% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 78.20% Calculate your score Stupid everything I don't have at 90%+. |
Author: | Groucho [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:26 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]12.60 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]78.26% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]17.30 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]49.57% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]6.20 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]55.36% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.80 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]97.78% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.00 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]94.74% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.50 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]81.94% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.20 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]71.88% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]8.30 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]37.25% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.00 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]93.02% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]5.50 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]65.85% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]72.56 [/table] Calculate your score I thought I was doing terrible (which I am) but at least I see I am not alone... ![]() |
Author: | Rev [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:31 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Accuracy: 73,48% ![]() |
Author: | paper [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:39 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Holy shit 65%...I'm seeing a drop down to the 20's maybe 30's for the yearly race. |
Author: | matatonio [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 3:41 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]20.90 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]70.19% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]16.50 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]56.52% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]6.80 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]60.71% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.60 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]95.56% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]7.60 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]100.00% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.10 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]87.50% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.40 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]68.75% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]7.80 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]47.06% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.30 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]100.00% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]5.10 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]75.61% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]76.19 [/table] Calculate your score well....i guess thats not all that bad? |
Author: | DP07 [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 5:06 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I think I'll move up a bit in the yearly race. Maybe the monthly race as well. [table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]14.10 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]87.58% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]17.70 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]46.09% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]8.10 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]72.32% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.80 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]97.78% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]8.50 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]88.16% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]7.40 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]97.22% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]7.40 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]84.38% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]6.70 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]68.63% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.00 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]93.02% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]5.00 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]78.05% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]81.32 [/table] Calculate your score |
Author: | Crag Hack [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 7:13 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]16.50 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]97.52% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]11.50 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]100.00% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]5.70 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]50.89% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]Silent Hill [col]8.20 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]91.11% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]7.70 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]98.68% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]7.70 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]93.06% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.20 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]71.88% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]7.00 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]62.75% [row color=#e7edf6] 8 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.50 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]95.35% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]5.10 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]75.61% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]83.68 [/table] Hopefully these projections are accurate... ![]() Calculate your score |
Author: | rolandka19 [ Sat Apr 29, 2006 7:35 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
[table] [row color=#1d378e]Rank [col]Film [col]Predicted [col]Actual [col]Accuracy [row color=#e7edf6] 1 [col]RV [col]22.50 [col]16.10 [col color=#fefdd6]60.25% [row color=#d6e8fe] 2 [col]United 93 [col]14.10 [col]11.50 [col color=#fefbb9]77.39% [row color=#e7edf6] 3 [col]Stick It [col]4.40 [col]11.20 [col color=#fefdd6]39.29% [row color=#d6e8fe] 4 [col]Silent Hill [col]7.30 [col]9.00 [col color=#fefbb9]81.11% [row color=#e7edf6] 5 [col]The Sentinel [col]9.30 [col]7.60 [col color=#fefdd6]77.63% [row color=#d6e8fe] 6 [col]Scary Movie 4 [col]8.10 [col]7.20 [col color=#fefbb9]87.50% [row color=#e7edf6] 7 [col]Ice Age: The Meltdown [col]8.50 [col]6.40 [col color=#fefdd6]67.19% [row color=#d6e8fe] 8 [col]Akeelah and the Bee [col]13.70 [col]5.10 [col color=#fefbb9]0.00% [row color=#e7edf6] 9 [col]The Benchwarmers [col]4.60 [col]4.30 [col color=#fefdd6]93.02% [row color=#d6e8fe] 10 [col]The Wild [col]6.10 [col]4.10 [col color=#fefbb9]51.22% [/table] [table] [row color=#1d378e] Your Score = [col color=#d4fbca]63.46 [/table] Calculate your score Ugh. My worst score ever (out of the 26 Derby games I have played). |
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