World of KJ :: View topic - Weekend Estimates

dolcevita wrote:

15 18 FRIENDS WIH MONEY SPC [b]$805,000 +36.6% 42 +14 $19,166 $1,600,000 2[/b]

Insane. What the hell is Aniston's pull? 20,000 pta in 42 theatres is really good. This movie needs to expand north of 200 next weekend.

Zingaling wrote:

SM4 is almost a lock to be the first $40m opener to not make $100m. That IM is just awful, and there's no evidence showing that it can pull off a higher multiplier than the third (which had Halloween to increase its legs).

makeshift wrote:

Kinky Boots looked terrible, so no real surprise there.

Felicity Titwank wrote:

I picture Libs frothing with joy every time she posts numbers.

Anyway, Great for Friends with Money.

Libs wrote:

Felicity Titwank wrote:

I picture Libs frothing with joy every time she posts numbers.

Anyway, Great for Friends with Money.

You got me

Quote:

Bob and Harvey Weinstein returned to the boxoffice lead as "Scary Movie 4" debuted with about $41 million, the first No. 1 opening for the new company founded by the former Miramax bosses. It was the best Easter weekend debut ever, beating the $30.1 million opening of "Panic Room" in 2002, according to studio estimates Sunday. With the success of "Scary Movie 4," Bob Weinstein said he hopes to have a fifth film in the horror-spoof franchise in theaters over Easter weekend next year.

Author:	Libs [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:31 pm ]
Post subject:	Weekend Estimates
1 N SCARY MOVIE 4 Wein. $41,020,000 - 3,602 - $11,388 $41,020,000 1 2 1 ICE AGE: THE MELTDOWN Fox $20,000,000 -40.9% 3,873 -96 $5,163 $147,188,000 3 3 2 THE BENCHWARMERS SonR $10,000,000 -49.1% 3,282 +8 $3,046 $35,980,000 2 4 N THE WILD BV $9,559,000 - 2,854 - $3,349 $9,559,000 1 5 3 TAKE THE LEAD NL $6,700,000 -44.4% 3,009 - $2,226 $22,517,000 2 6 4 INSIDE MAN Uni. $6,292,000 -31.1% 2,477 -390 $2,540 $75,285,000 4 7 5 LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN MGM $4,600,000 -34.6% 1,989 +5 $2,312 $14,140,000 8 10 THANK YOU FOR SMOKING FoxS $4,450,000 +92.7% 1,015 +716 $4,384 $11,498,000 5 9 6 FAILURE TO LAUNCH Par. $2,599,000 -37.1% 1,950 -666 $1,332 $83,171,000 6 10 8 V FOR VENDETTA WB $2,170,000 -36.3% 1,380 -623 $1,572 $65,991,000 5 11 7 ATL WB $1,345,000 -63.7% 1,315 -287 $1,022 $19,653,000 3 12 9 PHAT GIRLZ FoxS $1,250,000 -59.8% 1,060 +4 $1,179 $5,248,000 2 13 N LA MUJER DE MI HERMANO Lions $1,025,000 - 205 - $5,000 $1,025,000 1 14 12 SHE'S THE MAN DW $923,000 -58.2% 1,051 -975 $878 $31,777,000 5 15 18 FRIENDS WITH MONEY SPC $805,000 +36.6% 42 +14 $19,166 $1,600,000 2 16 11 STAY ALIVE BV $681,000 -69.7% 1,039 -806 $655 $22,031,000 4 N/A 24 BRICK Focus $233,000 +16.9% 45 +24 $5,177 $634,000 3 N/A N PREACHING TO THE CHOIR Free $221,000 - 145 - $1,524 $221,000 1 N/A N THE NOTORIOUS BETTIE PAGE PicH $145,000 - 20 - $7,520 $145,000 1 N/A N KINKY BOOTS Mira. $81,100 - 9 - $9,011 $81,100 1 N/A N HARD CANDY Lions $60,000 - 2 - $30,000 $60,000 1 http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =15&p=.htm

Author:	getluv [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:35 pm ]
Post subject:
SM4 and IA will fall tomorrow by like a million.

Author:	Libs [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:44 pm ]
Post subject:
Friends With Money held up really impressively. The PTA went down by less than $2,000 despite adding 14 theaters.

Author:	Bradley Witherberry [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:52 pm ]
Post subject:
Slither opening weekend - $3,880,270 Scary Movie 4 opening weekend - $41,020,000 Is there no justice in this crappy world of ours?!?

Author:	dolcevita [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:58 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates
8 10 THANK YOU FOR SMOKING FoxS [b]$4,450,000 +92.7% 1,015 +716 $4,384 $11,498,000 5[/b] Decent. Not wowing, but decent. 15 18 FRIENDS WIH MONEY SPC [b]$805,000 +36.6% 42 +14 $19,166 $1,600,000 2[/b] Insane. What the hell is Aniston's pull? 20,000 pta in 42 theatres is really good. This movie needs to expand north of 200 next weekend. N/A 24 BRICK Focus [b]$233,000 +16.9% 45 +24 $5,177 $634,000 3[/b] Meh. 5,000 pta isn't bad, but its not stellar. Should jump to 800 theatres next wekeend the way Kung Fu Hustle tried to do, and just ride it out early. N/A N THE NOTORIOUS BETTIE PAGE PicH [b]$145,000 - 20 - $7,520 $145,000 1[/b] Unimpressive considering how much buzz there was around this film earlier. N/A N KINKY BOOTS Mira. [b]$81,100 - 9 - $9,011 $81,100 1[/b] Unimpressive. But people are getting tired of "cute" U.K. sex comedies, maybe? N/A N HARD CANDY Lions [b]$60,000 - 2 - $30,000 $60,000 1[/b] Surprisingly low. I thought it would be closer to 38,000. Don't know what that means.

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Weekend Estimates http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=18616	Page 1 of 2

Author:	Libs [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:13 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates
dolcevita wrote: 15 18 FRIENDS WIH MONEY SPC [b]$805,000 +36.6% 42 +14 $19,166 $1,600,000 2[/b] Insane. What the hell is Aniston's pull? 20,000 pta in 42 theatres is really good. This movie needs to expand north of 200 next weekend. It's expanding to 800 next weekend.

Author:	Groucho [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:17 pm ]
Post subject:
Libs, can you update the calculator?

Author:	jb007 [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:19 pm ]
Post subject:
Could Scary Move 4 be the first $40M+ opener that will miss the $100M mark?

Author:	zingy [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:29 pm ]
Post subject:
SM4 is almost a lock to be the first $40m opener to not make $100m. That IM is just awful, and there's no evidence showing that it can pull off a higher multiplier than the third (which had Halloween to increase its legs).

Author:	nghtvsn [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:30 pm ]
Post subject:
I'm gonna say it would have been the first 40+ to miss 100 but the actuals will have it just under 40. *I just looked in disbelief and horror how out of 51/96 votes gave the film an A. BOM user quality must really be shyte to explain that result*

Author:	zennier [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:30 pm ]
Post subject:
I didn't know the Weinsteins took the SM4 rights from Dimension. I'm so out of touch. I'm disappointed in Kinky Boots and Brick. Otherwise a very unremarkable start for pretty much everything.

Author:	jb007 [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:
Zingaling wrote: SM4 is almost a lock to be the first $40m opener to not make $100m. That IM is just awful, and there's no evidence showing that it can pull off a higher multiplier than the third (which had Halloween to increase its legs). I agree. Hopefully the actuals stay above $40M. That huge Saturday drop does not bode well.

Author:	Michael. [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:46 pm ]
Post subject:
I picture Libs frothing with joy every time she posts numbers. Anyway, Great for Friends with Money.

Author:	makeshift [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:46 pm ]
Post subject:
Brick is officially struggi-ling. What a shame. Hard Candy's opening is kinda disappointing, actually. One of the two theaters it was in this weekend was the Arclight (same as Brick's opening weekend), so I was expecting a similar opening weekend PTA. The Notorious Bettie Page is also a letdown. Sucks for those of us who were hoping it would expand to their area. Kinky Boots looked terrible, so no real surprise there.

Author:	O [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:15 pm ]
Post subject:
The drop next week will be bad, but it wont be as bad as some think (ie 70-80%). The long weekend is just skewing the number down quite a bit. Fri $5.7 m -70% Sat $7.125 +25% Sun $3.92 -45% Next weekend: $16.74 m -59.2%

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Author:	zennier [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:
makeshift wrote: Kinky Boots looked terrible, so no real surprise there. Yes, yes, it did.... but who cares? Watching people in drag is ALWAYS entertaining

Author:	Libs [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:
Felicity Titwank wrote: I picture Libs frothing with joy every time she posts numbers. Anyway, Great for Friends with Money. You got me

Author:	Michael. [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:04 pm ]
Post subject:
Libs wrote: Felicity Titwank wrote: I picture Libs frothing with joy every time she posts numbers. Anyway, Great for Friends with Money. You got me I know you love doing it deep down inside! You have a stats fetish.

Author:	headcrush [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:05 pm ]
Post subject:
SM4 still has some room to drop a little more Sun and still reach $40m. It can drop around 43-44% and still reach it. Either way, it will likely be the highest opening movie to not reach $100m.

Author:	zingy [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:06 pm ]
Post subject:
I don't see why people think it's over a million overestimated. The Sunday drop looks normal considering how much audience it lost on Saturday.

Author:	Cotton [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:11 pm ]
Post subject:
Pretty low multipliers for SM4 and The Wild.

Author:	Rod [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:21 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Weekend Estimates
13 N LA MUJER DE MI HERMANO Lions $1,025,000 - 205 - $5,000 $1,025,000 1 Pretty impressive for a foreign film. And.. 15 18 FRIENDS WITH MONEY SPC $805,000 +36.6% 42 +14 $19,166 $1,600,000 2 Pretty impressive, period. It will become Nicole Holofcener's highest grossing film, by far.

Author:	The Scottie [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 2:21 pm ]
Post subject:
Hmmm, I thought LA MUJER DE MI HERMANO would do better considering the performance at my theater. Let's see if my theater was the highest grosser for that movie.

Author:	Shack [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 3:08 pm ]
Post subject:
Oy, pretty bad for Scary Movie 4. Won't pass 100.

Author:	zingy [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 3:39 pm ]
Post subject:
The Hollywood Reporter Quote: Bob and Harvey Weinstein returned to the boxoffice lead as "Scary Movie 4" debuted with about $41 million, the first No. 1 opening for the new company founded by the former Miramax bosses. It was the best Easter weekend debut ever, beating the $30.1 million opening of "Panic Room" in 2002, according to studio estimates Sunday. With the success of "Scary Movie 4," Bob Weinstein said he hopes to have a fifth film in the horror-spoof franchise in theaters over Easter weekend next year.