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Scores w/ projections
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=18362		 Page 1 of 3
Author:  Shack [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Scores w/ projections
Didn't want to wait much longer. BJ's projections, with 2.6(sorry) for She's the Man because that's where most of the predictions were roughly centering around.

KJ calculator isn't working for me, so with http://www.boxofficechat.com/calculate/:

[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Inside Man [col] 40.8 [col] 32.8 [col] 75.61% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] V for Vendetta [col] 14.9 [col] 21.4 [col] 69.63% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] Stay Alive [col] 13.2 [col] 13 [col] 98.46% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Failure to Launch [col] 8.7 [col] 9 [col] 96.67% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Shaggy Dog [col] 4.7 [col] 7.2 [col] 65.28% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] She's the Man [col] 5.9 [col] 4.5 [col] 68.89% [row color=#ffCC66] 7 [col] Larry the Cable Guy [col] 4 [col] 4.1 [col] 97.56% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] The Hills Have Eyes [col] 2.9 [col] 3.4 [col] 85.29% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Eight Below [col] 2.9 [col] 2.8 [col] 96.43% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] 16 Blocks [col] 2.7 [col] 2.6 [col] 96.15% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]85.00%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 90.54% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 82.62% [/table]

I'm satisfied, not only because it's much higher than my average, but because I know I made some huge mistakes this weekend that should've ruined me. You guys will still all beat me I believe, but the derby average is SHIT(like 70% flat), so it'll be a nice moving weekend.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:59 pm ]
Post subject: 
I got 84.95%
Author:  paper [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:59 pm ]
Post subject: 
[table][row color=#0f7a9e]Rank[col]Film[col]Predicted[col]Estimate[col]Est. Accuracy[row color=#ffCC66] 1 [col] Inside Man [col] 41.1 [col] 32.8 [col] 74.70% [row color=#CCDDFF] 2 [col] V for Vendetta [col] 18 [col] 21.4 [col] 84.11% [row color=#ffCC66] 3 [col] Stay Alive [col] 15 [col] 13 [col] 84.62% [row color=#CCDDFF] 4 [col] Failure to Launch [col] 9.4 [col] 9 [col] 95.56% [row color=#CCDDFF] 5 [col] The Shaggy Dog [col] 7.2 [col] 7.2 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 6 [col] She's the Man [col] 4.7 [col] 4.5 [col] 95.56% [row color=#ffCC66] 7 [col] Larry the Cable Guy [col] 3.9 [col] 4.1 [col] 95.12% [row color=#CCDDFF] 8 [col] The Hills Have Eyes [col] 3.4 [col] 3.4 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 9 [col] Eight Below [col] 2.8 [col] 2.8 [col] 100.00% [row color=#CCDDFF] 10 [col] 16 Blocks [col] 2.4 [col] 2.6 [col] 92.31% [/table][table][row color=#0f7a9e][col]Average[row color=#CCDDFF] OVERALL (estimate) [col]92.20%[row color=#ffCC66] New Release [col] 84.81% [row color=#CCDDFF] Still in Theater [col] 95.36% [/table]

Hehehe...Egggggggssellent
Author:  trixster [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:00 pm ]
Post subject: 
86.53%

Finally. I hope this breaks me out of my slump. It's a good way to start off April.
Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
If you projections are right, I would get an 89.53%.

Acceptable, though I could have better considering it's April.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
85.8% with She's the Man at 2.6m
Author:  paper [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
^ I actually predicted 3.0 for Phat Girlz, but I'm too lazy to re-do my table...So I'm probably down to maybe 90.5-91%...
Author:  Eagle [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
KJ Calc is working again, though someone needs to update the predictions.
Author:  Groucho [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
Looks like KJ's tools are back up again if someone who has access can update the numbers/films for this week.
Author:  Eagle [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
If someone wan'ts to give me the movie/number i can go ahead and do it
Author:  haerpinot [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
79.13%, not very good compared to those here but a good score compared to the Derby average ;) Hope I can somehow inch past 80, but probably not since I imagine She's the Man will be lower. I wish I hadn't had such a brain fart with Phat Girlz, but oh well. and I can't figure out why the Derby average for the holdovers are so high, did a lot of people think everything would hold well since there was a big opener stealing audiences last week? I don't get the logic.
Author:  Eagle [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Should be updated now.
Author:  paper [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
I doubt I could win the derby this weekend (some no name always seems to come out of nowhere and take it) but finally I think I have a top 25 finish in store, helping my cause in the yearly race big time. :biggrin:
Author:  paper [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
Accuracy: 91,48%
Laziness has stopped
Author:  Groucho [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:32 pm ]
Post subject: 
Argh.

[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.60
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]73.17%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]14.30
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]66.82%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]13.30
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]97.69%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]10.30
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]85.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.70
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]93.06%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]6.60
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]53.33%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.30
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]95.12%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]4.50
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]67.65%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]3.80
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]64.29%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.30
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]73.08%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]76.98
[/table]

Calculate your score
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
Ice Age is in for atleast $35m. :shades:

This would be my projections:

Ice Age 2 $37m
Benchwarmers $18.7m
Take the Lead $12.7m
Inside Man $9m
Lucky Number Slevin $7m
Failure to Launch $4m
ATL $3.8m
Vendetta $3.3m
Phat Girlz $2.3m
She's the Man $2.1m
Author:  paper [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
I see Take the Lead having a shot at 13.5 million this weekend personally.
Author:  Shamukillercon [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]38.80
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]81.71%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]15.70
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]73.36%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]16.50
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]73.08%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.90
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]90.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.60
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]91.67%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]6.00
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]66.67%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.10
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]100.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.20
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]5.70
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]0.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.60
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]100.00%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]77.06
[/table]

Calculate your score

That's just Crapperific. Darn those Phat Girlz!
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 3:41 pm ]
Post subject: 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.20
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]74.39%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.40
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]76.64%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]17.50
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]65.38%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.70
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]92.22%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.10
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]98.61%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.20
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]84.44%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.10
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]100.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.50
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]1.50
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]53.57%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.90
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]88.46%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]83.08
[/table]

STUPIDSTUPIDSTUPIDME for not going with my gut on a 40%+ drop! :mad:
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
84.96%...but i forgot to enter my predictions in the derby :sad:
Author:  DP07 [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
I expect Slevin, Benchwarmers, and TTL will be down with the actuals which should help me, but so should She's the Man, which could hurt.

[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]37.90
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]84.45%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.40
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]76.64%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]12.70
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]97.69%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.50
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]94.44%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]5.00
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]69.44%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.00
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]88.89%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.20
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]97.56%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]1.60
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]57.14%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.70
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]96.15%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]85.95
[/table]

Calculate your score
Author:  DP07 [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 4:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
It will be another week dominated by KJers. The Derby average:

[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.10
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]74.70%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]17.20
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]80.37%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]13.10
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]99.23%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.90
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]90.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]9.80
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]63.89%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]6.90
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]46.67%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.80
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]82.93%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]4.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]73.53%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]5.10
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]17.86%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.40
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]69.23%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]69.84
[/table]

Calculate your score
Author:  Crag Hack [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 5:58 pm ]
Post subject: 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]39.00
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]81.10%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]17.50
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]81.78%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]11.50
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]88.46%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.00
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]100.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.00
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]83.33%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.10
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]86.67%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]3.90
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]95.12%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.20
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.60
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]92.86%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.50
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]96.15%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]89.96
[/table]

I have a very good chance at still being 1st in the yearly race

Calculate your score
Author:  Chippy [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 6:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
I like my score... It's my first derby in like... 2 years

[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meldown
[col]41.80
[col]32.80
[col color=#fefdd6]72.56%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.30
[col]21.40
[col color=#fefbb9]76.17%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]10.90
[col]13.00
[col color=#fefdd6]83.85%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]8.90
[col]9.00
[col color=#fefbb9]98.89%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.20
[col]7.20
[col color=#fefdd6]100.00%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]ATL
[col]5.60
[col]4.50
[col color=#fefbb9]75.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.50
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefdd6]90.24%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendtta
[col]3.60
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.90
[col]2.80
[col color=#fefdd6]96.43%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.00
[col]2.60
[col color=#fefbb9]84.62%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]87.24
[/table]

Calculate your score
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 6:06 pm ]
Post subject: 
[table][row color=#FF0000]Movie[col color=#FF0000]Prediction[col color=#FF0000]% Change[col color=#FF0000]Actual[col color=#FF0000]Percent[row color=#FFFF99]Benchwarmers[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 15.5 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 21.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF]72.43%[row color=#FFFF99]Take the Lead[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 13.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 13.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF]94.62%[row color=#FFFF99]Lucky Number Slevin[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.3 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 7.2 million[col color=#CCFFFF]59.72%[row color=#FFFF99]Phat Girlz[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 3.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 2.8 million[col color=#CCFFFF]64.29%[row color=#FFFF99]Ice Age 2[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 42.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-38.3%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 32.8 million[col color=#CCFFFF]71.95%[row color=#FFFF99]Inside Man[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 9.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-41.7%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 9.0 million[col color=#CCFFFF]100.00%[row color=#FFFF99]ATL[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.9 million[col color=#FFFF99]-57.6%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 4.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]91.11%[row color=#FFFF99]Failure to Launch[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-38.1%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 4.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]97.56%[row color=#FFFF99]V for Vendetta[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 3.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]-39.6%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 3.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF]88.24%[row color=#FFFF99]She's the Man[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 2.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]-39.0%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 2.6 million[col color=#CCFFFF]96.15%[row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row]10 Movies:[col]83.61%[col][col][col][/table]This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

Not too horrid, but worse than all the other KJ players.
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