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April 14 - 16 Predictions! http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=18353 |
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Author: | misterglass [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 10:55 am ] |
Post subject: | April 14 - 16 Predictions! |
Feel free to worship me for being the first to post this. (ha ha.. just kidding) Scary Movie 4 33.7 mil. Ice Age: The Meltdown 21.5 mil. (gotta lower this to reflect this weekend's big drop) Benchwarmers 12.2 mil. (fairly heavy drop due to Scary Movie 3 The Wild 10.5 mil. (killed by Ice Age 2 as first chioce) Take the Lead 9 million. (should hold up well) |
Author: | andaroo1 [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:01 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: April 14 - 16 Predictions! |
misterglass wrote: Benchwarmers 12.2 mil. (fairly heavy drop due to Scary Moive 3 Heavy drop from what? Benchwarmers will be lucky to get around 15 million THIS week ![]() |
Author: | android [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:06 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: April 14 - 16 Predictions! |
andaroo wrote: misterglass wrote: Benchwarmers 12.2 mil. (fairly heavy drop due to Scary Moive 3 Heavy drop from what? Benchwarmers will be lucky to get around 15 million THIS week ![]() I really hope so... the whole thing looks so... unfunny? ![]() |
Author: | AlexGTX [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:06 am ] |
Post subject: | |
EARLY PREDICTIONS (Openers ONLY. I will post my predictions for the top 10 later this week) Scary Movie 4- 46.3 The Wild- 12.7 |
Author: | Rev [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:09 am ] |
Post subject: | |
Scary Movie 4 34.7 Ice Age: The Meltdown 23.5 The Wild 17.5 Benchwarmers 10.5 Take the Lead 6.5 |
Author: | zingy [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 11:59 am ] |
Post subject: | |
Scary Movie 4 - $45 million The Wild - $17 million |
Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 12:03 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I hate predicting holidays. Easter weekend always sucks at the Box Office too. Things usually always underperform and suffer bigger drops. MY PREDICTIONS: SCARY MOVIE 4 - 39.6 Million (3-Day)/44.7 Million (4-Day) THE WILD - 14.5 Million (3-Day)/17.6 Million (4-Day) |
Author: | Libs [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 12:04 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scary Movie 4 - $44 million The Wild - $13 million |
Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 1:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
1. Scary Movie 4 - $45.5 million 2. The Wild - $27.2 million 3. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $17.9 million 4. The Benchwarmers - $8.8 million 5. Take the Lead - $8.3 million |
Author: | Korrgan [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 1:27 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Soisthisweekendlikeafour-day,sinceit'sEasterweekend? |
Author: | Shack [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 1:33 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scary Movie 4 - 50.1 mil The Wild - 12.6 mil |
Author: | haerpinot [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:14 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scary Movie 4 $42 mill The Wild $16.5 mill |
Author: | trixster [ Sat Apr 08, 2006 2:22 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scary Movie 4 - $45 million The Wild - $15 million |
Author: | Magic Mike [ Sun Apr 09, 2006 2:51 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
EARLY PREDICTIONS FOR NEXT WEEKEND (All 3-Day except for the new wide openers): 1. SCARY MOVIE 4 - 39.6 Million (3-Day)/44.7 Million (4-Day) 2. ICE AGE 2 - 20.7 Million 3. THE WILD - 14.5 Million (3-Day)/17.6 Million (4-Day) 4. THE BENCHWARMERS - 9.9 Million 5. TAKE THE LEAD - 8.4 Million 6. INSIDE MAN - 5.5 Million 7. LUCKY NUMBER SLEVIN - 3.9 Million 8. THANK YOU FOR SMOKING - 3.4 Million 9. FAILURE TO LAUNCH - 2.7 Million 10. V FOR VENDETTA - 1.8 Million |
Author: | zingy [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 6:57 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Tracking... Quote: P.S. Pre-Open Midnights will not be allowed for SCARY MOVIE 4. MTC CHAIN: SCARY MOVIE 4: 42 MILLION THE WILD: 15 MILLION =================================== SCARY MOVIE 4: 52 MILLION THE WILD: 18 MILLION THE SENTINEL: 15 MILLION AMERICAN DREAMZ: 8 MILLION SILENT HILL: 18 MILLION RV: 20 MILLION UNITED 93: 14 MILLION Not so good for United 93. The Sentinel is getting better, though. |
Author: | xiayun [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:11 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
$15M for The Wild sounds about right. |
Author: | Jonathan [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:14 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Very good for RV. Though it could be overestimating, like Firewall (Another return to form from a once-B.O.-draw). |
Author: | Libs [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:17 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Reel Source seems off on some of those, although American Dreamz and The Sentinel look about right. |
Author: | DP07 [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I think that's too low on United 93 and Silent Hill, and too high on RV. Otherwise it looks good IMO. |
Author: | haerpinot [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:27 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Is it me or does American Dreamz seem awfully low? I really thought it had a shot at making over $20 mill first weekend when I first started seeing ads. I guess not. Looks about right for this week's openers though, I expect The Wild to perhaps approach $20 mill at best but not go over. $15 mill I think is the least it can do. Scary Movie 4 I can see doing anywhere from $35 to $45 mill. |
Author: | Libs [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:29 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
haerpinot wrote: Is it me or does American Dreamz seem awfully low? I really thought it had a shot at making over $20 mill first weekend when I first started seeing ads. I guess not. Looks about right for this week's openers though, I expect The Wild to perhaps approach $20 mill at best but not go over. $15 mill I think is the least it can do. Scary Movie 4 I can see doing anywhere from $35 to $45 mill. Satires like American Dreamz are just never that popular, no matter how good they might be. I would be surprised if it made more than $40-45M total. |
Author: | Harry Warden [ Mon Apr 10, 2006 7:31 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
At first RV looks too high but crappy family films have done well lately, such as The Pink Panther and CBTD 2. United 93 is almost impossible to gauge right now. Yahoo reviews will likely be flooded with many fake reviews as well from those who think it's too soon. |
Author: | LittleBeaver [ Tue Apr 11, 2006 2:48 am ] |
Post subject: | Scary Movie 4 |
Won't Friday be bigger than normal because it's a holiday? And Sunday night as well. People who like the Scary Movie franchise aren't going to care about Easter that much. They'll go to a show with their friends after dinner. Does anyone agree? |
Author: | Shack [ Tue Apr 11, 2006 3:28 am ] |
Post subject: | |
Yeah, I was looking at last year's chart and Easter seemed to help alot. But none of the predictions here are really reflecting that? So... how much affect is it? |
Author: | The Scottie [ Tue Apr 11, 2006 3:29 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Scary Movie 4 |
LittleBeaver wrote: Won't Friday be bigger than normal because it's a holiday? And Sunday night as well. People who like the Scary Movie franchise aren't going to care about Easter that much. They'll go to a show with their friends after dinner. Does anyone agree? Friday part yes, but Sunday, no. Sunday will have harsher than expected declines. |
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