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| The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=18305 |
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| Author: | A. G. [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 |
http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388 The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable. Studio: 20th Century Fox Director: Clark Johnson Screenwriter: George Nolfi Starring: Michael Douglas, Kiefer Sutherland, Eva Longoria, Kim Basinger Genre: Crime, Drama, Thriller MPAA Rating: PG-13 (for some intense action violence and a scene of sensuality) Official Website: Sentinelthemovie.com Plot Summary: [spoil]When a colleague is murdered, Secret Service agent Pete Garrison is put in charge of the investigation. But Garrison himself becomes a suspect after he is blackmailed by someone who knows of his affair with the first lady. Stripped of his duties and now a fugitive, Garrison races to prove his innocence and save the president's life.[/spoil] Trailer: http://www.apple.com/trailers/fox/thesentinel/ |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:37 pm ] |
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Hehe, just replace "Pete Garrison" with Jack Bauer and you've got the plot of the next 24 season. |
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| Author: | Jonathan [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:53 pm ] |
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Tracking has his at $12M, which seems way too low. I small a profitable hit. Opening: 17.9 Total: 58.5 (3.27) |
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| Author: | Shack [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:54 pm ] |
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I've learned my lesson on adult thrillers. 20/74. |
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| Author: | Joker's Thug #3 [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:10 pm ] |
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Well theres a difference between an adult thriller starring someone like Sean Penn & Nicole Kidman or Denzel Washington & Jodie Foster compared to one with Michael Douglas & Keifer Sutherland, especially when that movie is coming out right after a very successful adult thriller. Tracking is probably on the money, the spots i've seen so far have been looking like your typical thriller, the cast probably wont be making people to rush out to see it. Maybe reviews will help the movie out, if it happens to be good. |
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| Author: | zingy [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:57 pm ] |
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16/50. |
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| Author: | A. G. [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 4:29 pm ] |
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Shack wrote: I've learned my lesson on adult thrillers. 20/74. Yeah that's close to what I predict. 24/75. Not bad, as long as the budget isn't too high. It should do at least as well as the Interpreter. The downside is it is written by the guy who wrote the craptastic Ocean's 12 and Timeline. |
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| Author: | MovieDude [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:34 pm ] |
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Marketing doens't seem all that strong, and competition is stiff. The other two openers both have strong appeal to adults, and with Thank You for Smoking going to be in it's peak that weekend, I think it'll suffer. The poor marketing done by Fox thusfar (maybe they're given it the limited campaign they have been because I believe they didn't actually finance the film, just distribute it) won't help either. Still, with a PG-13 rating and the cast it has, it'll do moderately well. I'm guessing 14/40 |
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| Author: | A. G. [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 5:40 pm ] |
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Marketing isn't real strong but it isn't bad either, I've seen regular ads during shows such as 24, House and other popular TV shows. I see about 1 ad for it per night lately. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 7:14 pm ] |
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I think it has some potential, and the marketing hasn't been bad. 17m/56m |
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| Author: | Excel [ Thu Apr 06, 2006 9:26 pm ] |
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20/70 |
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| Author: | getluv [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 11:51 am ] |
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It looks generic. a la FIREWALL. But it could surprise, considering Fox have been doing well lately. |
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| Author: | Libs [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 11:52 am ] |
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I see a performance very similiar to Michael Douglas' last thriller, Don't Say a Word. That opened to about $17M and ended with around $55M. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun Apr 16, 2006 12:38 pm ] |
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$19m/$57m That would be a solid gross. |
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| Author: | A. G. [ Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:50 pm ] |
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Who is the lead in The Sentinel? The ads made it look like Kiefer is the lead, but many of you predictors are talking of it as a Michael Douglas movie. So I'm confuzzled. |
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| Author: | Libs [ Mon Apr 17, 2006 3:54 pm ] |
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Archie Gates wrote: Who is the lead in The Sentinel? The ads made it look like Kiefer is the lead, but many of you predictors are talking of it as a Michael Douglas movie. So I'm confuzzled. Douglas is the main lead, although it's possible Sutherland has just as big of a role. |
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| Author: | Thegun [ Mon Apr 17, 2006 4:08 pm ] |
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There obviously marketing it towards Sutherland, to get the 24 crowd in. Douglas is the main lead, but hasnt had a hit since Don't Say a Word which was all the way in 2001, and still only grossed 55 million. Though I think it looks solid, and a lot like Firewall, even if it opens soft, Im feeling some legs, maybe aroun 17 open and a 50-60 finish. |
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| Author: | A. G. [ Wed Apr 19, 2006 12:50 am ] |
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Is this movie not being screened for critics? Because there are hardly any reviews up on RT. |
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| Author: | Johnny Dollar [ Wed Apr 19, 2006 6:39 pm ] |
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And the few reviews that are there are pretty toxic. Disappointing...I'd held out a kernel of hope for this one. |
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| Author: | Squee [ Wed Apr 19, 2006 10:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 |
Archie Gates wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388 The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable. They should make a "24: The movie." It can be the first 24 hour movie ever created!! |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:22 am ] |
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The stellar cast won't make up for the sparse marketing. Looking for a $14 million weekend but decent legs with good WOM. |
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| Author: | trixster [ Thu Apr 20, 2006 10:48 pm ] |
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15.5/49 I don't know what you guys mean about "sparse marketing". I've seen a ton of ads for this. |
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| Author: | zingy [ Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:13 am ] |
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14/45. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 |
Squee wrote: Archie Gates wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388 The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable. They should make a "24: The movie." It can be the first 24 hour movie ever created!! I remember reading that there actually is a 24 movie in the works. |
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| Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Fri Apr 21, 2006 6:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Sentinel prediction thread - opens April 21 |
DP07 wrote: Squee wrote: Archie Gates wrote: http://www.comingsoon.net/films.php?id=10388 The ads make it look like 24: the movie, which is a good thing as far as marketing goes. It looks pretty exciting, even if nothing super great or memorable. They should make a "24: The movie." It can be the first 24 hour movie ever created!! I remember reading that there actually is a 24 movie in the works. It is. Should probably by out by 2008. |
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