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Top 15 For 2006
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Author:  O [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Top 15 For 2006
Make up what you see as the top 10-15 of 2006. Its as simple as that.

1 POTC 2 $119 m/$430 m
2 Da Vinci Code $69 m/$315 m
3 Cars $75 m/$267 m
4 Xmen 3 $112 m (4day)/$245 m
5 Superman $80 m/$243 m
6 Ice Age 2 $72 m/$235 m
7 Over The Hedge $52 m/$205 m
8 MI3 $62 m/$185 m
9 Happy Feet $45 m/$175 m
10 Charlotte's Web $19 m/$160 m
11 Casino Royale $38 m/$150 m (great legs for a Bond film)
12 Click $44 m/$135 m
13 Santa Clause 3 $31 m/$130 m
14 Eragon $21 m/$130 m
15 Apocolypto $33 m/$125 m
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest- $350M
2. The Da Vinci Code- $285M
3. Happy Feet- $280M
4. X-Men: The Last Stand- $255M
5. Ice Age: The Meldown- $247M
6. Mission: Impossible 3- $218M
7. Cars- $213M
8. Superman Returns- $198M
9. Over the Hedge- $185M
10. Charlotte's Web- $176M
11. Click- $155M
12. The Break-Up- $150M
13. Poseidon- $141M
14. Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby- $120M
15. The Ant Bully/The Barnyard/Open Season/Monster House- $120M (who knows how they will perform)

16. Casino Royale- $119M
17. Eragon- $118M (?)
18. You Me and Dupree- $115M
19. Scary Movie 4- $111M
20. Santa Clause 3- $110M
21. Super Ex-Girlfriend- $110M (Surprise of the Year?!) :unsure:
22. Lady in the Water- $105M
23. The Fast and the Furious 3: Tokyo Drift- $90M-$100M
24. The Wild- $80M-$100M
25. Apocalypto- $70M-$90M
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJs Predictions:

1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Mans Chest - 154m | 588m

2. Superman Returns - 118m | 360m-410m

3. Happy Feet - 68m | 356m

4. The Da Vinci Code - 80m | 324m

5. Cars - 64m | 285m

6. X-Men: The Last Stand - 104m | 262m

7. Ice Age: The Meltdown - 65m | 240m

8. Over the Hedge - 54m | 225m

9. Mission Impossible III - 82m | 216m

10. Eragon - 42m | 205m

11. You Me and Dupree - 30m | 186m

12. Poseidon - 52m | 168m

13. Flushed Away - 46m | 165m

14. Click - 55m | 160m

15. The Break-Up - 34m | 152m

16. Night at the Museum - 25m | 150m

17. Charlots Web - 16m | 145m

18. The Santa Clause 3 - 26m | 140m

19. Lady in the Water - 40m | 132m

20. Casion Royal - 36m | 126m

I expect around 24-28 films over 100m this year.
Author:  O [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
A Bug's Life adjusts to $229 m, so I don't think Cars will go under that, even with the intense competition.
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
BJs Predictions:

.


you sir, are crazy! :happy:

and i wont argue with you! :tongue:
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
matatonio wrote:
BJ wrote:
BJs Predictions:

.


you sir, are crazy! :happy:

and i wont argue with you! :tongue:


:glare:
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
matatonio wrote:
BJ wrote:
BJs Predictions:

.


you sir, are crazy! :happy:

and i wont argue with you! :tongue:


:glare:


:glare:
Author:  O [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
matatonio wrote:
BJ wrote:
matatonio wrote:
BJ wrote:
BJs Predictions:

.


you sir, are crazy! :happy:

and i wont argue with you! :tongue:


:glare:


:glare:


:nonono:

:lol:

You both need to do a top 25 now for interrupting the flop of the top 15 for the year predictions! :biggrin:

I'm serious! :disgust:







:tongue:
Author:  zingy [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:45 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think Apocalypto is going to surprise a lot of people when it bombs.
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:51 pm ]
Post subject: 
O wrote:

:nonono:

:lol:

You both need to do a top 25 now for interrupting the flop of the top 15 for the year predictions! :biggrin:

I'm serious! :disgust:








:tongue:


FINE!!!....

:P
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:53 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
I think Apocalypto is going to surprise a lot of people when it bombs.


You dont see it anywhere within my top 20 :shades: looks like utter drivel.
Author:  zingy [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:55 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I think Apocalypto is going to surprise a lot of people when it bombs.


You dont see it anywhere within my top 20 :shades: looks like utter drivel.


Yeah, but matatonio and O have it making over $100 million total.

I don't think it'll even make $50 million.
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:57 pm ]
Post subject: 
well yeah, but i dont see it beeing a huge bomb. this is not an interesting story for Americans IMO, i overestimated by a lot (ill lower it). It will do very good overseas.

i am very interested in this movie, i love everything about the Mayan Civilization
Author:  O [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:58 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I think Apocalypto is going to surprise a lot of people when it bombs.


You dont see it anywhere within my top 20 :shades: looks like utter drivel.


Yeah, but matatonio and O have it making over $100 million total.

I don't think it'll even make $50 million.


It's Gibson's follow up to a $400 m TPOTC, so I'm giving it the benefit of the doubt until I actually see some reviews for it. It could go either way (ie success or massive flop), but its August, and really weird stuff always does well in that month...
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 3:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
the Budget is less than $50M.....it wont bomb :smile:
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 3:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
O wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
I think Apocalypto is going to surprise a lot of people when it bombs.


You dont see it anywhere within my top 20 :shades: looks like utter drivel.


Yeah, but matatonio and O have it making over $100 million total.

I don't think it'll even make $50 million.


It's Gibson's follow up to a $400 m TPOTC, so I'm giving it the benefit of the doubt until I actually see some reviews for it. It could go either way (ie success or massive flop), but its August, and really weird stuff always does well in that month...


doesnt matter, the film looks like drivel.
Author:  Shack [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 3:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Da Vinci Code - $295 mil
2. Pirates of the Caribeann 2 - $285 mil
3. Cars - $270 mil
4. Ice Age 2 - $265 mil
5. X3: The Last Stand - $225 mil
6. Over the Hedge - $215 mil
7. Click - $205 mil
8. Superman Returns - $175 mil
9. Happy Feet - $173 mil
10. Mission Impossible 3 - $165 mil
11. Charlotte's Web - $160 mil
12. Eragon - $155 mil
13. You, Me, and Dupree - $145 mil
14. The Break Up - $130 mil
15. Fast and the Furious 3 - $125 mil

Apocalypto - About $20 mil.
Author:  Jmart [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 5:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
Pirates of the Carribean 2 - $400m
Cars - $275m
The Da Vinci Code - $250m (I think it also depends on the rating)
Superman Returns - $245m
Ice Age 2 - $230m
Click - $200m
Charlotte's Web - $190m
Mission: Impossible 3 - $180m
X-Men: The Last Stand - $175m
Casino Royale (If it's good, it'll be huge) - $150m
The Santa Clause 3 - $140m
Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby - $130m
You, Me and Dupree - $125m
Scary Movie 4 - $120m
World Trade Center: $115m - It depends on the rating and how politically biased it is. If it's a straight forward telling of the story (From Oliver Stone, I'm not expecting that), it'll be big. For now, that's where I'm putting it.
The Breakup - $110m
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 5:19 pm ]
Post subject: 
i forgot about Scary Movie 4
Author:  BJ [ Sat Apr 01, 2006 9:16 pm ]
Post subject: 
this thread reeks of under predictions.
Author:  O [ Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
I'm very uncertain about Lady In The Water. It has the widest potential. It could imo do as low as $60 m, and go much higher if its an actual good film. But I'm leaning towards it getting under $100 m. Three reasons. First Paul Giammati doesn't have as much starpower as some of the earlier films have had. Second, WB is taking on this one, making me think that there was a reason Disney passed on this that might be a reason for audiences to "pass" on it. Third, its coming off of the Village. Here's a list of the worst weekend-total multipliers for films opening over $50 m:

45 Van Helsing $51,748,040 43.10% $120,177,084 5/7/2004 2.32235045
46 8 Mile $51,240,555 43.90% $116,750,901 11/8/2002 2.278486269
49 The Village $50,746,142 44.40% $114,197,520 7/30/2004 2.250368511
28 Hulk $62,128,420 47.00% $132,177,234 6/20/2003 2.127484233

These 4 films are the only $50 m + openers to ever have a multiplier under 2.5. Using the Hannibal/Red Dragon (down 44%), Tomb Raider/Tomb Raider II (down 50%), Matrix II/III (down 51%) comparisons, I'm going to say that Lady in the Water takes a 40% drop from The Village to end with a $68-70 m total. Reviews would have to be glowing, the film would have to be really good, and there would have to be a real lack of competition for this to push past $100 m imo.
Author:  trixster [ Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $360 million
2. The Da Vinci Code - $300 million
3. Cars - $265 million
4. X3 - $240 million
5. Superman Returns - $220 million
6. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $210 million
7. Mission: Impossible 3 - $190 million
8. Over the Hedge - $180 million
9. Charlotte's Web - $175 million
10. Happy Feet - $160 million
11. Click - $150 million
12. Eragon - $140 million
13. Poseidon - $130 million
14. The Break Up - $125 million
15. Lady in the Water - $120 million
Author:  zingy [ Fri Apr 14, 2006 1:50 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $340 million
2. Cars - $270 million
3. X-Men: The Last Stand - $240 million
4. The Da Vinci Code - $230 million
5. Superman Returns - $220 million
6. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $210 million
7. Mission: Impossible III - $200 million
8. Happy Feet - $190 million
9. Over the Hedge - $185 million
10. Charlotte's Web - $175 million
11. Click - $150 million
12. The Break-Up - $140 million
13. Eragon - $140 million
14. Poseidon - $135 million
15. Casino Royale - $130 million
16. You, Me and Dupree - $125 million
17. Lady in the Water - $115 million
18. World Trade Center - $110 million
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Fri Apr 14, 2006 2:32 pm ]
Post subject: 
Magnus101 wrote:
No 350m+ film? Every year aside from 2000 has had a film gross at least 350m in the year since 1998.


Er...

2000: The Grinch $260,044,825
2001: Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone $317,575,550
Author:  BJ [ Fri Apr 14, 2006 10:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
1. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $340 million
2. Cars - $270 million
3. X-Men: The Last Stand - $240 million
4. The Da Vinci Code - $230 million
5. Superman Returns - $220 million
6. Ice Age: The Meltdown - $210 million
7. Mission: Impossible III - $200 million
8. Happy Feet - $190 million
9. Over the Hedge - $185 million
10. Charlotte's Web - $175 million
11. Click - $150 million
12. The Break-Up - $140 million
13. Eragon - $140 million
14. Poseidon - $135 million
15. Casino Royale - $130 million
16. You, Me and Dupree - $125 million
17. Lady in the Water - $115 million
18. World Trade Center - $110 million


:puke:
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