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May Predictions!
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=17581		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  O [ Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:46 pm ]
Post subject:  May Predictions!
I know this is two months away, but this May is SO big, that it needs a thread now! :tongue: At least this way, one can make predictions ahead of time, and see how they did, rather than the usual 1-2 weeks before. So have fun and make some predictions!

May 5

Mission: Impossible 3 $70 m/$190 m
House of Wax, Kingdom, and Crash were all wrong for the first weekend of May last year. People like fluff like this. I don't want this to do that well, but it seems like it will given WOTW hardly felt a dent w/ Cruise's annoying behavior. He's also expecting a baby around this film's release date. :wacko:

May 12

Goal! The Dream Begins (BV) $5 m/$14 m
Just My Luck (Lindsay Lohan) $15 m/$48 m (Looks horrendous lately, but the movie looks ok).
Poseidon $26 m/$73 m

May 19

The Da Vinci Code $68 m/$295 m
Over the Hedge $49 m/$205 m
See No Evil $20/$51 m

May 26

X-Men: The Last Stand $112 m (4days)/$235 m
Author:  Shack [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:06 am ]
Post subject: 
Mission: Impossible 3 - 80/215

May 12

Goal! The Dream Begins - Wha? I don't even know what this is.
Just My Luck - 25/83
Poseidon - 33/93

May 19

The Da Vinci Code - 85/320
Over the Hedge 65/265 m
See No Evil 21/52

May 26

X-Men: The Last Stand 110(4-day)/225
Author:  El Maskado [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:11 am ]
Post subject: 
Why the 20+ opening for See No Evil?? The trailer got laughed at as soon as the WWE logo appeared


Mission: Impossible 3 - 60/145 (45/125 if he names the baby Xenu or L Ron Hubbard )

May 12
Just My Luck - 8/24
Poseidon - 40/110

May 19

The Da Vinci Code - 65/225
Over the Hedge 55/190 m
See No Evil 4/9

May 26

X-Men: The Last Stand 115(4-day)/235
Author:  Jonathan [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:37 am ]
Post subject: 
5/5
Mission: Impossible 3
Opening: 63.5
Total: 180.4 (2.84)

5/12
Poseidon
Opening: 53.2
Total: 143.1 (2.69)

Just My Luck
Opening: 14.1
Total: 47.4 (3.36)

Goal! The Dream Begins
Opening: 4.2
Total: 15.3 (3.64)

5/19

The Da Vinci Code
Opening: 78.9
Total: 266.7 (3.38)

Over the Hedge
Opening: 37.0
Total: 162.0 (4.38)

See No Evil
Opening: 5.9
Total: 11.5 (1.94)

5/26

X3: The Last Stand
Opening: 96.0 (3-day)
Total: 241.9 (2.52)
Author:  Jonathan [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:40 am ]
Post subject: 
BTW, anyone else expecting somebody to move some prestigous indie flick to the first weekend, hoping to repeat Crash's success?
Author:  Rev [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 1:14 am ]
Post subject: 
May 5
Mission: Impossible 3 $80m/$210m

May 12
Poseidon $40m/$90m

May 19
The Da Vinci Code $50m/$160m
Over the Hedge $60m/$175m

May 26
X-Men: The Last Stand $110m (4days)/$250m
Author:  Shack [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 1:35 am ]
Post subject: 
See No Evil is WWE's movie? I didn't really know what it was, I just assumed it was the regular gore horror movie like The Hills Have Eyes or whatever.
Author:  getluv [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 3:07 am ]
Post subject: 
GOAL completely flopped in Australia. SO anything over $10m.

I see MISSION IMPOSSIBLE 3 and DA VINCI CODE really bringing home the dough this month.

I do expect X3 to open well, but to drop like flies even if it is decent.

HEDGE could be a victim of CGI overload.

And JUST MY LUCK may become a sleeper hit.
Author:  MadGez [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 7:37 am ]
Post subject: 
Mission: Impossible 3 - 72/193m

May 12

Goal! The Dream Begins - 3/8m.
Just My Luck - 22/79m
Poseidon - 31/84m

May 19

The Da Vinci Code - 83/287m
Over the Hedge 50/188m
See No Evil 6/14m

May 26

X-Men: The Last Stand 110(4-day)/231
Author:  Excel [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 8:04 am ]
Post subject: 
mi3-72/211
poseidon-57/170
davinci-68/260
x3-90/118/240
Author:  Harry Warden [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 12:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
May 5:

An American Haunting - 5/14. A low budget horror film that won't set the world on fire, to say the least.
M:I 3 - 60/210 million. Having a recent Oscar winner playing the baddie shouldn't hurt what was already destined to be big.

May 12:

Alpha Dog - 7/20. Justin Timberlake, Emile Hirsch, Bruce Willis, Sharon Stone, and Ben Foster star in a crime drama about the youngest person to ever appear on the "FBI's Ten Most Wanted" list, a drug dealer turned kidnapper Johnny Truelove. While it sounds intriguing, it isn't the type of film to do all that well with mainstream audiences.

Goal! The Dream Begins - 4/10. British import than seems destined to flop in the land where Soccer is not very popular.

Just My Luck - 15/50. Lindsay Lohan looks awful lately but still seems to have some pull with young audiences.

Poseidon - 40/110. Needless remake that still should pull in decent numbers.

May 19:

The Da Vinci Code - 80/250. This film will be huge.

Over the Hedge - 40/140. CGI film that should do decently but suffer from competition.

See No Evil - 6/14. Lionsgate should move this up to April or else it will flop.

May 26:

X-Men: The Last Stand - 85/250.
Author:  neo_wolf [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 3:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
MI3: 60/210
Poseidon: 40/100
DVC:45/140
X3:80/210
Author:  paper [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:00 pm ]
Post subject: 
Quote:
Over the Hedge $60m/$175m


Not even a 3x multiplier for a CGI movie?
Author:  The Dark Shape [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: May Predictions!
May 5
Mission: Impossible 3 $65/160

May 12
Goal! The Dream Begins $4/11
Just My Luck $14/44
Poseidon $45/115

May 19
The Da Vinci Code $75/230
Over the Hedge $42/180
See No Evil $6/13

May 26
X-Men: The Last Stand $100/127/240
Author:  El Maskado [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 4:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Anything above 5 million opening for See No Evil just looks way too high. I seriously think it will make less than Blood Rayne opening weekend. Not just because its a WWE film but its directed by a porn director
Author:  Kris K [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 5:34 pm ]
Post subject: 
Yeah, i agree JUST MY LUCK will be another hit for lindsay lohan.
Author:  zingy [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 8:08 pm ]
Post subject: 
May 5
Mission: Impossible 3 - 75/188

May 12
Goal! The Dream Begins - 6/18
Just My Luck - 15/53
Poseidon - 50/120

May 19
The Da Vinci Code - 60/192
Over the Hedge - 44/176
See No Evil - 8/18

May 26
X-Men: The Last Stand - 90/113/243
Author:  Outatime [ Wed Mar 08, 2006 10:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
5/5
Mission: Impossible III - 70/200

5/12
Poseidon - 40/105
Just My Luck - 16/55

5/19
The Da Vinci Code - 65/220
Over the Hedge - 44/170
See No Evil - 6/15

5/26
X-Men: The Last Stand - 94/225
Author:  MovieDude [ Thu Mar 09, 2006 9:56 am ]
Post subject: 
May 5th:
Am American Haunting (BOM estimates it at 2,000 theaters) 6/16
Mission Impossible 3 77/207

May 12th:
Goal! The Dream Begins 3/10
Just My Luck 17/47
Poseidon 50/140 (Could go up or down big time depending on the final trailer coming next week)

May 19th:
The Da Vinci Code 80/230
Over the Hedge 40/145 (The huge amount of CGI movies has really made their event status decline.)
See No Evil 9/21 (No matter how awful it is, this is LGF, and I bet they churn out some surprisingly strong TV spots)

May 26th:
X-Men: The Last Stand 90/110/230

I think all five of the big movies this month will do very well, but I don't think any will be as huge as they could've been due to the immense amount of competition. They've all been marketed well, although I think Dreamworks looks like it's somewhat dropping the ball on Over the Hedge, while WB is turning what could've been a bomb in Poseidon into an average-sized blockbuster (have you guys seen the final poster? I can't think of a better way they could have gone with it from a marketing standpoint.)
Author:  getluv [ Thu Mar 09, 2006 10:10 am ]
Post subject: 
That court case in London is really helping THE DA VINCI codes chances for awareness at least. Every article mentions the release date and Tom Hanks. Btw, It looks like one of the plantiff's arguements are starting to weaken considerably.
Author:  BJ [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
May:

May 5-7
Mission Impossible III - 100m | 245m
American Haunting - 6m | 15m

May 12-14
Poseidon - 56m | 168m
Just My Luck - 18m | 65m
Goal: The Dream Begins - 10m | 34m

May 19-21
The Da Vinci Code - 80m | 324m
Over the Hedge - 54m | 218m
See No Evil - 8m | 20m

May 26-28
X-Men: The Last Stand - 104m | 262m
Author:  andaroo1 [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
getluv wrote:
That court case in London is really helping THE DA VINCI codes chances for awareness at least. Every article mentions the release date and Tom Hanks. Btw, It looks like one of the plantiff's arguements are starting to weaken considerably.

That court case is such garbage. It is going to come down to the fact that they correctly referenced the book as a resource in the book itself, and they are not the only other authors that have written about the subject.

It's a money grab, and Dan Brown should win. I dunno if he will win in Europe though. Europeans tend to want to nail Americans to the wall just for spite.
Author:  BJ [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:50 pm ]
Post subject: 
Magnus101 wrote:
BJ wrote:
May 26-28
X-Men: The Last Stand - 104m | 262m


WOW! BJ actually made a predict that was realsitic!

May 5th
MI3 80m/205m

May 12th
Poesidon 50m/140m
Just My Luck 17m/51m

May 19th
DVC 75m/275m
OTH 45m/160m

Memorial Day
X3 120m(4-day) / 265m

all but X-3 are underpredicted.
Author:  BJ [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:54 pm ]
Post subject: 
Magnus101 wrote:
BJ wrote:
all but X-3 are underpredicted.


All but X-3 are overpredicted for yours :biggrin:


yeah riiigggghhhtttt :tongue:
Author:  O [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:55 pm ]
Post subject: 
I've thought it ever since I heard they were making it, Poseidon will not be this success that so many think it will. 5 B-list stars does not equal one A-list star. The wave has been overdone w/ the Perfect Storm, and there's actually something else to see this May.
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