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Weekend Estimates
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=17488		 Page 1 of 1
Author:  Libs [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Weekend Estimates
[font=Verdana]1 MADEA'S FAMILY REUNION $13,000,000 -56.7% $48,099,000
2 16 BLOCKS $11,655,000 NEW $11,655,000
3 EIGHT BELOW $10,268,000 -35.3% $58,767,000
4 ULTRAVIOLET $9,000,000 NEW $9,000,000
5 AQUAMARINE $7,500,000 NEW $7,500,000
6 THE PINK PANTHER $7,000,000 -36.9% $69,785,000
7 DAVE CHAPPELLE'S BLOCK PARTY $6,516,000 NEW $6,516,000
8 DATE MOVIE $5,125,000 -43.8% $40,703,000
9 CURIOUS GEORGE $4,444,000 -38.4% $49,227,000
10 FIREWALL $3,605,000 -46.1% $42,515,000[

11 FINAL DESTINATION 3 $3,200,000 -41.8% $49,679,000
12 BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN $2,514,000 +9.6% $78,906,000
13 CAPOTE $2,011,000 +88.5% $25,898,000
14 DOOGAL $1,964,000 -45.5% $6,199,000
15 TRANSAMERICA $1,573,000 +84.8% $6,754,000
16 RUNNING SCARED $1,375,000 -59.3% $5,971,000
17 NANNY McPHEE $1,302,000 -45.8% $44,452,000
18 WHEN A STRANGER CALLS $1,150,000 -54.2% $47,102,000
19 BIG MOMMA'S HOUSE 2 $1,100,000 -54.9% $67,280,000
N/A MRS. HENDERSON PRESENTS $966,000 -3.5% $8,533,000
N/A THE THREE BURIALS OF MELQUAIDES ESTRADA $752,000 -28.5% $2,933,000
N/A WALK THE LINE $510,000 -29.7% $118,250,000
N/A MUNICH $503,000 +0.1% $46,785,000
N/A NIGHT WATCH (NOCHNOI DOZOR) $365,000 +76.2% $778,000 (PTA: $2,310)[/font]

http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =09&p=.htm
Author:  zingy [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
Final Destination 3 is about $300,000 from $50 million total. Yay.

Weak PTA for Block Party.
Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Weekend Estimates (more soon)
Libs wrote:
[font=Verdana]16 BLOCKS $11,655,000 NEW $11,655,000
EIGHT BELOW $10,268,000 -35.3% $58,767,000
ULTRAVIOLET $9,000,000 NEW $9,000,000
AQUAMARINE $7,500,000 NEW $7,500,000
THE PINK PANTHER $7,000,000 -36.9% $69,785,000
DAVE CHAPPELLE'S BLOCK PARTY $6,516,000 NEW $6,516,000
DATE MOVIE $5,125,000 -43.8% $40,703,000
CURIOUS GEORGE $4,444,000 -38.4% $49,227,000
FIREWALL $3,605,000 -46.1% $42,515,000[

FINAL DESTINATION 3 $3,200,000 -41.8% $49,679,000
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN $2,514,000 +9.6% $78,906,000
CAPOTE $2,011,000 +88.5% $25,898,000[/font]



Wow, Brokeback increased 10%. nice. Hopefully with some big award wins tonight, it can get back to 4-5 million next weekend...

Capote's increase was especially impressive
Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
According to Mojo, Madea came in with 13 million
Author:  Kris K [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
Boring for all openers. None of them will top $35M.
Aquamarine had a good internal multiplier.

Nice increases for Brokeback and Capote. Brokeback will have over $80M going into next weekend. But i think the limit is $90M.

Capote's total is strong.

Final Destination 3 and Curious George will pass $50M during the week. Fantastic.

Panther could reach $90M.
Author:  Christian [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
n/m
Author:  Christian [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
What's the precedent for Oscar nominees on the actual weekend of the Oscars? Increases or slight decreases?
Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
it's really too bad that Brokeback couldn't keep it's number of screens up, because key wins tonight could have done wonders for it during the week next week, but the soonest it can expand is Friday...
Author:  Kris K [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:51 pm ]
Post subject: 
-56.7% drop for Madea....expected. $48,099,000 After 2 weeks is fantastic.

Block Party was the only opener with a good PTA. Yeugh.
$48.5M is the absolute max for WASC.
Author:  O [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 1:56 pm ]
Post subject: 
Eww! The top 10 is 25.4% under 2005, and 38.8% under 2004. :sweat: Granted TPOTC effect is taking place now. But being that under 2005 the studios won't be able to blame TPOTC.
Author:  Libs [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
O wrote:
Eww! The top 10 is 25.4% under 2005, and 38.8% under 2004. :sweat: Granted TPOTC effect is taking place now. But being that under 2005 the studios won't be able to blame TPOTC.


Is anoyne really surprised by this, though? The Pacifier opened to $30M and Be Cool opened to $23M last year, and not one of the new releases even hit $12M this year.
Author:  O [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:10 pm ]
Post subject: 
Libs wrote:
O wrote:
Eww! The top 10 is 25.4% under 2005, and 38.8% under 2004. :sweat: Granted TPOTC effect is taking place now. But being that under 2005 the studios won't be able to blame TPOTC.


Is anoyne really surprised by this, though? The Pacifier opened to $30M and Be Cool opened to $23M last year, and not one of the new releases even hit $12M this year.


I thought that the studios would learn that March is now the strongest month of the year outside of the summer, and Nov/Dec. It can often compete with August as well, to rank up in the top 6 months of the year (Ex. 3 $30 m + openers in 2005, 5 $20 m + and 3 $30 m + openers in 2002). Then there's 2004, where Passion made $194 m in March alone. The studios are underutilizing this very profitable month. Next weekend should be different, but this year in particular, April seems to be the strong month compared to March in terms of studio film placements, with Ice Age 2 likely making 90% of its gross in April, and not March.
Author:  Terminator1997 [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:12 pm ]
Post subject: 
Die Madea...DIE!
Author:  Korrgan [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
Ihopeallyoupeoplethatwereall"Omgz,donotunderestimatedapowahofChapelle!"haveacrappyweek. :mad:
Author:  torrino [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
Korrgan wrote:
Ihopeallyoupeoplethatwereall"Omgz,donotunderestimatedapowahofChapelle!"haveacrappyweek. :mad:

You listened to them!
Author:  Joker's Thug #3 [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:46 pm ]
Post subject: 
:lol: People actually thought Block Party would do 14m+ That sucks though, 6m? I was thinking it could get closer to 10m, just not much interest in that type of movie. It's been getting great reviews and I really like Dave Chappelle but I have almost 0 interest in seeing this.
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 2:54 pm ]
Post subject: 
Huh, most people probably had no idea that Chapelle was even out, let alone did they care.

I predicted $17 million for it because of the The Original Kings of Comedy comparison.
Author:  Cotton [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 3:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
Too bad Munich couldn't capatilize as much as Brokeback or Capote.

Nice to see that The Pink Panther probably WON'T pass $100 million.
Author:  Snrub [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 3:33 pm ]
Post subject: 
Cotton wrote:
Too bad Munich couldn't capatilize as much as Brokeback or Capote.

Nice to see that The Pink Panther probably WON'T pass $100 million.


It'll probably top out at about $85-90 million. Which, while hardly awesome, is still a nice little package for Sony. I'd still expect to see a sequel somewhere down the line.
Author:  Thegun [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 3:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
MG Casey wrote:
Huh, most people probably had no idea that Chapelle was even out, let alone did they care.

I predicted $17 million for it because of the The Original Kings of Comedy comparison.


The only thing though, it wasn't a standup show, or even a documentary, it was a crappy shot film, Kings of Comedy also had the Spike Lee name attached. I never thought it would do over 7 million.

But yea, it sucks that not even one film broke out this week, luckily we should have three solid openers next week.
Author:  O [ Sun Mar 05, 2006 3:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
Wow. Capote has yet to even make it to the top 12 of any weekend, and yet will get to $30 m +.
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