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March 3-5 predictions
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=17229		 Page 1 of 5
Author:  getluv [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 1:16 pm ]
Post subject:  March 3-5 predictions
16 Blocks - $9m
Aquamarine - $7m
Ultraviolet - $14m
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - $12k pta.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 1:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
Ew, Madea has a chance at a two-week #1 run?

16 Blocks - $12M (This doesn't seem to have as much interest as Firewall, which is pretty bad)
Ultraviolet - $11M (I've seen interest, but I don't think it'll be enough)
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - $9M (Could be another Original Kings of Comedy)
Aquamarine - $8M (JoJo, yay!)

Drops
Doogal - 40% ($2.2M)
Madea - 60% ($11.5M)
Running Scared - 65% ($0.8M)
Author:  zingy [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 1:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
Ultraviolet - $13 million
16 Blocks - $13 million
Aquamarine - $8 million
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - $7 million
Author:  Libs [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 1:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks - $15 million
Ultraviolet - $8 million
Dave Chappelle - $7 million
Aquamarine - $6 million
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 1:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 BLOCKS - 18.9 MILLION
BLOCK PARTY - 11.9 MILLION
ULTRAVIOLET - 5.6 MILLION
AQUAMARINE - 5.2 MILLION
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 4:57 pm ]
Post subject: 
But AEON FLUX didn't have terrible cinematography and it had a hot chick ;).
Author:  haerpinot [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 5:06 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks $16 mill (appropriately enough)
Dave Chappelle's Block Party $9.5 mill (this should hurt Madea a lot, btw)
Aquamarine $7 mill
Ultraviolet $5.5 mill (bombs away)
Author:  torrino [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 5:19 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks - $10.8m
Ultraviolet - $8.3m
Block Party - $7.8m
Aquamarine - $6.7m
Author:  Shack [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 5:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks - 18 mil. (People need their Bruce.)
UltraViolet - 14 mil
Aquamarine - 7 mil
Dave Chappele's Block Party - 6 mil
Author:  newfoundglorysp [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 6:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
will block party and madea be able to co-exist?
/ will block party still be able to flourish or is the urban movie now tired out after madea?
Author:  Libs [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 6:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
What exactly *is* the Dave Chappelle movie?

Does it have musical performances? Is it Chappelle's comedy? I'm confused.
Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 6:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
Libs wrote:
What exactly *is* the Dave Chappelle movie?

Does it have musical performances? Is it Chappelle's comedy? I'm confused.


It's a concert film. Like what Richard Pryor and Eddie Murphy used to do in the 80's.
Author:  misterglass [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 11:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks 18.5 million
Ultraviolet 15 million
Dave Chappelles Block Party 11.5 million
Aquamarine 6.5 million
Author:  misterglass [ Sat Feb 25, 2006 11:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Dave Chappelle is more than a concert comedy film. It's the documentation of an all-day show Dave put on in Brooklyn which includes comedy bits as well as musical performances, and it documents him preparing for the show, as well as interviews with him and some of the artists, rehearsals... I'd say it's like a cross between the Woodstock movie and The Original Kings of Comedy. I think anyone who likes the show will enjoy the movie, even though there are no skits.
Author:  Kris K [ Sun Feb 26, 2006 9:29 am ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks $14,000,000
Aquamarine $7,500,000
Ultraviolet $9,000,000
Dave Chappelle's Block Party $4,000,000

Rubbish weekend.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Feb 26, 2006 11:41 am ]
Post subject: 
I think people are seriously overpredicting Ultraviolet. I smell a bomb.
Author:  PresidentPalmer [ Sun Feb 26, 2006 5:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
Meh its not like the Movies Rated R. So it will probally get over 10 million.
Author:  trixster [ Sun Feb 26, 2006 6:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
16 Blocks - $12 million
Ultraviolet - $7.5 million
Aquamarine - $6.5 million
Dave Chappelle's Block Party - $6 million

Madea will drop about 60% to $12 million as well, so it'll be close for the #1 film.

Nothing but pure crap this weekend.
Author:  El Maskado [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 2:59 pm ]
Post subject: 
If only Block Party had the same number of theaters as Ultraviolet and 16 Blocks, it would of had a chance at number 1
Author:  zingy [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 5:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Partial tracking update:

notfabio wrote:
Looks like Reel Source will come in a little later.

MTC had Madea at 22. DOOGAL at 7. Running Scared at 5 last weekend.

MAJOR THEATRE CHAIN:
16 BLOCKS: 18
MADEA SECOND WEEKEND: 15 MILLION
ULTRAVIOLET: 13
DAVE CHAPPELLE: 10
AQUAMARINE: 5


Not surprised with Ultraviolet. I think most are underpredicting it because they think it looks bad.

That would be damn good for Block Party and 16 Blocks.
Author:  Jonathan [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 5:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
Why do they have tracking for Madea's second weekend?

And I'm amazed at how level 16B's tracking has been. Could this outdo Firewall?

Ultraviolet will make or break everyone's Derby, it seems. There's about a $10M range this could open in.
Author:  Libs [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 6:41 pm ]
Post subject: 
Positive Jon wrote:
Why do they have tracking for Madea's second weekend?

And I'm amazed at how level 16B's tracking has been. Could this outdo Firewall?

Ultraviolet will make or break everyone's Derby, it seems. There's about a $10M range this could open in.


16 Blocks will probably do better than Firewall because it's more action while Firewall was more thriller=more men.

I see around $16-17M this weekend and #1.
Author:  Dkmuto [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 7:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
It looks like Transamerica is finally expanding this weekend, no?

It starts at my theater on Friday.
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 7:59 pm ]
Post subject: 
I don't see Ultraviolet having a big range, and if it does surprise, I actually think it's more likely to be upside than downside.
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Feb 27, 2006 8:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
Reel Source:

notfabio wrote:
16 BLOCKS: 17 MILLION
ULTRAVIOLET: 12 MILLION
AQUAMARINE: 10 MILLION
DAVE CHAPPELLE: 7 MILLION

FUTURE:
SHAGGY DOG: 27 MILLION
V FOR VENDETTA: 26 MILLION
HILLS HAVE EYES: 16 MILLION
FAILURE TO LAUNCH: 12 MILLION
SHE'S THE MAN: 7 MILLION
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