World of KJ :: View topic - The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread

MG Casey wrote:

When is its release date?

Zingaling wrote:

MG Casey wrote:

When is its release date?

November 17. The weekend before Thanksgiving.

I just noticed it's opening against another CGI movie (I think), Foodfight!.

MG Casey wrote:

Opening Weekend: $37 million
Total: $125 million

All of these computer-animated movies will tremendously hurt each other. The ones that succeed will be the ones with the story that teens and adults can enjoy. Right now, from just a dance sequence, I can't really tell if it's going to have smarter writing than the average computer-animated feature. Penguins, though, are hot right now, but not as much this winter. Robin Williams in CGI movie is a plus.

Magnus101 wrote:

OW: 40m

Total: 175m

Opening against Casino Royale hurts its OW, but legs should be very good. Its 2nd weekend actually could be around 40m(11% drop).

How the Grinch STole Christmas was a similar family-film that opened the week before Thanksgiving. It had a 5.4% drop on its 2nd weekend(thanksgiving weekend) and it had a multiplier of 4.7. I won't expect as good as legs because Grinch recived a real good Christmas boost cause it was a Christmas movie, but def. a multiplier above 4.0.

Magnus101 wrote:

Zingaling wrote:

How will Happy Feet be affected by Casino Royale?

That's absurd.

Casino Royale will take away any non-family auidence. Family auidence alone don't power films like IA2, Nemo, Incredibles, etc to a 60m+ OW.

Chicken Little, Robots, and Shark Tale are great examples of what happend to CGI films when it doesn't connect to non-family audience that much. Sure they are big but they are no where near 250m+ big.

Magnus101 wrote:

Zingaling wrote:

How will Happy Feet be affected by Casino Royale?

That's absurd.

Author:	BJ [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 9:06 pm ]
Post subject:	The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread
Release Date: November 17, 2006 Distributor: Warner Bros. Pictures Production Company(s): Village Roadshow Pictures Director: George Miller Producer(s): George Miller, Doug Mitchell, Bill Miller Executive Producer(s): Bruce Berman, Graham Burke, Zareh Nalbandian, Dana Goldberg Screen Writter/ Writting Credits: George Miller, John Collee, Judy Morris, Warren Coleman Music/Composer: John Powell Genre: Adventure, Animation, Comedy, Family, Musical MPAA Rating: PG, for mild perill and rude humor. Happy Feet Cast (Voice): Robin Williams , Noah; Ramone; Adelie; Lovelace Hugh Jackman , Memphis Elijah Wood , Mumble Nicole Kidman , Norma Jean Brittany Burphy , Gloria Hugo Weaving , Noah Steve Irwin , Kev Others Offical Wesite: Happy Feet Official Website Plot Outline: In the great nation of Emperor Penguins, deep in Antarctica, you're nobody unless you can singÃ¢â‚¬â€which is unfortunate for Mumble (Elijah Wood), who is the worst singer in the world. He is born dancing to his own tune... tap dancing. Though Mumble's mom, Norma Jean (Nicole Kidman), thinks this little habit is cute, his dad, Memphis (Hugh Jackman), says it "just ain't penguin." Besides, they both know that, without a Heartsong, Mumble may never find true love. As fate would have it, his one friend, Gloria (Brittany Murphy), happens to be the best singer around. Mumble and Gloria have a connection from the moment they hatch, but she struggles with his strange "hippity- hoppity" ways. Mumble is just too differentÃ¢â‚¬â€especially for Noah the Elder (Hugo Weaving), the stern leader of Emperor Land, who ultimately casts him out of the community. Away from home for the first time, Mumble meets a posse of decidedly un-Emperor-like penguinsÃ¢â‚¬â€the Adelie Amigos. Led by Ramon (Robin Williams), the Adelies instantly embrace Mumble's cool dance moves and invite him to party with them. In Adelie Land, Mumble seeks the counsel of Lovelace the Guru (also voiced by Robin Williams), a crazy-feathered Rockhopper penguin who will answer any of life's questions for the price of a pebble. Together with Lovelace and the Amigos, Mumble sets out across vast landscapes and, after some epic encounters, proves that by being true to yourself, you can make all the difference in the world. Tagline: WARNING: May Cause Toe-Tapping. Movie Poster(s): Trailer(s): Teaser Trailer2 Link to a couple more trailers T.V. Appearances from the cast: - BJs Prediction: Happy Feet Opening Day: 18.20m 2nd Day: 30.04m +65% Opening Wknd: 68.36m - Fri: 18.20m / Sat: 30.04m +65% / Sun: 20.12m -32% 4-Day: 73.18m - Mon: 4.82m -76% 5-Day: 79.46m - Tue: 6.26m +30% 6-Day: 91.98m - Wed: 12.52m +100% Opening Wk: 106.00m - Thur: 14.02m +12% 2nd Wknd: 62.00m -9.5% - Fri: 25.54m +80% / Sat: 22.72m -10% / Sun: 14.04m -38% 11-Day: 170.52m - Mon: 2.52m -82% 12-Day: 172.92m - Tue: 2.40m -5% 13-Day: 174.96m - Wed: 2.04m -15% 2nd Wk: 177.10m - Thur: 2.14m +5% 3rd Wknd: 31.00m -50% - Fri: 7.26m +240% / Sat: 14.68m +102% / Sun: 9.06m -38% 18-Day: 209.74m - Mon: 1.64m -82% 19-Day: 211.48m - Tue: 1.74m +6% 20-Day: 213.04m - Wed: 1.56m -10% 3rd Wk: 214.60m - Thur: 1.56m NC 4th Wknd: 20.28m -34.5% - Fri: 4.68m +200% / Sat: 10.06m +115% / Sun: 5.54m -45% 25-Day: 236.08m - Mon: 1.20m -78% 26-Day: 237.33m - Tue: 1.25m +5% 27-Day: 238.58m - Wed: 1.25m NC 4th Wk: 240.03m - Thur: 1.45m +16% 5th Wknd: 14.18m -30.5% - Fri: 3.85m +165% / Sat: 6.15m +60% / Sun: 4.18m -32% 32-Day: 255.26m - Mon: 1.05m -75% 33-Day: 256.76m - Tue: 1.50m +40% 34-Day: 258.26m - Wed: 1.50m NC 5th Wk: 260.11m - Thur: 1.85m +25% 6th Wknd: 12.00m -15% - Fri: 4.05m +120% / Sat: 5.56m +40% / Sun: 2.30m -50% 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m +1.5% - Mon: 2.40m +5% 40-Day: 279.81m - Tue: 5.30m +115% 41-Day: 284.86m - Wed: 5.05m -4% 6th Wk: 290.16m - Thur: 5.30m +5% 7th Wknd: 16.15m +34.5% - Fri: 5.80m +10% / Sat: 6.10m +5% / Sun: 4.25m -30% 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m +70.5% - Mon: 4.45m +5% 47-Day: 312.51m - Tue: 1.75m -60% 48-Day: 313.56m - Wed: 1.05m -40% 7th Wk: 314.56m - Thur: 1.00m -5% 8th Wknd: 10.50m -35% - Fri: 2.50m +150% / Sat: 5.00m +100% / Sun: 3.00m -40% 53-Day: 325.51m - Mon: .45m -85% 54-Day: 326.01m - Tue: .50m +10% 55-Day: 326.41m - Wed: .40m -20% 8th Wk: 326.81m - Thur: .40m NC 9th Wknd: 7.45m -30% - Fri: 1.45m +260% / Sat: 3.10m +115% / Sun: 2.90m -6% 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m -8.5% - Mon: 2.15m -20% Wk-1: 106.00m - Wknd: 68.36m \| Total: 106.00m Wk-2: 71.10m - Wknd: 62.00m \| Total: 177.10m Wk-3: 37.50m - Wknd: 31.00m \| Total: 214.60m Wk-4: 25.43m - Wknd: 20.28m \| Total: 240.03m Wk-5: 20.08m - Wknd: 14.18m \| Total: 260.11m Wk-6: 30.05m - Wknd: 12.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m \| Total: 290.16m Wk-7: 24.40m - Wknd: 16.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m \| Total: 314.65m Wk-8: 11.90m - Wknd: 10.50m \| Total: 326.81m Wk-9: 10.40m - Wknd: 7.45m - 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m \| Total: 337.21m Wk-10: 5.56m - Wknd: 4.75m \| Total: 342.77m Wk-11: 3.45m - Wknd: 2.85m \| Total: 346.22m Wk-12: 2.80m - Wknd: 2.25m \| Total: 349.02m Wk-13: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.55m \| Total: 351.02m Wk-14: 1.35m - Wknd: 1.10m \| Total: 352.37m Wk-15: 1.10m - Wknd: .75m - 4-Day-Wknd: .95m \| Total: 353.47m Wk-16: .50m - Wknd: .40m \| Total: 353.97m Wk-17: 40m - Wknd: .30m \| Total: 354.33m Wk-18: .32m - Wknd: .24m \| Total: 354.65m Wk-19: .24m - Wknd: .18m \| Total: 354.84m Wk-20: .20m - Wknd: .14m \| Total: 355.04m Wk-21: .17m - Wknd: .12m \| Total: 355.21m Wk-22: .14m - Wknd: .10m \| Total: 355.35m Wk-23: .22m - Wknd: .18m \| Total: 355.57m Wk-24: .18m - Wknd: .15m \| Total: 355.65m Wk-25: .16m - Wknd: .12m \| Total: 355.81m Wk-26: .15m - Wknd: .11m \| Total: 355.96m Money made after Wk-26: ~.5m Estimated wks in theaters 36 Days to 50m: 3-Days - 68.36m Days to 100m: 7-Days - 106.00m Days to 150m: 9-Days - 153.96m Days to 200m: 17-Days - 208.10m Days to 250m: 30-Days - 250.03m Days to 300m: 44-Days - 302.06m Days to 350m: 86-Days - 350.12m Domestic Total: 356m International Total: 504m World Wide Total: 860m Multiplyer: 5.20 Posted Predictions: - Other News: - Competition: The competiton for this film will be the Opening Wknd of Casino Royal (Action/Adventure/Thriller), should have no problem blasing all other films out of its way. ________________ Pics: _________________ Yet another huge film that BJ intends to grind into all of your heads by the time it comes out This will be the biggest GCI fest of the year no doubt, nothing is coming close, not even Cars. BJs Porediction: Opening Wknd: 68m Domestic Total: 326m Any thoughts?

Author:	zingy [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 9:14 pm ]
Post subject:
55/220.

Author:	MGKC [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 9:20 pm ]
Post subject:
When is its release date?

Author:	zingy [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 9:22 pm ]
Post subject:
MG Casey wrote: When is its release date? November 17. The weekend before Thanksgiving. I just noticed it's opening against another CGI movie (I think), Foodfight!.

Author:	MGKC [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 9:31 pm ]
Post subject:
Opening Weekend: $37 million Total: $125 million All of these computer-animated movies will tremendously hurt each other. The ones that succeed will be the ones with the story that teens and adults can enjoy. Right now, from just a dance sequence, I can't really tell if it's going to have smarter writing than the average computer-animated feature. Penguins, though, are hot right now, but not as much this winter. Robin Williams in CGI movie is a plus.

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The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=15710	Page 1 of 8

Author:	BJ [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 11:31 pm ]
Post subject:
Zingaling wrote: MG Casey wrote: When is its release date? November 17. The weekend before Thanksgiving. I just noticed it's opening against another CGI movie (I think), Foodfight!. Foodfight will be lucky to break 20m, Happy Feet has nothing to worry about with that film Hell the main cast member of the movie is Hilary Duff, BO poison jugding by how much her films have made. Happy Feets hype will ingulf Foodfight, the film has no chance they should move it

Author:	BJ [ Tue Jan 03, 2006 11:32 pm ]
Post subject:
MG Casey wrote: Opening Weekend: $37 million Total: $125 million All of these computer-animated movies will tremendously hurt each other. The ones that succeed will be the ones with the story that teens and adults can enjoy. Right now, from just a dance sequence, I can't really tell if it's going to have smarter writing than the average computer-animated feature. Penguins, though, are hot right now, but not as much this winter. Robin Williams in CGI movie is a plus. eek, that reeks of under prediction.

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Wed Jan 04, 2006 1:15 am ]
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Excellent teaser, but Flushed Away opens two weeks before it and the overall CGI overload will hurt it a little. Opening weekend - $51.5 million Total gross - $208 million

Author:	Excel [ Wed Jan 04, 2006 11:16 pm ]
Post subject:
c'mon its got hugh jackman singing. atleast 200 million...

Author:	O [ Wed Jan 04, 2006 11:19 pm ]
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We have CGI animated films opening wide every month this year, except February. I dont see this getting to $300 m unless it sweeps the Oscars.

Author:	Shack [ Wed Jan 04, 2006 11:22 pm ]
Post subject:
23/107.5 It looks way too weird to be a major mainstream hit. Theres also the CGI overload, the competition(Flushed Away and Foodfight), and problems with the film itself. One of these problems is the fact that every single character looks exactly the same, and there's way too many of them. Part of the fun of Toy Story and such, were all the toys with their own identitys who people could attach to and call their favorite, T-Rex, Army-guys. Same thing with Incredibles, people liked each family member in their own way and they liked the different powers they had. Overall, I think it will open slightly disappointing to my 23 mil-ish #, and have somewhat strong legs to 100 mil+.

Author:	Excel [ Wed Jan 04, 2006 11:25 pm ]
Post subject:
i doubt a film thats a cgi cartoon about loveable little penguins that stars nicole kidman, hugh jackman, elijah wood, and robin williams and opens on harry potters usual date will gross anything under 150. 56.6/220

Author:	thompsoncory [ Thu Jan 05, 2006 12:21 am ]
Post subject:
This will, without a doubt, be one of the biggest films of next year. I could see it going over 250 Million.

Author:	MadGez [ Thu Jan 05, 2006 1:55 am ]
Post subject:
I think its way too early to tell. But I can see it making $150m.

Author:	Tyler [ Sat Jan 07, 2006 12:31 am ]
Post subject:
45.9/201.8 Basically what Ice Age would have made in the same slot.

Author:	BJ [ Sat Mar 18, 2006 4:45 am ]
Post subject:
"BUMP"

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Author:	Squee [ Thu Jan 05, 2006 4:32 am ]
Post subject:
This film is trying to make me hate penguins. I LOVE PENGUINS! THEY ARE CUTE! Damn this movie for trying to make me hate them.

Author:	BJ [ Mon Jan 16, 2006 7:00 pm ]
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Happy Feet Opening Day: 18.20m 2nd Day: 30.04m +65% Opening Wknd: 68.36m - Fri: 18.20m / Sat: 30.04m +65% / Sun: 20.12m -32% 4-Day: 73.18m - Mon: 4.82m -76% 5-Day: 79.46m - Tue: 6.26m +30% 6-Day: 91.98m - Wed: 12.52m +100% Opening Wk: 106.00m - Thur: 14.02m +12% 2nd Wknd: 62.00m -9.5% - Fri: 25.54m +80% / Sat: 22.72m -10% / Sun: 14.04m -38% 11-Day: 170.52m - Mon: 2.52m -82% 12-Day: 172.92m - Tue: 2.40m -5% 13-Day: 174.96m - Wed: 2.04m -15% 2nd Wk: 177.10m - Thur: 2.14m +5% 3rd Wknd: 31.00m -50% - Fri: 7.26m +240% / Sat: 14.68m +102% / Sun: 9.06m -38% 18-Day: 209.74m - Mon: 1.64m -82% 19-Day: 211.48m - Tue: 1.74m +6% 20-Day: 213.04m - Wed: 1.56m -10% 3rd Wk: 214.60m - Thur: 1.56m NC 4th Wknd: 20.28m -34.5% - Fri: 4.68m +200% / Sat: 10.06m +115% / Sun: 5.54m -45% 25-Day: 236.08m - Mon: 1.20m -78% 26-Day: 237.33m - Tue: 1.25m +5% 27-Day: 238.58m - Wed: 1.25m NC 4th Wk: 240.03m - Thur: 1.45m +16% 5th Wknd: 14.18m -30.5% - Fri: 3.85m +165% / Sat: 6.15m +60% / Sun: 4.18m -32% 32-Day: 255.26m - Mon: 1.05m -75% 33-Day: 256.76m - Tue: 1.50m +40% 34-Day: 258.26m - Wed: 1.50m NC 5th Wk: 260.11m - Thur: 1.85m +25% 6th Wknd: 12.00m -15% - Fri: 4.05m +120% / Sat: 5.56m +40% / Sun: 2.30m -50% 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m +1.5% - Mon: 2.40m +5% 40-Day: 279.81m - Tue: 5.30m +115% 41-Day: 284.86m - Wed: 5.05m -4% 6th Wk: 290.16m - Thur: 5.30m +5% 7th Wknd: 16.15m +34.5% - Fri: 5.80m +10% / Sat: 6.10m +5% / Sun: 4.25m -30% 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m +70.5% - Mon: 4.45m +5% 47-Day: 312.51m - Tue: 1.75m -60% 48-Day: 313.56m - Wed: 1.05m -40% 7th Wk: 314.56m - Thur: 1.00m -5% 8th Wknd: 10.50m -35% - Fri: 2.50m +150% / Sat: 5.00m +100% / Sun: 3.00m -40% 53-Day: 325.51m - Mon: .45m -85% 54-Day: 326.01m - Tue: .50m +10% 55-Day: 326.41m - Wed: .40m -20% 8th Wk: 326.81m - Thur: .40m NC 9th Wknd: 7.45m -30% - Fri: 1.45m +260% / Sat: 3.10m +115% / Sun: 2.90m -6% 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m -8.5% - Mon: 2.15m -20% Wk-1: 106.00m - Wknd: 68.36m \| Total: 106.00m Wk-2: 71.10m - Wknd: 62.00m \| Total: 177.10m Wk-3: 37.50m - Wknd: 31.00m \| Total: 214.60m Wk-4: 25.43m - Wknd: 20.28m \| Total: 240.03m Wk-5: 20.08m - Wknd: 14.18m \| Total: 260.11m Wk-6: 30.05m - Wknd: 12.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m \| Total: 290.16m Wk-7: 24.40m - Wknd: 16.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m \| Total: 314.65m Wk-8: 11.90m - Wknd: 10.50m \| Total: 326.81m Wk-9: 10.40m - Wknd: 7.45m - 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m \| Total: 337.21m Wk-10: 5.56m - Wknd: 4.75m \| Total: 342.77m Wk-11: 3.45m - Wknd: 2.85m \| Total: 346.22m Wk-12: 2.80m - Wknd: 2.25m \| Total: 349.02m Wk-13: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.55m \| Total: 351.02m Wk-14: 1.35m - Wknd: 1.10m \| Total: 352.37m Wk-15: 1.10m - Wknd: .75m - 4-Day-Wknd: .95m \| Total: 353.47m Wk-16: .50m - Wknd: .40m \| Total: 353.97m Wk-17: 40m - Wknd: .30m \| Total: 354.33m Wk-18: .32m - Wknd: .24m \| Total: 354.65m Wk-19: .24m - Wknd: .18m \| Total: 354.84m Wk-20: .20m - Wknd: .14m \| Total: 355.04m Wk-21: .17m - Wknd: .12m \| Total: 355.21m Wk-22: .14m - Wknd: .10m \| Total: 355.35m Wk-23: .22m - Wknd: .18m \| Total: 355.57m Wk-24: .18m - Wknd: .15m \| Total: 355.65m Wk-25: .16m - Wknd: .12m \| Total: 355.81m Wk-26: .15m - Wknd: .11m \| Total: 355.96m Money made after Wk-26: ~.5m Estimated wks in theaters 36 Days to 50m: 3-Days - 68.36m Days to 100m: 7-Days - 106.00m Days to 150m: 9-Days - 153.96m Days to 200m: 17-Days - 208.10m Days to 250m: 30-Days - 250.03m Days to 300m: 44-Days - 302.06m Days to 350m: 86-Days - 350.12m Domestic Total: 356m International Total: 504m World Wide Total: 860m Multiplyer: 5.20

Author:	BJ [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:15 pm ]
Post subject:
Magnus101 wrote: OW: 40m Total: 175m Opening against Casino Royale hurts its OW, but legs should be very good. Its 2nd weekend actually could be around 40m(11% drop). How the Grinch STole Christmas was a similar family-film that opened the week before Thanksgiving. It had a 5.4% drop on its 2nd weekend(thanksgiving weekend) and it had a multiplier of 4.7. I won't expect as good as legs because Grinch recived a real good Christmas boost cause it was a Christmas movie, but def. a multiplier above 4.0. I obviously do not agree, this film will OWN Casino Royale.

Author:	O [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:19 pm ]
Post subject:
I don't know why Happy Feet and Casino Royale are being compared, they'll strongly co-exist, just like the last JB and HP2 did in 2002.

Author:	zingy [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:20 pm ]
Post subject:
How will Happy Feet be affected by Casino Royale? That's absurd.

Author:	zingy [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:27 pm ]
Post subject:
Magnus101 wrote: Zingaling wrote: How will Happy Feet be affected by Casino Royale? That's absurd. Casino Royale will take away any non-family auidence. Family auidence alone don't power films like IA2, Nemo, Incredibles, etc to a 60m+ OW. Chicken Little, Robots, and Shark Tale are great examples of what happend to CGI films when it doesn't connect to non-family audience that much. Sure they are big but they are no where near 250m+ big. The Day After Tomorrow and Shrek 2. Harry Potter and Die Another Day. Minority Report and Lilo & Stitch. All did well, despite having competition from a movie of a different audience. Your argument doesn't make sense. This is the whole point of counter-programming.

Author:	O [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:30 pm ]
Post subject:
Magnus101 wrote: Zingaling wrote: How will Happy Feet be affected by Casino Royale? That's absurd. Casino Royale will take away any non-family auidence. Family auidence alone don't power films like IA2, Nemo, Incredibles, etc to a 60m+ OW. Chicken Little, Robots, and Shark Tale are great examples of what happend to CGI films when it doesn't connect to non-family audience that much. Sure they are big but they are no where near 250m+ big. So explain what happened when HP2 and JB 20 came out. HP did $260 m +, Bond did $160 m. Thanksgiving is a very busy season, where people see LOTS of movies. I would also think the new Bond, which is aiming to be more gritty, could end up getting a more adult rating anyway...they can perfectly co-exist... Chicken Little had poor legs for a CGI film because it sucked. Robots looked odd, and Shark Tale did very well, but you can't expect $250 m + grosses for a CGI film in October! Also, Chicken Little wasn't Pixar, and not as established CGI wise, so to compare to Pixar's works is not the best situation. Also, Chicken Little opened a little under Ice Age, and IA2 was a sequel. The examples used just can't fairly be compared to make your point that somehow Casino Royale will hurt Happy Feet (which could pull a G rating).

Author:	zingy [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 4:35 pm ]
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Are you kidding, Magnus? Lilo & Stitch was a 2D animated film that opened to $35 million while Ice Age is a computer animated film that opened to just $11 million more. No one expected Lilo & Stitch to make $40 million opening weekend, and to think Minority Report actually hurt it is kind of...stupid. I think Happy Feet will open around $50 million as well, but it's not because of Casino Royale.