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2006 $100,000,000 Films
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Author:  Spidey [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 7:05 am ]
Post subject:  2006 $100,000,000 Films
Films that met the mark:
1. Ice Age: The Meltdown
2. Mission: Impossible III
3. The Da Vinci Code
4. X-Men: The Last Stand
5. Over the Hedge
6. Cars
7. The Break-Up
8. Superman Returns
9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
10. Click
Author:  O [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 12:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
Feb: Failure To Launch
Maybe: Freedomland, Date Movie, Curious George

Mar: Ice Age 2, Shaggy Dog
Maybe: Basic Instinct 2,Inside Man,

April: Maybe Scary Movie 4

May: Da Vinci Code, X3, MI3, Over The Hedge
Maybe: Posiedon

June: Superman, Cars, Click, The Breakup
Maybe: Garfield 2, Fast and the Furious 3

July: Pirates of the Carribean
Maybe: Miami Vice, Monster House, Lady In The Water

August: Maybe: Ant Bully, Talladega Nights, The Visiting

Sept: Maybe: Open Season, Grind House

Oct: Maybe: Saw III, Marie Antoinette, Barnyard, Grudge 2

Nov: Santa Clause 3, Happy Feet, James Bond 21
Maybe: Flushed Away, Stranger Than Fiction

Dec: Charlotte's Web, Eragon, The Good Sheppard, The Pursuit of Happiness
Maybe: A Good Year, All The King's Men, Meet The Robinsons

I don't know enough about some other films to make a decision just yet. But 19 $100 m movies for now.
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 3:11 pm ]
Post subject: 
Locks
1. Ice Age 2
2. X-Men 3
3. Mission: Impossible III
4. Superman Returns
5. Cars
6. Click
7. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

75% Chance
8. The Da Vinci Code
9. Over the Hedge
10. The Break-Up
11. Open Season
12. The Santa Clause 3
13. Happy Feet
14. James Bond: Casino Royale
15. Flushed Away
16. Charlotte's Web
17. Night at the Museum

50% Chance
18. Date Movie
19. Scary Movie 4
20. The Shaggy Dog
21. The Ant Bully
22. Eragon

25% Chance
23. Curious George
24. Poseidon
25. Saw III
26. Barnyard

10% or Less
27. Hostel
28. Hoodwinked
29. The Fast and the Furious 3
30. Lady in the Water
31. Monster House
32. The Grudge 2

I'm probably missing a few. I expect all those 75% and above to cross $100 million and a few 50%'s.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 3:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
Locks:

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Ice Age 2: The Meltdown
Superman Returns
Cars
Click
Mission: Impossible 3
The Da Vinci Code
X-Men 3
Over the Hedge
Casino Royale
Happy Feet

Others that I see passing it:

Night at the Museum
Flushed Away
Eragon
The Shaggy Dog
The Break-Up
You, Me and Dupree
The World Trade Center
Poseidon
The Santa Clause 3
The Departed

That'd make 21 movies.
Author:  andaroo1 [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 3:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
I don't think Casino Royale is a lock for $100 million, but it *definately* has a shot. The Da Vinci Code will likely have a $60 million opening at least, it is a lock, people should think in the $200 millions for this movie.

Open Season with a 75% chance? No way.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 3:54 pm ]
Post subject: 
Casino Royale is a lock considering not much competition and the fact that James Bon is an estabilished franchise now, even without Brosnan.
Author:  andaroo1 [ Sun Jan 01, 2006 3:56 pm ]
Post subject: 
I dunno. It could easily only make $90 million or so. It will be close.

It really *has* to be good though, which I think they can pull off with the talent they hired.
Author:  zingy [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 9:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think it's the right time to bump this one.

We finally have a film that'll make $100 million this year. It should make it on Friday. Inside Man might still make it if the drops get better, or it might stop at around $95 million total.
Author:  trixster [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 9:55 pm ]
Post subject: 
Locks
1. Ice Age: The Meltdown
2. Mission: Impossible 3
3. The Da Vinci Code
4. X3
5. Over the Hedge
6. Cars
7. Click
8. Superman Returns
9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
10. Casino Royale

Good Chance
11. Inside Man
12. Scary Movie 4
13. Poseidon
14. The Break-Up
15. You, Me and Dupree
16. Lady in the Water
17. World Trade Center
18. Happy Feet
19. Eragon
20. Charlotte's Web

Some Chance
21. The Wild
22. The Sentinel
23. United 93
24. The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift
25. School for Scoundrels
26. Miami Vice
27. The Grudge 2
28. Saw 3
29. Flushed Away
30. The Santa Clause 3
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 10:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Happy Feet is a lock to cross $100 million. It'll probably take less than two weeks for it to do so. Otherwise, I agree with the rest.
Author:  matatonio [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 10:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
i highly doubt Saw III will open better than the first sequel and have better legs
Author:  trixster [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 11:54 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Happy Feet is a lock to cross $100 million. It'll probably take less than two weeks for it to do so. Otherwise, I agree with the rest.

Honestly, I don't see the appeal for this. 90 minutes of penguins dancing? Is that all this "film" is about? I really can't see why this has gotten so much buzz.
Author:  Michael. [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 11:56 pm ]
Post subject: 
trixster wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Happy Feet is a lock to cross $100 million. It'll probably take less than two weeks for it to do so. Otherwise, I agree with the rest.

Honestly, I don't see the appeal for this. 90 minutes of penguins dancing? Is that all this "film" is about? I really can't see why this has gotten so much buzz.


because the ads are HYSTERICAL.
people LOVE the trailers in a way which hasn't been seen for a while.

I think Happy Feet is actually a lock for $200m.
Author:  Michael. [ Sun Apr 02, 2006 11:56 pm ]
Post subject: 
trixster wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Happy Feet is a lock to cross $100 million. It'll probably take less than two weeks for it to do so. Otherwise, I agree with the rest.

Honestly, I don't see the appeal for this. 90 minutes of penguins dancing? Is that all this "film" is about? I really can't see why this has gotten so much buzz.


because the ads are HYSTERICAL.
people LOVE the trailers in a way which hasn't been seen for a while.

I think Happy Feet is actually a lock for $200m.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon Apr 03, 2006 12:49 am ]
Post subject: 
matatonio wrote:
i highly doubt Saw III will open better than the first sequel and have better legs


Better legs? Nah. But it should open bigger. Saw II had incredibly good WoM and legs for this type of the movie and Saw's fanbase is just growing. I fully expect it to open with over $35 million.
Author:  zingy [ Mon Apr 03, 2006 6:12 am ]
Post subject: 
The crowd reactions to the trailer of Happy Feet are excellent. Keep in mind that it was attached to Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, so everyone saw it. People were cracking up when I saw it.

I do think it's a lock to make $100 million total.
Author:  trixster [ Mon Apr 03, 2006 11:30 am ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
The crowd reactions to the trailer of Happy Feet are excellent. Keep in mind that it was attached to Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, so everyone saw it. People were cracking up when I saw it.

I do think it's a lock to make $100 million total.

Yeah, I know, I saw it. But my response was slightly less enthusiastic. I was just like, "what?" And no one in my theatre was cracking up. A few laughs, but nowhere near the response you're talking about. Maybe it's just a Canadian thing, but I don't see where all this buzz and "hilarious" trailers are coming from.
Author:  matatonio [ Tue Apr 04, 2006 2:32 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
matatonio wrote:
i highly doubt Saw III will open better than the first sequel and have better legs


Better legs? Nah. But it should open bigger. Saw II had incredibly good WoM and legs for this type of the movie and Saw's fanbase is just growing. I fully expect it to open with over $35 million.


sorry i meant it wont have better legs than Saw II
Author:  trixster [ Mon May 29, 2006 6:32 pm ]
Post subject: 
Time for a bump...

1. Ice Age: The Meltdown
2. Mission: Impossible 3
3. The Da Vinci Code
4. X3

Locks
5. Over the Hedge
6. Cars
7. Click
8. Superman Returns
9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
10. Casino Royale

Good Chance
11. The Break-Up
12. You, Me and Dupree
13. Lady in the Water
14. My Super Ex-Girlfriend
15. Miami Vice
16. Flushed Away
17. Happy Feet
18. Eragon
19. Charlotte's Web

Some Chance
20. The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift
21. Nacho Libre
22. Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby
23. Snakes on a Plane
24. The Grudge 2
25. Saw III
26. The Santa Clause 3
27. Night at the Museum

Amazing that only one pre-summer film (Ice Age 2) made it. June/July should have a bunch.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Mon May 29, 2006 7:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Actually, if Saw III sticks with the October 27th release date, its chances will be very good to make $100 million (and become the first horror film since The Grudge to do so). I expect it to open with no less than $35 million.
Author:  Box [ Mon May 29, 2006 7:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
The 'Dollar' in the title is totally unnecessry, since you already have the $ sign.
Author:  trixster [ Mon May 29, 2006 7:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
Box wrote:
The 'Dollar' in the title is totally unnecessry, since you already have the $ sign.

Tell Spider-Man that. ;)
Author:  Box [ Mon May 29, 2006 7:59 pm ]
Post subject: 
Fricken hell, I misspelled unnecessary.


Why don't I just get shot and die, you know?
Author:  trixster [ Tue May 30, 2006 12:47 am ]
Post subject: 
Box wrote:
Fricken hell, I misspelled unnecessary.


Why don't I just get shot and die, you know?

I wish! :lol:

:unsure:

:huh:
Author:  zingy [ Tue May 30, 2006 12:57 am ]
Post subject: 
1. Ice Age: The Meltdown
2. Mission: Impossible 3
3. The Da Vinci Code
4. X-Men: The Last Stand

Locks
5. Over the Hedge
6. Cars
7. Click
8. Superman Returns
9. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
10. Happy Feet

Good Chance
11. The Break-Up
12. The Fast and the Furious: Tokyo Drift
13. You, Me & Dupree
14. Lady in the Water
15. My Super-Ex Girlfriend
16. Miami Vice
17. Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby
18. Saw III
19. Flushed Away
20. Casino Royale
21. Eragon
22. Charlotte's Web
23. Night at the Musuem

Other Possibilities
24. Nacho Libre
25. Monster House
26. World Trade Center
27. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
28. Open Season
29. Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning
30. The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause
31. The Pursuit of Happyness
32. The Good Shepard
33. Rocky Balboa
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