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Saturday numbers
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=15508		 Page 1 of 3
Author:  Jeff 42 [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Saturday numbers
From SBD:

CHRONICLES OF NARNIA: THE LION, THE WITCH AND THE WARDROBE, THE 5.0 146.6
KING KONG 4.9 100.4
FUN WITH DICK AND JANE 2.7 15.6
CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 2 2.0 11.3
MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA 1.5 7.4
FAMILY STONE 1.5 23.0
MUNICH 1.1 2.5
HARRY POTTER AND THE GOBLET OF FIRE 1.0 259.2
SYRIANA .7 27.5
RINGER, THE .7 3.1

As expected the more adult-targeted films dropped more, except for Munich, which had a nice hold (maybe from the Jewish audience?). The Ringer really had a big drop.
Author:  Bryan_smith [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:55 pm ]
Post subject: 
fun with dick and jane dropped hard too!
Author:  zingy [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:56 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Ringer had a huge drop.
Author:  Jeff 42 [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:57 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Family Stone held better than I expected, while CBTD2 had a surprisingly big drop for a family movie.
Author:  MikeQ. [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 12:58 pm ]
Post subject: 
Nice for the Munich hold; hopefully it can compliment that with a strong Christmas and Boxing Day and end up grabbing a stronger weekend gross. And super awesome for the giant The Ringer drop. That sure helps my prediction.

PEACE, Mike.
Author:  Bradley Witherberry [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
I guess Kong's a lock for $100 million now...

:sad:
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
Wow, what's wrong with that? Everything dropped insanely hard, especially considering that some theatres at least stayed open. The Ringer dropped what? 70%????

Even Narnia dropped over 35% apparently.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
Munich's drop is really nice, by the way. Maybe it can somehow make $7+ million for the 4-day span.
Author:  Jonathan [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
MikeQ. wrote:
Nice for the Munich hold; hopefully it can compliment that with a strong Christmas and Boxing Day and end up grabbing a stronger weekend gross.

PEACE, Mike.


Exactly what I was thinking. Thats what, a 20% drop out of a bunch of 40-50% dippers? I think it'll grab a good Christmas gross, but a better Boxing Day gross (Not exactly the Christmas kind of movie, heh).

And I remain convinced Narnia will (Barely) pass Kong for the weekend.
Author:  Jeff 42 [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:05 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Wow, what's wrong with that? Everything dropped insanely hard, especially considering that some theatres at least stayed open. The Ringer dropped what? 70%????

Even Narnia dropped over 35% apparently.

I don't know what you were expecting, but I used 40-55% drops, depending on genre, for my predictions. There are some surprises, to be sure, especially The Ringer.
Author:  Anonymous [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:05 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. CHRONICLES OF NARNIA: THE LION, THE WITCH AND THE WARDROBE, THE BUENA VISTA 3,853 4,980,000 1,292 146,634,000
2. KING KONG UNIVERSAL 3,576 4,900,000 1,370 100,366,000
3. FUN WITH DICK AND JANE SONY 3,056 2,720,000 890 15,594,000
4. CHEAPER BY THE DOZEN 2 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,175 2,033,000 640 11,298,000
5. MEMOIRS OF A GEISHA SONY 1,547 1,541,000 996 7,396,000
6. FAMILY STONE 20TH CENTURY FOX 2,469 1,465,000 593 23,043,000
7. MUNICH UNIVERSAL 532 1,080,000 2,030 2,470,000
8. HARRY POTTER AND THE GOBLET OF FIRE WARNER BROS. 2,521 950,000 377 259,228,000
9. SYRIANA WARNER BROS. 1,725 725,000 420 27,482,000
10. RINGER, THE FOX SEARCHLIGHT 1,825 667,000 365 3,087,000

Ringer drop is outstanding. Great for my derby. :)
Author:  neo_wolf [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:07 pm ]
Post subject: 
Kong and narnia dropped 38% each,a bit more than i expected for both(i expected 35% for both).Still,i think kong and narnia will have huge sunday and monday.
Great for munich!
Author:  misterglass [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:07 pm ]
Post subject: 
Wow, the 50% drop for Cheaper by the Dozen is going to be a Derby killer...that's at $6 million for the weekend with the potential of making $4-5 million Christmas Day and another $5 million plus on Monday... May of us (including me) thought it would make the amount it might make in six days in just three!
Author:  Jonathan [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:10 pm ]
Post subject: 
There's a $45,000 difference between Narnia and Kong for these first two days, in Narnia's favor.

When was the last time the #1 spot was decided by less then $1M?
Author:  Anonymous [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:11 pm ]
Post subject: 
Narnia -39.5%
Kong -40%
FWD&J -51.3%
CBTD2 -49.2%
Geisha -44%
FS -38.8%
Munich -22.3%
HP4 -39.3%
Syriana -34.4%
The Ringer -72.4%
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:12 pm ]
Post subject: 
Jeff 42 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Wow, what's wrong with that? Everything dropped insanely hard, especially considering that some theatres at least stayed open. The Ringer dropped what? 70%????

Even Narnia dropped over 35% apparently.

I don't know what you were expecting, but I used 40-55% drops, depending on genre, for my predictions. There are some surprises, to be sure, especially The Ringer.


I was using 35-40% declines, similar to last year, considering that many theatres stayed open. Also, for Narnia I expected something along the lines of The Polar Express, just a bit worse.
Author:  neo_wolf [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:13 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think 20mill 3 day for both kong and narnia is assured.

Kong:
fri:8.025
sat:4.9
sun:9.5
tot 3 day:22.425

narnia:
7.99
4.98
9.5
tot 3 day:22.47
Author:  Jonathan [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
So, no weekend estimates due to Christmas then?

Not that'd know what to estimate or anything.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think Narnia will make more like $7.5-8 million on Saturday.
Author:  neo_wolf [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I think Narnia will make more like $7.5-8 million on Saturday.


It made 5mill.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
neo_wolf wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I think Narnia will make more like $7.5-8 million on Saturday.


It made 5mill.


I meant Sunday, of course. I get it mixed up because of the stupid 4-day weekend.
Author:  Necronomic [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
The Ringer sucks. I'm very glad. :biggrin:
Not bad for Munich. :smile:
Author:  Ghostooze [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:19 pm ]
Post subject: 
these #s are kinda pointless, i mean who knows what everything will do today and Mon, Mon is like a Sat really, anything can happen, I wouldnt be surprised if Kong makes it to $20 either today and/or Mon
Author:  Jonathan [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:19 pm ]
Post subject: 
Nebs wrote:
Narnia -39.5%
Kong -40%
FWD&J -51.3%
CBTD2 -49.2%
Geisha -44%
FS -38.8%
Munich -22.3%
HP4 -39.3%
Syriana -34.4%
The Ringer -72.4%


Well, politics sure do work well on Christmas Eve.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Dec 25, 2005 1:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
Positive Jon wrote:
Nebs wrote:
Narnia -39.5%
Kong -40%
FWD&J -51.3%
CBTD2 -49.2%
Geisha -44%
FS -38.8%
Munich -22.3%
HP4 -39.3%
Syriana -34.4%
The Ringer -72.4%


Well, politics sure do work well on Christmas Eve.


Narnia?
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