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The Da Vinci Code prediction thread
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=15116		 Page 1 of 27
Author:  Box [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 9:16 pm ]
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$35m/$130m.
Author:  Anonymous [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 9:19 pm ]
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$36m/$131m.
Author:  Anonymous [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 9:28 pm ]
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$66m/$666m
Author:  FILMO [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 9:44 pm ]
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Not a number yer but I predict a very good opening and then very bad legs. If it is exactly like in the book this will get very bad WOM.
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 9:48 pm ]
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a 30 million opening? Cmon! This has been a pop culture phenomenon for the past couple of years. A $65M opening should be the minimum here. I'm gonna guess more like $88M. Then, maybe, $260-300M total.
Author:  FILMO [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 11:18 pm ]
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Magnus101 wrote:
FILMO wrote:
Not a number yer but I predict a very good opening and then very bad legs. If it is exactly like in the book this will get very bad WOM.


Except the book got amazing WOM.....


What I never will understand :nonono:
Author:  neo_wolf [ Tue Dec 13, 2005 11:38 pm ]
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45/165
Author:  zingy [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 12:49 am ]
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Until I see a trailer, I'd guess it'll make roughly $200-250 million total.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 1:27 am ]
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Zingaling wrote:
Until I see a trailer, I'd guess it'll make roughly $200-250 million total.


I saw the final trailer today. Looks pretty effective, but it really doesn't tell you much about the story.

Opening weekend - $54 million

Total gross - $182 million
Author:  A. G. [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 2:23 am ]
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I'll say 150-200 range.
Author:  DP07 [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 5:05 am ]
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These predictions are crazy. This is the one with the Star Wars/Reloaded/Shrek 2 date for good reason. Take away HP and it's easily the most popular book in recent years. National Treasure used the formula and earned over 170m without an established fanbase. It should be in the top 3 for the summer at the very least. Still, it won't be that frontloaded with a relatively older audience. The Bourne Supremacy is a good comparision for the legs.

95m/315m
Author:  zingy [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 7:45 am ]
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After seeing the trailer, I have absolutely no idea.

It doesn't look like a summer blockbuster, but it's still gonna be because of the material and hype.
Author:  MadGez [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 9:35 am ]
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$75m/$265m

This will be big. The book was huge even though im not keen on it. The trailer is effective though a little darker than i expected.
Author:  A. G. [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:17 am ]
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I am surprised there weren't a few charming moments in there with Hanks of the type he is great at. The trailer didn't use him to good advantage. There was too much footage of the last 20 minutes of the story and not enough of the setup. A better trailer would have focused on him, his banter with some supporting characters and him being called in to a crime scene and meeting Reno and Tatou, with a hint at the end that there is more going on.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 12:44 pm ]
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Personally, I would never see big numbers for this one if it was not based on such a big bestseller (which popularity still remains a mystery to me).
Author:  baumer72 [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 4:22 pm ]
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This film is going to be huge. The book is a phenom and therefore it will do gangbusters business. The fact that it stars Tom Hanks and is directed by Ron Howard will only help it. But this film will have a minimum opening of 45-50 mill, if not higher.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:02 pm ]
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This will be one of 2006's most overpredicted movies.
Author:  BJ [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:09 pm ]
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BJs Prediction:

Opening Wknd: 106m

Domestic Total: 402m

or

Opening Wknd: 78m

Domestic Total: 300m

This movie will be huge, I expect an opening in the 75m-110m range with a 3.8 multiplyer either way.
Author:  zingy [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:20 pm ]
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
This will be one of 2006's most overpredicted movies.


I think Superman Returns earns that title.

But, yeah, this one is being a little overpredicted too.

$400 million, guys?! C'mon now.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:21 pm ]
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Superman really needs an incredibly great new trailer as its teaser certainly pales in comparison to X-Men 3 and M:I-3 for instance. More money shots are needed.
Author:  neo_wolf [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:24 pm ]
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
This will be one of 2006's most overpredicted movies.


I agree.
Author:  Jeff [ Wed Dec 14, 2005 11:48 pm ]
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The new trailer is actually very good. I could see this opening around $60 million now, but not much higher.
Author:  MovieDude [ Thu Dec 15, 2005 4:55 am ]
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Zingaling wrote:
After seeing the trailer, I have absolutely no idea.

It doesn't look like a summer blockbuster, but it's still gonna be because of the material and hype.


Agreed. If I had to guess, I'd say 55/155. Still, Poseidon now seems a lot safer.
Author:  DP07 [ Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:50 am ]
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I don't see how this can do less then National Treasure or Bourne Supremacy. The fanbase is much bigger then Bourne, and NT was really just a clone that used its formula and was half as inventive (as entertaining as I thought NT was). I remember how underestimated both those films were around here. NT was generally predicted at around 60m, while most didn't think Supremacy could beat Identity. These are aimed at an older audience that seems to be underserved when it comes to action/thrillers. Man on Fire is another example with most predicting it to be another Out of Time.

These movies don't need money shots, or even good reviews. NT proves the formula works very well, and TDC has one of the largest fanbases you could find. 25 million book sales (last I read) makes this the blockbuster of May.
Author:  MovieDude [ Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:59 am ]
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DP07 wrote:
I don't see how this can do less then National Treasure or Bourne Supremacy. The fanbase is much bigger then Bourne, and NT was really just a clone that used its formula and was half as inventive (as entertaining as I thought NT was). I remember how underestimated both those films were around here. NT was generally predicted at around 60m, while most didn't think Supremacy could beat Identity. These are aimed at an older audience that seems to be underserved when it comes to action/thrillers. Man on Fire is another example with most predicting it to be another Out of Time.

These movies don't need money shots, or even good reviews. NT proves the formula works very well, and TDC has one of the largest fanbases you could find. 25 million book sales (last I read) makes this the blockbuster of May.


To be fair, I was the one other guy who completely nailed The Bourne Surpemacy and Man on Fire. ;) Still, you do make some good points, although I'm wary on putting too much stock into millions of sales for an outside product that doesn't coincide with the movie itself. Nonetheless, I think I'll have to raise my predictions to 70/200.
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