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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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neo_wolf wrote: Everytime a new potter film comes out many say how its going to gross more than the previouse,and they have done the oppossite.I remember many saying how HP3 was going to make over 300mill.
I am not claiming that, just a higher opening weekend. Harry Potter 3's opening weekend DID beat the previous two.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:28 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10906
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U.S:235
INTL:530
WW:765
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:29 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Dr. Lecter wrote: neo_wolf wrote: Everytime a new potter film comes out many say how its going to gross more than the previouse,and they have done the oppossite.I remember many saying how HP3 was going to make over 300mill. I am not claiming that, just a higher opening weekend. Harry Potter 3's opening weekend DID beat the previous two.
Well, I think that's because of the summer season.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:29 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18843 Location: San Diego
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I'm in as well. I doubt this will beat Azkaban though, but it'll be close. Maybe a 235-240 million total.
Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:30 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Zingaling wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: neo_wolf wrote: Everytime a new potter film comes out many say how its going to gross more than the previouse,and they have done the oppossite.I remember many saying how HP3 was going to make over 300mill. I am not claiming that, just a higher opening weekend. Harry Potter 3's opening weekend DID beat the previous two. Well, I think that's because of the summer season.
I don't think so. The consistency of the opening PTA's is there. The PTA of OS dropped in comparison to SS's PTA by less than 3%. If COS was to be released in 3,900 theatres, it'd have opened to over $93 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:31 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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publicenemy#1 wrote: I'm in as well. I doubt this will beat Azkaban though, maybe a 240 million total.
Hmm, those would be absolutely horrible legs, The Matrix Reloaed-like. With such total and an opening of around $95 million, it'd give it a multiplier of 2.5. In the holiday season, especially with the Thanksgiving weekend being its 2nd weekend and all and with no LOTR movie and three full weeks till Narnia that's nearly impossible. COS finished with a mutliplier of 2.95 despite heavy competition from TTT in December and the Thanksgiving weekend being its third, not its second weekend.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:33 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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It's definitely possible. Also, opening in November will allow it to have a better weekend multiplier. Remember when Prisoner of Azkaban opened with $38M on Friday (reported at 40M on that Saturday morning), and everybody was so sure it would break 100M for the weekend but forgot it's summer time? On the other hand, if the Goblet of Fire can open with 38M, then it will definitely break 100M for the weekend because when the first two opened in November, one increased 3.7% on Saturday, while the other increased 15.5%. Goblet of Fire's Saturday increase will be much closer to 15.5% than 3.7% since the first HP was so highly anticipated and had its Friday more frontloaded. Basically, it will need the first HP's Friday and second HP's weekend multiplier to reach 95M, and I think that's very much doable.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:44 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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As for the total gross issue, I think the run of this one will be very similar to the one of COS. Due to the higher opening weekend, however, I see a higher total gross. I expect something along the lines of $270-280 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:48 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347
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There are some reviews up at AICN to help you guys make a decision. In case you didn't see loyal's cinemania thread.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:53 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Archie Gates wrote: There are some reviews up at AICN to help you guys make a decision. In case you didn't see loyal's cinemania thread.
I used to read AICN's reviews, but really, I don't trust those whatsoever, not until maybe 3-4 weeks before the movie's release.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:56 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am Posts: 8427 Location: floridaaa
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Dr. Lecter wrote: As for the total gross issue, I think the run of this one will be very similar to the one of COS. Due to the higher opening weekend, however, I see a higher total gross. I expect something along the lines of $270-280 million.
That's what I expect. Exactly.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 1:56 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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AICN spouts fake reviews so often ... i dont understand how people believe them.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:19 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Flava'd‡ wrote: well, according to the early reviews it is 2 1/2 hours. They cut out all of the SPEW stuff, and most of the classes, besides Defense Against The Dark Arts. However, they also cut the Quidditch World Cup, which I hope they correct by the time it's released. Sounds like Newell did a hell of a job though, following in Cauron's footsteps rather than Columbus', with more humor though. Mad Eye Moody sounds like he could be Jack Sparrow-like.
$97M opening. I'm in.
They cut out the Quidditch World Cup!?! Urggh. That's ridiculous. This film has officially gone down a notch for me.
Anyways, I'm in the "club".
PEACE, Mike
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:26 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Every single AICN review stated that World Cup is part of the movie and I heard about its filming, so don't worry, Mike. It'll be in there. What won't be in it is the entire SPEW stuff (and Winky & Dobby of course).
I would havereally liked for this one to be a 180 minutes movie, but it appears to be around 150 minutes...
I'd like to have at least 40 minutes devoted to the third task and the following graveyard scene.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 2:32 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23695 Location: Classified
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MikeQ. wrote: Flava'd‡ wrote: well, according to the early reviews it is 2 1/2 hours. They cut out all of the SPEW stuff, and most of the classes, besides Defense Against The Dark Arts. However, they also cut the Quidditch World Cup, which I hope they correct by the time it's released. Sounds like Newell did a hell of a job though, following in Cauron's footsteps rather than Columbus', with more humor though. Mad Eye Moody sounds like he could be Jack Sparrow-like.
$97M opening. I'm in. They cut out the Quidditch World Cup!?! Urggh. That's ridiculous. This film has officially gone down a notch for me. Anyways, I'm in the "club". PEACE, Mike Should've been more clearer on that, I suppose. They said they had the World Cup, but only the beginning of it. Then they are back in the tent.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 3:45 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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movie will make 245 million max total
you heard it hear first.
bABA's personal prediction: 238 million
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:22 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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bABA wrote: movie will make 245 million max total
you heard it hear first.
bABA's personal prediction: 238 million
Willing to take a bet?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:23 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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never been surer of a movie's gross.
i may not be the best predictor or even a good one but i feel very safe about this one.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:23 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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bABA wrote: movie will make 245 million max total
you heard it hear first.
bABA's personal prediction: 238 million
Actually, about three other people predicted under $245 million before you did.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:27 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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Zingaling wrote: bABA wrote: movie will make 245 million max total
you heard it hear first.
bABA's personal prediction: 238 million Actually, about three other people predicted under $245 million before you did.
yes .. but they read it there first.
with my post, you heard it. deep, in your heart, as it echoed.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:28 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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http://aintitcool.com/display.cgi?id=20682
Suppose to be the darkest one of the bunch, might not bode well for the BO.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:29 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm Posts: 5868
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bABA wrote: movie will make 245 million max total
you heard it hear first.
bABA's personal prediction: 238 million
I'll bet anything against it.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:32 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm Posts: 5868
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Killuminati510 wrote: http://aintitcool.com/display.cgi?id=20682
Suppose to be the darkest one of the bunch, might not bode well for the BO.
Of course it's darker. Each one so far has been almost exponentially darker than the previous. You could track it with a bar graph.
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:34 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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insomniacdude wrote: bABA wrote: movie will make 245 million max total
you heard it hear first.
bABA's personal prediction: 238 million I'll bet anything against it.
i know .. you already said anyone thinking its grossing less than 300 million doesn't know shit .. or something like that : )
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:35 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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bABA wrote: never been surer of a movie's gross.
i may not be the best predictor or even a good one but i feel very safe about this one.
Okay, let's make a bet.
$250 million is the line...
Wanna offer the conditions?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Jul 11, 2005 4:37 pm |
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