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June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day)
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm
Posts: 740
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 Re: June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day) Did the bigger then expected Wed incdiate to you, that there will be a bigger 3-day or a smaller 3-day then before.
On Monday, I expected 65 million in the first two days and over 100 million weekend.
I know see 85 million in the first two days and 100 million weekend still.
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ACH! Unsere Unterseeboot sind stiehlen mit eine dog und baby und Art Garfunkel!
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| Thu Jun 25, 2009 10:41 am |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm
Posts: 5322
Location: The Interstice
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Re: June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day) I initially thought Transformers would do 60% of its 5 day over the 3day wknd, but now I'm thinking maybe more like 55%, like Harry Potter OOTP, though that is likely a worst case scenario. I'd target 175 for the 5 day.
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| Thu Jun 25, 2009 12:14 pm |
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Mandeep
The Dark Knight
Joined: Tue Jun 23, 2009 11:22 pm
Posts: 740
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Re: June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day) The numbers game suggest that it would now need to perform far worse then Hp5 for it to not get 100 million for the 3-day.
Considering this has more family appeal and wide appeal. I think its set.
_________________
ACH! Unsere Unterseeboot sind stiehlen mit eine dog und baby und Art Garfunkel!
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| Thu Jun 25, 2009 12:16 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day) The Scottie wrote: My Derby Predictions.
1. Transformers II - $108.1m
(Based on the 55m guesstimate for Wednesday, I guessed the pattern for the rest, which pretty much ensures a 100m+ opening weekend).
2. The Proposal - $19.5m (-42%)
(It will be good counterprogramming, but it has one new competitor).
3. The Hangover - $16.1m (-40%)
(It may lose some men, although it should get one the lower drops in the top ten still).
4. Up - $15.0m (-36%)
(It will have the 3D screens all to itself for one last weekend, although the drop will be bigger than last week because of an inflated Sunday last weekend).
5. My Sister's Keeper - $12.5m
(No real thought, so I decided to agree with tracking with this one).
6. Year One - $6.5m (-67%)
(It will take the biggest hit this weekend with the most direct demo competition of the bunch, and mediocre WOM)
7. The Taking of Pelham 123 - $5.4m (-55%)
(The inflated Sunday last weekend won't make this weekend any better).
8. Night at the Museum II - $3.5m (-55%)
(It will take a huge hit this time because it loses all of it's IMAX theater).
9. Star Trek - $2.8m (-49%)
(The inflated Sunday last weekend and new competition will hurt it this time).
10. Land of the Lost - $1.6m (-63%)
(I am assuming that it will lose alot of theater, and with new competition, it's bound to take a big dive)
Top Ten Total - 191.0m (+8% from last year) sooo... Glad to see you're pretty similar on the holdovers, though your Star Trek is rather low. Year One could do even worse than we're both predicting. Right now my tracking has it pegged at $5.5 million...
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| Thu Jun 25, 2009 12:42 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Re: June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day) Predictions:
1. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - 95.0
2. The Proposal - 21.5
3. The Hangover - 16.0
4. Up - 15.5
5. My Sister's Keeper - 10.0
6. Year One - 6.2
7. The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 - 5.5
8. Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian - 4.3
9. Star Trek - 3.6
10. Land of the Lost - 1.9
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jun 25, 2009 1:15 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: June 24 - 28 Predictions (3day and 5day) I always at least put in derby averages on Tuesday/Wednesday in case I forget on Friday. So  _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Jun 25, 2009 3:27 pm |
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