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J - Box Office (09); Dec. 26-27 - Avatar opening.
http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=48809
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Author:  xiayun [ Wed May 20, 2009 6:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 2-3

May 16 - 17:

1 N Angels & Demons Sony $5,675,984 - 721 - $7,872 $7,068,767 1 Unknown
2 1 Yomei Ikkagetsu No Hanayome (April Bride) Toho $3,646,190 -14.8% 310 - $11,762 $11,975,288 2 Unknown
3 2 Chi bi: Xia - Jue zhan tian xia (Red Cliff: Part II) Toho-Towa $1,261,394 -26.9% 582 -69 $2,167 $52,578,370 6 China
4 3 Meitantei Conan: Shikkoku No Chaser (Detective Conan: The Raven Chaser) Toho $1,239,262 -18.5% 341 - $3,634 $32,790,657 5 Japan
5 N 60-sai no rabu retâ (Love Letters at Sixty) Toho $1,033,460 - 189 - $5,468 $1,033,460 1 Unknown
6 4 Goemon Shochiku $877,458 -29.9% 310 -3 $2,831 $11,673,407 3 Unknown
7 6 Gekijô ban Chô Kamen raidâ den'ô & Dikeido Neo generêshonzu onigashima no senkan (Kamen Rider Cho Den-O & Decade) Toei $640,902 -14.0% 170 - $3,770 $6,616,163 3 Unknown
8 5 Kurôzu zero 2 (Crows Zero 2) Toho $608,574 -25.0% 311 -3 $1,957 $28,944,013 6 Japan
9 7 Gran Torino WB $438,231 -28.5% 268 -4 $1,635 $9,381,884 4 Australia, USA
10 8 Slumdog Millionaire GAGA $435,248 -25.7% 116 -4 $3,752 $10,021,146 5 UK, USA

Author:  Corpse [ Wed May 20, 2009 7:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 2-3

Red Cliff II should hit 60m after 3/4 more weeks. Very nice.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed May 20, 2009 8:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 16-17

Great start for Angels and Demons.

Author:  Corpse [ Thu Jun 04, 2009 5:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 16-17

Image

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/too ... /Japan.jsp

Massive opening for Rookies. 13m is about the most you will see, very few films go higher. I believe only Ponyo and Indiana Jones opened to that level last year. Rookies is a very popular tv show. Remember how well Boys Over Flowers did last year? Another tv show with it's finale taken to the big screen. No.2 for the year (85m total) behind Ponyo (170m).

Angels & Demons is doing very well, 30m is assured. Mid 30's most likely, but with some luck, could reach near 40m.
Soft opening for Star Trek, but not bad.
Red Cliff II took a hit this week, but 60m is still a lock.

Author:  Archangel [ Thu Jun 04, 2009 5:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 30-31 - Rookies Score

JAPAN - Opening Weekend

Largest opening of the year and the first $10m+ opening since Ponyo On The Cliff By The Sea.

Spiderman 3 - $26,594,091 (¥3.13bn - 6-Day - 822 TC) or $29.7m week
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $18,975,503 (¥2.22bn/ 1.57m adms. incl. $7.5m p/v or $12.5m without p/v - 757 TC) or $19,053,034 by Mon or $26m week
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $18,678,847 (¥2.3bn 3-Day or $16,952,890 2-Day incl. $9.5m/ ¥1.2bn p/v - 951 TC)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $18,677,181 (¥2.22bn incl. $7.5m p/v - 631 TC)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $17.2m (¥1.9bn incl. $3.8m/ ¥412.1m p/v - 782 TC)
Star Wars 1: PM - $16.7m (incl. 2-Days p/v or $12.2m without p/v - 916,540 adms. - $20.1m/2.5bil Yen 5-Days - 403 TC)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $16,676,912 (862,958 adms. - incl. $3.7m on 777 TC - 858 TC)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $16,650,081 (761 TC)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $15,936,091 (3-Day or $12,093,262 2-Day - 883 TC)
War Of The Worlds - $15,116,883 (¥1,644,111,600/ 1,306,314 adms. 5-Day - 765 TC)
The Matrix: Revolutions - $14,882,041 (5-Day - 638 TC/900p)
Ponyo On The Cliff By The Sea (2008) - $14.8m (or $9,667,033/ 1.25m adms. 3-Day - 481)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $14,676,989 (or $11.1m without p/v - $21,130,324 5-Days - 729 TC)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $14,520,977 (or $11,374,170 without p/v - 826 TC)
Hauru No Ugoku Shiro (Howl’s Moving Castle) - $13,998,152 (¥1.48bn/ 1.1m adms. - 448 TC)
Star Wars 2: AOTC - $13,714,649 (incl. $3m p/v - 630 TC)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $13,449,954 (or $7.9m without p/v - 789 TC)
Sen to Chihiro no kamikakushi (Spirited Away) - $13.1m (3-Day Holiday or $8,897,909 without p/v - 321 TC) or $23.8m week
Mission Impossible 2 - $13.1m (356 TC) or $18.2m week
Harry Potter 1: PS - $12,896,242 (1.38m adms. - 645 TC)
Rookies (2009) - $12,860,524 (428 TC)
Mission Impossible 3 - $12,412,091 (or $6,322,846 without p/v - 807 TC)
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $12,359,141 (incl. p/v or $9.5m without - 550 TC)
The Da Vinci Code - $11,301,981 (863 TC) or $19.3m week
Artificial Intelligence - $11,261,483 (or $8,553,416 without p/v - 1,037,879 adms. - $16.07m/2bil Yen 5-Days - 524 TC)
Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $10.8m (284 TC)
Bayside Shakedown 2 - $10,489,418 (408 TC)
Finding Nemo - $10,331,939 (incl. $1.8m p/v or $8.3m without p/v - 654 TC)
Spiderman 2 - $10,045,607 (696 TC) or $9,965,335 (incl. p/v or $7,516,538 2-Day - 700 TC)
Death Note 2: The Last Name - $10,326,716 (612,500 adms. or $6,498,174 without p/v - 362 TC)
The Day After Tomorrow - $10,002,367 (incl. $1.7m p/v - 631 TC) or $9,424,476 Actuals
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $9.66m (800,000 adms. incl. p/v or $6,904,890 without p/v - 643 TC)
Hana Yori Dango: Fainaru (Boys Over Flowers: Final) (2008) - $9,631,782 (400 TC)
Spiderman - $9,603,489 (incl. $3.35m p/v or $6.01m without on 496 TC)
The Sixth Sense - $9.2m (or $6.6m without p/v or $13.8m 5-Days - 275 TC)
Independence Day - $9m+
Aibô: Gekijô-ban (2008) - $8,994,541 (or $5,611,972 2-Day - 300 TC)
The Chronicles Of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch & The Wardrobe - $8,917,824 (780 TC)
Red Cliff: Part 2 (2009) - $8,719,946 (or $6,821,001 2-Day - 729 TC)

Author:  Corpse [ Thu Jun 04, 2009 5:52 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 30-31 - Rookies Score

If Rookies: Graduation can manage similar legs as Boys Over Flowers Finale (not sure about the fanbase, I know Boys Over Flowers would be mostly women though, while Rookies appears to be males maybe), 100m might just be in play. Which would be very huge considering only Ponyo on the Cliff by the Sea, Howl's Moving Castle, and HP3 have been the only films to do so in the past 6 years. Two being givens since they were Miyazaki, and Potter was a given as well with it's popularity still high at the time.

Author:  Archangel [ Thu Jun 04, 2009 7:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 30-31 - Rookies Score

Corpse wrote:
If Rookies: Graduation can manage similar legs as Boys Over Flowers Finale (not sure about the fanbase, I know Boys Over Flowers would be mostly women though, while Rookies appears to be males maybe), 100m might just be in play. Which would be very huge considering only Ponyo on the Cliff by the Sea, Howl's Moving Castle, and HP3 have been the only films to do so in the past 6 years. Two being givens since they were Miyazaki, and Potter was a given as well with it's popularity still high at the time.



$70m looks gauranteed at this point....should be good for around $80-100m methings.

Two others which came close in recent years...

Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $91,119,039
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $88m

Author:  Corpse [ Tue Jun 16, 2009 2:35 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) May 30-31 - Rookies Score

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/too ... /Japan.jsp

June 6-7

Rookies drops less than 15% it's second weekend to 10.6m (massive, bigger than Boys Over Flower's opening weekend, Red Cliff II's opening, etc), 33.6m total after only 9 days in theatres. 100m is certainly a possibility now, if not a near lock. Sharp drops for everything else.

June 13-14 numbers will be released soon enough.

Author:  Archangel [ Tue Jun 16, 2009 4:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

It probably topped T4's opening, which had previews.

Author:  Corpse [ Fri Jun 19, 2009 11:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/too ... /Japan.jsp

June 13-14

Great opening for Terminator 4 (2nd biggest this year), the wonderful start might hurt Transformers 2 this weekend a bit.
Rookies has another strong hold, 50m after just 3 weeks, with a PTA of 19K. So Rookies added roughly 16m over for week 3. Very, very nice. It'll also become the no.1 film of the year (passing Red Cliff II after this weekend too, should be around 60/61m I think).

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jun 20, 2009 3:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

Angels & Demons is doing pretty well too.

Author:  Corpse [ Sun Jun 21, 2009 7:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

And Transformers 2 disappoints. An opening of about 6m isn't bad, just...very meh, and it's going to mean 20/25 will be the final gross most likely. Down from the original too.

Author:  Corpse [ Tue Jun 23, 2009 9:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/japan ... =25&p=.htm

1 1 Rookies: Sotsugyô Toho $6,404,066 -22.6% 428 - $14,963 $62,300,102 4 Unknown
2 N Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen UIP $5,825,212 - 329 - $17,706 $5,825,212 1 Unknown
3 2 Terminator Salvation: The Future Begins Sony $3,675,696 -40.0% 697 - $5,274 $19,594,603 2 USA
4 13 Tsurugidake: ten no ki Toei $2,716,142 +1,620.2% 308 +305 $8,819 $3,028,101 2 Unknown
5 N The Reader n/a $855,514 - 291 - $2,940 $1,152,243 1 Germany, USA
6 3 Angels & Demons Sony $765,300 -41.0% 431 -108 $1,776 $31,456,575 6 USA
7 4 Manatsu no Orion (Last Operations Under the Orion) Toho $666,815 -42.2% 309 - $2,158 $3,147,682 2 Unknown
8 5 Yomei Ikkagetsu No Hanayome (April Bride) Toho $664,714 -41.8% 302 -8 $2,201 $30,121,860 7 Unknown
9 6 Hagetaka: The Movie Toho $621,754 -41.5% 267 - $2,329 $5,846,137 3 Unknown
10 7 I Come with the Rain GAGA $174,823 -54.3% 117 - $1,494 $2,731,184 3 Unknown


Not a bad opening for Transformers 2, but certainly nothing exciting. Highly unlikely it can match the original's total gross.
Terminator IV's drop wasn't so bad, and it'll gross over 30m now.
Angels and Demons continues it's solid run as well crossing 30m.
Rookies continues to dominate and soars past 60m, and should be over 70m after next weekend.

If Rookies continues it's current pace (dropping about 20% week to week), it's run may look like this:

1st week - 12.7
2nd week - 34.4
3rd week - 50.3
4th week - 62.3
5th week - 72.5
6th week - 80

7th - 85.5, 8th - 88.5, 9th - 90.5

The last ffew weekends have had two pretty big openers, so it could pull some sub 20% drops along the way. Either way, 100m is looking pretty good.

Author:  Corpse [ Thu Jul 02, 2009 1:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/too ... /Japan.jsp

Evangelion is a popular anime, and debuting at No.1 with just 120 screens shows that. A huge 45,000 PTA.

Good hold for Rookies again as it passes 70m.

Transformers 2 sees the biggest drop in the top 10. Doubtful it can reach 30m, which Terminator 4 is heading for now.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Jul 02, 2009 3:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

Why only 120 screens, though?!

Author:  Corpse [ Thu Jul 02, 2009 3:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

Not sure to be honest. Similar films seem to get around 300/350 screens. Maybe it's currently in a limited release or something.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Jul 02, 2009 3:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

Hmm, Angels and Demons is gonna end up as the biggest Hollywood release since...umm...dunno, but gonna be a while, I suppose.

Author:  Corpse [ Thu Jul 02, 2009 3:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

It's the biggest since Wall-E which opened back in December, and it'll remain the biggest until HP6 in the coming weeks. While the Potter films keep grossing less and less, it's certainly not going to fall that low. 50+ should happen I would think, probably 60ish to challenge Red Cliff II for the No.2 spot for the year so far.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Jul 02, 2009 3:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

I think Avatar has a great chance of becoming the first Hollywood film in ages to cross $100 million in Japan. It has very much going for it there.

Author:  Jiffy [ Wed Jul 08, 2009 11:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

June 27-28, 2009

1. Evangerion shin gekijôban: Ha Klock Worx $5,377,892 1 120 $44,816 0 $5,377,892
2. Rookies Toho $4,351,052 5 428 $10,166 -32 $71,145,821
3. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen Paramount Int'l $3,397,340 2 658 $5,163 -42 $12,721,251
4. Terminator Salvation Sony Int'l $2,455,488 3 697 $3,523 -33 $25,223,437
5. The Summit: A Chronicle Of Stones to Serenity TOEI $2,244,565 3 308 $7,288 -18 $9,415,967
6. Reader, The Showgate $563,455 2 291 $1,936 -34 $3,187,091
7. Angels & Demons Sony Int'l $555,245 7 354 $1,568 -28 $33,117,659
8. April Bride Toho $454,192 8 298 $1,524 -32 $31,510,715
9. Vulture, The Toho $427,525 4 267 $1,601 -32 $6,915,788
10. Last Operations Under the Orion Toho $419,662 3 309 $1,358 -37 $4,323,830

Author:  Archangel [ Wed Jul 08, 2009 11:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

Dr. Lecter wrote:
I think Avatar has a great chance of becoming the first Hollywood film in ages to cross $100 million in Japan. It has very much going for it there.


Yes, sci-fi movies do really well here. AI, Minority Report are clear examples. Though then there's King Kong, Memoires of a Geisha, Transformers....all movies u expect to do well here but didn't

Author:  Corpse [ Thu Jul 09, 2009 1:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

Transformers because it was americanized, same with Memoirs.

Author:  Corpse [ Sun Jul 12, 2009 9:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) June - Rookies, 100m+? Likely.

July 4-5

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/too ... /Japan.jsp

Nothing too exciting. Decent holds all around, with Evangelion doing very well in it's small release. It has potential to hit 30m I think.

And I'm a little worried about Rookies reaching 100m now. It's been holding just fine, but it needs some stronger holds this month.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Mon Jul 13, 2009 12:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) July

HP should shake things up next weekend. Any chance of a double digit opening. I have rarely seen one without previews(Both Indy and T4 did it with previews).

Author:  Corpse [ Mon Jul 13, 2009 12:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Japan Box Office (09) July

It opens on the 15th, which will be thursday there I believe, so the 2-Day (films open on saturday in Japan) will be deflated some, but double digits should happen.

It would be the third this year, impressive. Though, keep in mind the Potter films keep decreasing in Japan.

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