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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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DP07 wrote: 1. Silent Hill - 26.8m
DP07, could you briefly explain why you feel Silent Hill will do so well this weekend? I only ask because you have one of the higher predictions on here. Thanks so much.
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 7:49 am |
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rolandka19
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 1117
Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
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Final Derby Predictions:
1. Silent Hill- $21.5 million
2. Scary Movie 4- $15.3 million
3. The Sentinel- $15.1 million
4. Ice Age: The Meltdown- $12.4 million
5. American Dreamz- $6.3 million
6. The Benchwarmers- $5.3 million
7. The Wild- $5.2 million
8. Inside Man- $4.3 million
9. Take the Lead- $3.9 million
10. Thank You for Smoking- $3.3 million
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 8:49 am |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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Final Derby Predictions:
1. Silent Hill- $21.9 million
2. Scary Movie 4- $16 million
3. The Sentinel- $14.5 million
4. Ice Age: The Meltdown- $12.4 million
5. American Dreamz- $7.1 million
6. The Benchwarmers- $5.8 million
7. The Wild- $5.7 million
8. Inside Man- 33% drop, can't remember my #
9. Take the Lead- near-50% drop, can't remember my # (similar to Roll Bounce, though not as harsh)
10. Thank You for Smoking- $3.1 million
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 9:19 am |
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haerpinot
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
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1. Silent Hill $19.5 mill
2. Scary Movie 4 $16.6 mill
3. The Sentinel $16.3 mill
4. Ice Age: The Meltdown $13.3 mill
5. The Wild $6.1 mill
6. American Dreamz $5.8 mill
7. The Benchwarmers $5.5 mill
8. Take the Lead $4.1 mill
9. Inside Man $3.7 mill
10. Thank You For Smoking $3.1 mill
Nothing too out of the ordinary...I think it could end up being a tight race for #1 between the top three if the two openers manage to disappoint enough and Scary Movie holds up a little better than expected.
Inside Man could be a derby killer, the theater loss + direct competition from The Sentinel could lead to a Shaggy Dog (killed by Ice Age)/16 Blocks (killed by Inside Man, no less) kinda drop. I went lower than most on it but didn't want to go too low in case it broke the other way.
The Wild has the potential to have a bigger than expected drop too if the WOM is as bad as it seems. I'm counting on that not happening though.
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 10:49 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Made on Wednesday:
01. Silent Hill - 22.0
02. Scary Movie 4 - 16.5
03. The Sentinel - 14.5
04. Ice Age: The Meltdown - 14.0
05. The Wild - 6.5
06. The Benchwarmers - 5.5
07. American Dreamz - 4.8
08. Take the Lead - 4.3
09. Inside Man - 4.1
10. Thank You for Smoking - 3.5
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 12:46 pm |
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Vovanik
Star Trek XI
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2004 7:44 am
Posts: 337
Location: Ukraine,Kyiv
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1. Silent Hill............................$19.7 million
2. Scary Movie 4.....................$15.7 million
3. The Sentinel.......................$13.6 million
4. Ice Age: The Meltdown........$12.8 million
5. The Wild............................$6.0 million
6. American Dreamz...............$5.7 million
7. The Benchwarmers.............$5.6 million
8. Take the Lead....................$4.1 million
9. Inside Man.........................$4.0 million
10. Thank You for Smoking.....$2.9 million
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 1:08 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Derby Predictions:
Silent Hill - $21.7 million
Scary Movie 4 - $15.8 million
The Sentinel - $14.5 million
Ice Age: The Meltdown - $12.9 million
American Dreamz - $6.4 million
The Wild - $6.3 million
The Benchwarmers - $5.0 million
Take the Lead - $4.3 million
Inside Man - $4.1 million
Thank You for Smoking - $3.2 million
PEACE, Mike.
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 2:13 pm |
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Anonymous
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01. Scary Movie 4 $17.3m
02. Silent Hill $16m
03. Ice Age: The Meltdown $14.5m
04. The Sentinel $8.8m
05. The Benchwarmers $5.5m
06. The Wild $5.1m
07. American Dreamz $5.1m
08. Inside Man $4m
09. Take the Lead $3.7m
10. Thank You for Smoking $2.9m
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 2:24 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 35249
Location: Minnesota
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*****MY PREDICTIONS FOR THIS WEEKEND*****
1. SILENT HILL - 23.3 MILLION
2. SCARY MOVIE 4 - 18.1 MILLION
3. THE SENTINEL - 17.1 MILLION
4. ICE AGE 2 - 12.6 MILLION
5. THE WILD - 7 MILLION
6. AMERICAN DREAMZ - 6.2 MILLION
7. THE BENCHWARMERS - 5.5 MILLION
8. FRIENDS WITH MONEY - 5 MILLION
9. TAKE THE LEAD - 4.3 MILLION
10. INSIDE MAN - 4.3 MILLION
11. THANK YOU FOR SMOKING - 4 MILLION
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| Fri Apr 21, 2006 7:49 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Rolling Thunder wrote: DP07 wrote: 1. Silent Hill - 26.8m
DP07, could you briefly explain why you feel Silent Hill will do so well this weekend? I only ask because you have one of the higher predictions on here. Thanks so much. Horror movies with either strong visuals or effective marketing tend to open near 20m. With both I never thought SH could open that low. Remind me of The Grudge and The Ring in that way.
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| Sat Apr 22, 2006 4:13 am |
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