I hope you're right, by god i do

Did i miss something here, ROTK is at $742m overseas, Titanic is $1.2bn, how can you compare both? It's a whopping $500m difference.

I think he was saying that if ROTK can get over half of Titanic, than Hobbit can get to half of Avatar.

Which is insane, by the way. It will be lucky to top $700m.

I think Hobbit can top $700m Overseas, Trans freaking formers looks like it could do it...so why not Hobbit?

Though $1billion is a bit of a sretch for me to fathom.

Ha Ha and yet who insisted that it will not cross $500m WW total

I'm gonna say this now to shut up all the hobbit fanboys this is not 2001 or 02 or 03 ppl are not into the hobbit as much A's they were into LOTR, so it won't make as much, it would have to bring something fresh and new to the table or it anit reaching a billion I see 650 overseas and 270-290 domestic and if it does reach a billion it's not passing ROTK or DHP2..... everyone think since OST passed a billion and DHP2 wil pass it and maybe TF3 might pas it that any movie can pass 1 billion all those movies are coming after movies in there series that made 800 million or more worldwide 2 to 5 years ago..... The hobbit may come after a billion dollar movie but that was 8 years ago and trust me the hobbit is no TS3...... all in all the hobbit is gonna b a very successful film but I won't say a billion dollar movie just yet

I think with 3D supporting it hobbit will make $1b WW total, how far it goes from there is to be seen. It will be the event movie next December, so there is absolutely no way that it misses that mark. Fantasy movies tend to do well in OS and then this will have the good will from LOTR, though maybe not as huge but it will still open big(ger).

I can't remember, i swear no one was putting a lock on $500m WW, which just said it was a possibility

BTW - congrats to Mark66 who pretty much guessed right about $475m WW.

Well, the Hobbit is a big worldwide seller in its own right. And while it may seem similar at first, the Hobbit i'm sure will be different. PJ knows that emulating LOTRs directly is not going to do it.

Someone is also forgetting inflation and growth in markets like Russia and China.

I swear, even if it bombs in Russia and China it will make more next year than any LOTRs ever did in those markets. The potentially is pretty huge in that market for Hobbit.

The only markets i'm worried about are Japan which can go the way of King Kong and it will surely not be as strong as the animated flicks/comics in South America and Asia.

Warner Bros. pic smashes record for global debut with $475.6 mil

http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118040010

Warner Bros.' boy wizard cast his final spell on the box office this weekend, breaking records in most major markets across the globe.

The last installment of Warner's mega-hit franchise, "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2," swept the industry's triple crown (best global, international and domestic openings) -- previously held by three different pics -- with a staggering global debut of $475.6 million.

"Part 2" smashed records all weekend around the world, including industry records for both international ($307 million) and domestic ($168.6 million) debuts.

The final "Potter" pic collected enough coin through Sunday to surpass the short-lived worldwide benchmark of $400 million set two weeks ago by "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," as well as this summer's international debut record of $260.4 million set by "Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides." Domestically, the biz's previous three-day opening benchmark had held since "The Dark Knight" bowed during this same weekend in 2008 with $158.4 million.

"Part 2" also set a Stateside record for the largest midnight debut ($43.5 million), the biggest opening day tally at $92.1 million (which included midnight grosses) and the best-ever three-day Imaxbow totaling $15.5 million.

Dan Fellman, domestic distribution prexy for Warner, said: "It's been an exciting week but somewhat bittersweet. It really is a trip down memory lane."

The socko worldwide perf for "Part 2" over the weekend isn't all that surprising considering that the "Harry Potter" finale had been tracking at the top of audience polls for weeks leading up to its release. But the breadth of its appeal -- both domestically and abroad -- helped the film live up to even the most optimistic expectations.

"The sheer size of the weekend is extraordinary," said Warner Intl. distribution exec Veronika Kwan-Rubinek. "Going into it, we could only hope to do over $300 million internationally."

Through Sunday, "Part 2" saw the largest bow ever in both the U.K. and Australia, grossing $36.6 million and $26.7 million, respectively. In Blighty, the film also earned the most ever for a single day (Saturday) at the U.K. box office.

==

'Potter' 3D magic?

With too few 3D screens in the U.S. causing capacity issues, mainly for major blockbusters like "Harry Potter," it's hard to draw any solid conclusions on the state of 3D. But the numbers show the format is hardly in the clear.

"Potter" earned just 43% of its domestic opening from 3D, which includes about 9% from Imax -- pic was the only "Potter" film offered in 3D. That's an even lower 3D opening percentage than Disney's "On Stranger Tides," which collected 46% from 3D, also including 9% from Imax. ("Cars 2," however, bowed with just 40% in 3D.)

Some B.O. observers had hoped Paramount's "Dark of the Moon," which collected 60% from domestic 3D locations, would help reboot aud interest for the flagging format, though Par put out considerable effort marketing "Transformers" as a 3D event.

With "Potter," Warners banked on the pic's status as the series finale to help boost 3D ticket sales -- pic's trailer stated: "Complete the journey in 3D." That strategy may have worked with some auds (the film did earn $73 million domestically in 3D, with an additional $187 million, or 61%, overseas).

But considering the scope of "Potter" this weekend, bizzers expected more from the format.

Still, Fellman noted that one in three Stateside moviegoers saw the film in 3D. He also said that while the pic bowed in a record-setting 3,000 3D locations, the actual screen count for 3D (4,250) was far less than pic's total 2D screens at approximately 6,750. "It's hard to (evaluate the 3D), because there's never been a number like this," Fellman said, referring to "Potter's" record-setting domestic debut.

According to other B.O. pundits, "Potter" received mostly neutral to positive word of mouth on the 3D presentation, which could help repeat biz. "I think you're going to find people going back in 3D," an exhib exec said.

Overall, the film has garnered glowing feedback, with an A CinemaScore rating. Auds under 18, which repped 28% of the pic's opening, gave it an A+ appraisal -- as did moviegoers 35-49, repping 20%.

Warner's Kwan-Rubinek said she expects to see a long life for the wizard in overseas markets, especially in the U.K., where "Potter" came in roughly 10% higher than the studio's expectations. The film exceeded expectations in Japan as well with $21.5 million -- a very strong result considering the country's devastating earthquake earlier this year. 3D contributed 71% of "Potter's" opening in Japan, while in Blighty the film earned 60% from 3D.

China, which should be a major 3D contributor, will see the pic launch on Aug. 4.


Magical milestones

Warners' final "Harry Potter" film set numerous industry records.

Global Bow
$475.6 mil
Previous record: "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," $400.5 mil

Int'l Bow
$307.0 mil
Previous record: "Pirates: On Stranger Tides," $260.4 mil

Domestic 3-day Bow
$168.6 mil
Previous record: "The Dark Knight," $158.4 mil

Domestic opening day
$92.1 mil
Previous record: "The Twilight Saga: New Moon," $72.7 mil

Global Imax Bow
$23.5 mil
Previous record: "Transformers: Dark of the Moon," $20.4 mil

Harry Potter shatters international launch record on $307m

http://www.screendaily.com/news/distrib ... 20.article

The latest chapter in an already astonishing year for international box office saw the Harry Potter finale devour the overseas opening weekend mark as the global tally climbed to $475.6m since Wednesday’s [13] first wave of launches

Warner Bros Pictures International president of distribution Veronika Kwan-Rubinek and her team reported the eye-popping $307m result from more than 20,000 screens in 59 countries, led by all-time highs of $36.6m in the UK and $26.7m in Australia.

At this rate, the first billion-dollar single Harry Potter film appears to be on the cards. The performance crushed the $260.4m mark set in May by Disney’s Pirates Of The Caribbean 4 and overhauled Harry Potter And The Half-Blood Prince’s $236m from July 2009 to rank as easily the biggest debut of the franchise. 3D represented approximately 45% of the total screen count and generated around 61% of revenue.

“Harry Potter is truly a cultural phenomenon the world over,” Kwan-Rubinek said. “Whether in German, French, Japanese, Russian, or any language, international audiences have embraced the Harry Potter films over the years, with the powerful finale punctuating just how special the property is. We congratulate everyone associated with the films on this monumental achievement.”

The $168.6m North American debut beat the previous record of $158.4m set by The Dark Knight in July 2008 and incorporates Friday’s [15] $92.1m – the biggest single day in domestic box office history – as well as the record $43.5m midnight launch. The worldwide IMAX haul of $23.5m also produced a record and includes $15.5m from North America.

Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows: Part 2 grossed as follows in highlighted territories:

UK: £23m ($36.6m) with 4m admissions from 588 sites
Biggest three-day weekend gross
Biggest Friday result
Biggest Saturday result
Biggest single day result (Saturday)

Australia: A$25m ($26.7m) with 2m admissions from 754 screens
Biggest opening weekend
First time a film has reached A$20m in four days

Germany: €18.2m ($25.7m) with 2m admissions from 1,641 screens
Fourth biggest opening weekend

France: €17m ($23.9m) with 2.4m admissions from 1,195 screens
Third biggest opening weekend for a US film

Japan: ¥1.72bn ($21.5m) with 1.2m admissions from 922 screens
Ninth highest opening weekend
146% ahead of Part 1

Russia: Rbl 550m ($19.5m) with 2.3m admissions from 1,563 screens
Biggest Warner Bros opening weekend
Third biggest opening of 2011

Mexico: Ps 180m ($15.3m) with 3.1m admissions from 2,126 screens
Second biggest opening weekend

Italy: €10.8m ($15.1m) with 1.4m admissions from 988 screens
Biggest opening for a US film

South Korea: KRW 11.6bn ($11m) with 1.4m admissions from 636 screens
Biggest opening weekend for a Harry Potter film

Brazil: R$17m ($11m) from 990 screens
Biggest opening day (Friday)
Second biggest opening weekend

Spain: €5.9m ($8.3m) with 835k admissions from 870 screens
Second biggest opening for Warner Bros (Fri-Sun) behind Harry Potter And The Goblet Of Fire

Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows: Part 2 is scheduled to launch in China on Aug 4.

INTERNATIONAL - Opening Weekend

Outstanding, this may not be it though as i'm thinking it'll rise again tomorrow. This is a 30% improvement over HP6 and 18% improvement over the previous record holder.

This has been a truly awesome week, i thoroughly enjoyed tracking this.

Harry Potter 7-2: DH - $307m (All except China – 59/20,000)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 4: On Stranger Tides - $260,400,000 (100/18,210) or $286.5m by Mon or $310.8m week
Harry Potter 6: HBP - $237,000,000 (34m adms. - 84/15,900)
Spiderman 3 - $230,544,376 (6-Day - All Markets - 75/107/16,711) or $292.5m week
Transformers 3: Dark Of The Moon - $219,810,798 (All except China/Japan - 58/9075) or $281,682,805 by Wed or $297,084,874 by Thu
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $216,361,000 (5-Day or $172.5m 3-Day – All except China/India – 102/17,600) or $251,041,000 by Mon or $295m week
Harry Potter 7-1: DH - $205m (26.8m adms. incl. $4.3m IMAX - 54/19,000)
Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $193,000,000 ($185,215,578 5-Day or $148,768,692 3-Day incl. $2.1m on 35 - All except Japan/China - 44/13317) or $254m week
Avatar - $164,545,565 (106/14,604) or $193.8m by Mon (Day 6)
2012 - $165,232,860 (105/12,685) or $227m week
The Da Vinci Code - $155,000,649 ($152,447,236 - All markets - 57/12,182) or $212m week
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $151,697,196 (101/11,652)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $145,534,793 (All except Japan/SKorea - 105c/114t//10,489)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $146,388,656 (55/8427)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $132,100,000 (24/6873)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $126.8m (UK/Germany/France/Scandinavia/Latin America – 28/7403)
The Matrix: Revolutions - $119,037,452 (Most markets - 80+/10,013)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $113.51m (UK/France/Germany/Italy/LatinAmerica/Netherlands - 24/7885)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $85.5m (UK/Germany/Mexico - 19/5300)

X-Men: First Class - $61,005,046 (74/8900)
The Hangover: Part II - $60,250,000 (UK/Australia/France - 40/5170)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $59.5m (UK/Germany/Taiwan - 9/4265 - 7.1m tickets)
Kung Fu Panda 2 - $55,452,414 (China/Russia/SKorea - 11/8023)
Rio - $54,938,452 (45)
Cars 2 - $42,900,000 (18)
Harry Potter 1: SS - $26m (UK/Taiwan)
Fast Five - $23,404,850 (UK/Australia/Korea/NZ - 4)

--

WORLDWIDE - Opening Weekend

Worldwide, lobs in at #1, beating HP6 over both domestic and overseas takes. It improved the record by around $80m or 20%.

This year has seen 3 movies enter the Top 5 largest openings WW. And will probably be the last until next year.

1) Harry Potter 7-2: DH - $168.6m + $307m = $475.6m (59/11,000 + 20,000)
2) Harry Potter 6: HBP - $158,022,354 + $237,000,000 = $395,022,354 (5-Day - 84/15,900)
3) Transformers 3: Dark Of The Moon - $162,618,212 + $219,810,798 = $382,429,010 (5.5-Days - 58/9075)
4) Spiderman 3 - $151,116,516 + $230,544,376 = $381,660,892 (6-Days - 107/16,711)
5) Pirates Of The Caribbean 4: On Stranger Tides - $90,151,958 + $260,400,000 = $350,551,958 (100/18,210)
6) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $127,972,864 + $216,361,000 = $344,333,864 (5-Days - 102/17,600)
7) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $139,715,157 + $193,000,000 = $332,715,157 (5-Days – 13,317)
8) Harry Potter 7-1: DH - $125,017,372 + $205,000,000 = $330,017,372 (5-Days - 54/19,000)
9) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $158,449,700 + $145,534,793 = $303,984,493 (5-Days - 105c/114t/10,489)
10) Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $125,178,907 + $146,388,656 = $271,567,563 (55/8427)

Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $124,100,534 + $126.8m = $250.9m (5-Days - 28t/14,608)
The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $142,839,137 + $132,100,000 = $274,939,137 (24/6873)
The Twilight Saga: Eclipse - $157,577,169 + $104,600,000 = $262,177,169 (5-Day - 42/6951)
Avatar - $77,025,481 + $164,545,565 = $241,571,046 (106/14,604)
The Da Vinci Code - $77,073,388 + $155,000,649 = $232,074,037 (57/12182)
2012 - $65,237,614 + $165,232,860 = $230,470,474 (105/12,685)
Iron Man 2 - $128,122,480 + $100,165,370 = $228,287,850 (53/6764)
Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $200,077,255 + $19,843,916 = $219,921,171 (2)
Ice Age 3: Dawn Of The Dinosaurs - $66,732,868 + $151,697,196 = $218,430,064 (5-Day - 101/11652)
Alice In Wonderland - $116,101,023 + $100,500,000 = $216,601,023 (40/6455)
War Of The Worlds - $100,561,125 + $110,085,902 = $210,647,027 (5-Days - 79/9955)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $93,687,367 + $113.51m = $207.21m (24/7804)
The Matrix: Revolutions - $83,790,000 + $119,037,452 = $202,827,452 (5-Days - 80c/109t/10,013tc/18,013sc)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $102,046,212 + $99.8m = $201.8m (5-Days - 27c)
Iron Man - $98,588,581 + $102,118,668 = $200,707,249 (5-Days - 56/7588)
The Dark Knight - $158,411,483 + $40,664,197 = $199,075,680 (20/4064)
Spiderman 2 - $152,411,751 + $43,755,772 = $196,167,523 (5-Days - 34t)
Transformers - $155,405,412 + $36,253,961 = $191,659,373 (6-Day - 10/2133)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $102,685,961 + $85.5m = $188.2m

After reading closely into the opening weekend figures, i feel somewhat dissapointed. It's opening day may be good but Saturday and Sunday has been pretty ordinary IMO, it's dropped back to the fold pretty much everywhere.

The only market i was shocked with is Japan, $21.5m on opening when early opening day suggests it would max out below $20m, it's a pleasant surprise.

UK failed to hit $40m.

I'm obviously nitpicking because the results are simply record breaking gargantuan....that blasted opening day lifted my hopes up too high.

Is this the first time a movie has entered the Top 100 WW in just 1 weekend....absolutely incredible.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/

90 Angels & Demons Sony $485.9 $133.4 27.4% $352.6 72.6% 2009
91 Toy Story 2 BV $485.0 $245.9 50.7% $239.2 49.3% 1999^
92 Bruce Almighty Uni. $484.6 $242.8 50.1% $241.8 49.9% 2003
93 Shrek DW $484.4 $267.7 55.3% $216.7 44.7% 2001
94 Saving Private Ryan DW $481.8 $216.5 44.9% $265.3 55.1% 1998
95 Mr. & Mrs. Smith Fox $478.2 $186.3 39.0% $291.9 61.0% 2005
96 Home Alone Fox $476.7 $285.8 59.9% $190.9 40.1% 1990
97 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 WB $475.6 $168.6 35.4% $307.0 64.6% 2011
98 Return of the Jedi Fox $475.1 $309.3 65.1% $165.8 34.9% 1983^
99 Charlie and the Chocolate Factory WB $475.0 $206.5 43.5% $268.5 56.5% 2005
100 Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade Par. $474.2 $197.2 41.6% $277.0 58.4% 1989

AUSTRALIA (AU$) - Opening Weekend


1 1 HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS: PART 2 # (M), WARNER BROS [754/ $24,362] 18,368,621 N/A 25,460,975
2 4 TRANSFORMERS: DARK OF THE MOON (M), PARAMOUNT [507/ $5,909] 2,995,636 -57% 32,984,829
3 3 MR. POPPER`S PENGUINS (G), FOX [268/ $7,595] 2,035,544 -14% 10,076,468
4 4 CARS 2 (PG), WALT DISNEY [370/ $5,135] 1,899,798 -34% 18,339,280
5 4 KUNG FU PANDA 2 (PG), PARAMOUNT [395/ $4,578] 1,808,502 -35% 17,525,318
6 5 BRIDESMAIDS (MA15+), UNIVERSAL [279/ $6,043] 1,686,116 -34% 22,880,333

--

Harry Potter 7-2 annhilated the opening records.

Firstly, not only did it obtain the opening day record, it raised the 4-Day opening weekend by a massive AU$2.2m (14%). It defeated HP7-1's 4-Day to become the largest opening of the franchise by far and only the 2nd movie to gross above $16m over the 4-Days.

It's 5-Day is simply incredibly, the first to gross more than $20m in one weekend and lifted the previous 5-Day record held by HP6 ($18.75m) to over $25.46m (or 35.7%).

At this rate, it'll blow past $50m in no time and may become the 2nd movie after Avatar to pass $60m in Australia. School holidays may be over but with a lack of competition this weekend (Captain America doesn't open until next week), it has nothing to fear.

1) Harry Potter 7-2: DH - $18,368,621 (4-Day or $25,460,975 5-Day - 754 SC)
2) The Twilight Saga: New Moon - $16,099,648 (US$14.5m - 530 SC)
3) Harry Potter 7-1: DH - $15,293,557 (610 SC)
4) Harry Potter 6: HBP - $14,330,931 (4-Day or $18,705,212/ US$14.4m/ 1.8m adms. 5-Day - 510 SC)
5) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $14,115,394 (US$7,918,875 - 424 SC)
6) Transformers 2: Revenge Of The Fallen - $13,647,361 (or $16,294,847 5-Day - 457 SC)
7) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $13,359,734 (incl. $1.2m midnights - US$10,446,272 - 535 SC) or US$11,210,696 by Mon
8) The Simpsons Movie - $13,228,926 (442 SC)
9) Shrek 2 - $13,159,869 (US$9,720,795 or $13,646,848 incl. Tas p/v - 437 SC) or US$10,344,499 by Mon
10) The Twilight: Eclipse - $12,990,707 (US$10.7m or 13,006,412 incl. p/v - 536 SC)

11) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $12,871,680 (or $16,973,961 5-Day - 500 SC)
12) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $12,731,703 (US$9,464,748 3-Day - 453 SC)
13) Transformers 3: Dark Of The Moon - $12,414,137 (or $15,054,508 5-Day - 595 SC)
14) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $12,355,237 (US$9,217,025 - 552 SC)
15) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $12,074,242 (606 SC)
16) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $11,967,380 (US$6.5m - 457 SC)
17) Avatar - $11,962,308 (or $12,895,497 incl. Wed p/v 5pm - 588 SC)
18) Harry Potter 3: POA - $11,935,745 (US$8.6m or $12,274,543 incl. Tas p/v - 452 SC) or $14,799,004/ $15,137,801 by Mon*
19) The Dark Knight - $11,779,716 (4-Day or $14,057,430 5-Day - 472 SC)
20) The Hangover: Part II - $11,286,995 (424 SC)

Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $11,215,765 (489 SC)
The Matrix Reloaded - $11,092,773 (US$7,224,680 3-Day - 480 SC)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $10,640,941 (US$5.9m - 488 SC)
Spiderman - $10,563,980 (US$5.8m - 470 SC) or $13m (5-Day)*Queens Birthday
Alice In Wonderland - $10,377,137 (448 SC)
Shrek 3 - $10,338,331 (or $10,344,442 incl. p/v - 477 SC)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 4: On Stranger Tides - $9,903,515 (620 SC)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $9,749,937 (4-Day or $13,872,707/ US$5m 5-Day - 406 SC)
Indiana Jones: The Kingdom Of The Crystal Skull - $9,733,329 (535 SC)
James Bond: Quantum Of Solace - $9,729,078 (4-Day or $11,842,887 5-Day - 476 SC)
I Am Legend - $9,513,115 (or $9,701,335 incl. p/v - 338 SC)
Spiderman 3 - $9,512,596 (500 SC)
Iron Man 2 - $9,507,179 (473 SC)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $9,249,505 (US$4.8m - 476 SC)
Star Wars 1: PM - $9,139,628 (US$6,024,000 - 372 SC)

Ugh, why is the NVF so freaking slow with adding the weekend number for Holland. I want to see if it did end up breaking the OW record and, if so, by how much.

Congrats Australia on being the most impressive territory again (like with Avatar). The UK got pretty close to being more impressive this time around, but considering Australia has like... just over a third of the population of the UK, Australia wins.

Don't worry, enjoy the Australian actuals for now, we're always the first ones out

Yeah, but you're from like... the future, with your fantasy animals and monster spiders. You probably secretly travel around in flying cars too...

They're usually quicker with the results, like around noon or something. But it's past 2PM now and there's nothing. Stupid NVF.

Uh no , we're just a big country small population maximum efficiency

I cling to every bit of hope.

I never heard myself denying a $300m OS OW "possibility"

Aw, it didn't end up breaking €3 million, and barely fell short of €4 million with Wednesday included as well.

It did break the OW record, and turned the entire OW top 10 into a Wizards&Pirates show by bumping Quantum of Solace out of the top 10.

TOP 10 ALL-TIME OPENINGS IN THE NETHERLANDS
1. Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows pt.2 €2.710.762 (€3.936.768 incl. Wednesday)
2 Harry Potter And The Halfblood Prince €2.538.000 (3.661.000 incl. Wednesday)
3 POTC: On Stranger Tides €2.296.692 (€2.707.894 incl. previews)
4 Harry Potter And The Deathly Hallows pt.1 €2.239.000 (€2.828.080 incl. Wednesday)
5 POTC: At World's End €2.237.000 (€3.415.000 incl. previews)
6 Harry Potter And The Philosopher's Stone €1.999.000 (€2.482.000 incl. Wednesday)
7 Harry Potter And The Chamber Of Secrets €1.950.000 (€2.396.080 incl. Wednesday)
8 Harry Potter And The Goblet Of Fire €1.948.000 (€2.382.080 incl. Wednesday)
9 Harry Potter And The Order Of The Phoenix €1.880.000 (€2.730.080 incl. Wednesday)
10 Harry Potter And The Prisoner Of Azkaban €1.853.000 (€2.166.080 incl. Wednesday)

If it follows any of the other HP's trajectories, it'll end up like this:

Halfblood Prince (3.09) €12.1 million (worst multiplier of the entire series).
Deathly Hallows pt.1 (3.5) €14.1 million (bloody terrible multiplier for a winter HP release).
Order Of The Phoenix (3.7) €14.6 million
Prisoner of Azkaban (3.85) €15.1 million.
Goblet Of Fire (4.2) €16.7 million
Chamber Of Secrets (5.7) €22.4 million
Philosopher's Stone (6.18) €24.4 million (lol)

I don't even KNOW what happened with Deathly Hallows pt.1, those are some terrible legs. At least HP6 opened to €800K more and probably faced some hot summer weather, but Deathly Hallows pt.1 has no such excuse. New Kids Turbo which opened pretty big a week later had a multiplier of 6... One of over 4 would have been better. Avatar's legs would have been great too, but somehow expecting a 16.0 multiplier and €36 million total seems unfair even for a winter release.

I'm hoping for legs around those of POA, but that might be expecting too much. Still, it would be nice if the last one could break €15 million. Somehow mimicing HP1 and topping Titanic seems unlikely.

Goblet of Fire wasn't a summer release...

That explains a lot.

Sorry, I can't keep my Harry Potters straight.